Alert archive / Oregon / Winter Storm Warnings in 2022

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Medford, OR

February 20, 2022Douglas County, Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this winter storm warning at Feb 20, 2022, 2:09 PM PST for Douglas County, Oregon. It was in force for 38 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2022, 2:09 PM PST (22:09 UTC)
Expired
Feb 22, 2022, 4:00 AM PST
In force
38 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

County Douglas County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2022-02-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2022-02-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
832 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
103 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

010 
WWUS46 KMFR 202209
WSWMFR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
209 PM PST Sun Feb 20 2022

ORZ025-211200-
/O.UPG.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220221T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.WS.W.0002.220220T2209Z-220222T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KMFR.WS.A.0002.220221T0600Z-220222T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.WW.Y.0007.220221T0600Z-220222T1200Z/
Eastern Douglas County Foothills-
Including the cities of Steamboat and Toketee Falls
209 PM PST Sun Feb 20 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY ABOVE
2500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 AM PST TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Snow accumulations of 8 to 13 inches
  within the Winter Storm Warning above 2500 feet. Additional snow
  accumulations of 8 to 13 inches. Total snow accumulations of 5
  to 7 inches. within the Winter Weather Advisory. 

* WHERE...The Winter Weather Warning covers elevations above 2500
  feet within the eastern Douglas foothills, including portions of
  Highway 138. All other areas, including Steamboat and Toketee
  Falls, are included in the Winter Weather Advisory. 

* WHEN...The Winter Storm Warning is in effect until 4 AM PST
  Tuesday. The Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 10 PM 
  this evening to 4 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could become very difficult due to slick and
  snow covered roads. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This will be a long duration event which 
  will come in the form of showers, with snow occurring over a 
  period of two days. Heaviest snowfall rates are expected Monday 
  afternoon. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions.

* If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, 
  food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you.

* The safest place during a winter storm is indoors.

* A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is imminent
  and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action
  now.

&&

$$

ORZ027-211200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220222T1200Z/
South Central Oregon Cascades-
Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, Diamond Lake,
and Union Creek
209 PM PST Sun Feb 20 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow and areas of blowing snow expected. Total snow 
  accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. Locally higher amounts of 14 
  to 23 inches possible in the Cascades north of Mount Thielson. 
  Northwest wind gusts of 40 mph across ridges and passes.

* WHERE...South Central Oregon Cascades including Union Creek, 
  Crater Lake, Diamond Lake, Crescent Lake. Highways 97, 62, 
  138, 230, and 58 will all be affected.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible, 
  depending on your mode of travel and winter driving 
  preparedness.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This snow will come in the form of 
  showers with snowfall rates of a half inch to 1 inch per hour 
  at times. The highest snowfall rates are likely to be Monday 
  afternoon and evening.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ028-211200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades-
Including the cities of Howard Prairie and Siskiyou Summit
209 PM PST Sun Feb 20 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 12 
  inches.

* WHERE...The Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades 
  including Highway 140, Greensprings Highway, Interstate 5, and 
  the Mount Ashland Ski Road.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, at times, due to 
  slick, snow covered roads. Snowfall rates are likely to be 
  greatest, at times, this afternoon and the Monday through 
  Tuesday morning when they could reach a half an inch to 1 inch 
  per hour.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Forecast snowfall amounts during the 
  advisory period range from a foot along Highway 140 near Lake 
  of the Woods, to 5 inches at Siskiyou Summit on Interstate 5, 
  to around 10 inches on Mount Ashland. Additional snowfall will 
  be possible Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday evening.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-024-211200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.220221T0600Z-220222T1800Z/
South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast-
Eastern Curry County and Josephine County-
209 PM PST Sun Feb 20 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM PST TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 1500 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 1 to 3 inches below 2000 foot elevations and 3 to 6 inches 
  above 2000 foot elevations. Locally higher amounts are 
  possible in the Kalmiopsis Wildernesses and in the coastal 
  mountains.

* WHERE...Elevations above 1500 feet in Coos, Curry, and Douglas 
  counties including the towns of Obrien, Takilma, Galice, and 
  Sunny Valley. This includes Interstate 5 north of Grants Pass 
  at Canyon Mountain and Sexton Summit. Portions of Highway 199 
  in the Illinois Valley will also be affected, as well as the 
  coastal mountains and Kalmiopsis Wilderness.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult due to slick, snow covered 
  roads. The hazardous conditions are likely to impact holiday 
  travel Sunday night into Monday as well as the Tuesday morning 
  commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall could begin on Interstate 5 at 
  Canyon Mountain Pass as early as Sunday evening. Snow levels 
  and accumulation level are likely to rise to near 2000 foot 
  elevations Monday afternoon. Snowfall rates are likely to be 
  greatest Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ023-026-211200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0006.220221T0600Z-220222T1800Z/
Central Douglas County-Jackson County-
Including the cities of Glendale and Ashland
209 PM PST Sun Feb 20 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM PST TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 1500 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 1 to 3 inches at 1500 foot elevations and 3 to 6 inches 
  from elevations near 2000 feet upward.

* WHERE...Central Douglas County including the towns of Azalea, 
  Glendale, Tiller, and portions of Highway 42 near Camas 
  Valley, Interstate 5 south of Canyonville, and portions of the 
  Tiller- Trail Highway. Jackson County including Highway 97 
  from Shady Cove to Union Creek, the Applegate Valley area from 
  Jacksonville to near Applegate and Provolt, Highway 140 east 
  of White City, higher portions of Interstate 5 from Grants 
  Pass to Blackwell Hill, and all roads from south and east 
  Medford southeast to the Talent and Ashland areas.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult due to slick, snow covered 
  roads. The hazardous conditions are likely to impact holiday 
  travel tonight through Monday as well as the Tuesday morning 
  commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels are expected to fall to below 
  2000 foot elevations this evening and to near 1500 feet Monday 
  morning with light accumulation possible. Snow level is then 
  likely to briefly rise above 2000 feet in Jackson County 
  Monday afternoon and evening as snowfall rates increase. Snow 
  levels are then likely to fall to valley floors Monday night 
  into Tuesday morning.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties. &&

$$

CAZ080-081-211200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.220221T1800Z-220222T1800Z/
Western Siskiyou County-Central Siskiyou County-
Including the cities of Somes Bar and Hilt
209 PM PST Sun Feb 20 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
10 AM PST TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 1500 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 1 to 3 inches.

* WHERE...Elevations above 1500 feet in Western Siskiyou County 
  and Central Siskiyou County. This includes portions of 
  Interstate 5 north of Yreka as well as portions of Highway 96 
  from the junction with Interstate 5 to near Somes Bar.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Monday to 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult due to slick, snow covered 
  roads. The hazardous conditions are likely to impact holiday 
  travel Monday evening and night as well as the Tuesday morning 
  commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels are likely to rise above 2000 
  foot elevations in late Monday afternoon into early Monday 
  evening before falling to all valley floors Tuesday morning.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
3 follow-up statements
862 
WWUS46 KMFR 211102
WSWMFR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
302 AM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

ORZ025-220000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220222T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-220222T1200Z/
Eastern Douglas County Foothills-
Including the cities of Steamboat and Toketee Falls
302 AM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY
ABOVE 2500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning above 2500 feet additional
  snow accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. For the Winter Weather
  Advisory above 1500 feet, additional snow accumulations of 4 to
  7 inches.

* WHERE...The Winter Weather Warning covers elevations above 2500
  feet within the eastern Douglas foothills, including portions of
  Highway 138. All other areas, including Steamboat and Toketee
  Falls, are included in the Winter Weather Advisory. 

* WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could become very difficult due to slick and
  snow covered roads. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This will be a long duration event which
  will come in the form of showers, with snow occurring over a
  period of two days. Heaviest snowfall rates are expected Monday
  afternoon. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions.

* If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, 
  food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you.

* The safest place during a winter storm is indoors.

* A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is
  occurring and poses a threat to life and property. Take 
  protective action now.

&&

$$

ORZ027-220000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220222T1200Z/
South Central Oregon Cascades-
Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, Diamond Lake,
and Union Creek
302 AM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. Locally
  higher amounts of 14 to 18 inches possible in the Cascades 
  north of Mount Thielson. 

* WHERE...South Central Oregon Cascades including Union Creek, 
  Crater Lake, Diamond Lake, Crescent Lake. Highways 97, 62, 
  138, 230, and 58 will all be affected.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult to impossible, depending on
  your mode of travel and winter driving preparedness.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This snow will come in the form of 
  showers with snowfall rates of a half inch to 1 inch per hour 
  at times. The highest snowfall rates are likely to be Monday 
  afternoon and evening.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ028-220000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades-
Including the cities of Howard Prairie and Siskiyou Summit
302 AM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 10 inches 
  with the higher snowfall amounts at higher elevations.

* WHERE...The Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades 
  including Highway 140, Greensprings Highway, Interstate 5, and 
  the Mount Ashland Ski Road.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, at times, due to
  slick, snow covered roads. Snowfall rates are likely to be
  greatest, Monday through Tuesday morning when they could reach 
  a half an inch to 1 inch per hour.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Forecast snowfall amounts range from a foot
  along Highway 140 near Lake of the Woods, to 5 inches at
  Siskiyou Summit on Interstate 5, to around 10 inches on Mount
  Ashland. Additional snowfall will be possible Tuesday afternoon
  and evening.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov  
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-024-220000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast-
Eastern Curry County and Josephine County-
302 AM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 1500 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 1 to 3 inches below 2000 foot elevations and 3 to 6 inches 
  above 2000 foot elevations. Locally higher amounts are 
  possible in the Kalmiopsis Wildernesses and in the coastal 
  mountains.

* WHERE...Elevations above 1500 feet in Coos, Curry, and Douglas
  counties including the towns of Obrien, Takilma, Galice, and 
  Sunny Valley. This includes Interstate 5 north of Grants Pass at
  Canyon Mountain and Sexton Summit. Portions of Highway 199 in 
  the Illinois Valley will also be affected, as well as the 
  coastal mountains and Kalmiopsis Wilderness.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult due to slick, snow covered
  roads. The hazardous conditions are likely to impact holiday
  travel Monday as well as the Tuesday morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels and accumulation level are 
  likely to rise to near 2000 foot elevations Monday afternoon. 
  Snowfall rates are likely to be greatest Monday afternoon 
  through Tuesday morning.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ023-026-220000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
Central Douglas County-Jackson County-
Including the cities of Glendale and Ashland
302 AM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 1500 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 1 to 3 inches at 1500 foot elevations and 3 to 6 inches 
  from elevations near 2000 feet upward.

* WHERE...Central Douglas County including the towns of Azalea,
  Glendale, Tiller, and portions of Highway 42 near Camas Valley,
  Interstate 5 south of Canyonville, and portions of the Tiller-
  Trail Highway. Jackson County including Highway 62 from Shady 
  Cove to Union Creek, the Applegate Valley area from Jacksonville
  to near Applegate and Provolt, Highway 140 east of White City, 
  higher portions of Interstate 5 from Grants Pass to Blackwell 
  Hill, and all roads from south and east Medford southeast to the
  Talent and Ashland areas.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult due to slick, snow covered 
  roads. The hazardous conditions are likely to impact holiday 
  travel tonight through Monday as well as the Tuesday morning 
  commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The snow level is likely to briefly rise 
  above 2000 feet in Jackson County Monday afternoon and evening 
  as snowfall rates increase. Snow levels are then likely to fall 
  to valley floors Monday night into Tuesday morning.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov  
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

CAZ080-081-220000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.220221T1800Z-220222T1800Z/
Western Siskiyou County-Central Siskiyou County-
Including the cities of Somes Bar and Hilt
302 AM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 10 AM PST TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 1500 feet. Total snow accumulations
  of 1 to 3 inches in the valleys. Snow accumulation of 4 to 8
  inches in the mountains. 

* WHERE...Elevations above 1500 feet in Western Siskiyou County 
  and Central Siskiyou County. This includes portions of 
  Interstate 5 north of Yreka as well as portions of Highway 96 
  from the junction with Interstate 5 to near Somes Bar.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult due to slick, snow covered 
  roads. The hazardous conditions are likely to impact holiday 
  travel Monday evening and night as well as the Tuesday morning 
  commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels are likely to rise above 2000
  foot elevations late Monday afternoon into early Monday evening
  before falling to all valley floors Tuesday morning.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov  
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
259 
WWUS46 KMFR 212222
WSWMFR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
222 PM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

ORZ025-221200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220222T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-220222T1200Z/
Eastern Douglas County Foothills-
Including the cities of Steamboat and Toketee Falls
222 PM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY
ABOVE 2500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning above 2500 feet additional
  snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches. For the Winter Weather
  Advisory above 1500 feet, additional snow accumulations of 2 to
  4 inches.

* WHERE...The Winter Weather Warning covers elevations above 
  2500 feet within the eastern Douglas foothills, including 
  portions of Highway 138. All other areas, including Steamboat 
  and Toketee Falls, are included in the Winter Weather Advisory.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could become very difficult due to slick and 
  snow covered roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This will be a long duration event which 
  will come in the form of showers, with snow occurring over a 
  period of two days. Heaviest snowfall rates are expected 
  Monday afternoon.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions.

* If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, 
  food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you.

* The safest place during a winter storm is indoors.

* A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is 
  occurring and poses a threat to life and property. Take 
  protective action now.

&&

$$

ORZ027-221200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220222T1200Z/
South Central Oregon Cascades-
Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, Diamond Lake,
and Union Creek
222 PM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Locally 
  higher amounts possible. 

* WHERE...South Central Oregon Cascades including Union Creek, 
  Crater Lake, Diamond Lake, Crescent Lake. Highways 97, 62, 
  138, 230, and 58 will all be affected.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult to impossible, depending 
  on your mode of travel and winter driving preparedness.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This snow will come in the form of 
  showers with snowfall rates of a half inch to 1 inch per hour 
  at times. The highest snowfall rates are likely to be Monday 
  afternoon and evening.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ028-221215-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades-
Including the cities of Howard Prairie and Siskiyou Summit
222 PM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches 
  with the higher snowfall amounts at higher elevations.

* WHERE...The Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades 
  including Highway 140, Greensprings Highway, Interstate 5, and 
  the Mount Ashland Ski Road.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, at times, due to 
  slick, snow covered roads. Snowfall rates are likely to be 
  greatest, Monday through Tuesday morning when they could reach 
  a half an inch to 1 inch per hour.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Total forecast snowfall amounts range from
  a foot along Highway 140 near Lake of the Woods, to 5 inches at
  Siskiyou Summit on Interstate 5, to around 10 inches on Mount
  Ashland. Additional light snowfall will be possible Tuesday 
  afternoon and evening.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

CAZ080-081-221215-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
Western Siskiyou County-Central Siskiyou County-
Including the cities of Somes Bar and Hilt
222 PM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 1500 feet. Additional snow
  accumulations of 1 to 2 inches in the valleys and 3 to 4 inches
  in the mountains.

* WHERE...Elevations above 1500 feet in Western Siskiyou County 
  and Central Siskiyou County. This includes portions of 
  Interstate 5 north of Yreka as well as portions of Highway 96 
  from the junction with Interstate 5 to near Somes Bar.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult due to slick, snow covered 
  roads. The hazardous conditions are likely to impact holiday 
  travel Monday evening and night as well as the Tuesday morning 
  commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels of 2000 foot elevations through
  Monday evening will lower to all valley floors Tuesday morning.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-024-221215-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast-
Eastern Curry County and Josephine County-
222 PM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 1500 feet. Additional snow
  accumulations of 1 to 2 inches below 2000 feet and 2 to 4 
  inches above 2000 feet. Locally higher amounts are possible in 
  the Kalmiopsis Wildernesses and in the coastal mountains.

* WHERE...Elevations above 1500 feet in Coos, Curry, and Douglas 
  counties including the towns of Obrien, Takilma, Galice, and 
  Sunny Valley. This includes Interstate 5 north of Grants Pass 
  at Canyon Mountain and Sexton Summit. Portions of Highway 199 
  in the Illinois Valley will also be affected, as well as the 
  coastal mountains and Kalmiopsis Wilderness.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult due to slick, snow covered
  roads. The hazardous conditions are likely to impact holiday
  travel Monday as well as the Tuesday morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates are likely to be greatest 
  Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ023-026-221215-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
Central Douglas County-Jackson County-
Including the cities of Glendale and Ashland
222 PM PST Mon Feb 21 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
TUESDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 1500 feet. Additional snow
  accumulations of 1 to 2 inches at 1500 feet and 2 to 4 inches
  above 2000 feet.

* WHERE...Central Douglas County including the towns of Azalea, 
  Glendale, Tiller, and portions of Highway 42 near Camas 
  Valley, Interstate 5 south of Canyonville, and portions of the 
  Tiller- Trail Highway. Jackson County including Highway 62 
  from Shady Cove to Union Creek, the Applegate Valley area from 
  Jacksonville to near Applegate and Provolt, Highway 140 east 
  of White City, higher portions of Interstate 5 from Grants 
  Pass to Blackwell Hill, and all roads from south and east 
  Medford southeast to the Talent and Ashland areas.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult due to slick, snow covered 
  roads. The hazardous conditions are likely to impact holiday 
  travel tonight through Monday as well as the Tuesday morning 
  commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels of around 2000 feet Monday are
  likely to fall to valley floors Monday night into Tuesday 
  morning.

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
473 
WWUS46 KMFR 221141
WSWMFR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
341 AM PST Tue Feb 22 2022

ORZ025-221245-
/O.EXP.KMFR.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220222T1200Z/
/O.EXP.KMFR.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-220222T1200Z/
Eastern Douglas County Foothills-
Including the cities of Steamboat and Toketee Falls
341 AM PST Tue Feb 22 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM PST EARLY THIS
MORNING ABOVE 2500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM PST EARLY THIS
MORNING ABOVE 1500 FEET...

Although some snow showers will still be possible through the
afternoon, these showers will be light. Any additional 
accumulations are expected to be brief, and they are not expected 
to create travel concerns.

$$

ORZ027-221245-
/O.EXP.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220222T1200Z/
South Central Oregon Cascades-
Including the cities of Crater Lake, Crescent Lake, Diamond Lake,
and Union Creek
341 AM PST Tue Feb 22 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM PST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

Although some snow showers will still be possible through the
afternoon, these showers will be light. Any additional 
accumulations are expected to be brief, and they are not expected 
to create travel concerns.

$$

ORZ028-221800-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades-
Including the cities of Howard Prairie and Siskiyou Summit
341 AM PST Tue Feb 22 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow showers are occurring. Additional snow accumulations
  of up to 1 inch. Cold temperatures below 32 degrees could allow
  black ice to form on any wet roads this morning.

* WHERE...The Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades 
  including Highway 140, Greensprings Highway, Interstate 5, and 
  the Mount Ashland Ski Road.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel this morning could be difficult due to slick, 
  snow or ice covered roads. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

CAZ080-081-221800-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
Western Siskiyou County-Central Siskiyou County-
Including the cities of Somes Bar and Hilt
341 AM PST Tue Feb 22 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS
MORNING ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow showers expected above 1500 feet. Additional 
  accumulations of up to an inch expected. Cold temperatures below
  32 degrees could allow black ice to form on any wet roads this 
  morning.

* WHERE...Elevations above 1500 feet in Western Siskiyou County 
  and Central Siskiyou County. This includes portions of 
  Interstate 5 north of Yreka as well as portions of Highway 96 
  from the junction with Interstate 5 to near Somes Bar.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel this morning could be difficult due to slick,
  snow or ice covered roads. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-024-221800-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast-
Eastern Curry County and Josephine County-
341 AM PST Tue Feb 22 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS
MORNING ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow showers expected above 1500 feet. Additional snow
  accumulations of up to an inch possible. Cold temperatures 
  below 32 degrees could cause black ice to form on wet roadways.

* WHERE...Elevations above 1500 feet in Coos, Curry, and Douglas 
  counties including the towns of Obrien, Takilma, Galice, and 
  Sunny Valley. This includes Interstate 5 north of Grants Pass 
  at Canyon Mountain and Sexton Summit. Portions of Highway 199 
  in the Illinois Valley will also be affected, as well as the 
  coastal mountains and Kalmiopsis Wilderness.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel this morning could be difficult due to slick, 
  snow or ice covered roads. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

ORZ023-026-221800-
/O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-220222T1800Z/
Central Douglas County-Jackson County-
Including the cities of Glendale and Ashland
341 AM PST Tue Feb 22 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS
MORNING ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow showers expected above 1500 feet. Additional snow
  accumulations of up to an inch possible. Cold temperatures below
  32 degrees could cause black ice to form on wet roads.

* WHERE...Central Douglas County including the towns of Azalea, 
  Glendale, Tiller, and portions of Highway 42 near Camas 
  Valley, Interstate 5 south of Canyonville, and portions of the 
  Tiller- Trail Highway. Jackson County including Highway 62 
  from Shady Cove to Union Creek, the Applegate Valley area from 
  Jacksonville to near Applegate and Provolt, Highway 140 east 
  of White City, higher portions of Interstate 5 from Grants 
  Pass to Blackwell Hill, and all roads from south and east 
  Medford southeast to the Talent and Ashland areas.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM PST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel this morning could be difficult due to slick, 
  snow or ice covered roads. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

* Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and 
  limited visibilities.

* See https://www.tripcheck.com or http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov 
  for latest road conditions.

* A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow 
  will cause travel difficulties.

&&

$$

Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 20, 10:05 AM PST, 4 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 10:05 AM PST, 4 hours 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
1005 AM PST Sun Feb 20 2022

.Updated aviation discussion.

.UPDATE...Showers across Coos and Douglas counties this morning
will spread to the rest of the area throughout the day, with snow
levels lowering to around 2000 feet by this evening. With
widespread winter weather expected to continue through Tuesday
morning, Winter Weather Advisories have been issued for much of
the region, with details found at PDXWSWMFR. A few minor changes
were made this morning to bring conditions in line with the
most recent observations, but no major updates were necessary.
More information on this week's winter system can be found below.
-BPN

&&

.AVIATION...20/18Z TAFs...MVFR/IFR conditions are present along the
coastal waters and immediate coastline, including KOTH. As a front
pushes south and east, MVFR ceilings will become more common across
the region; spreading from the Umpqua Basin this morning to the
Rogue Valley by tonight. VFR conditions should prevail through this
afternoon for locations from KMFR south and east, before
deteriorating later this evening.

Mountain obscuration will also expand ahead of the front from
increasing mid-and-low level cloud cover. Ahead of and along the
front, westerly winds will increase and become especially gusty east
of the Cascades this afternoon and evening. Given the strength of
the front, we expect winds to gust to 20 mph at least in the Rogue
Valley this afternoon, thought these gusts will likely only last for
a brief time.

Under heavier showers, short periods of IFR conditions may occur.
The snow level will fall to 2500 feet this afternoon, then to
between 1000-1500 feet tonight. Overnight, snow down to the Rogue
Valley floor, impacting KMFR, can't be ruled out; as well as up to a
15% chance for some lightning in the vicinity of KOTH & KRBG.
-Miles/Keene

&&

.MARINE...Updated 800 AM PST Sunday 20 February 2022...A Small
Craft Advisory will expand to all of the waters this morning (except
for very steep seas in the outer waters north of Coos Bay beyond
about 10 nm). This will be due to a combination of northerly wind
driven waves that will combine with a building short period NW swell
(more details below). The Hazardous Seas Warning for the outer
waters and Small Craft Advisory for the inner waters have been
extended and now are in effect late Sunday afternoon through Monday
night.

A slow moving cold front will traverse across the region this
morning, and gusty north to northwest winds will prevail in its wake
through Wednesday. The steep and very steep seas will be a mix
between wind-driven and fresh NW swell, but this is not delineated
specifically within our warning products as both the fresh swell and
wind wave will have similar periods of 7 to 9 seconds. There will
also be a fairly constant longer period (~14 seconds) WNW swell
around 4 to 5 feet in the background.

Some combination of hazardous seas warning and small craft may need
to be extended into mid-week. As upper-level ridge conditions return
later on Wednesday, northerly winds again increase, especially south
of Cape Blanco. While the strong northerly winds are likely to peak
quickly on Wednesday, the northwest swell will be slow to diminish,
keeping seas elevated (especially the southern waters).
-Miles/DW

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 604 AM PST Sun Feb 20 2022/

DISCUSSION...
An upper level trough is moving southeastward and into the
forecast area early this morning. ODOT road cameras indicate some
snow showers in the Cascades from Diamond Lake to Willamette
Pass. Rain gages across Coos and Douglas counties have indicated
amounts from a trace to a little over a tenth of an inch, thus
far, this morning. Snow level where it is precipitating seems to
be around 4kft. We'll need to keep a close eye on the temperature
and radar this morning because temperatures are at or below
freezing down to many valley floors south of the Umpqua Divide
right now. Should precipitation get going in those areas this
morning, it would likely be a light wintry mix, with patchy
freezing drizzle possible.

Winter headlines were updated overnight to add detail for the
expected snowfall from today through Tuesday. During the day today
snow levels are likely to be generally above 2.5kft with light
snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches expected from Highway 140
northward and lighter amount south of there. Snow levels then fall
to around 1500 foot elevations tonight into Monday morning before
rising some Monday afternoon and evening. A number of Winter
Weather Advisories have been issued and updated for areas from the
Cascades westward. A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from 10 PM
PST this evening through 10 PM PST Monday for elevations above
1500 feet in Douglas County. Be advised that Highway 138 from
Roseburg to Diamond Lake is likely to get some healthy snow
amounts in the 3 to 9 inch range during the watch time period.

As compared to what it looked like 24 hours ago, model guidance
has shifted the position of the upper level trough moving in
Monday through Tuesday morning a bit further west. Thus, with
colder air and dynamics expected to extend more westward, snowfall
amounts have been adjusted upward some from 24 hours ago. There's
likely to be deep convective showers and even a slight
possibility of thunderstorms Monday morning through Tuesday
morning from the Cascades westward. Snow levels are likely to be
in the 1kft to 2kft range during that time period, but could dip
below 1kft Tuesday morning.

For the Rogue Valley, upslope northwest flow areas such as those
along and near the north side of the Siskiyous, including the
Ashland area, are expected to see some light snowfall this evening
through early Monday. However, the best cold air and dynamics are
Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. It's notable that the
models are beginning to lag the upper level low over the area
longer Tuesday such that the snow threat may continue into the
afternoon and evening in the Mount Ashland, Ashland, Siskiyou
Summit, and Greensprings areas. We'll need to keep an eye on that
for possible winter weather advisory extension. Currently, it
appears Jackson County could see 1 to 3 inches of snowfall down
to around 1500 foot elevations, 3 to 6 inches above 2kft, and 5-12
inch amounts above 3kft. Please check the point-and-click
forecasts on the internet for further details for your location.

With the more westward track of the upper level low, confidence in
record low temperatures is increasing for both Wednesday and
Thursday mornings. For the west side, lows those two mornings
could be the lowest temperatures experienced since Feb 23rd in
2018! While clouds, fog, or east wind could keep temperatures up
in some areas, guidance has been very consistent in indicating
very cold temperatures on par to even a bit colder than what we're
advertising in the forecast. In fact, the NAM12 and GFS20
indicate an Arctic cold front pushing over the Cascades from the
northeast Wednesday morning. This can be seen in the dewpoint
fields on the NAM12 as dewpoints fall from the 20s to the single
digits and teens across the west side.

The cold temperatures are then expected to linger into at least
Friday morning, but, possibly into the weekend. With the dry air
mass that will have moved in with the cold air, we can expected 20
to 40 degree Fahrenheit diurnal ranges mid-late this week at
inland locations.

Looking out to next weekend into early March, it's looking like
the arrival of the next round of precipitation may be
delayed...again. 8-10 day (Mon, Feb 28th - Wed, Mar 2nd) clusters
indicate a 51%/49% split between wet and dry solutions. The wetter
solutions show a quarter of an inch or more of precipitation west
of about Lakeview and Alturas, with the drier ones suggesting a
tenth of an inch or more north and west of the Umpqua Divide, but
lesser amounts south and east of there. Interestingly, 87% of the
GEFS members are on board with the wetter solution, whereas 55%
of the CMC and 66% of the ECE members are on board with the drier
solution. ~BTL

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM PST Tuesday for ORZ028.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM PST
     Tuesday above 1500 feet in the for ORZ021>024-026.
     Winter Storm Watch from this evening through Monday evening
     above 1500 feet in the for ORZ025.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening above 2500
     feet in the for ORZ025.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 4 AM PST Tuesday for ORZ027.

CA...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM Monday to 10 AM PST Tuesday
     above 1500 feet in the for CAZ080-081.

Pacific Coastal Waters...
     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM PST Tuesday for
     PZZ350-356-370-376.
     Hazardous Seas Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 AM PST
     Monday for PZZ350-356.
     Hazardous Seas Warning until 2 AM PST Tuesday for PZZ370.
     Hazardous Seas Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 2 AM PST
     Tuesday for PZZ376.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 4:23 AM PSTWinter Storm WatchMFRDouglas10 hr
Feb 20, 4:23 AM PSTWinter Weather AdvisoryMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas, Josephine54 hr
Feb 20, 4:23 AM PSTWinter Weather AdvisoryMFRCoos, Douglas, Jackson, Josephine, Klamath54 hr
Feb 20, 2:09 PM PSTWinter Weather AdvisoryMFRDouglas38 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Oregon, 2022Every winter storm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.