Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2022

Tornado Warning 86, NWS Jackson, MS

November 29, 2022Jefferson Davis County, Lawrence County, Marion County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Nov 29, 2022, 4:19 PM CST for Jefferson Davis County, Lawrence County, Marion County, Mississippi. It was in force for 56 min. 14 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 29, 2022, 4:19 PM CST (22:19 UTC)
Expired
Nov 29, 2022, 5:15 PM CST
In force
56 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
0.75 in

Counties Jefferson Davis County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Marion County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 29, 4:25 PM CSTTORNADO4 Sw Tilton, MSTHIS TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF TILTON ROAD AND GIVENS ROAD AND MOVED NORTHEAST ALONG TILTON ROAD. MOST OF THE DAMAGE WAS UPROOTED AND DAMAGED TREES. A COUPLE SHEDS WERE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. ONE HOME HAD MINOR ROOF DAMAGE.
Nov 29, 4:40 PM CSTTORNADO2 Sw Bassfield, MSCORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 2 SW TILTON. REPORTS OF TORNADO. DEBRIS REPORTED WITH POSSIBLE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
Nov 29, 4:40 PM CSTTORNADO2 Sw Tilton, MSREPORTS OF TORNADO. DEBRIS REPORTED WITH POSSIBLE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
Nov 29, 5:05 PM CSTHAIL 1.751 Sse Carson, MSQUARTER TO GOLF BALL HAIL IN THE CARSON COMMUNITY.
Nov 29, 5:08 PM CSTTORNADO4 N Bunker Hill, MSTHIS BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN JUST OFF EBENEZER CHURCH ROAD. A FEW TREES WERE UPROOTED AND DAMAGED.
Nov 29, 5:10 PM CSTTSTM WND DMG3 Se Bassfield, MSTREES DOWN REPORTED ON GATES RD.
Nov 29, 5:10 PM CSTTSTM WND DMGBassfield, MSMOBILE HOME WAS DAMAGED. PORCH WAS DESTROYED AND THERE WAS DAMAGE TO A TRUCK ON THE PROPERTY.
Nov 29, 5:10 PM CSTTORNADO2 Sw Bassfield, MSPOWER POLES WERE SNAPPED ALONG HWY 35 S OF BASSFIELD, MS.
Nov 29, 5:10 PM CSTTORNADO4 Ssw Bassfield, MSCORRECTS PREVIOUS REPORT: MHP CONFIRMED TORNADO ON HWY 35 MARION JEFF DAVIS LINE.
Nov 29, 5:14 PM CSTTORNADO3 Ssw Bassfield, MSTHIS TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF BASSFIELD CEMETERY ROAD AND MCLEOD DR AND TRACKED ENE FOR ALMOST 4 MILES BEFORE DISSIPATING JUST BEYOND HOSEY MIKELL ROAD. AT THE START, SOME TIN WAS TAKE OFF A LARGE SHED. AS IT CROSSED BASS AND S WILLIAMSBUR
Nov 29, 5:15 PM CSTHAIL 16 Ne Bassfield, MSQUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED.
Nov 29, 5:16 PM CSTTSTM WND DMG2 Ese Bassfield, MSTREES DOWNED.
Nov 29, 5:16 PM CSTTSTM WND DMG4 Ne Bassfield, MSREPORTS OF TRANSFORMER ON FIRE AND MULTIPLE TREES DOWNED AS WELL AS A FEW POWER POLES SNAPPED.
Nov 29, 5:16 PM CSTTORNADO1 Sse Bassfield, MSSTORM CHASERS OBSERVED AND RECORDED A LARGE WEDGE TORNADO ON HWY 42 TRACKING E-SE OUT OF BASSFIELD. SEVERAL DOWNED TREES AND POWER FLASHES WERE OBSERVED AS WELL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 7 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 6 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Nov 29, 12:11 PM CSTTornado Watch PDSSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2022-11-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2022-11-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 361 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1026 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
361 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
372 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

646 
WFUS54 KJAN 292219
TORJAN
MSC065-077-091-292315-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0086.221129T2219Z-221129T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
419 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northern Marion County in south central Mississippi...
  Southern Lawrence County in south central Mississippi...
  Southern Jefferson Davis County in south central Mississippi...

* Until 515 PM CST.
    
* At 418 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Tilton, or 12 miles northwest of Kokomo, moving
  east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Tilton around 425 PM CST.
  Holly Springs around 430 PM CST.
  Oak Vale and Morgantown around 435 PM CST.
  Society Hill and Goss around 440 PM CST.
  Bunker Hill around 450 PM CST.
  Carson and Improve around 455 PM CST.
  Melba around 505 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Bassfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3133 9004 3133 9008 3135 9011 3135 9018
      3143 9021 3157 8968 3155 8962 3154 8960
      3151 8959 3144 8959 3143 8965 3133 8966
      3127 9004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 255DEG 31KT 3137 9010 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

GG
4 follow-up statements
776 
WWUS54 KJAN 292231
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
431 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

MSC065-077-091-292315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0086.000000T0000Z-221129T2315Z/
Marion MS-Lawrence MS-Jefferson Davis MS-
431 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
MARION...SOUTHERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES...
        
At 430 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located over Oak Vale, or 13
miles northwest of Columbia, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Society Hill and Goss around 440 PM CST.
  Bunker Hill around 445 PM CST.
  Carson around 450 PM CST.
  Improve around 455 PM CST.
  Melba around 505 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Bassfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3133 9004 3133 9008 3135 9011 3135 9018
      3143 9021 3157 8968 3155 8962 3154 8960
      3151 8959 3144 8959 3143 8965 3133 8966
      3127 9004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 255DEG 31KT 3140 8998 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

DB
205 
WWUS54 KJAN 292239
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
439 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

MSC065-077-091-292315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0086.000000T0000Z-221129T2315Z/
Marion MS-Lawrence MS-Jefferson Davis MS-
439 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
MARION...SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON DAVIS
COUNTIES...
        
At 439 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located over Oak Vale, or 15
miles northwest of Columbia, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Goss around 445 PM CST.
  Society Hill around 450 PM CST.
  Bunker Hill around 505 PM CST.
  Carson around 520 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Bassfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3133 9004 3133 9008 3135 9011 3135 9018
      3144 9016 3157 8968 3155 8962 3154 8960
      3151 8959 3144 8959 3143 8965 3133 8966
      3127 9004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 243DEG 17KT 3143 8998 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

GG
464 
WWUS54 KJAN 292250
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
450 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

MSC077-292259-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0086.000000T0000Z-221129T2315Z/
Lawrence MS-
450 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CST for south central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3139 8996 3150 8996 3157 8968 3154 8960
      3151 8959 3144 8959 3143 8965 3138 8966
      3133 8998
TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 255DEG 31KT 3145 8987 

$$

MSC065-091-292315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0086.000000T0000Z-221129T2315Z/
Marion MS-Jefferson Davis MS-
450 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
MARION AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES...
    
At 449 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Society Hill, or 14 miles north of Columbia, moving
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Bunker Hill around 455 PM CST.
  Carson around 500 PM CST.
  Melba around 510 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Bassfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3139 8996 3150 8996 3157 8968 3154 8960
      3151 8959 3144 8959 3143 8965 3138 8966
      3133 8998
TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 255DEG 31KT 3145 8987 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

CME
527 
WWUS54 KJAN 292256
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
456 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

MSC065-091-292315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0086.000000T0000Z-221129T2315Z/
Marion MS-Jefferson Davis MS-
456 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN MARION AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES...
    
At 456 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Society Hill, or 12 miles north of Columbia, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and tennis ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Carson around 505 PM CST.
  Melba around 515 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Bassfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3139 8993 3151 8994 3157 8968 3154 8960
      3151 8959 3144 8959 3143 8965 3138 8966
      3136 8991
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 243DEG 34KT 3144 8984 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN

$$

CME

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Nov 29, 3:53 PM CST, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 29, 3:53 PM CST, 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
353 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 330 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

Rest of today-tonight...

The potential for significant severe weather event remains &
severe weather is ongoing across the region. Sfc analysis earlier
today indicates strong WAA & moisture return have quickly
recovered with temperatures in the low 70s N to mid-upper 70s S
with dewpoints in the upper 60s-low 70s, especially in S MS. This
has led to strong WAA with intense LLJ around 40-45kts at 850mb.
Combined with anomalous warmth & destabilization around 1000-1500
MLCAPE, per SHV & JAN 18Z soundings, will continue to favor
significant severe weather event. Some thermo values haven't been
seen per SPC sounding climatology & SPC mesoanalysis indicates
long clockwise curved hodographs with +300-400 m2/s2 effective SRH
& mean layer bulk shear around 30-45kts in the 0-1km/0-3km &
50-60kts in the 0-6km layer. In addition, very steep lapse rates
approaching 7.0 C/km in the 700-500mb layer will support more
intense hail. This will continue to support all modes of
significant severe weather, including tornadoes, some strong &
long track, damaging winds up to 80mph & large hail of tennis ball
size. Highest threat looks to be along & NW of the Natchez Trace
corridor into Hwy 45 corridor. Some storms have developed earlier
in S LA & are progged to continue to the NE. In SE MS could have
better mid-level capping & 700mb heights around which could
suppress some convection into the Pine Belt. After collaboration
with SPC, the "Moderate" & "Enhanced" risk areas remain mostly the
same, but were slightly expanded to the E to the MS/AL state
line. In addition, the PDS tornado watch for a large portion
along & NW of the Natchez Trace corridor through 7PM & was
extended slightly E to account for storms in the S in Lawrence to
Jeff Davis County. Timing for the most significant severe weather
looks to be through midnight, with some lingering after midnight
through 4A. Increased confidence remains of around 9PM-midnight
in the NW Delta, the I-55 corridor around 1AM-3AM & most potential
moved out by 4AM-6AM into E-SE MS, especially the I-59 corridor.

Some localized flash flooding potential remains today. Kept the
graphic as is, but confidence has increased some areas along & NW
of the Natchez Trace, especially N of the I-20 corridor could see
some additional training of supercells & more vigorous convection.
For now, kept the ongoing Flash Flood Watch in SE MS & no changes
to the HWO, but definitely can't rule out a quick +3 inches for
areas along & N of the I-20 corridor where more intense
storms/multiple rounds occurs.

Strong WAA will help highs warm near-above normal into low-mid
70s today, while above normal into low to low 40s in the Delta to
low-mid 60s in SE MS for the frontal passage tonight.

Wednesday through early next week...

As strong sfc ridging builds in, much drier air & subsidence will
move in the wake. Sfc & mid-level ridging is progged to shift
across central Plains on Wed & mid S to Appalachians by Thurs &
Atlantic Seaboard by Fri. A quiet & cool pattern will persist
through the period as thermo profiles cool into the 4-10 deg. C
range. Highs will be in the low 50s in NW to upper 60s S on Wed,
solid freeze for areas along & N of the I-20 corridor Thurs &
gradual WAA & moderating highs late week on Fri. Moisture
advection will gradually increase into late week on Fri. Shortwave
trough is expected to move into the Intermountain W by late week
& progged to swing E in zonal flow through the Great Lakes & NE by
late weekend. With anomalous ridging over the W Gulf of Mexico &
increased WAA/moisture (i.e. PWs in the inch to inch & a half
range or so) by late weekend, stalled frontal zone will help spark
rain chances Fri through the weekend, building to the N into late
weekend on Sat to Sun. With warm thermo increasing into the mid-
upper teens by the weekend, highs will moderate above climo into
the mid-upper 70s by late weekend into early next week. /DC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1130 AM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

Mostly MVFR/IFR conditions prevail across the area and expect
these conditions to continue through the period. A strong storm
system will move across the area this afternoon into tonight
with widespread showers/thunderstorms, some of these storms will
be severe. The winds will be gusty out of the south today becoming
westerly than Northwesterly overnight behind the front./15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       49  61  34  56 / 100   0   0   0
Meridian      57  66  34  56 / 100  10   0   0
Vicksburg     47  57  34  57 /  90   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   63  68  35  61 / 100  30   0   0
Natchez       51  62  35  59 /  80   0   0   0
Greenville    42  50  32  53 /  70   0   0   0
Greenwood     43  54  32  54 /  90   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

DC/DC/15
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 29, 3:29 PM CST, 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
329 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

ARZ074-LAZ007-015-024-026-MSZ018-052-056-060>062-302130-
Ashley-Morehouse-Richland-Catahoula-Concordia-Bolivar-Lauderdale-
Smith-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
329 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday

The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday, severe
thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible, with strong
tornadoes possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds
up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday, localized
flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban
areas.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

ARZ075-LAZ008-009-016-023-025-MSZ019-025>051-053>055-059-302130-
Chicot-West Carroll-East Carroll-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-
Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-
Jefferson-
329 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday

The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday, significant
severe thunderstorms and strong tornadoes are likely, with
significant long tracked tornadoes possible. Some thunderstorms
could also produce damaging winds to 80 mph and large hail up to
tennis ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday, localized
flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban
areas.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ057-058-063>066-072-302130-
Jasper-Clarke-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-
329 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday

The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday, severe
thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible, with strong
tornadoes possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds
up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday, areas of
flash flooding likely and some roads could be flooded or closed.
Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ073-074-302130-
Lamar-Forrest-
329 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday

The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday, severe
thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some thunderstorms could
produce damaging winds to 60 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

The rest of this afternoon through early Wednesday, areas of
flash flooding likely and some roads could be flooded or closed.
Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

23

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 29, 3:05 PM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
305 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     HAIL             TCHULA                  33.18N 90.22W
11/29/2022  E1.25 INCH       HOLMES             MS   PUBLIC

            1.25 HAIL REPORTED IN TCHULA MS.

&&

SS
Local storm report, Nov 29, 3:10 PM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
310 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0232 PM     HAIL             TCHULA                  33.18N 90.22W
11/29/2022  E1.25 INCH       HOLMES             MS   PUBLIC

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM TCHULA.
            1.25 HAIL REPORTED IN TCHULA MS.

&&

SS
Local storm report, Nov 29, 3:23 PM CST, 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
323 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0309 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 NW WEST               33.24N 89.84W
11/29/2022                   CARROLL            MS   PUBLIC

            A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS SPOTTED NORTHEAST OF
            LEXINGTON MS.

&&

SS
Local storm report, Nov 29, 3:30 PM CST, 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
330 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0324 PM     TORNADO          3 NW CARMACK            33.27N 89.69W
11/29/2022  EF0              ATTALA             MS   PUBLIC

            TORNADO WAS REPORTED NORTHEAST OF WEST.

&&

SS
Local storm report, Nov 29, 3:51 PM CST, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
351 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 PM     HAIL             1 WNW VAIDEN            33.34N 89.77W
11/29/2022  E2.00 INCH       CARROLL            MS   STORM CHASER

            STORM CHASER SUBMITTED A PICTURE OF 2-INCH
            SIZE HAIL ON FACEBOOK.

&&

CR
Local storm report, Nov 29, 4:08 PM CST, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
408 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     HAIL             RUTH                    31.39N 90.32W
11/29/2022  E0.25 INCH       LINCOLN            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED.

&&

KP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 29, 3:18 AM CSTFlood WatchJANChoctaw, Clarke, Clay, Covington, Forrest, Jasper and 8 more27 hr
Nov 29, 8:27 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar, Sunflower63 min
Nov 29, 12:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower50 min
Nov 29, 2:08 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore67 min
Nov 29, 2:49 PM CSTTornado WarningJANAttala, Carroll, Holmes, Montgomery56 min
Nov 29, 2:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMontgomery, Webster39 min
Nov 29, 2:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Lincoln47 min
Nov 29, 3:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower and 1 more58 min
Nov 29, 3:33 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANChoctaw, Montgomery, Oktibbeha, Webster57 min
Nov 29, 4:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion66 min
Nov 29, 4:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Holmes, Montgomery, Webster65 min
Nov 29, 4:34 PM CSTTornado WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Yazoo56 min
Nov 29, 4:49 PM CSTTornado WarningJANClaiborne, Warren35 min
Nov 29, 4:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Montgomery, Oktibbeha, Webster55 min
Nov 29, 5:07 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion53 min
Nov 29, 5:10 PM CSTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha, Webster65 min
Nov 29, 5:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Hinds, Warren51 min
Nov 29, 5:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLowndes33 min
Nov 29, 5:28 PM CSTTornado WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Yazoo62 min
Nov 29, 5:50 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jones34 min
Nov 29, 5:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower64 min
Nov 29, 5:56 PM CSTTornado WarningJANClay, Lowndes50 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2022Every tornado warning in 2022Tornadoes in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.