Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2022
Red Flag Warning 46, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this red flag warning at May 27, 2022, 4:02 AM CDT for 9 counties in Texas; 5 counties in New Mexico. It took effect at May 28, 2022, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 27, 2022, 4:02 AM CDT (09:02 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 28, 2022, 12:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- May 28, 2022, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Counties Chaves County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Otero County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Loving County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 158 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 4128 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -6 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 132 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
426 WWUS84 KMAF 270902 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 402 AM CDT Fri May 27 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR FAR WEST TEXAS AND THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... NMZ116>119-TXZ270>273-272200- /O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0042.220528T1700Z-220529T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0046.220528T1700Z-220529T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains- Eddy Plains-Lea-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Eastern Culberson County- 402 AM CDT Fri May 27 2022 /302 AM MDT Fri May 27 2022/ ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR FAR WEST TEXAS AND THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains, Chaves Plains, Eddy Plains, Lea, Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor and Eastern Culberson County. * TIMING... Saturday afternoon and evening. Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. Higher winds in the mountains. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 4 percent. * RFTI...7 or extreme. * IMPACTS... Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase potential for fire growth. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ059-274-272200- /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0046.220528T1700Z-220529T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Loving-Reeves County Plains- 402 AM CDT Fri May 27 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR FAR WEST TEXAS AND THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Loving and Reeves County Plains. * TIMING...Saturday afternoon and evening. Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 4 percent. * RFTI...5 or critical. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase potential for fire growth. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ045>047-050>052-060>062-067-068-075-275>278-281-272200- /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Winkler-Ector-Midland- Ward-Crane-Pecos-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Presidio Valley- 402 AM CDT Fri May 27 2022 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Gaines, Dawson, Borden, Andrews, Martin, Howard, Winkler, Ector, Midland, Ward, Crane, Pecos, Chinati Mountains, Marfa Plateau, Davis Mountains, Davis Mountains Foothills and Presidio Valley. * TIMING...Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent. * RFTI...5 or critical. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
4 follow-up statements
454 WWUS84 KMAF 271848 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 148 PM CDT Fri May 27 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR FAR WEST TEXAS AND THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... NMZ116>119-TXZ059-270>274-281200- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0046.220528T1700Z-220529T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains- Eddy Plains-Lea-Loving-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Eastern Culberson County-Reeves County Plains- 148 PM CDT Fri May 27 2022 /1248 PM MDT Fri May 27 2022/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ SATURDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR FAR WEST TEXAS AND THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Loving, Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains, Chaves Plains, Eddy Plains, Lea, Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor, Eastern Culberson County and Reeves County Plains. * TIMING... Saturday afternoon and evening. Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 4 percent. * RFTI...7 or extreme. * IMPACTS... Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase potential for fire growth. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ045>047-050>052-060>062-067-068-075-275>278-281-281200- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Winkler-Ector-Midland- Ward-Crane-Pecos-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Presidio Valley- 148 PM CDT Fri May 27 2022 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Gaines, Dawson, Borden, Andrews, Martin, Howard, Winkler, Ector, Midland, Ward, Crane, Pecos, Chinati Mountains, Marfa Plateau, Davis Mountains, Davis Mountains Foothills and Presidio Valley. * TIMING...Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent. * RFTI...5 or critical. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
652 WWUS84 KMAF 280848 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 348 AM CDT Sat May 28 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN, UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... TXZ045-050-060-067-278-282100- /O.EXA.KMAF.FW.W.0046.220528T1700Z-220529T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Gaines-Andrews-Winkler-Ward-Davis Mountains Foothills- 348 AM CDT Sat May 28 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN, UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Gaines, Andrews, Winkler, Ward and Davis Mountains Foothills. * TIMING...This afternoon and evening. Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 4 percent. * RFTI...6 or critical. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase potential for fire growth. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ NMZ116>119-TXZ059-270>274-282100- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0046.220528T1700Z-220529T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains- Eddy Plains-Lea-Loving-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Eastern Culberson County-Reeves County Plains- 348 AM CDT Sat May 28 2022 /248 AM MDT Sat May 28 2022/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN, UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Loving, Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains, Chaves Plains, Eddy Plains, Lea, Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor, Eastern Culberson County and Reeves County Plains. * TIMING...This afternoon and evening. Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Strong winds in the mountains. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 3 percent. * RFTI...6 to 8 or critical to extreme. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase potential for fire growth. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ048-069-279-282100- /O.EXA.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Scurry-Upton-Central Brewster County- 348 AM CDT Sat May 28 2022 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Scurry, Upton and Central Brewster County. * TIMING...Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 6 percent. * RFTI...5 or critical. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ TXZ046-047-051-052-061-062-068-075-275>277-281-282100- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Dawson-Borden-Martin-Howard-Ector-Midland-Crane-Pecos- Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-Presidio Valley- 348 AM CDT Sat May 28 2022 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Dawson, Borden, Martin, Howard, Ector, Midland, Crane, Pecos, Chinati Mountains, Marfa Plateau, Davis Mountains and Presidio Valley. * TIMING...Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent. * RFTI...5 or critical. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
839 WWUS84 KMAF 281919 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 219 PM CDT Sat May 28 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN, UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... NMZ116>119-TXZ045-050-059-060-067-270>274-278-291000- /O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0047.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-220529T0200Z/ Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains- Eddy Plains-Lea-Gaines-Andrews-Loving-Winkler-Ward- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Eastern Culberson County-Reeves County Plains- Davis Mountains Foothills- 219 PM CDT Sat May 28 2022 /119 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN, UPPER TRANS PECOS, AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ SUNDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Gaines, Andrews, Loving, Winkler, Ward, Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains, Chaves Plains, Eddy Plains, Lea, Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor, Eastern Culberson County, Reeves County Plains and Davis Mountains Foothills. * TIMING...This afternoon and evening. Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains on Sunday. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 3 percent. * RFTI...8 or extreme. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase potential for fire growth. && $$ TXZ046>048-051-052-061-062-068-069-075-275>277-279-281-291000- /O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0043.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0047.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Martin-Howard-Ector-Midland-Crane-Upton- Pecos-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Central Brewster County-Presidio Valley- 219 PM CDT Sat May 28 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Dawson, Borden, Scurry, Martin, Howard, Ector, Midland, Crane, Upton, Pecos, Chinati Mountains, Marfa Plateau, Davis Mountains, Central Brewster County and Presidio Valley. * TIMING...Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent. * RFTI...5 or critical. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase potential for fire growth. && $$
012 WWUS84 KMAF 290227 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 927 PM CDT Sat May 28 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... NMZ116>119-TXZ045-050-059-060-067-270>274-278-291600- /O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-220529T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0047.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains- Eddy Plains-Lea-Gaines-Andrews-Loving-Winkler-Ward- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor- Eastern Culberson County-Reeves County Plains- Davis Mountains Foothills- 927 PM CDT Sat May 28 2022 /827 PM MDT Sat May 28 2022/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Gaines, Andrews, Loving, Winkler, Ward, Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains, Chaves Plains, Eddy Plains, Lea, Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor, Eastern Culberson County, Reeves County Plains and Davis Mountains Foothills. * TIMING...Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 3 percent. * RFTI...7 or extreme. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase potential for fire growth. && $$ TXZ046>048-051-052-061-062-068-069-075-275>277-279-281-291600- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0047.220529T1500Z-220530T0200Z/ Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Martin-Howard-Ector-Midland-Crane-Upton- Pecos-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Central Brewster County-Presidio Valley- 927 PM CDT Sat May 28 2022 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 10%, 20FT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE, AND CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS... * AFFECTED AREA...Dawson, Borden, Scurry, Martin, Howard, Ector, Midland, Crane, Upton, Pecos, Chinati Mountains, Marfa Plateau, Davis Mountains, Central Brewster County and Presidio Valley. * TIMING...Sunday afternoon and evening. * WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent. * RFTI...5 or critical. * IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase potential for fire growth. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 27, 3:48 AM CDT, 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 27, 3:48 AM CDT, 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
348 AM CDT Fri May 27 2022
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER...
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Fri May 27 2022
VFR conditions will continue the next 24 hours. Light
southeasterly winds tonight will become elevated and gusty by
around 15Z-18Z, with gusts to around 20-25kt possible at all
terminals thereafter.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 326 AM CDT Fri May 27 2022
A ridge that's been building over the Desert Southwest will
translate eastward across the region today, and coincident with
increasing southerly to southeasterly return flow, will mark a rapid
return to well above normal temperatures this afternoon. Highs will
top out in the upper 90s and lower 100s for most, with the hottest
temperatures close to 110 degrees possible through portions of the
Rio Grande Valley in the Big Bend. High resolution guidance/CAMs
indicate potential for some diurnally driven storms over the higher
terrain of the Davis Mountains and Marfa Plateau this afternoon.
Unfortunately, any rainfall would be light, with a more likely
outcome being elevated storms producing virga, gusty downburst
winds, and lightning. Given the ongoing drought and otherwise dry
conditions, lightning-caused wildfires may be a concern.
Increasing low-level moisture will keep temperatures overnight
tonight on the warm side, with lows only expected to drop into the
60s and lower 70s for most of the area. Temperatures will soar on
Saturday, as the aforementioned ridge shifts eastward and a trough
moves ashore over the Pacific Northwest. Flow aloft will transition
to southwesterly, with a developing 850mb thermal ridge and
downsloping southwesterly surface flow yielding highs in the lower
100s for much of the region. Heat Advisory conditions may be
possible across portions of the Permian Basin, Trans Pecos, the
mountain areas, and Rio Grande Valley Saturday afternoon, so those
with outdoor plans this weekend will need to plan accordingly as
heat-related illnesses will be an increasing concern. Aside from the
heat, Fire Weather concerns will also return in earnest Saturday,
given the unseasonably hot, dry, and windy conditions expected
across the area, and more on this can be found in the Fire Weather
Discussion below. Further, some guidance indicates the potential for
storms to develop during the late afternoon/early evening along the
dryline over the Permian Basin. Inverted-V model soundings indicate
that storms that develop would be high-based, and mainly a downburst
wind and lightning threat. However, storms would likely remain
isolated, and weaken quickly after sunset Saturday evening.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 326 AM CDT Fri May 27 2022
Hot conditions will continue early next week amid strong
southwesterly, downslope flow. The dryline will mix east each
afternoon as southwesterly flow strengthens aloft due to a long-wave
trough over the West. Temperatures cool a bit Tuesday as winds back
to the southeast keeping moisture in place. This could allow for
some isolated convection along the dryline Tuesday afternoon. Models
then show a weak cold front oozing into the area midweek helping to
further cool temperatures close to normal. Rain chances also pick up
a bit given the boundary in the area. At this point it doesn't look
like a drought-buster, but at least something.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 326 AM CDT Fri May 27 2022
After a few days of cooler conditions with scattered rainfall we
will transition back into a mostly hot, dry pattern for the next
few days. The rain we saw did little to affect ERC values across
the area as they are forecast to reach >97th percentile by this
weekend. Southerly winds will return this afternoon, but dry air
across S TX will keep any appreciable moisture away another day.
Look for near critical conditions by afternoon across portions of
SE NM south to the Big Bend as RH's fall into the single digits
and winds increase to near 15 mph.
Stronger flow aloft will lead to gusty winds this weekend which
will combine with near record high temperatures and single digit
RH's to produce RFTI's 5-7. Critical fire weather conditions and
still cured fuels give enough confidence to upgrade to a Red Flag
Warning Saturday and a Fire Weather Watch Sunday. Areas of most
concern continue to be SE NM and locations bordering. Even
locations that saw rain this past week will likely not see green-
up for a while. The fire weather threat will continue into Monday
before a front brings moisture and a chance for rain midweek.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 99 72 105 74 / 0 0 10 0
Carlsbad 102 65 104 67 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden 100 70 104 71 / 0 0 10 10
Fort Stockton 100 72 105 71 / 0 0 10 10
Guadalupe Pass 94 69 96 66 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs 98 66 102 65 / 0 0 0 0
Marfa 94 58 97 58 / 20 10 10 10
Midland Intl Airport 99 71 104 72 / 0 0 10 0
Odessa 99 72 104 73 / 0 0 10 0
Wink 103 68 106 67 / 0 0 10 10
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening
for Andrews-Borden-Chinati Mountains-Crane-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson County-
Ector-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe
and Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving-Marfa Plateau-Martin-
Midland-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reeves County Plains-Van Horn
and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.
Red Flag Warning from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 9 PM CDT /8 PM
MDT/ Saturday for Eastern Culberson County-Guadalupe
Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Loving-Reeves County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54
Corridor.
NM...Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening
for Chaves Plains-Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento Foothills and
Guadalupe Mountains.
Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Saturday for Chaves
Plains-Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe
Mountains.
&&
SHORT TERM...84
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...84Hazardous weather outlook, May 26, 1:51 PM CDT, 14 hours 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 151 PM CDT Thu May 26 2022 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-271900- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 151 PM CDT Thu May 26 2022 /1251 PM MDT Thu May 26 2022/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Saturday afternoon and evening across the Southeast New Mexico plains, Guadalupe Mountains, Sacramento Foothills, and Culberson county in Texas. Widespread critical fire weather is expected Sunday and Monday. Triple digit heat will return to the region this weekend. Take extra precautions if you plan to spend time outdoors and drink plenty of water. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 4:02 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | MAF | Andrews, Borden, Brewster, Crane, Culberson, Dawson and 14 more | 34 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2022Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2022Every red flag warning in 2022
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.