Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2022

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 342, NWS Jackson, MS

August 16, 2022Jones County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 16, 2022, 5:35 PM CDT for Jones County, Mississippi. It was in force for 22 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2022, 5:35 PM CDT (22:35 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2022, 5:57 PM CDT
In force
22 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Jones County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2022-08-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1462 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2022-08-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -9 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1462 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-83 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1056 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 16, 3:06 PM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 16, 3:06 PM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
306 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight through tomorrow...A few showers/storms will continue
into the evening hours, but should diminish late this evening. Upper
ridging will begin to weaken over the area tonight, as upper
troughing deepens and pushes a frontal boundary into the northern
portions of the area. We should get a break from the
shower/thunderstorms activity overnight, but hi-res models suggest
early development of storms Wednesday morning in the north. The
boundary will continue to sink southward through the afternoon hours
and will generally extend across the central portions of the area by
mid afternoon. SPC has much of the area in a marginal risk on
Wednesday and with plenty of moisture and sufficient instability, a
couple of strong to marginally severe storm will be possible
Wednesday afternoon. Will continue to advertise this in our
HWO/Graphicasts.

The front will continue to drop south across the area into the
evening hours. Temperatures will climb into the 90s over areas out
ahead of the boundary tomorrow afternoon. This combined with
dewpoints in the low 70s will create heat indices of around 100-106.
A heat advisory advisory is in affect generally along a line from
Hamburg AR to Laurel MS for tomorrow./15/

Wednesday night through Monday: Much of the long term still looks
cooler than normal and wetter than normal. Come Wednesday evening a
weak frontal boundary will be dropping south of Interstate 20.
Initially there will be enough instability left that an isolated
storm or two may become severe and produce a damaging wind gust.
Considering the >2in PWATs along and south of the boundary, locally
heavy rainfall will also be possible with the strongest storms. The
strength of the convection will wain through the evening but rain
chances are expected to continue through the night due to the
proximity of the frontal boundary. This frontal boundary is expected
to stall across our southern zones and remain the focus for
convection through Friday. Our region will remain at the base of a
broad upper level trough centered over the eastern CONUS while upper
level ridging continues over the western CONUS. A closed low will
drop out of the northern Plains Friday. Models agree that this
closed low will be over the western Great Lakes region by Sunday
morning but then differ on whether or not it will lift out as an
open wave or drop farther south and affect our region with greater
rain chances Sunday through Monday. The current forecast leans
toward the later scenario. The delta region may see lower 90s
Saturday and Sunday afternoon but most of our CWA will only top out
in the 80s each day. Storm total rainfall amounts through the period
range from just under one inch in our northeast to over three inches
across our southern zones. /22/

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
All TAF sites are VFR this afternoon and expect most sites to
remain VFR through the period. Isolated to scattered thunderstorm
activity may affect sites this afternoon, with brief periods of
IFR/LIFR conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       74  91  71  83 /  20  67  64  67
Meridian      72  90  70  84 /  19  67  56  58
Vicksburg     74  93  71  82 /  13  49  57  58
Hattiesburg   74  95  73  87 /  28  51  47  76
Natchez       74  95  71  84 /   4  32  38  69
Greenville    72  86  69  82 /  25  60  49  40
Greenwood     71  85  67  85 /  34  70  40  34

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-
     019-034-035-040>042-047.

     Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019-025-
     034>036-040>044-047>050-053>057-059>066-072>074.

LA...Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for
     LAZ007>009-015-016.

     Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-
     075.

     Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&

15/22
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 16, 3:03 PM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ019-034-035-040>042-047-172015-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Sunflower-Washington-Humphreys-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
Warren-
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, northwest
Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...This afternoon through Wednesday

DANGEROUS HEAT
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

This afternoon through wednesday, isolated severe thunderstorms
are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind
gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Through the remainder of this afternoon, dangerous heat expected
with peak heat values in excess of 110 degrees. Heat stroke will
be a significant concern with outdoor activity.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Wednesday night.

MSZ018-172015-
Bolivar-
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

DANGEROUS HEAT
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

This afternoon through wednesday, isolated severe thunderstorms
are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind
gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Through the remainder of this afternoon, dangerous heat expected
with peak heat values in excess of 110 degrees. Heat stroke will
be a significant concern with outdoor activity.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ029>033-039-172015-
Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Noxubee-
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

MSZ026-028-172015-
Grenada-Montgomery-
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

DANGEROUS HEAT
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

Through the remainder of this afternoon, caution is advised for
possible dangerous heat as heat index values peak near
105 degrees. Heat exhaustion will be possible with outdoor
activity.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

LAZ023-025-MSZ025-036-043-048>050-053>057-059>066-072>074-172015-
Franklin LA-Tensas-Leflore-Holmes-Madison MS-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-
Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-
Forrest-
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north
central Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...This afternoon through Wednesday

DANGEROUS HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

This afternoon through wednesday, isolated severe thunderstorms
are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind
gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Through the remainder of this afternoon, dangerous heat likely
with peak heat index values ranging from 106 to 110 degrees. Heat
exhaustion will be likely with outdoor activity.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Wednesday night.

MSZ037-045-052-172015-
Attala-Neshoba-Lauderdale-
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and east central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

DANGEROUS HEAT
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Wednesday

Through the remainder of this afternoon, caution is advised for
possible dangerous heat as heat index values peak near
105 degrees. Heat exhaustion will be possible with outdoor
activity.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Wednesday, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Wednesday
through Wednesday night.

MSZ027-044-051-058-172015-
Carroll-Leake-Newton-Clarke-
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...This afternoon through Wednesday

DANGEROUS HEAT
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

This afternoon through wednesday, isolated severe thunderstorms
are possible. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind
gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Through the remainder of this afternoon, caution is advised for
possible dangerous heat as heat index values peak near
105 degrees. Heat exhaustion will be possible with outdoor
activity.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Wednesday night.

MSZ038-046-172015-
Winston-Kemper-
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Wednesday

Wednesday, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Wednesday
through Wednesday night.

LAZ024-026-172015-
Catahoula-Concordia-
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

DANGEROUS HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Wednesday

Through the remainder of this afternoon, dangerous heat likely
with peak heat index values ranging from 106 to 110 degrees. Heat
exhaustion will be likely with outdoor activity.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Wednesday, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Wednesday
through Wednesday night.

15

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*DANGEROUS HEAT*
Extreme...Extreme heat is expected with peak heat index values
 in excess of 110 degrees for multiple days. Heat stroke continues
 to be a major concern.
Significant...Dangerous heat expected with peak heat index values
 in excess of 110 degrees. Heat stroke will be a significant
 concern.
Elevated...Dangerous heat likely with peak heat index values
 ranging from 106 to 110 degrees. Heat exhaustion will be likely.
Limited...Caution is advised for possible dangerous heat as
 heat index values peak near 105 degrees. Heat exhaustion will
 be possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 16, 4:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 16, 4:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 16, 5:01 PM CDT, 34 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 16, 5:04 PM CDT, 31 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 16, 5:22 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 16, 5:30 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 3:45 AM CDTExcessive Heat WarningJANBolivar, Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Sunflower, Warren and 2 more15 hr
Aug 16, 2:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNewton27 min
Aug 16, 2:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLauderdale37 min
Aug 16, 3:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSharkey37 min
Aug 16, 3:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeake30 min
Aug 16, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott39 min
Aug 16, 3:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLauderdale32 min
Aug 16, 3:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAttala28 min
Aug 16, 3:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWashington24 min
Aug 16, 4:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison30 min
Aug 16, 4:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANHumphreys37 min
Aug 16, 5:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJasper29 min
Aug 16, 5:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin38 min
Aug 16, 5:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones30 min
Aug 16, 5:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJasper23 min
Aug 16, 5:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAttala36 min
Aug 16, 5:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSmith34 min
Aug 16, 6:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin29 min
Aug 16, 6:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones26 min
Aug 16, 6:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJasper23 min
Aug 16, 6:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCovington, Simpson31 min
Aug 16, 6:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones42 min
Aug 16, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin20 min
Aug 16, 3:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANDesha34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2022Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.