Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Wilmington, NC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
348 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Chances for showers and thunderstorms increase later today
ahead of a low pressure system. A few thunderstorms could
produce damaging winds inland. Much cooler weather will arrive
behind the cold front Saturday, with dry weather and breezy
conditions at times expected into next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A challenging severe weather potential forecast this evening. SBCAPE
has grown moderate to strong across the area, but this stronger
instability is progged to lift off to our north while less unstable
air advects in from the west in the very near term. A secondary but
lesser surge of instability is progged to enter western zones by 21Z
with the first few storms soon thereafter. This may represent the
best chance for severe weather. As the storms translate north and
east their fate is a bit more uncertain since they will be moving
into higher dewpoints but the overall diurnal cooling will be
underway. Storms to affect the Cape Fear region last, their severe
threat diminished but non-zero. Damaging wind and hail will be the
main threats, but far western zones will also have a small tornado
threat as 150 m^2/s^2 of low level SRH develops.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT/...
One last chance for rain Saturday night as there's still a bit
of moisture in place just behind the sfc low moving offshore,
and mid-level energy associated with the cyclonic flow aloft.
Any rain amounts will be light, mainly over NE areas, and during
the evening hours. A dry overnight then as the low pushes
farther offshore and temps bottom out in the low/mid 50s...the
coolest temps in several days.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Cooler weather returns next week as low pressure spins offshore
for several days and high pressure ridges in from the north.
Expect dry wx from early to mid week, before the low starts to
nudge westward towards the coast late in the week. There
continues to be a fair bit of uncertainty over the strength of
the low and where it moves onshore, but in general PoPs will
continue to be in the chance range for Thursday and Friday, with
the best chance right along the coast. Winds persistently out
of the N/NE, with below normal temps of highs only in the 70s
for most of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Gusty SW winds to continue through the period as the area remains in
the warm sector ahead of a storm system developing OH Valley region.
A line of thunderstorms will begin to threaten inland terminal by
about 21Z and coastal terms soon thereafter. Storms may weaken as
they translate east towards ILM. Little to no rain expected
following squall line, which could bring strong and variable wind
gusts as well as lowered CIG and VSBY, though any IFR should be very
brief.

Extended Outlook...Cold front expected to push through from the
north Saturday afternoon/eve with MVFR conditions possible from
clouds and pcpn. Strong low pressure will linger off the NC
coast early to midweek next week resulting in active northerly
flow across the terminals with mainly VFR conditions.

&&

.MARINE...
Through Saturday: Prefrontal flow regime to stay in place
through the period and although somewhat marginal a fairly long
fused SCA will be in place mainly for wind gusts. Southwesterly
wind waves to be dominant but a 7 sec SE swell will be on the
rise.

Saturday Night Through Wednesday: A prolonged period of SCA
conditions from this weekend through mid next week in
association with moderate N/NE flow as low pressure spins
offshore. Seas will build as NE 12 second swell increases...up
to 8-9 ft out 20nm by Tuesday and Wednesday. Meanwhile...winds
gusting up to 25-30 kt for much of this period, esp. over NC
coastal waters.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Saturday for AMZ250-252-
     254-256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ILM
NEAR TERM...MBB
SHORT TERM...MAS
LONG TERM...MAS
AVIATION...MBB
MARINE...MAS/MBB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
646 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

NCZ105-107-109-072300-
Inland Pender-Inland New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-
646 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms this evening. Strong to
damaging straight-line wind gusts is the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

AMZ250-252-254-256-072300-
Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Murrells Inlet to South Santee River SC out
20 nm-
646 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

Small Craft Advisory.

Isolated strong TSTMs possible tonight, with gusts in excess of 30
kt. Dangerous cloud to sea lightning strikes are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ110-072300-
Coastal Brunswick-
646 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Risk of Rip Currents.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ106-108-072300-
Coastal Pender-Coastal New Hanover-
646 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated strong TSTMs are possible this evening, with strong gusty
winds the main threat, and dangerous lightning strikes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

SCZ054-072300-
Coastal Horry-
646 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 189 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

SCZ017-023-032-039-055-056-072300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Florence-Williamsburg-Inland Georgetown-
Coastal Georgetown-
646 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 188 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ087-096-099-SCZ024-033-058-059-072300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Dillon-Marion-Central Horry-Northern Horry-
646 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 189 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

dch

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
625 PM EDT FRI MAY 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     HAIL             1 NE CLYDE              34.40N  80.16W
05/06/2022  M0.75 INCH       DARLINGTON         SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PINE RIDGE

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM2200158

TRA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
631 PM EDT FRI MAY 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0619 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W CLYDE               34.38N  80.21W
05/06/2022                   DARLINGTON         SC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINES AND 4 TREES BLOWN DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION
            OF WEST OLD CAMDEN RD. AND ASHLAND RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM2200159

TRA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
633 PM EDT FRI MAY 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     HAIL             1 E HARTSVILLE          34.37N  80.07W
05/06/2022  M1.00 INCH       DARLINGTON         SC   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM2200160

TRA

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
644 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-062315-
Marion SC-Marlboro SC-Florence SC-Dillon SC-Darlington SC-
644 PM EDT Fri May 6 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Florence, southwestern Dillon, southeastern Darlington, northwestern
Marion and south central Marlboro Counties through 715 PM EDT...

At 644 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Timmonsville, or near Florence, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Florence, Dillon, Latta, Quinby, Sellers, Blue Brick, Mars Bluff,
Effingham, Brownsville, Oak Grove, Florence Darlington Technical
College Main Campus, Francis Marion University, Bingham, Floydale,
Claussen, Carolinas Hospital System, Mcleod Regional Medical Center,
Mcleod Medical Center, Carolinas Hospital System - Cedar Tower and
Health South Rehabilitation Hospital.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 20 between mile markers 134 and 141.
 Interstate 95 in South Carolina between mile markers 155 and 193.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
northeastern South Carolina. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch also remains
in effect until 1000 PM EDT for northeastern South Carolina.

&&

LAT...LON 3403 7978 3421 7999 3449 7944 3435 7923
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 231DEG 52KT 3419 7988

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Boatman

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
653 PM EDT FRI MAY 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     HAIL             1 WSW WALLACE           34.72N  79.84W
05/06/2022  E1.00 INCH       MARLBORO           SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ON HIGHWAY 9 IN WALLACE

&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM2200162

TRA