Small Craft Advisory 37, NWS Key West, FL

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Key West FL
447 PM EDT Mon Sep 26 2022

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-271100-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out
and beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
447 PM EDT Mon Sep 26 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Florida Keys and
adjacent coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

...Hurricane Warning for the Dry Tortugas...
...Tropical Storm Warning for the Lower Florida Keys...
...Tropical Storm Watch for the Middle Florida Keys...
...Storm Surge Watch for all Florida Keys...

Hurricane Ian is forecast to continue strengthening over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea today and tonight, becoming a major
hurricane while turning to the north northwest tonight as it
approaches western Cuba. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the
Dry Tortugas and surrounding waters. A Hurricane Warning means
hurricane conditions are expected within 36 hours. A Tropical
Storm Warning is in effect for the Lower Florida Keys and the
coastal waters west of the Seven Mile Bridge. This means Tropical
Storm conditions are expected within the next 36 hours. A Tropical
Storm Watch is in effect for the Middle Florida Keys and
surrounding coastal waters. A Tropical Storm Watch means that
tropical storm conditions are possible within the next 48 hours.
There is a Storm Surge Watch is in effect for all the Florida
Keys, for potential coastal saltwater inundation of 2 to 3 feet
above normal high tides. Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation
streets and lots is expected to continue today and tonight prior
to the arrival of Ian.

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible today. The primary
thunderstorm hazards will be cloud to surface lightning strikes,
locally gusty winds, and reduced visibility in heavy downpours.

Residents should review their tropical cyclone plans and ensure
that their emergency supply kit is well stocked. Any preparedness
actions should be completed by late this evening. Residents and
visitors should continue to closely monitor the latest
information from the National Hurricane Center and the National
Weather Service office in Key West.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hurricane Ian is forecast to emerge over the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico on Tuesday and move northward as a major hurricane.
Tropical storm force winds could arrive into portions of the
Lower Florida Keys as early as early Tuesday morning, but the
most likely period for tropical storm force winds will occur from
early Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon.

Impacts from Ian will include storm surge flooding of 2 to 3 feet
above normal high tides, locally damaging wind gusts in fast
moving squalls, mainly in the Lower Keys, 4 to 6 inches of
rainfall, with isolated amounts up to 8 inches, through Thursday
causing localized freshwater flooding, and the threat for isolated
tornadoes in rain bands.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

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