Red Flag Warning 9, NWS North Platte, NE

Arthur County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Custer County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garden County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Holt County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Wheeler County, NE

454 
WWUS83 KLBF 050638
RFWLBF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service North Platte NE
138 AM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

...EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...

.Wind gusts of 40 to 60 mph and humidity around 15 percent will
push fire weather conditions into the extremely critical level 
this afternoon through early evening.

NEZ204-206-208>210-219-060300-
/O.CON.KLBF.FW.W.0009.220405T1700Z-220406T0300Z/
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-Loup Rivers Basin-Frenchman Basin-Loess Plains-
138 AM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022 /1238 AM MDT Tue Apr 5 2022/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/
TODAY TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ...

* Affected Area...In NEZ204...Fire Weather Zone 204 Eastern 
  Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR. In NEZ206...Fire Weather Zone 206 
  Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest. In NEZ208... 
  Fire Weather Zone 208 Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel 
  R McKelvie National Forest. In NEZ209...Fire Weather Zone 209 
  Loup Rivers Basin. In NEZ210...Fire Weather Zone 210 Frenchman 
  Basin. In NEZ219...Fire Weather Zone 219 Loess Plains.

* Winds...Northwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Impacts...Any fire that does start may be capable of spreading 
  rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

http://weather.gov/LBF

967 
WWUS83 KLBF 052012
RFWLBF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service North Platte NE
312 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

...EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...

.Wind gusts of 40 to 60 mph and humidity around 15 percent will
push fire weather conditions into the extremely critical level
this afternoon through early evening.

NEZ204-206-208>210-219-060300-
/O.CON.KLBF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-220406T0300Z/
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-Loup Rivers Basin-Frenchman Basin-Loess Plains-
312 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022 /212 PM MDT Tue Apr 5 2022/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 204 Eastern Panhandle/Crescent
  Lake NWR. Fire Weather Zone 206 Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska
  National Forest. Fire Weather Zone 208 Niobrara Valley/Fort
  Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National Forest. Fire Weather
  Zone 209 Loup Rivers Basin. Fire Weather Zone 210 Frenchman
  Basin. Fire Weather Zone 219 Loess Plains.

* Winds...Northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...Minimum values between 15 and 20 percent.

* Impacts...Any fire that does start will be capable of spreading
  rapidly and be difficult to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

http://weather.gov/LBF

749 
WWUS83 KLBF 060302
RFWLBF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1002 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022


NEZ204-206-208>210-219-060415-
/O.EXP.KLBF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-220406T0300Z/
Eastern Panhandle/Crescent Lake NWR-
Sandhills/Valentine NWR/Nebraska National Forest-
Niobrara Valley/Fort Niobrara NWR/Samuel R McKelvie National
Forest-Loup Rivers Basin-Frenchman Basin-Loess Plains-
1002 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022 /902 PM MDT Tue Apr 5 2022/

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

While strong gusty winds will continue overnight, relative 
humidity has increased to the point where Red Flag conditions are
no longer expected. Please continue to use caution with open
flames outdoors since the strong winds will cause any fires to
spread quickly.

$$

http://weather.gov/LBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
252 PM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 239 PM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022

A potent shortwave will drop southeast from western Canada and
be located across North Dakota by midday Tuesday. A cold front will
cross through the area late tonight as the system moves into the
Northern Plains. Fire weather concerns will increase again Tuesday.
Winds will shift to the northwest as the front crosses the area late
tonight. Winds increase quickly Tuesday morning and will be gusty
through the day. Bufkit sounding profiles show 45-50 mph potential
gusts through most of the day with sustained speeds in the 25-30 mph
range. The airmass will be very dry with dew points likely falling
into the single digits as dry air advects east off the higher
terrain to the west. Humidity will fall into the 15-20% range area
wide and will issue a Red Flag Warning for all zones. Could be a
sprinkle or two as favorable jet dynamics round the base of the
developing system in the Northern Plains, but the airmass is so dry
that may end up just being virga. Pops will remain slight at best.
Poor humidity recovery is expected Tuesday night as continued dry
air advecting in from the northwest.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 239 PM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022

High winds expected Wednesday through Thursday. The Northern Plains
shortwave will move southeast and be located across Minnesota by
Wednesday morning. It will have closed off at H5 by this time and
will be accompanied by a deep 988mb surface low. Very strong
unidirectional northwest flow from the surface on up will be in
place across the Central and Northern Plains during this time as the
system stalls across the Mississippi Valley region. ECMWF indicates
55-65kt winds at H85 and 65-75kt at H7. All operational models
(ECMWF, GEM & GFS) continue to indicate the potential for 60+ mph
wind gusts during this timeframe. Will issue a High Wind Watch for
all counties in western and north central Nebraska for Wednesday
though Thursday. Winds could decrease somewhat overnight Wednesday
night but increase again Thursday. Some light rain and snow showers
could wrap southward on the backside of the system into north
central Nebraska during the day Wednesday into Wednesday evening.
The other concern will be low humidity during the wind event. The
lowest humidity however is expected to be Friday when winds will be
in the process of decreasing, however it will still be windy enough
to create a concern. During the windiest time (Wednesday and
Thursday) it appears the lowest humidity will be in the 30-45% range
but could be lower across southwest Nebraska and the Panhandle. On
Saturday, winds will shift back to the south as the system moves
east of the area. Humidity will remain low through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022

VFR will continue through Tuesday morning for western and north
central Nebraska terminals. However, wind is the main aviation
weather concern. Southerly winds will gust around 30 kts today,
then transition to northwest tomorrow morning with a cold front
passage. Expect low level wind shear conditions overnight and
another round of 30+ kt gusts tomorrow. Mid-level clouds will
overspread the region along and behind the front, but ceilings
should maintain 10kft. A few light rain showers or sprinkles are
possible.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 239 PM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022

A Red Flag Warning will be issued for all Fire Weather Zones on
Tuesday. A cold front will switch winds to the northwest and
increase Tuesday morning. Sustained speeds of 25-30 mph with gusts
of 45-50 mph can be expected. There will be a broken to overcast mid-
level cloud deck with perhaps even a few sprinkles. This will not be
enough to offset the very dry 15-20% humidity and gusty winds.
Humidity recovery will be poor Tuesday night. Humidity will increase
just a bit Wednesday and Thursday but winds will remain very strong
from the northwest.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 10 PM CDT /9 PM
MDT/ Tuesday for NEZ204-206-208>210-219.

High Wind Watch from Wednesday morning through Thursday evening
for NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094.

&&

SHORT TERM...Taylor
LONG TERM...Taylor
AVIATION...Snively
FIRE WEATHER...Taylor

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1018 AM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-051530-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
1018 AM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022 /918 AM MDT Mon Apr 4 2022/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

The combination of dry air and breezy winds will result in near
critical fire weather conditions this afternoon. Southerly winds
will gust to near 40 mph at times.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A strong cold front works through the area tomorrow morning,
bringing another round of blustery winds and a few sprinkles or
flurries. Very dry air quickly returns midday, which raises the
fire weather threat again. Northwest winds will gust to 45 mph.

Strong and possibly damaging winds are in store for Wednesday
through Thursday. Northwest winds may gust to 60 mph or higher
each day. Travel will be difficult for lightweight and high
profile vehicles. Unsecured objects will be blown around. Damage
to outbuildings or trees may also occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

Get your weather, hydrological, and climate information at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte