Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2022

Tornado Warning 30, NWS New Orleans, LA

October 29, 2022Jackson County, Mississippi

NWS New Orleans, LA issued this tornado warning at Oct 29, 2022, 4:41 PM CDT for Jackson County, Mississippi. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 29, 2022, 4:41 PM CDT (21:41 UTC)
Expired: Oct 29, 2022, 5:30 PM CDT
In force: 49 min
Issued by: NWS New Orleans, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 0.0 in

County Jackson County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 29, 12:26 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 27 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -92 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 756 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 218 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 239 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

800 
WFUS54 KLIX 292141
TORLIX
MSC059-292230-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0030.221029T2141Z-221029T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
441 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

The National Weather Service in New Orleans has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southeastern Jackson County in southern Mississippi...

* Until 530 PM CDT.
    
* At 441 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 7 miles north of Petit Bois Island, or 7 miles south of
  Moss Point, moving north at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Gautier around 500 PM CDT.
  Moss Point around 505 PM CDT.
  Helena and Hickory Hills around 510 PM CDT.
  Escatawpa around 515 PM CDT.
  Vancleave around 530 PM CDT.

This includes Interstate 10 in Mississippi between mile markers 64
and 76.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3033 8840 3033 8844 3029 8848 3033 8859
      3055 8867 3056 8841 3046 8840 3039 8840
      3038 8841 3035 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 174DEG 23KT 3031 8850 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

CAB

2 follow-up statements

779 
WWUS54 KLIX 292151
SVSLIX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
451 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

MSC059-292230-
/O.CON.KLIX.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-221029T2230Z/
Jackson MS-
451 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY...
    
At 450 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Petit Bois Island, or 13 miles south of Moss Point,
moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Moss Point around 520 PM CDT.
  Helena around 525 PM CDT.
  Escatawpa around 530 PM CDT.

This includes Interstate 10 in Mississippi between mile markers 64
and 76.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3033 8840 3033 8844 3029 8848 3033 8859
      3055 8867 3056 8841 3046 8840 3039 8840
      3038 8841 3035 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 175DEG 27KT 3024 8847 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

CAB

799 
WWUS54 KLIX 292221
SVSLIX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
521 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

MSC059-292231-
/O.EXP.KLIX.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-221029T2230Z/
Jackson MS-
521 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
530 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for southern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3033 8840 3033 8844 3029 8848 3033 8859
      3055 8867 3056 8841 3046 8840 3039 8840
      3038 8841 3035 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 174DEG 23KT 3043 8849 

$$

CAB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Oct 29, 4:10 PM CDT, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 29, 4:10 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
410 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 329 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

The current convection associated with a surface low over NW LA
should exit the area by tonight. The current tornado watch is
expected to expire by 7pm tonight as the convection exits the
area. The main area of concern as of recently is a broken band of
supercells in Jackson County, as we have one confirmed tornado
from this. This area has slightly higher wind shear, so these will
continue to be closely monitored until they exit the radar
tonight. Tomorrow, we return to zonal flow behind the front
tomorrow, and conditions will be dry and mild as surface high
pressure builds in. We look to stay dry on Monday as PW looks to
stay less than an inch and we remain in zonal flow aloft. Lows
were slightly adjusted downward for the drainage areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Friday night)
Issued at 329 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

Things stay pretty quiet Monday night with another night of near
seasonal temperatures dropping into the low to mid 50s across
northern areas and the mid 50s to lower 60s across southern
areas. Next upper disturbance will move eastward through the Lower
Mississippi Valley Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. Looks
like there should be enough moisture to fire off some scattered
showers, but overall accumulation won't be much.

That system doesn't really push a front through and in its wake,
high pressure builds in once again with dry weather expected for
the second half of the week. Expect temperatures to warm to
around 5-10 degrees above normal by Thursday and will stay there
through the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1249 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

The showers and thunderstorms across the area are currently
affecting all terminals except BTR and HUM. Overall, the convection
is progressing eastward, so the timing for each terminal should be
reflected. When the convection passes by each terminal, expect gusty
winds and lower visibilities into at least the MVFR range. The
convection should pass through all of the terminals by 10pm tonight.
Expect improved conditions with the exception of MVFR ceilings in
the early morning at BTR and MCB. This should clear up by mid-
afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 329 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

Current hazardous conditions over the coastal waters should ease
as high pressure builds into the area later this evening, so the
advisory will not be extended. However, winds of 15 to 20 knots
are expected over the open Gulf waters through at least the first
part of tonight and an exercise caution headline has been issued.
Should remain quiet Sunday and Monday as transient high pressure
moves through the area, but may need headlines again around
Tuesday or Wednesday as the next system affects the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  54  72  53  75 /  10   0   0   0
BTR  55  75  56  78 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  55  75  51  78 /  30   0   0   0
MSY  58  75  58  76 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  60  74  56  77 /  80   0   0   0
PQL  60  74  52  76 / 100  10   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ550-552-
     555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ552-555-
     557-570-572-575-577.

&&

SHORT TERM...JZ
LONG TERM....DM
AVIATION...JZ
MARINE...DM

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 29, 12:31 PM CDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1231 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

MSZ077-080-081-291815-
Harrison MS-Hancock MS-Pearl River MS-
1231 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Harrison, northeastern Hancock and southeastern Pearl River Counties
through 115 PM CDT...

At 1231 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
capable of producing funnel clouds near Diamondhead, moving north at
25 mph.

HAZARD...Funnel clouds and winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...If a funnel cloud briefly touches down, minor damage to
         outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds could knock down
         tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern
Harrison, northeastern Hancock and southeastern Pearl River Counties.

This includes Interstate 10 in Mississippi between mile markers 20
and 26.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for southern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3065 8934 3065 8925 3068 8924 3068 8920
      3039 8922 3039 8933 3069 8945 3070 8934
TIME...MOT...LOC 1731Z 173DEG 19KT 3043 8929

FUNNEL CLOUDS...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MEFFER

Local storm report, Oct 29, 2:19 PM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
219 PM CDT SAT OCT 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1232 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NE DIAMONDHEAD        30.47N 89.30W
10/29/2022                   HARRISON           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AWNING BLOWN OFF OF NECOS MARKET. ALSO, A
            FEW POWER POLES DOWNED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

DM

Local storm report, Oct 29, 3:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
338 PM CDT SAT OCT 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     TORNADO          MOSS POINT              30.43N 88.54W
10/29/2022                   JACKSON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM WATCHED TORNADO TOUCH DOWN IN MARSHY AREA
            NORTH OF DOWNTOWN MOSS POINT EAST OF HWY
            513. ALSO RECEIVED PUBLIC REPORT OF VEHICLE
            AND BUILDING DAMAGE NEAR I-10.

&&

DM

Local storm report, Oct 29, 4:13 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
413 PM CDT SAT OCT 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TORNADO          1 S GAUTIER             30.37N 88.64W
10/29/2022                   JACKSON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE REPORTED TO THE ROOF OF SCHOOL. TREES
            ALSO BROKEN AND TWISTED.

&&

PG

Local storm report, Oct 29, 4:22 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
422 PM CDT SAT OCT 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     TORNADO          5 NNE VANCLEAVE         30.61N 88.65W
10/29/2022                   JACKSON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HOME REPORTED DAMAGED.

&&

PG

Special weather statement, Oct 29, 4:40 PM CDT, 1 minute before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
440 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

MSZ081-292215-
Harrison MS-
440 PM CDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central
Harrison County through 515 PM CDT...

At 440 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
capable of producing funnel clouds near Saucier, or 12 miles
northwest of Gulfport, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Funnel clouds and winds in excess of 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...If a funnel cloud briefly touches down, minor damage to
         outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds could knock down
         tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Saucier.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Conditions are favorable for the development of weak, brief funnel
clouds. This type of funnel cloud is harmless, but on rare occasions
they can briefly touch down, producing wind gusts over 50 mph. If a
funnel cloud is spotted move indoors or to safe harbor and report
your sighting to the National Weather Service.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for southern
Mississippi.

&&

LAT...LON 3055 8917 3056 8923 3068 8923 3067 8899
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 205DEG 21KT 3058 8920

FUNNEL CLOUDS...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

CAB

The office that day

Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 29, 12:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LIX	Hancock	44 min
Oct 29, 2:19 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LIX	Hancock	2 hr
Oct 29, 2:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Jackson	38 min
Oct 29, 2:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LIX	Jackson	47 min
Oct 29, 3:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	LIX	Jackson	28 min
Oct 29, 3:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LIX	Jackson	50 min
Oct 29, 4:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	LIX	Jackson	12 min
Oct 29, 4:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LIX	Stone	35 min
Oct 29, 5:24 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LIX	Jackson	36 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2022 Every tornado warning in 2022 Tornadoes in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.