Alert archive / New Hampshire / Tornado Warnings in 2022

Tornado Warning 4, NWS Gray, ME

July 21, 2022Grafton County, Merrimack County, Sullivan County, New Hampshire

NWS Gray, ME issued this tornado warning at Jul 21, 2022, 1:42 PM EDT for Grafton County, Merrimack County, Sullivan County, New Hampshire. It was in force for 33 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2022, 1:42 PM EDT (17:42 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2022, 2:15 PM EDT
In force
33 min
Issued by
NWS Gray, ME
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.0 in

Counties Grafton County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Sullivan County, NH

The radar

The Burlington radar (KCXX), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 21, 1:54 PM EDTTSTM WND DMGGrantham, NHDELAYED REPORT. MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AND TREES ON WIRE THROUGHOUT TOWN. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 21, 11:37 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 158 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2022-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 503 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2022-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
503 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1489 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

503 
WFUS51 KGYX 211742
TORGYX
NHC009-013-019-211815-
/O.NEW.KGYX.TO.W.0004.220721T1742Z-220721T1815Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Gray ME
142 PM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

The National Weather Service in Gray Maine has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northeastern Sullivan County in central New Hampshire...
  South central Grafton County in northern New Hampshire...
  Northwestern Merrimack County in central New Hampshire...

* Until 215 PM EDT.
    
* At 141 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Newport, or 8 miles northeast of Claremont, moving
  east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Enfield around 210 PM EDT.
  Grafton around 215 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Croydon, Springfield, Wilmot, Grantham, Orange, Sunapee, Cornish and
Plainfield.

This includes Interstate 89 between mile markers 34 and 47.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4340 7227 4350 7228 4365 7195 4341 7190
TIME...MOT...LOC 1741Z 252DEG 24KT 4346 7222 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

ARNOTT
2 follow-up statements
727 
WWUS51 KGYX 211756
SVSGYX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
156 PM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

NHC009-013-019-211815-
/O.CON.KGYX.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-220721T1815Z/
Sullivan NH-Grafton NH-Merrimack NH-
156 PM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN SULLIVAN...SOUTH CENTRAL GRAFTON AND NORTHWESTERN
MERRIMACK COUNTIES...
    
At 156 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles northwest of New London, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Grafton around 220 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Wilmot, Croydon, Grantham, Springfield, Orange and Sunapee.

This includes Interstate 89 between mile markers 35 and 45.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4342 7217 4351 7218 4365 7195 4341 7190
TIME...MOT...LOC 1756Z 252DEG 24KT 4349 7209 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

ARNOTT
284 
WWUS51 KGYX 211809
SVSGYX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
209 PM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

NHC009-013-019-211818-
/O.EXP.KGYX.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-220721T1815Z/
Sullivan NH-Grafton NH-Merrimack NH-
209 PM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SULLIVAN...SOUTH CENTRAL
GRAFTON AND NORTHWESTERN MERRIMACK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 215 PM
EDT...
    
The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning will be 
allowed to be expired. However, large hail and damaging winds remain 
likely and a Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the 
area. 

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northern and central New Hampshire.

LAT...LON 4342 7217 4351 7218 4365 7195 4341 7190
TIME...MOT...LOC 1808Z 252DEG 24KT 4352 7198 

$$

ARNOTT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gray, ME wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jul 21, 10:49 AM EDT, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 21, 10:49 AM EDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
1049 AM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Hot and humid conditions continue today with afternoon showers
and thunderstorms, some likely severe, expected with a passing
cold front. While it will turn a bit drier behind this
front...temperatures will remain very warm with low to mid 90s
expected across southern areas on Friday. The heat continues to
build through the weekend, with the highest temperatures
expected on Sunday. The next chance for showers and storms will
arrive with another cold front late Sunday through Monday. High
pressure then brings more seasonable temperatures by midweek
next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
1045 AM Update... Performed a quick refresh of temperatures and
dew points based on the latest few rounds of surface
observations. PoPs were also tweaked based on radar trends and
some new forecast model guidance but overall the changes were
negligible. Radar and satellite imagery shows a developing
broken line of thunderstorms located across Quebec down through
northern NY and this line of storms is expected to continue to
move eastward before approaching the CT River Valley by around
noon. The latest SPC mesoanalysis shows that surface heating has
already eroded the small amount of CIN that was present earlier
this morning with surface based CAPE already approaching 1500
J/KG and effective bulk shear of around 40 kts. MLCAPE is
forecast to increase to around 1500 J/KG as these storms
approach western NH and therefore the threat for locally
damaging winds and hail remains. While the threat for a tornado
is considerably lower it also cannot be ruled out given 0-1KM
SRH in excess of 100 m2s-2 and decent directional wind shear.
Storms are expected to diminish in intensity as they move east
towards the coast of ME due to a marine influence. The rest of
the forecast remains largely unchanged.

Previously...
720 AM Update... Just some minor near term tweaks to skies and
temperatures. Looking to satellite... the fog bank is starting
to advected north past Cape Cod and should arrive to the
MidCoast during the afternoon.

Previously...
Heat and humidity today provides ample support for
thunderstorms when a cold front arrives later this afternoon and
evening. A compact upper level low will swing across the Ottawa
Valley today into Quebec today, becoming nearly stacked and
negatively oriented as it does so... which will send a south-
southwesterly jet into New England ahead of the system's surface
cold front. This jet and its pre-frontal trough will drive most
of the convection expected today... pushing through the
Connecticut River Valley early in the afternoon, and across into
Maine through the late afternoon and evening hours. Mixing will
be strong ahead of the front, which will support
destabilization and produce another uncomfortably warm and muggy
day otherwise.

Temperatures will rise quickly this morning under filtered sunshine
as a southerly breeze works in, on the way to highs ranging from the
upper-80s across the north to the mid-90s toward the southern
interior. Once again, the place to be for cooler temperatures will
be the Midcoast where southerly flow brings in cooler marine air.
Filtered sunshine and heat leave me a bit dubious for mixing down
dry temperatures much below the model mean...with the forecast
showing dew points around 70 degrees, except a little lower in the
mountains. Thus heat indices are a little higher than prior
forecasts, and I have expanded the heat advisory by another few
zones counties as a result.

By around noon, convective initiation should be well underway
upstream over the Champlain Valley ahead of the approaching cold
front. Thus storms will be on an upward trend as they track into
the Connecticut River Valley during the early afternoon.
Convective parms suggest any convective hazard will be possible,
although damaging winds are the primary threat due to precip
loading and steep LL lapse rates amid the well mixed boundary
layer. Although shear magnitude isn't particularly
spectacular... about 30-40 kts through the 0-6 km layer... much
of this will come through the low and mid levels, perpendicular
to frontal movement, which should still allow for good
mesocyclone organization, and aid in hail formation and
especially downbursts. Broken line segments leave a non-zero
threat for tornadoes, but likely of the brief and weak variety
at bookends and breaks. PWATs surging to about 2" will support
downpours which may be hazardous for driving, although storm
movement should prevent a significant flash flooding threat.

Storms will likely be at their peak intensity in New Hampshire
into the western Maine mountains and Sebago region, then start a
downward trend with the loss of surface heating heading into
the evening hours. At the same time a marine fog bank likely is
drawn inland as the convection nears, which will undercut
instability even more. Thus, concur with SPC SWODY1 with a
marginal risk over I95 corridor and to the coast vs the slight
risk elsewhere. By about sunset, scattered showers and perhaps
an isolated storm should remain as the front reaches the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
The cold front and associated showers race eastward late this
evening, exiting Downeast by around midnight with drier air
working in from the west in its wake. HIRES guidance suggests
the front won't quite clear low level moisture over the Midcoast
and perhaps into the Capitol region in time for sunset, so I'd
imagine overnight fog and low stratus will still be present over
the Midcoast. Low temperatures will be somewhat cooler than
recent nights, into the 60s except near 70 still in the lower
Merrimack River Valley.

Friday will still be pretty warm with t850 only a couple degrees
lower than Thursday... but with better mixing and lower
humidity. High temperatures will thus be in the upper-80s to
mid-90s get again, but with heat indices a few degrees cooler
with a steady westerly breeze turning southerly along the coast
with the seabreeze. The base of a longwave trough overhead
approaches late in the afternoon... bringing some chance of a
stray shower. With capping and drier air however, have opted
against including this in the forecast.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Overview...

Heat continues for the weekend as a trough centered near Hudson
Bay and ridging across the southern US and western Atlantic
continues to transport hot conditions into New England. The heat
peaks this weekend, then a cold front Sunday night is expected
to bring more seasonable temps as high pressure from Canada
builds in early next week.

Details...

Saturday is expected to be another hot day with most areas
outside of the higher terrain warming into the 90s. The higher
terrain and MidCoast will likely top out in the upper 80s, while
even southern coastlines reach the low 90s. The airmass will
likely still be pretty dry, with dew points in the upper 50s to
low 60s keeping heat indices close to the air temperatures.

The heat is expected to peak on Sunday. Increasing
southwesterly flow ahead of a cold front will aide with deep
mixing of the highest temperatures aloft of the week Sunday
afternoon. Dew points will likely also be higher Sunday morning,
in the mid to upper 60s, but will drop by a few degrees as
mixing increases by the afternoon. The increasing southwesterly
flow will again shield the MidCoast from the hottest
temperatures, with the southern coasts likely fluctuating along
the sea breeze front through the day. The highest temperatures
are expected to top out in the upper 90s across southern New
Hampshire, with some 100 degree readings not out of the
question.

Both the Euro and its ensemble suite have been delaying the
arrival of a cold front for late this weekend over the last
several runs. Originally a question of if the front would limit
Sunday's heat, it now looks like the front may not even be
through until Monday afternoon. This will keep the chance for
showers and storms around Sunday night and Monday, as well as
bring dew points into the 70s for Monday. We'll continue to
watch the trend of this front, with any more delays likely
leading to higher temperatures on Monday.

By Tuesday, there is a stronger consensus that the front will
be through and seasonable temperatures will return, along with
lower dew points. Conditions look to remain dry into midweek as
high pressure controls the pattern across New England.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Short Term...VFR dominates for now, with and increasing
southerly wind gusting to around 20 kts during the day. Showers
and storms will enter the forecast area from the west during the
afternoon with strong, gusty winds and downpours leading to
brief IFR or worse conditions. Showers and storms exit to the
east and dissipate after about 00Z with VFR returning other than
some patchy ground fog overnight. The exception is the Midcoast
of Maine including RKD... who may be socked into low ceilings
and fog through the overnight. This should lift out with sunrise
Friday, allowing VFR to dominate at all terminals with a light
southwest wind... turning southerly along the coast.

Long Term...VFR conditions are expected into Sunday. Showers
and thunderstorms are then possible Sunday night and Monday,
with VFR conditions expected outside of these. VFR conditions
are then expected through midweek next week.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...Southerly flow and marine fog gradually increase
today, peaking this evening with gusts around 25 knots and seas
coming up to about 4-6 ft ahead of a front. Showers and storms,
possibly containing strong, gusty winds accompany the front and
cross into the waters during the evening. Winds back to the
southwest overnight behind the front with clearing conditions
and diminishing winds/waves. Southerly flow returns tomorrow up
to about 15-20 kts.

Long Term...Southwesterly winds around 20kts and seas of 3-4
feet are expected on Saturday. SCA conditions are then possible
Sunday through Monday with increasing southwesterly flow ahead
of a cold front. High pressure then builds in behind the front
with generally tranquil conditions expected into midweek next
week.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for MEZ018.
NH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NHZ006-008>010-
     012-013-015.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EDT
     this evening for ANZ152-154.

&&

Update..Tubbs
SHORT TERM...Casey
LONG TERM...Clair
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 21, 5:30 AM EDT, 8 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
530 AM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

NHZ008-010-012-013-220930-
Merrimack-Strafford-Eastern Hillsborough-Interior Rockingham-
530 AM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Hampshire and
southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening, and will be capable of producing strong to damaging wind
gusts and hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Heat indices in the upper 90s to low 100s are possible this weekend,
especially Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MEZ018-NHZ006-009-015-220930-
Interior York-Southern Carroll-Belknap-
Western And Central Hillsborough-
530 AM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Maine, New
Hampshire, central New Hampshire and northern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening, and will be capable of producing strong to damaging wind
gusts and hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Heat indices in the upper 90s are possible this weekend, especially
Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MEZ012>014-019>024-033-NHZ003>005-007-011-014-220930-
Southern Oxford-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-
Central Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-
Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Interior Cumberland Highlands-
Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Sullivan-Cheshire-
Coastal Rockingham-
530 AM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine,
southwest Maine, western Maine, central New Hampshire, northern New
Hampshire and southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and
evening, and will be capable of producing strong to damaging wind
gusts and hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Heat indices in the mid to upper 90s are possible this weekend,
especially Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MEZ007>009-025>028-NHZ001-002-220930-
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-
Knox-Coastal Waldo-Northern Coos-Southern Coos-
530 AM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Maine, west
central Maine, western Maine and northern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and
evening, and will be capable of producing strong to damaging wind
gusts and hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ150>154-220930-
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out 25 NM-
Casco Bay-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
530 AM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Gusty thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 21, 10:37 AM EDT, 3 hours 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
1037 AM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-033-NHZ001>015-211600-
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-
Southern Oxford-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-
Central Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-
Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-
Coastal Waldo-Interior Cumberland Highlands-Northern Coos-
Southern Coos-Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-
Southern Carroll-Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-Strafford-Cheshire-
Eastern Hillsborough-Interior Rockingham-Coastal Rockingham-
Western And Central Hillsborough-
Including the cities of Upton, Wilsons Mills, Andover, Byron,
Middle Dam, Roxbury, South Arm, Coburn Gore, Davis, Oquossoc,
Rangeley, Avon, Kingfield, Phillips, New Portland, Brassua,
Long Pond, Moosehead, Pittston Farm, Seboomook, Bingham, Jackman,
Bethel, Bryant Pond, Hanover, Locke Mills, Milton, Newry,
Rumford, Norway, Fryeburg, Oxford, Farmington, New Sharon,
New Vineyard, Temple, Wilton, Chesterville, Jay, Athens,
Cornville, Skowhegan, Palmyra, Pittsfield, Embden, Madison,
Hollis, Alfred, Lebanon, Sanford, Goodwins Mills, Buxton,
Limington, Berwick, New Gloucester, Gray, North Windham, Gorham,
Greene, Lewiston, Sabattus, Wales, Minot, Turner, Auburn,
Livermore Falls, Augusta, Sidney, Windsor, Vassalboro,
Waterville, China, Palermo, Brooks, Jackson, Knox, Liberty,
Montville, Morrill, Waldo, Winterport, Unity, Biddeford, Saco,
Old Orchard Beach, Kittery, Portland, Cape Elizabeth,
South Portland, Westbrook, Yarmouth, Brunswick, Arrowsic, Bath,
Phippsburg, Bowdoinham, Topsham, Bowdoin, Whitefield, Dresden,
Alna, Bremen, Bristol, Damariscotta, Newcastle, Boothbay Harbor,
Wiscasset, Waldoboro, Owls Head, Rockland, Appleton, Camden,
Hope, Rockport, Thomaston, Belfast, Northport, Searsmont,
Lincolnville, Bridgton, Harrison, Naples, Errol, Millsfield,
Colebrook, Berlin, Dummer, Milan, York Pond, Lancaster,
Bethlehem, Lincoln, Littleton, Sugar Hill, Thornton,
Waterville Valley, Woodstock, North Conway, Albany, Conway,
Chatham, Crawford Notch, Lyme, Ashland, Ellsworth, Holderness,
Plymouth, Rumney, Wakefield, Bridgewater, Brookfield, Ossipee,
Tuftonboro, Wolfeboro, Moultonborough, Claremont, Cornish,
Croydon, Goshen, Grantham, Lempster, Newport, Charlestown,
Boscawen, Canterbury, Concord, Dunbarton, Loudon, Hooksett,
Laconia, Gilford, Meredith, Barrington, Rochester, Dover,
Rollinsford, Somersworth, Durham, Madbury, Gilsum, Keene, Marlow,
Sullivan, Surry, Jaffrey, Manchester, Pelham, Nashua, Salem,
Atkinson, Newton, Plaistow, Chester, Derry, Hampstead, Exeter,
Greenland, Portsmouth, Rye, Hampton, Hampton Falls,
North Hampton, Seabrook, Amherst, Milford, Mont Vernon,
Goffstown, Peterborough, Sharon, and Weare
1037 AM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

...Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Are Possible This
Afternoon into Early This Evening...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon
into early this evening as a cold front crosses through the
region. Some may become locally severe and produce damaging wind
gusts, hail, and briefly heavy rainfall. While the threat is low,
a brief isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop along the Connecticut River
Valley of western New Hampshire as soon as noon before moving
east-northeast into western Maine through this afternoon and early
evening. The thunderstorms are expected to gradually diminish in
intensity as they approach the coast due to a marine influence.
The period of greatest risk for strong to severe thunderstorms is
between 100 and 800 PM.

Make sure to have multiple ways to receive statements and
warnings, and stay tuned to local media, television, and radio
outlets on this developing weather situation.

Tubbs
Local storm report, Jul 21, 11:22 AM EDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1122 AM EDT THU JUL 21 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1022 PM     TORNADO          2 NW SPOFFORD           42.93N 72.45W
07/18/2022                   CHESHIRE           NH   NWS STORM SURVEY

            A VERY BRIEF BUT DAMAGING TORNADO TOUCHED
            DOWN IN CHESTERFIELD, NH MONDAY NIGHT AS A
            THUNDERSTORM MOVED THROUGH THE AREA. EF-0
            DAMAGE WAS INITIALLY OBSERVED ON MILL POND
            RD BEFORE THE TORNADO BECAME STRONGER AND
            CAUSED SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE SUPPORTING
            EF-1 CLASSIFICATION JUST NORTH OF MILL POND.
            THE TORNADO BEGAN TO LIFT SHORTLY AFTER THE
            EF-1 DAMAGE WITH SPORADIC EF-0 DAMAGE BEFORE
            QUICKLY ENDING. THE TORNADO DAMAGED
            APPROXIMATELY 200 TREES WITH A FEW
            OUTBUILDINGS BEING DESTROYED ON THE
            PROPERTY. TREE DAMAGE INCLUDED UPROOTED
            HARDWOODS AND SOFTWOODS, ALONG WITH SNAPPED
            TREES. FORTUNATELY NO PERMANENT RESIDENTUAL
            STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WAS REPORTED BESIDES
            DEBRIS CLEAN UP.

&&

DD
Special weather statement, Jul 21, 1:12 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
112 PM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

NHZ005-007-008-211800-
Merrimack NH-Southern Grafton NH-Sullivan NH-
112 PM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Sullivan,
southwestern Grafton and northwestern Merrimack Counties through 200
PM EDT...

At 111 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ascutney, or near Claremont, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Claremont, Lebanon, Franklin, New London, Grafton, Hanover,
Charlestown, Enfield, Canaan, Danbury, Groton, Newport, Bristol,
Grantham, Andover, Lyme, Cornish, Hill, Croydon and Hebron.

This includes Interstate 89 between mile markers 30 and 56.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northern and central New Hampshire.

&&

LAT...LON 4339 7240 4345 7239 4347 7239 4349 7238
      4351 7240 4354 7238 4356 7238 4384 7195
      4342 7164 4333 7239 4335 7240 4336 7239
      4336 7241 4338 7242
TIME...MOT...LOC 1711Z 244DEG 28KT 4345 7235

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

ARNOTT
Special weather statement, Jul 21, 1:14 PM EDT, 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
114 PM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

NHZ003-005-211800-
Northern Grafton NH-Southern Grafton NH-
114 PM EDT Thu Jul 21 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Grafton
County through 200 PM EDT...

At 114 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Norwich, or 7 miles north of White River Junction, moving east at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lebanon, Lincoln, Hanover, Haverhill, Canaan, Groton, Piermont,
Woodstock, Lyme, Lisbon, Bath, Benton, Dorchester, Easton, Ellsworth,
Wentworth, Rumney, Landaff, Sugar Hill and Orford.

This includes Interstate 89 between mile markers 56 and 60.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northern New Hampshire.

&&

LAT...LON 4369 7231 4377 7220 4381 7218 4386 7219
      4392 7212 4394 7212 4397 7209 4397 7211
      4399 7212 4406 7207 4408 7203 4409 7205
      4410 7203 4411 7206 4413 7203 4416 7204
      4427 7180 4383 7168 4361 7232 4362 7233
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 256DEG 41KT 4376 7233

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

ARNOTT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gray, ME issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 1:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGYXSullivan48 min
Jul 21, 1:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGYXGrafton46 min
Jul 21, 1:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton, Merrimack, Sullivan57 min
Jul 21, 1:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos67 min
Jul 21, 1:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton59 min
Jul 21, 2:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGYXCheshire42 min
Jul 21, 2:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Carroll, Grafton, Merrimack, Sullivan67 min
Jul 21, 2:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton49 min
Jul 21, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCheshire62 min
Jul 21, 2:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos67 min
Jul 21, 2:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCarroll54 min
Jul 21, 3:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXHillsborough, Merrimack67 min
Jul 21, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCarroll66 min
Jul 21, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCheshire, Hillsborough62 min
Jul 21, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXHillsborough, Merrimack, Rockingham46 min
Jul 21, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Carroll, Grafton, Merrimack51 min
Jul 21, 4:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXHillsborough, Rockingham66 min
Jul 21, 4:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCheshire, Sullivan42 min
Jul 21, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCheshire48 min
Jul 21, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXRockingham, Strafford52 min
Jul 21, 5:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXHillsborough, Merrimack56 min
Jul 21, 5:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCheshire30 min
Jul 21, 5:58 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGYXCheshire92 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in New Hampshire, 2022Every tornado warning in 2022Tornadoes in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.