Alert archive / Missouri / Winter Storm Warnings in 2022

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS St. Louis, MO

February 16, 20225 counties in Illinois; 14 counties in Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this winter storm warning at Feb 16, 2022, 10:50 AM CST for 5 counties in Illinois; 14 counties in Missouri. It took effect at Feb 17, 2022, 12:00 AM CST. It was in force for 20 hr. 54 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 16, 2022, 10:50 AM CST (16:50 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 17, 2022, 12:00 AM CST
Expired
Feb 17, 2022, 7:30 PM CST
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO

Counties Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Greene County, IL, Pike County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Cole County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Shelby County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 17, 7:30 AM CSTSLEET 0.5Columbia, MOVIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 9:00 AM CSTSLEET 0.82 Wsw Mexico, MOTOTAL SO FAR.
Feb 17, 9:00 AM CSTSLEET 1Hallsville, MOSLEET HAS TURNED TO SNOW NOW. HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED ALL ROADWAYS ARE SLEET COVERED AS OF 8 AM.
Feb 17, 9:20 AM CSTSLEET 0.13 E Silex, MOFREEZING RAIN HAS TRANSITIONED TO SLEET.
Feb 17, 9:25 AM CSTSLEET 0.51 Ne Jefferson City, MOREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 9:40 AM CSTSLEET 0.5Ashland, MOSLEET HAS NOW CHANGED OVER TO SNOW.
Feb 17, 10:00 AM CSTSLEET 0.3Hawk Point, MO
Feb 17, 10:12 AM CSTSNOW 1.55 Se Columbia, MO1.5 INCHES OF SNOW AT KOMU STUDIOS. SNOW CONTINUES.
Feb 17, 10:13 AM CSTSLEET 0.5Troy, MOROADS BECOMING ICY AND ACCIDENTS REPORTED.
Feb 17, 10:27 AM CSTSNOW 21 Se Columbia, MO2 INCHES OF SLEET AND SNOW MEASURED IN COLUMBIA.
Feb 17, 10:32 AM CSTSNOW 1Middletown, MO1.0 SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATION IN MIDDLETOWN.
Feb 17, 10:39 AM CSTSNOW 17 Nnw Carrington, MO1.0 OF SNOW/SLEET IN MILLERSBURG.
Feb 17, 10:43 AM CSTSLEET 1Troy, MO1 INCH OF SLEET IN TROY, MO.
Feb 17, 11:00 AM CSTSNOW 2New Hartford, MO2 INCHES MEASURED IN NEW HARTFORD. MEASUREMENT DIFFICULT DUE TO STRONG WINDS.
Feb 17, 11:05 AM CSTSLEET 1Mineola, MO1 INCH OF MAINLY SLEET IN MINEOLA.
Feb 17, 11:12 AM CSTSNOW 2.5La Grange, MOBLOWING AND DRIFTING OCCURRING.
Feb 17, 11:21 AM CSTSNOW 4Palmyra, MOBLOWING AND DRIFTING MADE IT TOUGH TO MEASURE, BUT AN ESTIMATED 4-5 INCHES.
Feb 17, 11:24 AM CSTSNOW 3.52 E Quincy, ILVISIBILITY DOWN TO 1/4 OF A MILE.
Feb 17, 11:27 AM CSTSNOW 3Hallsville, MOABOUT 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND ONE INCH OF SLEET.
Feb 17, 11:28 AM CSTSNOW 21 Wnw Mexico, MOESTIMATE OF 2 INCHES OF SLEET AND SNOW IN MEXICO.
Feb 17, 11:30 AM CSTSNOW 52 Ese Hannibal, MODIFFICULT TO MEASURE BUT 5 INCHES ESTIMATED IN HANNIBAL AS OF 11:30AM.
Feb 17, 11:36 AM CSTSNOW 4.52 E Quincy, IL4.5 INCHES OF SLEET AND SNOW EAST OF QUINCY. BOTTOM 1/2 INCH IS MAINLY SLEET.
Feb 17, 11:43 AM CSTSLEET 0.53 W Nutwood, IL1/2 INCH OF SLEET ACCUMULATION. MANY ACCIDENTS REPORTED AND VEHICLES FAILING TO MAKE IT UP NEARBY HILLS.
Feb 17, 12:01 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6.55 Nnw Columbia, MOSNOWFALL SO FAR, STILL SNOWING.
Feb 17, 12:03 PM CSTSNOW 3Columbia, MO3 INCHES OF SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATION IN COLUMBIA.
Feb 17, 12:15 PM CSTSNOW 31 Wnw Mexico, MO3.0 INCHES OF SNOW/SLEET MEASURED IN MEXICO.
Feb 17, 12:30 PM CSTSNOW 32 S Columbia, MO2 INCHES OF SNOW AND ONE INCH OF SLEET SOUTH OF COLUMBIA.
Feb 17, 12:45 PM CSTSLEET 0.32 Nw Mokane, MO0.3 INCHES OF SLEET MEASURED NORTHWEST OF MOKANE.
Feb 17, 1:00 PM CSTSNOW 2.57 Nnw Carrington, MOTOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION AS OF 1PM.
Feb 17, 2:00 PM CSTSNOW 51 Nw Loraine, ILSNOWFALL SO FAR, STILL SNOWING.
Feb 17, 2:25 PM CSTSNOW 61 N Hannibal, MOSNOWFALL SO FAR, STILL SNOWING.
Feb 17, 2:30 PM CSTSNOW 3.52 Wnw Ashland, MO3.5 INCHES OF SLEET AND SNOW NORTHWEST OF ASHLAND.
Feb 17, 2:55 PM CSTSNOW 7.83 E Of Quincy, IL
Feb 17, 3:15 PM CSTSNOW 4.5Columbia, MOSNOWFALL THROUGH 3:15 P.M. VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 3:30 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6.32 Wsw Mexico, MOSNOWFALL SO FAR, STILL SNOWING.
Feb 17, 3:45 PM CSTSLEET 1.51 S Foley, MOSPOTTER REPORTED THAT SLEET FELL MUCH OF THE DAY AND IS NOW TURNING TO ALL SNOW. ACCUMULATION WAS ROUGH TO MEASURE WITH LOCATION AROUND THE RESIDENCE BEING IN THE 1-2 INCH RANGE.
Feb 17, 4:31 PM CSTSNOW 4.8Columbia, MOSNOWFALL TOTAL. REPORT IS AN UPDATE TO A PREVIOUS REPORT OF 4.5 INCHES SENT IN AT 3:15 P.M.
Feb 17, 4:38 PM CSTSNOW 2.58 Nw Carrington, MOSNOWFALL TOTAL FROM MILLERSBURG, MO. SNOW IS BEGINNING TO TAPER OFF AT THE OBSERVERS LOCATION.
Feb 17, 5:00 PM CSTSNOW 1.5Jefferson City, MOMIXTURE OF SNOW AND SLEET. REPORT SUBMITTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 5:05 PM CSTSLEET 5.54 Nnw Mokane, MOMIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW.
Feb 17, 5:10 PM CSTSNOW 2.9Whiteside, MOSLEET/SNOW TOTAL. SUBMITTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 5:20 PM CSTSNOW 6Bowling Green, MOWIND HAS MADE IT DIFFICULT TO MEASURE. AVERAGE IS AROUND 6 INCHES. REPORT COURTESY OF KTVI-TV.
Feb 17, 5:30 PM CSTSNOW 10.5Hannibal, MOSNOWFALL TOTAL. OBSERVER REPORTED THAT HIGHWAY 61 NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE HANNIBAL AREA WAS CLOSED DUE TO ADVERSE CONDITIONS AND RESULTING ACCIDENTS.
Feb 17, 5:31 PM CSTSNOW 52 Se Columbia, MOSLEET/SNOW TOTAL. REPORT SUBMITTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 5:38 PM CSTSNOW 3.1Holts Summit, MOTOTAL INCLUDES 3/4 INCH OF SLEET AND 2.3 INCHES OF SNOW. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 5:45 PM CSTSNOW 8Camp Point, ILREPORT SUBMITTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 5:45 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 8.7Shelbina, MOVIA FACEBOOK WITH PHOTO.
Feb 17, 5:56 PM CSTSNOW 3.84 Sw Middletown, MOREPORT SUBMITTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 6:13 PM CSTSNOW 8Stoutsville, MOSNOWFALL TOTAL REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 6:28 PM CSTSNOW 6.55 N Columbia, MOSPOTTER MEASURED 0.5 INCH OF SLEET BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW. SNOWFALL AMOUNTED TO 6 INCHES. STORM TOTAL 6.5 INCHES.
Feb 17, 6:43 PM CSTSNOW 81 N Hannibal, MOOBSERVATION AND PHOTOS SENT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 6:50 PM CSTSNOW 6.5Maywood, MOPUBLIC REPORT SUBMITTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 6:52 PM CSTSNOW 7Centralia, MOREPORT SUBMITTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Feb 17, 7:00 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6.5Maywood, MOVIA FACEBOOK WITH PHOTO.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 263 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2022-02-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2022-02-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 626 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1401 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
626 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
753 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

627 
WWUS43 KLSX 161650
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1050 AM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034-035-171100-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0003.220217T0600Z-220218T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0003.220217T0600Z-220218T0300Z/
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-
Monroe MO-Ralls MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Mount Sterling, Quincy, and
Pittsfield
1050 AM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM CST 
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow 
  accumulations between 5 and 7 inches, sleet accumulations around 
  one third of an inch, and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an 
  inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of west central Illinois. Portions of northeast 
  Missouri.

* WHEN...From Midnight tonight to 9 PM CST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

&&

$$

MOZ036-041-042-171100-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0003.220217T0900Z-220218T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0003.220217T0900Z-220218T0300Z/
Pike MO-Boone MO-Audrain MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Bowling Green, and Mexico
1050 AM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow 
  accumulations between 3 and 5 inches, sleet accumulations around 
  one half of an inch, and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an 
  inch. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Audrain MO, Boone MO and Pike MO Counties.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 PM CST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday 
  morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions can 
be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

&&

$$

MRB
5 follow-up statements
727 
WWUS43 KLSX 161938
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
138 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

ILZ058-098-MOZ047-048-050>052-171345-
/O.EXA.KLSX.WS.W.0003.220217T0900Z-220218T0300Z/
Greene IL-Calhoun IL-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery
MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Jefferson City and Fulton
138 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow 
  accumulations between 3 and 5 inches, sleet accumulations around 
  three quarters of an inch, and ice accumulations between one tenth 
  and two tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest Illinois. Portions of central and 
  east central Missouri.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 PM CST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday 
  morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

It only takes a small amount of sleet to make roads, bridges, 
sidewalks and parking lots icy and dangerous. Plan for a slow trip 
and use caution when approaching turns, bridges and overpasses. 
Remain alert for rapid changes in road conditions.

&&

$$

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034-035-171345-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.220217T0600Z-220218T0300Z/
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-
Monroe MO-Ralls MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Mount Sterling, Quincy, and
Pittsfield
138 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 
PM CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow 
  accumulations between 6 and 9 inches, sleet accumulations around 
  one third of an inch, and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an 
  inch. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of west central Illinois. Portions of northeast 
  Missouri.

* WHEN...From Midnight tonight to 9 PM CST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

&&

$$

MOZ036-041-042-171345-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.220217T0900Z-220218T0300Z/
Pike MO-Boone MO-Audrain MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Bowling Green, and Mexico
138 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM CST 
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow 
  accumulations between 4 and 7 inches, sleet accumulations around 
  one half of an inch, and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an 
  inch. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Audrain MO, Boone MO and Pike MO Counties.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 PM CST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning and 
  evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions can 
be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

It only takes a small amount of sleet to make roads, bridges, 
sidewalks and parking lots icy and dangerous. Plan for a slow trip 
and use caution when approaching turns, bridges and overpasses. 
Remain alert for rapid changes in road conditions.

&&

$$

ILZ059-060-064-065-099>102-MOZ049-059>065-072-073-171345-
/O.NEW.KLSX.WW.Y.0005.220217T1500Z-220218T0300Z/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-
Saint Clair-Monroe IL-Osage MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint
Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles, Cahokia, Litchfield,
Alton, Washington, Saint Louis, Union, Belleville, Edwardsville,
Sullivan, and Vandalia
138 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST 
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations up 
  to 3 inches, sleet accumulations around one half of an inch, and 
  ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of central and east central Missouri.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

&&

$$

MRB
619 
WWUS43 KLSX 170909
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
309 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

ILZ058-098-MOZ036-041-042-047-048-050>052-180015-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Greene IL-Calhoun IL-Pike MO-Boone MO-Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole
MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Bowling Green, Fulton,
Jefferson City, and Mexico
309 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation.  Total snow accumulations 
  between 3 and 8 inches, sleet accumulations around three quarters 
  of an inch, and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. 
  Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest Illinois. Portions of central, east 
  central, and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning and 
  evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

It only takes a small amount of sleet to make roads, bridges, 
sidewalks and parking lots icy and dangerous. Plan for a slow trip 
and use caution when approaching turns, bridges and overpasses. 
Remain alert for rapid changes in road conditions.

&&

$$

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034-035-180015-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-
Monroe MO-Ralls MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Mount Sterling, Quincy, and
Pittsfield
309 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation.  Total snow accumulations 
  between 6 and 9 inches, sleet accumulations around one third of an 
  inch, and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Winds 
  gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of west central Illinois. Portions of northeast 
  Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

&&

$$

ILZ069-070-074-079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-180015-
/O.EXB.KLSX.WW.Y.0005.220217T1800Z-220218T0300Z/
Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Saint Francois MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Centralia, Farmington, Salem, Chester,
and Sparta
309 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CST 
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations up 
  to one inch and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of southeast Missouri.

* WHEN...From Noon today to 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

ILZ059-060-064-065-099>102-MOZ049-059>065-072-073-180015-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0005.220217T1500Z-220218T0300Z/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-
Saint Clair-Monroe IL-Osage MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint
Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles, Cahokia, Litchfield,
Alton, Washington, Saint Louis, Union, Belleville, Edwardsville,
Sullivan, and Vandalia
309 AM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING 
TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations up 
  to 3 inches, sleet accumulations around one quarter of an inch, 
  and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as 
  high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of central and east central Missouri.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

&&

$$

Britt
000 
WWUS43 KLSX 172042
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
242 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

ILZ058-098-MOZ036-041-042-047-048-050>052-180300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Greene IL-Calhoun IL-Pike MO-Boone MO-Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole
MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Bowling Green, Fulton,
Jefferson City, and Mexico
242 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and sleet. Additional snow accumulations between 
  1 and 3 inches and sleet accumulations up to one tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest Illinois. Portions of central, east 
  central, and northeast Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the 
latest road conditions can be obtained at 
www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

It only takes a small amount of sleet to make roads, bridges, 
sidewalks and parking lots icy and dangerous. Plan for a slow trip 
and use caution when approaching turns, bridges and overpasses. 
Remain alert for rapid changes in road conditions.

&&

$$

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034-035-180300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-
Monroe MO-Ralls MO-
Including the cities of Hannibal, Mount Sterling, Quincy, and
Pittsfield
242 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of west central Illinois. Portions of northeast 
  Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the 
latest road conditions can be obtained at 
www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

&&

$$

ILZ059-060-064-065-099>102-MOZ049-059>065-072-073-180300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-
Saint Clair-Monroe IL-Osage MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint
Charles MO-Franklin MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-Washington MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles, Cahokia, Litchfield,
Alton, Washington, Saint Louis, Union, Belleville, Edwardsville,
Sullivan, and Vandalia
242 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations up to 
  two inches, sleet accumulations up to one tenth of an inch, and 
  ice accumulations around a light glaze.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of central and east central Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

&&

$$

ILZ069-070-074-079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-180300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Saint Francois MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Centralia, Farmington, Salem, Chester,
and Sparta
242 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations up to 
  one inch, sleet accumulations up to one tenth of an inch, and ice 
  accumulations around a light glaze.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of southeast Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

MRB
343 
WWUS43 KLSX 172351
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
551 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

ILZ095-MOZ018-019-026-027-034-035-041-042-047-048-050-180100-
/O.CAN.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Adams IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-
Boone MO-Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Callaway MO-
Including the cities of Columbia, Quincy, Mexico, Jefferson City,
Hannibal, and Fulton
551 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Accumulating wintry precipitation has ended in these areas, 
prompting the cancellation of the Winter Storm Warning.

$$

MOZ049-059-062-065-072>075-084-085-099-180100-
/O.CAN.KLSX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Osage MO-Gasconade MO-Franklin MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
Including the cities of Union, Sullivan, Washington, and
Farmington
551 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Accumulating wintry precipitation has ended in these areas, 
prompting the cancellation of the Winter Weather Advisory.

$$

ILZ058-098-MOZ036-051-052-180300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Greene IL-Calhoun IL-Pike MO-Montgomery MO-Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Bowling Green
551 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Additional snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...In Missouri, Lincoln MO, Montgomery MO and Pike MO 
  Counties. In Illinois, Calhoun IL and Greene IL Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. In Illinois, the 
latest road conditions can be obtained at 
www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In Missouri, the latest road 
conditions can be obtained at traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 
1-888-275-6636.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

It only takes a small amount of sleet to make roads, bridges, 
sidewalks and parking lots icy and dangerous. Plan for a slow trip 
and use caution when approaching turns, bridges and overpasses. 
Remain alert for rapid changes in road conditions.

&&

$$

ILZ096-097-180300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Brown IL-Pike IL-
Including the cities of Mount Sterling and Pittsfield
551 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Additional snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...Brown IL and Pike IL Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The rapid accumulation of snow will make travel extremely difficult, 
if not impossible. If travel is necessary, be sure to exercise 
extreme caution. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food 
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road 
conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Travel will become dangerous once the freezing rain begins. Travel 
is strongly discouraged unless it is an emergency. Avoid any downed 
power lines and be ready in case of a loss of power. Untreated roads 
and bridges, sidewalks, and parking lots will be treacherous.

&&

$$

ILZ059-060-064-065-099>102-MOZ060-061-063-064-180300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-
Saint Clair-Monroe IL-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis MO-
Saint Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Saint Charles, Cahokia, Litchfield,
Alton, Saint Louis, Belleville, Edwardsville, and Vandalia
551 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Additional snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Illinois. Portions 
  of east central Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday 
  evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Illinois, the latest 
road conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. In 
Missouri, the latest road conditions can be obtained at 
traveler.modot.org/map or by calling 1-888-275-6636.

&&

$$

ILZ069-070-074-079-180300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Clinton IL-Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-
Including the cities of Centralia, Salem, Chester, and Sparta
551 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations up to 
  one inch and ice accumulations around a light glaze.

* WHERE...Clinton IL, Marion IL, Washington IL and Randolph IL 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road 
conditions can be obtained at www.gettingaroundillinois.com.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

19
763 
WWUS43 KLSX 180130
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service St Louis MO
730 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

ILZ058-096>098-MOZ036-051-052-180230-
/O.CAN.KLSX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Greene IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-Calhoun IL-Pike MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-
Including the cities of Mount Sterling, Bowling Green, and
Pittsfield
730 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Accumulating snow has ended in these areas, prompting the 
cancellation of the Winter Storm Warning. However, bitter cold 
overnight temperatures will likely result in re-freezing on many 
untreated road surfaces, leading to slippery conditions through 
Friday morning.

$$

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-099>102-MOZ060-061-063-064-180230-
/O.CAN.KLSX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-220218T0300Z/
Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-Marion IL-
Washington IL-Randolph IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair-Monroe
IL-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-
Including the cities of Cahokia, Saint Charles, Sparta,
Litchfield, Alton, Saint Louis, Centralia, Belleville, Salem,
Edwardsville, Chester, and Vandalia
730 PM CST Thu Feb 17 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Accumulating wintry precipitation has ended in these areas, 
prompting the cancellation of the Winter Weather Advisory. However, 
bitter cold overnight temperatures will likely result in re-freezing 
on many untreated road surfaces, leading to slippery conditions 
through Friday morning.

$$

19

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 16, 5:49 AM CST, 5 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 5:49 AM CST, 5 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
549 AM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 424 AM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

...A strong storm system will bring the potential for flooding,
severe weather, and a mix of winter weather impacts through
tomorrow...

Here are updated key messages regarding this upcoming significant
storm system to impact the region late Wednesday through Thursday:

1.) While models have come into better agreement with the track of
the system, though the remains some disagreement in the exact
amounts of wintry precipitation (snow, sleet, and icing amounts).

2.) Training of heavy rainfall and thunderstorms is likely across
portions of the area this evening through Thursday, generally
centric to I-44 in MO and I-70 in IL. These conditions could lead to
nuisance areal flooding and minor river flooding. Therefore, a Flood
Watch remains in effect for these areas.

3.) Significant wintry precip in the form of heavy snow, sleet, and
freezing rain: is most likely to occur across northeast Missouri and
west central Illinois late Wednesday night through Thursday
evening. The Winter Storm Watch has been been expanded to include
parts of central Missouri where a total amount of snow, sleet, and
freezing rain may cause significant impacts.

4.)  Severe thunderstorms are possible, particularly over parts of
southeast Missouri into southwest Illinois, on Thursday morning into
early Thursday afternoon.

The latest water vapor analysis is showing that the upper low has
dropped into the southwest CONUS and the northern stream trough as
moved into the northern High Plains.  There continues to be overall
agreement in tonight's guidance that the southwestern trough will
move through the Midwest just ahead of the northern stream trough on
Thursday.  Ahead of this trough, rain will develop across the
northern part of the CWA late this morning and then spread south as
mid level ascent and low level moisture transport increases ahead of
the trough.  Then rain will become widespread across the area this
evening as there will be strong mid level frontogenesis, a
coupled jet structure, and PWATS climbing about 1.0". In addition,
there will be a chance of thunderstorms over much of the southern
half of the area as MUCAPES will be up to 500 J/kg.

A cold front will enter the northern CWA this evening and move
slowly south. The front will be slowed as a surface low moves along
it, most likely across the southern CWA on Thursday in response to
the upper trough moving across the area.  This will bring a round of
sleet and freezing rain north of the front before the changeover
to snow. In addition, there is good agreement that a deformation
zone will move across northeast Missouri and west central Illinois
on Thursday associated with the upper low that will be capable of
producing a round of heavy snow. There is still a wide range the
snowfall values in the ensemble guidance over the northwest CWA
owing to slight difference in the tracks of the deformation zone
and QPF amounts which is leading to uncertainty this close to the
forecast time.

There remains the potential for a few severe storms Thursday morning
and afternoon along the low track over southeast Missouri into
southwest Illinois.  While MUCAPES will only be around 500 J/kg, low
and mid layer shear will be more that sufficient for a few organized
severe storms capable of producing damaging winds and a tornado
or two and possibly some large hail.

Britt

.LONG TERM...  (Thursday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 424 AM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

The trough will quickly exit the area on Thursday night leaving dry
weather through the weekend.  Cold air advection and snow cover will
bring a cold night on Thursday night, but then expect moderation
over the weekend into early next week as a surface high passes
through the area causing low level flow to turn out of the
southwest. Another system will affect the area by early next week,
but it looks to be mainly rain at this point.

Britt

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Thursday Morning)
Issued at 530 AM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

Low level wind shear is expected at KUIN/KCOU/KJEF through mid
morning. Dry and VFR weather is expected through early afternoon
when scattered showers begin to develop at KUIN/KCOU/KJEF along
with high MVFR ceilings. Then rain is expected to develop this
evening, and will be moderate to heavy at times, with ceilings
falling below 2000FT AGL by late this evening and becoming IFR by
late tonight. Visibilities will be MVFR and possibly IFR at times.
Winds will remain out of the south at 10-20 knots with gusts to
20-30 knots. Winds will decrease late tonight.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:

Expect mainly dry and VFR conditions through 00Z before steady
rain develops this evening and becomes moderate to heavy at times.
Ceilings will drop below 2000FT AGL by late this evening and
becoming IFR by late tonight. Visibilities will be MVFR and
possibly IFR at times tonight into Thursday morning. Winds will
remain out of the south at 10-15 knots through late tonight with
gusts to 20-30 knots. Winds will decrease late tonight.

Britt

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flood Watch from this evening through Thursday afternoon for
     Callaway MO-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
     Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Lincoln MO-Madison MO-Montgomery MO-
     Osage MO-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-Saint Francois MO-
     Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-
     Warren MO-Washington MO.

     Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Thursday afternoon
     for Audrain MO-Boone MO-Pike MO.

     Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Thursday afternoon
     for Knox MO-Lewis MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Shelby MO.

IL...Flood Watch from this evening through Thursday afternoon for
     Bond IL-Calhoun IL-Clinton IL-Fayette IL-Greene IL-Jersey
     IL-Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe IL-Montgomery IL-
     Randolph IL-Saint Clair-Washington IL.

     Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Thursday afternoon
     for Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 16, 4:43 AM CST, 6 hours 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
443 AM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-171045-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
443 AM CST Wed Feb 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Heavy rainfall tonight could cause localized flooding over parts of
the region. A Flood Watch is in effect for parts of central, east
central, and southeast Missouri as well as southwest and south
central Illinois.

A wintry mix of sleet, freezing rain, and snow is expected after
midnight over parts of central and northeast Missouri as well as west
central Illinois where a Winter Storm Watch remains in effect.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

A wintry mix and accumulating snowfall is likely into Thursday,
especially across central and northeast Missouri as well as west
central Illinois.

Heavy rainfall and localized flooding remains possible over parts of
region into Thursday.

A few severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday, mainly over
southeast Missouri into southwest Illinois.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report heavy rainfall, flooding,
and wintry precipitation to the National Weather Service.

Britt

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 16, 11:09 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXFayette5 days
Feb 16, 1:38 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSXBond, Clinton, Fayette, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison and 6 more30 hr
Feb 16, 9:46 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXReynolds72 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Missouri, 2022Winter Storm Warnings in Illinois, 2022Every winter storm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.