Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 416, NWS Jackson, MS

December 30, 2022Adams County, Mississippi; Concordia Parish, Louisiana

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Dec 30, 2022, 5:17 AM CST for Adams County, Mississippi; Concordia Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 30, 2022, 5:17 AM CST (11:17 UTC)
Expired
Dec 30, 2022, 5:45 AM CST
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Concordia Parish, LA, Adams County, MS

The radar

The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2022-12-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 309 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2022-12-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 202 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
309 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
778 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
202 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Dec 30, 3:06 AM CST, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 30, 3:06 AM CST, 2 hours 11 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 30, 4:31 AM CST, 46 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
431 AM CST Fri Dec 30 2022

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025-034>036-
040>053-060-311045-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-
Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-
Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Adams-
431 AM CST Fri Dec 30 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying
and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible for
extreme southeast  Arkansas, portions of west central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, portions of north central
Mississippi, and northeast Louisiana Monday through Monday night.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

Severe storms are likely and tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail
are possible for extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of
northwest Mississippi, and portions of northeast Louisiana Monday
afternoon through Tuesday morning.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, damaging
winds, and hail are possible for portions of northwest
Mississippi, portions of northeast Louisiana, northeast
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, all of central
Mississippi, and all of south central Mississippi Monday afternoon
through Tuesday morning.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Monday
through Tuesday.

MSZ026>033-037>039-311045-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
431 AM CST Fri Dec 30 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying
and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible for
extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of west central Mississippi,
northwest Mississippi, portions of north central Mississippi, and
northeast Louisiana Monday through Monday night.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

Severe storms are likely and tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail
are possible   for extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of
northwest Mississippi, and portions of northeast Louisiana Monday
afternoon through Tuesday morning.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, damaging
winds, and hail are possible for portions of northwest
Mississippi, portions of northeast Louisiana, northeast
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, all of central
Mississippi, and all of south central Mississippi Monday afternoon
through Tuesday morning.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Monday
through Tuesday.

MSZ054>059-061>066-072>074-311045-
Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
431 AM CST Fri Dec 30 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying
and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible for
extreme southeast  Arkansas, portions of west central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, portions of north central
Mississippi, and northeast Louisiana Monday through Monday night.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

Severe storms are likely and tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail
are possible for extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of
northwest Mississippi, and portions of northeast Louisiana Monday
afternoon through Tuesday morning.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, damaging
winds, and hail  are possible for portions of northwest
Mississippi, portions of northeast Louisiana, northeast
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, all of central
Mississippi, and all of south central Mississippi Monday
afternoon through Tuesday morning.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today and
Monday through Tuesday.

33

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 30, 5:08 AM CST, 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
508 AM CST Fri Dec 30 2022

LAZ024>026-MSZ059-060-301215-
Tensas LA-Concordia LA-Catahoula LA-Adams MS-Jefferson MS-
508 AM CST Fri Dec 30 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Tensas,
Concordia and central Catahoula Parishes, west central Jefferson and
northwestern Adams Counties through 615 AM CST...

At 508 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Monterey, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Deer Park around 515 AM CST.
  Frogmore around 525 AM CST.
  Ferriday and West Ferriday around 530 AM CST.
  Clayton, Spokane and Lee Bayou around 540 AM CST.
  Waterproof around 550 AM CST.
  Helena around 555 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Sicily Island and
Ridgecrest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3197 9165 3196 9160 3188 9159 3193 9152
      3178 9117 3119 9168 3121 9171 3120 9173
      3122 9176 3123 9179 3127 9184 3126 9185
      3129 9189 3130 9193 3134 9201 3137 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 1108Z 210DEG 43KT 3138 9173

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

22

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 30, 5:48 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANClaiborne, Jefferson42 min
Dec 30, 5:54 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANFranklin66 min
Dec 30, 6:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Warren50 min
Dec 30, 6:44 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANCopiah, Lincoln46 min
Dec 30, 7:17 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANHinds43 min
Dec 30, 7:22 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSimpson38 min
Dec 30, 7:35 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANJefferson Davis40 min
Dec 30, 8:00 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison45 min
Dec 30, 8:12 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSmith33 min
Dec 30, 8:17 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLamar, Marion43 min
Dec 30, 8:24 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin36 min
Dec 30, 8:58 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANForrest, Jones62 min
Dec 30, 11:37 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANChoctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha, Webster53 min
Dec 30, 5:08 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANConcordia67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2022Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2022Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.