Red Flag Warning 23, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Chaves County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Otero County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Crane County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Howard County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

450 
WWUS84 KMAF 110213
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
913 PM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 
MPH OR MORE, AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND 
MUCH OF WEST TEXAS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 
MPH OR MORE, AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW 
MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...

NMZ116>119-TXZ045>047-050>052-059>062-067-068-075-270>274-276>278-
112115-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-220411T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.220411T1600Z-220412T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0023.220412T1500Z-220413T0300Z/
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains-
Eddy Plains-Lea-Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Ward-Crane-Pecos-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-
Eastern Culberson County-Reeves County Plains-Marfa Plateau-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
913 PM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022 /813 PM MDT Sun Apr 10 2022/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/
TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR
LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR
ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS,
20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...

* AFFECTED AREA...Gaines, Dawson, Borden, Andrews, Martin, 
  Howard, Loving, Winkler, Ector, Midland, Ward, Crane, Pecos, 
  Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains, Chaves Plains, 
  Eddy Plains, Lea, Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet, 
  Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, Van Horn and Highway 54 
  Corridor, Eastern Culberson County, Reeves County Plains, 
  Marfa Plateau, Davis Mountains and Davis Mountains Foothills.

* TIMING...Warning...late Monday morning to Monday evening. 
  Watch...Tuesday morning to evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.

* RFTI...7 or extreme.

* IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that 
  may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the 
  potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. 
  Conditions could be particularly dangerous this afternoon and 
  again Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

TXZ048-053-063-069-070-082-275-279>282-112115-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-220411T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0023.220412T1500Z-220413T0300Z/
Scurry-Mitchell-Glasscock-Upton-Reagan-Terrell-Chinati Mountains-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-
Lower Brewster County-
913 PM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS,
20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...

* AFFECTED AREA...Scurry, Mitchell, Glasscock, Upton, Reagan, 
  Terrell, Chinati Mountains, Central Brewster County, Chisos 
  Basin, Presidio Valley and Lower Brewster County.

* TIMING...Tuesday afternoon and evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.

* RFTI...4 or near critical.

* IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that 
  may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the 
  potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

687 
WWUS84 KMAF 110812
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
312 AM CDT Mon Apr 11 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, 
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST 
TEXAS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE,
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST
TEXAS...

NMZ116>119-TXZ045>047-050>052-059>062-067-068-075-270>274-276>278-
112015-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0023.220412T1500Z-220413T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0024.220412T1500Z-220413T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.220411T1600Z-220412T0300Z/
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains-
Eddy Plains-Lea-Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Ward-Crane-Pecos-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-
Eastern Culberson County-Reeves County Plains-Marfa Plateau-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
312 AM CDT Mon Apr 11 2022 /212 AM MDT Mon Apr 11 2022/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, 
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST 
TEXAS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE,
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST
TEXAS...

* TIMING...This afternoon and evening. Tuesday morning to 
  evening.

* WINDS...Today, southwest 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph in
  the plains and 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph in the
  mountains. Tuesday, southwest 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 55 mph
  in the plains and 40 to 60 mph with gusts to 75 mph in the 
  mountains.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.

* RFTI...5 to 8 or critical to extreme.

* IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that
  may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the
  potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires.
  Conditions could be particularly dangerous Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.

&&

$$

TXZ048-053-063-069-070-082-275-279>282-112015-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0023.220412T1500Z-220413T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0024.220412T1500Z-220413T0300Z/
Scurry-Mitchell-Glasscock-Upton-Reagan-Terrell-Chinati Mountains-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-
Lower Brewster County-
312 AM CDT Mon Apr 11 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE,
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST
TEXAS...

* AFFECTED AREA...Scurry, Mitchell, Glasscock, Upton, Reagan, 
  Terrell, Chinati Mountains, Central Brewster County, Chisos 
  Basin, Presidio Valley and Lower Brewster County.

* TIMING...Tuesday afternoon and evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 6 percent.

* RFTI...5 to 6 or critical.

* IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that 
  may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the 
  potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.

&&

$$

580 
WWUS84 KMAF 111905
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
205 PM CDT Mon Apr 11 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE,
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST
TEXAS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE,
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST
TEXAS...

NMZ116>119-TXZ045>047-050>052-059>062-067-068-075-270>274-276>278-
121000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-220412T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0024.220412T1500Z-220413T0300Z/
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains-
Eddy Plains-Lea-Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Ward-Crane-Pecos-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-
Eastern Culberson County-Reeves County Plains-Marfa Plateau-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
205 PM CDT Mon Apr 11 2022 /105 PM MDT Mon Apr 11 2022/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 
20 MPH OR MORE, AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO 
AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM 
CDT /9 PM MDT/ TUESDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF 
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...

* TIMING...This afternoon and evening. Tuesday morning to 
  evening.

* WINDS...Today, southwest 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph in
  the plains and 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph in the
  mountains. Tuesday, southwest 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 55 mph
  in the plains and 40 to 60 mph with gusts to 75 mph in the 
  mountains.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.

* RFTI...4 to 8 or near critical to extreme.

* IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that 
  may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the 
  potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. 
  Conditions could be particularly dangerous Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.

&&

$$

TXZ048-053-063-069-070-082-275-279>282-121000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0024.220412T1500Z-220413T0300Z/
Scurry-Mitchell-Glasscock-Upton-Reagan-Terrell-Chinati Mountains-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-
Lower Brewster County-
205 PM CDT Mon Apr 11 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE,
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST
TEXAS...

* AFFECTED AREA...Scurry, Mitchell, Glasscock, Upton, Reagan, 
  Terrell, Chinati Mountains, Central Brewster County, Chisos 
  Basin, Presidio Valley and Lower Brewster County.

* TIMING...Tuesday afternoon and evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.

* RFTI...4 to 8 or near critical to extreme.

* IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that 
  may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the 
  potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.

&&

$$

965 
WWUS84 KMAF 120311
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1011 PM CDT Mon Apr 11 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, 
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST 
TEXAS...

NMZ116>119-TXZ045>047-050>052-059>062-067-068-075-270>274-276>278-
121515-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-220412T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0024.220412T1500Z-220413T0300Z/
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains-
Eddy Plains-Lea-Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Ward-Crane-Pecos-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-
Eastern Culberson County-Reeves County Plains-Marfa Plateau-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
1011 PM CDT Mon Apr 11 2022 /911 PM MDT Mon Apr 11 2022/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ TUESDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR
LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS...

* TIMING...Tuesday morning to evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 6 percent.

* RFTI...7 or extreme.

* IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that 
  may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the 
  potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires. 
  Conditions could be particularly dangerous Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.

&&

$$

TXZ048-053-063-069-070-082-275-279>282-121515-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0024.220412T1500Z-220413T0300Z/
Scurry-Mitchell-Glasscock-Upton-Reagan-Terrell-Chinati Mountains-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-
Lower Brewster County-
1011 PM CDT Mon Apr 11 2022

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
TUESDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF
20 MPH OR MORE, AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...

* AFFECTED AREA...Scurry, Mitchell, Glasscock, Upton, Reagan, 
  Terrell, Chinati Mountains, Central Brewster County, Chisos 
  Basin, Presidio Valley and Lower Brewster County.

* TIMING...Tuesday morning to evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 6 percent.

* RFTI...5 or critical.

* IMPACTS...Avoid the use of open flames or any activities that 
  may generate sparks. Accidental ignitions will have the 
  potential to grow into dangerous wind-driven wildfires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1155 AM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1151 AM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022

With the exception of patchy BLDU this afternoon, VFR conditions
should prevail next 24 hours in gusty west winds. Late
tonight/early Monday, a WNW LLJ is anticipated across SE NM and
the Permian Basin, which may result in a little low level winds
shear, which have been noted in the appropriate TAFs.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday afternoon)
Issued at 249 AM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022

Zonal flow aloft will persist across the region today, with
downsloping westerly to southwesterly winds expected areawide by
late morning to early afternoon in response to a surface low
developing over northeastern New Mexico which will then translate
southeastward across the Texas Panhandle. Additionally, a tightening
gradient due to a shortwave passing well north of the region will
yield high winds across the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains, where
a High Wind Warning remains in effect today. Breezy to windy
conditions are also expected across the adjacent plains, with
potential for patchy blowing dust this afternoon. Widespread
downslope warming will yield highs today similar to or slightly
warmer than yesterday, and well above normal for early April.
Temperatures this afternoon will be in the middle 80s and lower 90s
for most and potential triple digit heat through portions of the Rio
Grande Valley in the Big Bend. The continued unseasonably warm, dry,
and windy conditions will also produce critical to extreme fire
weather conditions today, with extreme fire danger, and a Red Flag
Warning is in effect for the entire region. Additional information
can be found in the Fire Weather Discussion below.

Continued westerly to southwesterly flow tonight will keep lows on
the mild side, only expected to drop into the 50s and lower 60s for
most. Another unseasonably warm day is ahead for Monday with little
change to the antecedent pattern aloft, though winds at the surface
will be somewhat lighter across the plains. However, in the
Guadalupe Mountains, another round of high winds looks to be
possible during the afternoon and early evening, thus a High Wind
Watch remains in effect. The continued downslope flow will maintain
well above normal high temperatures on Monday, though most locations
will be a degree or two cooler than today, with highs still expected
to top out in the 80s and lower 90s for most. Critical fire weather
conditions are also expected to develop once again, and a Fire
Weather Watch is in effect for Southeast New Mexico and most of West
Texas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 249 AM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022

The focus continues to be on critical to extreme fire weather
conditions expected through midweek. Please see the fire weather
discussion below for more details.

A dynamic upper storm system moving out of the Rockies and onto the
Plains Tuesday will bring a variety of impacts to the central U.S.
Blizzard conditions are expected in the Dakotas while much of the
rest of the Plains, including our region, will see hot temperatures,
high winds, and extreme fire weather. A strong surface low will
develop Tuesday afternoon near KS/NB with southwest winds
encroaching on a broad LLTR stretching from N. Mexico into the
Plains. An intense mid level jet and deep mixing will allow for
very strong winds to reach the surface across the higher terrain
and SE NM. Wind gusts could reach close to 80 mph across the
Guadalupe Mountains and even near 65 mph in the adjacent Plains
near Artesia/Carlsbad. Temperatures will be hot once again with
highs in the 80s/90s areawide.

As the upper system wraps up over the Midwest Wednesday, a Pacific
front will shove east across the area with cooler conditions. Winds
could still be elevated Wednesday afternoon so fire weather concerns
will remain high. Warm and windy conditions return by the end of the
week with still no precip in the forecast.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 249 AM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022

...LONG DURATION OF CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH MIDWEEK...

A significant, multi-day event of critical to extreme fire
weather conditions is expected through midweek. Extremely dry
fuels and record high ERC values (above the 97th percentile) have
created a volatile fire environment across the area. The potential
is increasing for a Southern Great Plains wildfire outbreak
Tuesday stretching from the Guadalupe Mountains and SE NM all the
way into KS. CIPS analog guidance is suggesting this weather
pattern similar to what our area saw in April of 2011 and 2018
which produced several large wildfires. If a fire starts over the
next several days, weather conditions will make it very hard to
control with little to no recovery expected during the nights.

Significant concerns arise this afternoon as strong winds combine
with single digit RH's and extremely dry fuels resulting in
extreme fire weather conditions (RFTI's near 8). The area of most
concern will be across the higher terrain and adjacent plains
where winds (30+ mph) will be strongest. Even though conditions
won't be as dire further east, critical fire weather is expected
areawide and a Red Flag Warning is in effect.

Critical fire weather is expected again Monday, although winds
will decrease slightly. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for the
most of the area once again. As mentioned above, Tuesday presents
a day of widespread critical to extreme fire weather conditions.
High winds (> 60 mph gusts) are expected for the
Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains and much of SE NM during the
afternoon. RH's will remain near or below 10 percent as well. It
is likely critical weather conditions will continue into the night
and last through Wednesday as a Pacific front brings even drier
air and continued strong winds. Even though temperatures will
cool behind the front Wednesday, RH's will bottom out around 4-5%
areawide. Unfortunately, we see no end in sight to this critical
fire weather pattern as it is likely to last into the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               59  89  58  91 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 55  87  55  84 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   60  95  60  93 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            60  90  56  91 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           53  78  52  76 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    54  85  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    43  82  44  82 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     59  89  56  89 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   59  88  58  89 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     57  90  53  89 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for
     Andrews-Borden-Central Brewster County-Chinati Mountains-
     Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains
     Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson County-Ector-Gaines-
     Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and
     Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving-Lower Brewster County-
     Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-Presidio Valley-
     Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Van Horn
     and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

     Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening
     for Andrews-Borden-Central Brewster County-Chinati
     Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis
     Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson County-Ector-
     Gaines-Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
     Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving-Lower
     Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-
     Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-
     Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

     Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening
     for Andrews-Borden-Crane-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains
     Foothills-Dawson-Eastern Culberson County-Ector-Gaines-
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains-Howard-Loving-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Pecos-
     Reeves County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-
     Winkler.

     High Wind Warning until 3 AM CDT /2 AM MDT/ Monday for Guadalupe
     Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

     High Wind Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains.

NM...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for Chaves Plains-
     Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe
     Mountains.

     Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening
     for Chaves Plains-Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento Foothills and
     Guadalupe Mountains.

     Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening
     for Chaves Plains-Eddy Plains-Lea-Sacramento Foothills and
     Guadalupe Mountains.

     High Wind Warning until 2 AM MDT Monday for Guadalupe Mountains
     of Eddy County.

     High Wind Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening for
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

&&

SHORT TERM...84
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...44

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1228 PM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-111730-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
1228 PM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022 /1128 AM MDT Sun Apr 10 2022/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico,
southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

A Red Flag Warning is in effect through this evening for all of
Southeast New Mexico and West Texas.

A High Wind Warning is in effect for the Guadalupe and Delaware
Mountains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A Fire Weather Watch is in effect from late Monday morning through
Monday evening for all of Southeast New Mexico and most of West
Texas.

A High Wind Watch is in effect Monday afternoon and evening for the
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

A Wind Advisory is in effect Monday afternoon and evening for the
Eddy County Plains, Van Horn and the Highway 54 Corridor, and eastern
Culberson County.

A Fire Weather Watch is in effect from Tuesday morning through
Tuesday evening for all of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico.

Critical to extreme fire weather conditions are possible Wednesday.

High winds are possible from late Monday night through late
Wednesday night in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. High winds
are also be possible Tuesday on the plains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

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