Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Lake Charles, LA

949 
WGUS74 KLCH 011717
FFSLCH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1217 PM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

LAC023-TXC245-361-012045-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-220701T2045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cameron LA-Jefferson TX-Orange TX-
1217 PM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR EASTERN JEFFERSON AND SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTIES AND 
WEST CENTRAL CAMERON PARISH...

At 1217 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 5 and 9 inches of rain 
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are 
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring 
with several reports of significant street flooding being reported 
in the Port Arthur and surrounding areas.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Beaumont, Port Arthur, Orange, Nederland, Groves, Port Neches, 
  Bridge City, West Orange, Sabine Pass, Central Gardens, Johnsons 
  Bayou, Mauriceville, Port Acres, Southeast Texas Regional Airport, 
  Orangefield, Pinehurst and Sea Rim State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 2967 9409 2974 9414 2980 9415 2985 9414
      2989 9405 2991 9404 2997 9410 3005 9406
      3001 9399 3006 9397 3014 9389 3023 9389
      3023 9378 3021 9372 3011 9370 2999 9378
      2993 9374 2987 9358 2977 9362 2967 9383

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1036 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

.CLIMATE...

...NEAR RECORD-BREAKING WARMTH IN JUNE...

Alexandria (records date to 1892)
-Average temp of 85.0 degrees was 2nd warmest June on record
 (record: 85.1/1932)
-High temps of 104 degrees on the 24th & 25th tied for 4th
 warmest June days on record (record: 106/twice)

New Iberia (records date to 1948)
-Average temp of 83.6 degrees tied for 4th warmest June on record
 (record: 84.4/2011)

Beaumont/Port Arthur (records date to 1901)
-Average temp of 84.3 degrees was 9th warmest June on record
 (record: 86.0/1902)
-Total January-June rainfall of 13.34 inches was 7th driest first
 half of the year on record (record: 8.18/2011)

Lake Charles (records date to 1895)
-Average temp of 82.9 degrees just missed the Top Ten warmest June's
 on record (10th = 83.0)
-Total January-June rainfall of 13.28 inches was 2nd driest first
 half of the year on record (record: 12.55/1954)

Lafayette (records date to 1893)
-Average temp of 84.3 degrees was 3rd warmest June on record
 (record: 84.7/2011)

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1030 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022/

UPDATE...

Low pressure system near Galveston Bay will continue to track
slowly northeastward today, keeping widespread showers and
thunderstorms in place across much of the region. CAPE is fairly
weak on this morning's 12Z sounding, so thunderstorm potential
should remain fairly minimal today. Main concern through the next
few hours will be localized flooding, especially across SE TX
where isolated amounts of 4-6 inches have fallen this morning.
Fortunately, we have been dry over the last month or so so
widespread flooding still doesn't look to become an issue. Most of
this convection should begin to taper off through the late
afternoon into the early evening, however, another round of precip
is expected tomorrow. Regarding the morning update, main update was
to adjust hourly POPs/temps to fall in line with current trends.
Otherwise, no updates needed at this time.

17

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 652 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022/

AVIATION...
Large area of showers and thunderstorms cover southeast Texas and
southwest Louisiana. Storms today will lower visibility to less
than one mile at times with ceilings from 020 to 050 depending on
storms in the general area of the Taf lctns. Winds for the most
part will be less than 10 knots although gusts to 15 will be
typical for today. Storms to persist through the afternoon into
the evening hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 525 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022/

SHORT TERM [Today through Sunday]...
A small area of low pressure has moved inland along the middle
Texas coast this morning. This has brought tropical moisture in
the form of showers and isolated thunderstorms to southeast Texas
and southern Louisiana. Storms are moving to the northeast. We are
expecting additional rainfall today around one to two inches at
bit more along the I-10 corridor. Rainfall totals in southeast
Texas Jefferson and Orange counties and Calcasieu and Cameron
parishes will be higher with two to four inches with some
locations getting up to six inches and possibly a bit more. This
will help the region for the most part as we have been in a
drought. Tropical funnel clouds are expected main from the I-10
corridor south to the coast and into the coast waters today. One
additional point rains will also help to moderate the afternoon
temperatures today with highs in the low to mid 80s.

The debris is expected to lift into northeast Texas and north
Louisiana by this evening and the Flash Flood Watch is set to
expire at 7 pm this evening. Storm activity to taper off a bit
through the evening hours. For tomorrow showers and isolated
thunderstorms to redevelop. Giving the region more rains which
will improve the soil moisture profile. Sunday into Monday morning
will see a shift back to the east with the rains.

LONG TERM [Monday through Thursday]...
The pattern aloft and at the surface will continue to trend more
seasonal as the long period begins. Ridging will continue to build
aloft over the region early next week, with the main ridge axis
eventually becoming centered just north of the area. At the surface,
high pressure will ridge acrs the western Atlantic into the Gulf of
Mexico, and this is expected to prevail through the week. This will
result in an onshore flow in the lower levels, beneath a deep east
to southeast flow aloft, maintaining sufficient moisture over the
region with precip water ranging anywhere from around 1.7 inches up
to 2.2 inches.

Diurnally induced showers and storms can be expected through the
week with convection developing in response to the seabreeze or
other mesoscale boundaries by early afternoon and diminishing by
early evening. Rain chances will range from around 20 percent across
SE TX up to 40-50 percent across the Acadiana region and the lower
Atchafalaya Basin, where deeper moisture will be poised.
With convection becoming more scattered, daytime temperatures are
expected to warm into the 90s across the area, with middle and upper
90s possible across SE TX where cloud/shower coverage will be much
less. Overnight lows will be in the middle to upper 70s across much
of the area.

99

MARINE...

A broad surface low over the northwest Gulf will move inland
along the middle Texas coast, then north across east Texas today
and into Louisiana. This will allow for a modest to strong
southerly flow to develop, along with keeping good chances of
showers and thunderstorms in the forecast through this afternoon
for the western locations of our coastal waters. Winds taper off
this evening and the Advisory will end during the afternoon
hours. More seasonal rain chances are expected Sunday through
early next week.

19

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ041-073-074.

TX...Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ215-216.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ450-
     452-470-472.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  87  72  88  73 /  80  50  80  20
LCH  83  74  87  75 /  90  60  80  10
LFT  86  75  88  76 /  90  50  80  10
BPT  86  75  90  76 /  90  60  60  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ041-073-074.

TX...Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ215-216.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ450-
     452-470-472.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
430 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

LAZ027>033-042>045-052>055-TXZ180-201-259>262-020930-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-Vermilion-Iberia-
St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-Tyler-Hardin-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
430 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Louisiana, south
central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west central Louisiana and
southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue until early evening, with
additional development expected overnight near the coast. No severe
thunderstorms are expected, but stronger thunderstorms will produce
heavy rains mainly down along the coast, gusty winds and occasional
to frequent cloud to ground lightning. Tropical funnel will be
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue each day
with the best coverage during the afternoon hours. Some of the
storms will produce locally heavy rainfall and occasional cloud to
ground lightning.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LAZ041-073-074-TXZ215-216-020930-
Calcasieu-West Cameron-East Cameron-Jefferson-Orange-
430 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Louisiana and
southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

 Flood Watch through this evening.

Showers and thunderstorms heavy at times will continue through early
this evening, with additional development expected overnight near
the coast.

No severe thunderstorms are expected, but stronger thunderstorms
will produce heavy rains, gusty winds and occasional to frequent
cloud to ground lightning. Tropical funnel will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue each day
with the best coverage during the afternoon hours. Some of the
storms will produce locally heavy rainfall and occasional cloud
to ground lightning.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GMZ430-432-435-455-475-020930-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermmilion Bay-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA
out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA
from 20 to 60 NM-
430 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico and the
coastal lakes and bays of the Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected. No severe thunderstorms are
expected, but stronger thunderstorms will produce gusty winds and
occasional to frequent cloud to water lightning. Tropical funnel will
be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A daily chance for showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms
will produce occasional cloud to water lightning along with locally
higher winds and seas.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GMZ450-452-470-472-020930-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
430 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected. No severe thunderstorms are
expected, but stronger thunderstorms will produce gusty winds which
will elevate the sea state. Occasional to frequent cloud to water
lightning should be expected. Tropical funnel will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A daily chance for showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms
will produce occasional cloud to water lightning along with locally
higher winds and seas.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

K. Kuyper

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
920 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BRIDGE CITY             30.03N 93.86W
07/01/2022                   ORANGE             TX   MESONET

            MINOR FLOODING NOTED FROM LOCAL GAGING.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
922 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0819 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW PORT ARTHUR        29.87N 93.94W
07/01/2022                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING;
            STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED.

0826 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S PORT ARTHUR         29.87N 93.94W
07/01/2022                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING;
            STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED.

0902 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PORT ARTHUR             29.89N 93.92W
07/01/2022                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING;
            STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED.

0918 AM     FLASH FLOOD      NEDERLAND               29.97N 94.00W
07/01/2022                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING;
            STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1001 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0947 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N PORT ARTHUR         29.91N 93.93W
07/01/2022                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            VIDEO OF ONGOING STREET FLOODING.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1043 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNE PORT ARTHUR       29.92N 93.92W
07/01/2022                   JEFFERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            VEHICLES STALLED IN FLOOD WATERS.

&&