River Flood Warning 20, NWS St. Louis, MO

903 
WGUS83 KLSX 311505
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1005 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Meramec River near Sullivan.

  Big River at Byrnesville.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC055-221-020315-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0020.220331T1505Z-220403T2010Z/
/SLLM7.1.ER.220331T0824Z.220401T0600Z.220402T1410Z.NO/
1005 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO SUNDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Meramec River near Sullivan.

* WHEN...From this morning to Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 15.6 feet, The basic loop of the Onondaga Cave State 
  Park campground begins flooding near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 AM CDT Thursday was 13.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.5
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage late Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.


&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Meramec River
Sullivan     11.0  13.1  Thu 9 am  14.3  10.3  7.7   6.5   5.9


&&

LAT...LON 3800 9120 3806 9125 3829 9109 3840 9090
      3837 9082


$$

MOC099-020315-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-220403T1324Z/
/BYRM7.1.ER.220331T1656Z.220401T1200Z.220402T1324Z.UU/
1005 AM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Big River at Byrnesville.

* WHEN...Until Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, South Byrnesville Road goes under water 
  near this level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 15.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this morning to a crest of 19.6 feet tomorrow morning.
    It will then fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.


&&

           Fld   Observed        Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Big River
Byrnesvill 16.0  15.1  Thu 8 am  19.6  13.4  8.1   6.7   6.1


&&

LAT...LON 3834 9060 3833 9068 3846 9063 3849 9057


$$

Byrd

342 
WGUS83 KLSX 010202
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
902 PM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Meramec River near Sullivan.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Meramec River near Steelville.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 48 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC055-221-021415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-220403T2145Z/
/SLLM7.1.ER.220331T0824Z.220401T0030Z.220402T1545Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Meramec River near Sullivan.

* WHEN...Until Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, At this height the entire Arapaho 
  campground will be under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 16.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM CDT Thursday was 16.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late Saturday morning and continue falling to 5.5 feet
    Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.


&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Meramec River
Sullivan     11.0  16.5  Thu 8 pm  13.3  9.8   7.5   6.5   5.9


&&

LAT...LON 3800 9120 3806 9125 3829 9109 3840 9090
      3837 9082


$$

MOC055-021200-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.220401T0600Z-220402T1200Z/
/SEEM7.1.ER.220401T0600Z.220401T0600Z.220401T0600Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Meramec River near Steelville.

* WHEN...From late tonight to Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Agricultural and recreational areas along 
  the right bank flood.  At Adventure Outdoors west of Steelville, 
  the store begins to flood near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 11.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.0
    feet just after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.


&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Meramec River
Steelville   12.0  11.4  Thu 8 pm  10.4  7.0   4.8   3.9   3.5


&&

LAT...LON 3793 9152 3800 9152 3806 9125 3801 9121


$$

Pfahler

110 
WGUS83 KLSX 011522
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1022 AM CDT Fri Apr 1 2022

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Meramec River near Sullivan.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC055-221-030330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-220403T1520Z/
/SLLM7.1.ER.220331T0824Z.220401T0030Z.220402T0920Z.NO/
1022 AM CDT Fri Apr 1 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Meramec River near Sullivan.

* WHEN...Until late Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, The main entrance gate at Onondaga Cave 
  State Park begins flooding near this height.  This may force the 
  park to use the rear entrance as the primary entrance to the park.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 13.5 feet and falling.
  - Recent Activity...The river began rising Wednesday evening
    and rose above flood stage early Thursday morning. It crested
    near 16.5 feet at 8:30 PM on Thursday.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling to below 9 feet Saturday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.


&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Meramec River
Sullivan     11.0  13.5  Fri 9 am  9.8   7.5   6.7   6.0   5.6


&&

LAT...LON 3800 9120 3806 9125 3829 9109 3840 9090
      3837 9082


$$

Kimble

726 
WGUS83 KLSX 012348
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
648 PM CDT Fri Apr 1 2022

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Meramec River near Sullivan.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

MOC055-221-020100-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-220401T2348Z/
/SLLM7.1.ER.220331T0824Z.220401T0030Z.220401T2248Z.NO/
648 PM CDT Fri Apr 1 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Meramec River near Sullivan.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 10.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.3 feet early
    Thursday afternoon.


&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Meramec River
Sullivan     11.0  10.6  Fri 6 pm  8.2   7.3   6.5   5.9   5.5


&&

LAT...LON 3800 9120 3806 9125 3829 9109 3840 9090
      3837 9082


$$

Pfahler

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
644 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Thursday Night)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

Large area of stratiform rain behind the initial convective line
continues to progress slowly east this afternoon. Meanwhile, the
cold front has made progress eastward as well, having made it
through Columbia and Quincy as of 2PM. Some areas of showers
continue behind the front, but a general drying trend is expected
with winds shifting to the WNW and temperatures dropping into the
40s and eventually the 30s overnight. Clouds continue overnight with
additional showers possible mainly in the evening.

Thursday will be a cold, raw day with a brisk west wind making it
feel even colder. Another shortwave trough wraps around the back
of the departing trough, leading to a renewed chance for showers
during the day, aided in part by diurnal heating beneath the cold
upper low. Temperatures aloft will be cold, below freezing at all
levels except the surface. As a result, this shower activity could
come in the form of some snow flakes especially in northern
areas. However, with temperatures at ground level remaining above
freezing and precipitation remaining light, we do not expect any
accumulation to occur. Temperatures struggle to warm into the 40s
for highs. We drop below freezing area wide Thursday night as
surface high pressure builds in. Any showers should dissipate in
the evening as we lose daytime heating and the trough shifts to
the east.

Kimble

.LONG TERM...  (Friday through Next Wednesday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

Brief ridging moves through aloft on Friday while surface high
pressure shifts to the east. The result will be a warm up into the
50s, although that's still below normal for this time of year.
There should also be a good amount of sunshine to aid in this warm
up.

The next upper trough comes out of the northern Rockies and
crosses the mid Mississippi Valley on Saturday. This will bring
our next chance of rain, although amounts are not expected to be
heavy as there is not a good moisture connection to the Gulf.
Ridging builds in the southern jet stream on Sunday, likely
bringing our warmest day of the forecast. Highs reach the 60s area
wide, with upper 60s in the south and west part of the forecast
area.

The next weather maker will be a trough moving through the
southern stream early next week. There's still a good deal of
spread in model guidance on how this will evolve, but the general
consensus is to keep the wave to our south, with the best chance
of rain coming Monday night into Tuesday. With the wave passing to
our south, thunderstorm chances should be limited. Behind this
trough, a stronger northern stream trough drops south through the
northern plains on Wednesday and settles into the central US by
the middle of the week, bringing a renewed shot of colder air.

Kimble

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 633 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

A cold front is moving through Missouri and Illinois this evening.
This front and the upper level system associated with it will
keep a broad area of low MVFR and IFR ceilings over the area
through Thursday. Additionally, a broad area of light to moderate
rain is moving east from the Mississippi River across Illinois
this evening. While this area of rain will be exiting the region,
more showers are overspreading central and northeast Missouri, and
this second wave of showers will continue into the evening.
Showers should diminish overnight and ceilings are expected to
rise to MVFR across the majority of the area by Thursday morning.
Another round of showers, possibly mixed with snow at times is
expected on Thursday with MVFR flight conditions continuing
through most if not all day.

Carney

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Saint Louis     37  42  32  56 /  70  60  20   0
Quincy          34  40  29  52 /  60  50  20   0
Columbia        33  40  29  58 /  50  50   5   0
Jefferson City  35  41  29  59 /  60  50   5   0
Salem           38  43  32  52 / 100  50  20   0
Farmington      36  44  29  58 /  60  40  10   0

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
739 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-311200-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
739 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a chance for thunderstorms across parts of the area on
Monday and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

Carney

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
256 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1043 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE SCOTT AFB          38.54N 89.84W
03/30/2022  M40 MPH          ST. CLAIR          IL   AWOS

            SCOTT AIR FORCE BASE.

&&

MAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
257 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0252 PM     HEAVY RAIN       WATERLOO                38.33N 90.16W
03/30/2022  M1.90 INCH       MONROE             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JPG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
535 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE HEMATITE           38.22N 90.46W
03/30/2022  M2.00 INCH       JEFFERSON          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR. MODERATE RAIN STILL
            FALLING.

&&

PFAHLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
541 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ENE EDWARDSVILLE      38.80N 89.94W
03/30/2022  M1.86 INCH       MADISON            IL   COCORAHS

            RAIN THROUGHOUT DAY, HEAVY AT TIMES. GAUGE
            MEASURES 1.86 TOTAL TO THIS POINT SINCE
            EARLIER TODAY.

&&

PFAHLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
647 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 N FREEBURG            38.48N 89.90W
03/30/2022  M2.60 INCH       ST. CLAIR          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR. MODERATE RAIN STILL
            FALLING.

&&

PFAHLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
712 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE GRANITE CITY       38.73N 90.11W
03/30/2022  M2.52 INCH       MADISON            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL.

&&

PFAHLER