Wind Advisory 4, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

317 
WWUS74 KMAF 162018
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
218 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

NMZ028-TXZ272>280-171000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0008.220216T2100Z-220217T1200Z/
Eddy County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-
Eastern Culberson County-Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-
Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Including the cities of Artesia, Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, 
Van Horn, Pecos, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend NP, 
Panther Junction, Marathon, and Chisos Basin
218 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022 /118 PM MST Wed Feb 16 2022/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and 
  west Texas.

* WHEN...From 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ this afternoon to 6 AM CST /5 
  AM MST/ Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause power disruptions, hazards to 
  trailers and high profile vehicles and blowing dust that can 
  reduce visibility suddenly to near zero. Motorists should 
  exercise extreme caution while driving in the high wind 
  warning area. Be alert to sudden gusts of wind that may cause 
  you to lose control of your vehicle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NMZ027-TXZ270-271-171000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-220217T1200Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP, 
and Pine Springs
218 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022 /118 PM MST Wed Feb 16 2022/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 40 to 60 mph with gusts up to 80 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause power disruptions, hazards to 
  trailers and high profile vehicles and blowing dust that can 
  reduce visibility suddenly to near zero. Severe turbulence 
  near the mountains will be hazardous for low flying light 
  aircraft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ059-060-067-075-281-282-171000-
/O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0004.220216T2100Z-220217T1200Z/
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Loving-
Winkler-Ward-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, 
Mentone, Kermit, Monahans, Fort Stockton, Presidio, Big Bend NP, 
Lajitas, and Castolon
218 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022 /118 PM MST Wed Feb 16 2022/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and 
  western Texas.

* WHEN...From 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ this afternoon to 6 AM CST /5 
  AM MST/ Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Secure lawn furniture, garbage cans or other objects 
  which could be blown about by the wind. Drivers of vans, 
  campers, trailers and other high-profile vehicles should be 
  alert to the danger of these winds.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf

606 
WWUS74 KMAF 171108
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
508 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

NMZ028-TXZ273-171700-
/O.CAN.KMAF.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-220217T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KMAF.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-220217T1700Z/
Eddy County Plains-Eastern Culberson County-
Including the cities of Artesia, Carlsbad, 
and Carlsbad Caverns NP
508 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 /408 AM MST Thu Feb 17 2022/

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CST /10 AM MST/ THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...In New Mexico, Eddy County Plains. In Texas, Eastern 
  Culberson County.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM CST /10 AM MST/ this morning.

* IMPACTS...Secure lawn furniture, garbage cans or other objects
  which could be blown about by the wind.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NMZ027-TXZ270>272-274>280-171215-
/O.CAN.KMAF.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-220217T1200Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-
Chisos Basin-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP, 
Pine Springs, Van Horn, Pecos, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, 
Big Bend NP, Panther Junction, Marathon, and Chisos Basin
508 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022 /408 AM MST Thu Feb 17 2022/

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

High winds have subsided across the area.

$$

TXZ059-060-067-075-281-282-171215-
/O.CAN.KMAF.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-220217T1200Z/
Loving-Winkler-Ward-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Mentone, Kermit, Monahans, Fort Stockton,
Presidio, Big Bend NP, Lajitas, and Castolon
508 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Strong winds have subsided across the area.

$$

TXZ045-050-171700-
/O.EXB.KMAF.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-220217T1700Z/
Gaines-Andrews-
Including the cities of Seminole and Andrews
508 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CST THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* WHERE...Gaines and Andrews Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM CST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NMZ029-033-034-171700-
/O.EXT.KMAF.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-220217T1700Z/
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-
Including the cities of Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, and Jal
408 AM MST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MST THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Northern Lea, Central Lea and Southern Lea Counties.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM MST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1038 PM CST Tue Feb 15 2022

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1032 PM CST Tue Feb 15 2022

VFR tonight. S/SW wind will continue to gust on an off through
the night then increase tomorrow by midday as stronger wind aloft
ahead of upper trough mixes down to the surface. Blowing dust
could reduce vsbys to MVFR levels. Wind will become more W late
as Pacific front moves across the area. High Wind Warning for
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains Wednesday, mountain wave/rotar
expected in lee of the mountains, severe turbulence possible.
Low possibility of storms during the evening from MAF eastward.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 213 PM CST Tue Feb 15 2022

An upper level trough extends from Montana to California this
afternoon. This upper trough will move eastward on Wednesday and
will extend from the Northern Plains to New Mexico and Arizona.
Surface winds will be gusty out of the south to southwest this
afternoon. A surface trough will develop from Southeast New Mexico
to the Davis Mountains this afternoon which will result in
temperatures warming up into the 70s across most of the area.
Temperatures tonight will range from the 30s to the 50s across West
Texas and Southeast New Mexico.

Temperatures will warm up Wednesday afternoon across the Permian
Basin, Lower Trans Pecos, and southward to the Big Bend with highs
mostly in the 70s and 80s. Temperatures will cool slightly on
Wednesday from Southeast New Mexico to the Davis Mountains as the
upper trough begins to move over the area. Winds will strengthen
across West Texas and Southeast New Mexico out of the south to
southwest on Wednesday. High winds are expected across the Guadalupe
Mountains beginning Wednesday morning so a High Wind Warning has
been issued. Winds will increase even more out of the west Wednesday
evening as the upper trough begins to move overhead. A High Wind
Watch remains in effect from the Eddy County plains southward to the
Marfa Plateau. This watch will either be upgraded to a High Wind
Warning or switched to a Wind Advisory for Wednesday on a later
shift. The windiest conditions will be Wednesday afternoon into
Wednesday evening. A Wind Advisory may be needed further east for
additional areas. Some blowing dust will also be likely across much
of the area Wednesday afternoon and evening. The high winds in the
Guadalupe Mountains are expected to continue through tomorrow night.
A dryline will also be present across the Permian Basin and Lower
Trans Pecos Wednesday evening so thunderstorms will be possible
across this area. Temperatures tomorrow night will range from the
mid 20s across northern Lea County to the mid 40s along and near the
Rio Grande.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through  Monday)
Issued at 213 PM CST Tue Feb 15 2022

Our trough will continue to pivot eastward with a strengthening
surface low pressure over the central plains. High pressure over the
northern plains will work in tandem with a trailing cold front from
the aforementioned low pressure dropping south through the forecast
area during the morning on Thursday. Winds will shift out of the
north and usher in some chillier air, leading to highs 20-30 degrees
cooler than Wednesday. Dry air along and behind the front will keep
the area from experiencing any precip, so the region will remain
cool and dry outside the breezy northerly winds. Pattern will
maintain a progressive state with the trough lifting out with zonal
flow in its wake for the end of the week and weekend. Expect
temperatures to rebound back to above normal by Thursday and beyond
as return flow will create a nice period of warm, southerlies for
the weekend. Another massive storm system will enter the picture out
west for the beginning of next week, but timing and details of the
trough strength and positioning in the guidance leads to a lower
confidence in potential outcomes. There are some similarities to
this current system, so wind will certainly be a possibility.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               74  47  77  37 /   0   0   0  30
Carlsbad                 77  39  73  34 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   70  45  77  45 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            81  49  79  42 /   0   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass           69  44  63  31 /   0   0   0  10
Hobbs                    74  37  73  30 /   0   0   0  10
Marfa                    74  33  71  28 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     74  45  77  37 /   0   0   0  20
Odessa                   75  45  77  38 /   0   0   0  20
Wink                     79  37  78  36 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday
     evening for Andrews-Central Brewster County-Chinati
     Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains
     Foothills-Eastern Culberson County-Gaines-Guadalupe
     Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
     Loving-Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-Pecos-Presidio
     Valley-Reeves County Plains-Terrell-Van Horn and Highway 54
     Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

     High Wind Watch from 9 AM CST Wednesday through late Wednesday
     night for Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis Mountains-
     Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson County-Marfa
     Plateau-Reeves County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54
     Corridor.

     High Wind Warning from 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ Wednesday to 6 AM CST
     /5 AM MST/ Thursday for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
     Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

NM...Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday
     evening for Chaves Plains-Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento
     Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains.

     High Wind Watch from 8 AM MST Wednesday through late Wednesday
     night for Eddy County Plains.

     High Wind Warning from 8 AM Wednesday to 5 AM MST Thursday for
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

&&

SHORT TERM...80
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...72

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
132 PM CST Tue Feb 15 2022

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-161945-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
132 PM CST Tue Feb 15 2022 /1232 PM MST Tue Feb 15 2022/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Critical fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon and
early evening. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for Southeast New
Mexico, the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, the upper Trans Pecos,
and the Northwest Permian Basin.

Patchy blowing dust is possible along with gusty winds for the Hwy
54 corridor, Southeast New Mexico, and much of the Permian Basin
this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Windy to very windy conditions are expected Wednesday across
Southeast New Mexico and most of West Texas. A High Wind Watch is in
effect Wednesday for the Davis, Chinati, and Chisos Mountains, as
well as the adjacent plains. A High Wind Warning is in effect for the
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

Critical fire weather conditions are possible Wednesday afternoon
and early evening. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for all areas
stretching from Southeast New Mexico and the Northwest Permian Basin
down to the Rio Grande Valley.

Areas of blowing dust are expected Wednesday for most areas.

Strong thunderstorms are possible across the northeast Permian Basin
Wednesday evening. Small hail and gusty winds are the main threats
with these storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland