Wind Advisory 8, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

649 
WWUS72 KGSP 070944
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
Issued by National Weather Service Columbia SC
444 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

NCZ033-035>037-048>050-053-056-057-069-501>506-080000-
/O.EXB.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.220307T1500Z-220308T0000Z/
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-
Catawba-Rowan-Lincoln-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-
Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Bethlehem, 
Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, 
Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, 
Advance, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, 
Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, 
Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Asheville, Hickory, 
Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, Lincolnton, Crouse, Patterson, 
Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge, 
Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, Sugar Hill, 
Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, 
and Glenwood
444 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 to 50
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of piedmont and western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ051-052-058-059-080000-
/O.EXT.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-220308T0000Z/
Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-
Including the cities of Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, 
Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, 
Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, and Sylva
444 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING ABOVE
3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 to 50 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Swain, Haywood, Graham 
  and Northern Jackson Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

awp

955 
WWUS72 KGSP 071426
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
Issued by National Weather Service Columbia SC
926 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

NCZ033-035>037-048>050-053-056-057-069-501>506-072230-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.220307T1500Z-220308T0000Z/
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-
Catawba-Rowan-Lincoln-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-
Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Bethlehem, 
Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, 
Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, 
Advance, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, 
Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, 
Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Asheville, 
Black Mountain, Candler, Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, 
Salisbury, Lincolnton, Crouse, Patterson, Kings Creek, Lenoir, 
Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, 
Valdese, Ashford, Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, 
Dysartsville, Fero, and Glenwood
926 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 to 50 
  mph expected. 

* WHERE...Portions of piedmont and western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ051-052-058-059-072230-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-220308T0000Z/
Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-
Including the cities of Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, 
Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, 
Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, and Sylva
926 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 to 50 
  mph expected. 

* WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Swain, Haywood, Graham 
  and Northern Jackson Counties. 

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

464 
WWUS72 KGSP 071602
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1102 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

NCZ033-035>037-048>050-053-056-057-069-501>506-080000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-220308T0000Z/
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-
Catawba-Rowan-Lincoln-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-
Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Bethlehem, 
Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, 
Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, 
Advance, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, 
Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, 
Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Asheville, Hickory, 
Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, Lincolnton, Crouse, Patterson, 
Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge, 
Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, Sugar Hill, 
Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, 
and Glenwood
1102 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 to 50 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of piedmont and western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ051-052-058-059-080000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-220308T0000Z/
Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-
Including the cities of Waynesville and Tuckasegee
1102 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 to 50 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Swain, Haywood, Graham 
  and Northern Jackson Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Krentz

258 
WWUS72 KGSP 072352
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
652 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

NCZ033-035>037-048>050-053-056-057-069-501>506-080100-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-220308T0000Z/
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-
Catawba-Rowan-Lincoln-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-
Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Bethlehem, 
Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, 
Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, 
Advance, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, 
Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, 
Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Asheville, Hickory, 
Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, Lincolnton, Crouse, Patterson, 
Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge, 
Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, Sugar Hill, 
Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, 
and Glenwood
652 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

Breezy conditions will persist through the evening hours as a cold
front and associated showers cross the region. However, wind gusts
should be around 30 mph or less going forward and the Wind
Advisory will be permitted to expire on schedule at 7 pm EST.

$$

NCZ051-052-058-059-080100-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-220308T0000Z/
Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-
Including the cities of Waynesville and Tuckasegee
652 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

Breezy conditions will persist through the evening hours. However,
wind gusts should be around 30 mph or less going forward and the 
Wind Advisory will be permitted to expire on schedule at 7 pm EST.

$$

HG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
224 PM EST Sun Mar 6 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Warm high pressure will dominate the pattern into Monday before an
active cold front approaches the mountains Monday evening and
crosses east early Tuesday. This front will stall south of the
forecast area through the remainder of the week while interacting
waves of upper energy bring a chance of rain each day.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 151 PM: The fcst looked like it was in good shape, with partly
cloudy sky allowing temps to climb up near record territory. Won't
rule out a few sprinkles in the SW upslope areas of the mtns.

The latest model guidance continues to show the broad mid/upper
ridge along the southeastern coast/wrn Atlantic holding the cold
front to our west at bay for another 24 hours or so. That will
spell another mild night with low temps on the order of 15 degrees
above normal. Most of the region will stay dry as we lack mid/upper
forcing and isentropic lift. The low level flow will veer to a more
southwesterly direction, which will favor some mechanical lift along
the SW-facing ridges over southwest NC from late evening onward, so
low precip chances develop in the early morning hours and continue
into daytime Monday. The front will finally make some eastward
progress on Monday as a shortwave lifts out of the mean upper
trof to our west. Mid/upper forcing should move in from the west
in the afternoon, driving the frontal precip into the mtns around
mid-afternoon. The severity of convection along the front is the
main concern. Fortunately, this is fully within the range of the
12Z HREF. The HREF is not particularly impressed with our severe
thunderstorm chances, it seems, as updraft strength is minimal
and updraft helicity weakens as it reaches the mtns. That being
said, several of the convection-allowing models bring a linear high
reflectivity feature across the TN valley and into the NC mountains
around 20Z to 21Z, suggesting enough organization to mount at least
some damaging wind threat to the NC mtns in the late afternoon. We
will maintain the mention in the HWO to account for this. Precip
probs climb substantially in the mid/late afternoon over the mtns,
but most of the area east of the mtns will keep relatively modest
precip chances through the end of the daytime period. High temps
will be well above normal once again.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 1250 PM EST Sunday...A surface front continues to cross the FA
early Tue with some convec possible across the srn zones. Not
expecting a svr potential as instability wanes quickly and becomes
elevated. Deep layered shear remains quite high, however, and a
couple storms could still produce stg, yet sub-severe, outflows.
Surface winds become nw/ly and the llvls dry out enuf for a limited
precip potential Tue with good coverage of mid and upper clouds
persisting. As a sfc high nudges in from the NE, temps will be held
a little cooler in the ne/en zones or right arnd or a bit below
normal, while highs reach abt 5 degrees abv normal south.

As the sfc front pushes toward the coast and broadens out, a series
of mlvl vort waves will move in from the southwest and interact
with a moistening sfc wedge, which will likely yield widespread
precip Tue night into Wed. The srn BR escarpment will be a favored
area for better precip rates and accum as upslope flow enhances
lift. For now, have 1-2 inches of rain thru a general 15-hr period,
which could spawn localized minor flooding issues. The deep-layered
cloudiness and precip will keep temps a couple degrees below normal
Wed, while reduced cooling allows mins abt 10 degrees abv normal
each day.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 125 PM EST Sunday...The pattern remains active thru most of
the ext range as a coastal sfc front remains aligned within deep
layered sw/ly flow. Another series of embedded s/w energy will eject
out of a wrn h5 trof and track across the area beginning Wed evening
and this will once again interact with the sfc bndry and a quickly
moistening llvl wedge. So, expect increasing precip chances Thu with
generally low-end precip amts. Not a great setup for deep convec as
the column moistens and the mlvls warm. The better rainfall amts on
Thu will occur across the far sw/rn zones near the wedge bndry where
up to an inch of accum is likely, then more lower-end rain across the
wrn Upstate and NE GA Fri as the wedge begins to retract ahead of an
advancing cold front.

By Fri evening the cold front will impinge upon the wrn NC mtns and
bring a good shot of precip with snow across the higher elevations
thru the overnight. The latest GFS is more widespread with a
snowfall potential as it brings in a deep layered thickness trof
quicker and broader than the ECMWF. In fact, the GFS would have snow
developing outside the mtns into the NC fthills and Piedmont thru
12z. However, this soln is being tempered with the warmer ECMWF and
the GEFS ensemble mean keeping snowfall confined to the higher
elevations. Outside of lingering upslope clouds and NWFS, the atmos
dries out quickly Sat afternoon and remains dry thru Sun as a
modified cP airmass engulfs the region. Max and min temps are
expected right arnd normal Thu/Fri then fall 8-10 degrees below
normal for the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Now that the lowest cloud deck has scattered
out allowing the boundary layer to warm and deepen, conditions
should be VFR at all terminals through most of the period. Cloud
bases this afternoon will lift from 035 to 050 with more warming
and brief periods of temporary bkn ceiling are expected east of the
mtns. Wind will be occasionally gusty from the SSW, and then will
go light S with sunset. Apart from some upslope low clouds over
the SW mtns, the guidance suggests that veering low level flow
will be less conducive to the development of an MVFR/IFR ceiling
restriction in the morning, compared to the last few days. For now,
we keep the low clouds scattered on Monday morning. A cold front
will approach from the west on Monday with improving SW flow at
low levels into the afternoon. Model guidance keeps the frontal
precip to the west through the end of the period, however, so all
terminals stay dry, including KCLT.

Outlook: Precip chances return Monday afternoon/evening ahead of
a cold front slowly approaching from the west, with associated
restrictions expected Monday night. Some improvement could happen
Tuesday if the cold front makes it to the coast, but moisture
should return for Wednesday onward with flight restrictions expected
at times.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...SBK
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...PM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
154 PM EST Sun Mar 6 2022

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-053-056-057-063>065-068>072-
082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-071900-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-
Davie-Buncombe-Catawba-Rowan-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood-
154 PM EST Sun Mar 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062-071900-
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-
Macon-
154 PM EST Sun Mar 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected Monday afternoon
into Monday night. A few of these storms may become severe, and will
be capable of producing damaging winds, small hail, and frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.