Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2022

Wind Advisory 3, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

January 2, 20225 counties in Georgia; 8 counties in South Carolina; 13 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Jan 2, 2022, 10:06 PM EST for 5 counties in Georgia; 8 counties in South Carolina; 13 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Jan 3, 2022, 2:00 AM EST. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 2, 2022, 10:06 PM EST (03:06 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 3, 2022, 2:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 3, 2022, 11:55 AM EST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
All 26 counties

Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hart County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Alexander County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Union County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 204 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2022-01-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2022-01-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 40 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-65 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1335 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

312 
WWUS72 KGSP 030306
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1006 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

SCZ001>003-031115-
/O.UPG.KGSP.WI.Y.0002.220103T0700Z-220103T1900Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.W.0001.220103T0700Z-220103T1900Z/
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Including the cities of Mountain Rest, Walhalla, Pumpkintown, 
Tigerville, Gowensville, Cleveland, and Slater-Marietta
1006 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Oconee Mountains, Pickens Mountains and Greenville 
  Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 2 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ005>009-012>014-031115-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0003.220103T0700Z-220103T1900Z/
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-
Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-
Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-
Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, 
Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Statesville, Mooresville, 
Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, Advance, Hickory, Newton, 
St. Stephens, Salisbury, Shelby, Kings Mountain, Lincolnton, 
Crouse, Gastonia, Charlotte, Concord, Kannapolis, Monroe, 
Trinity, Indian Trail, Weddington, Easley, Dacusville, Clemson, 
Greenville, Taylors, Greer, Mauldin, Fork Shoals, Simpsonville, 
Berea, Spartanburg, Gaffney, Catawba, Rock Hill, Laurens, 
Clinton, Union, Monarch Mills, Chester, Cornwell, and Great Falls
1006 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of Upstate South Carolina and Piedmont North 
  Carolina.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 2 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

MPR
4 follow-up statements
037 
WWUS72 KGSP 030500
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1200 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

SCZ001>003-031300-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0001.220103T0700Z-220103T1900Z/
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Including the cities of Mountain Rest, Walhalla, Pumpkintown, 
Tigerville, Gowensville, Cleveland, and Slater-Marietta
1200 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Oconee Mountains, Pickens Mountains and Greenville 
  Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 2 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ508-510-SCZ004-010-011-019-031300-
/O.EXA.KGSP.WI.Y.0003.220103T0700Z-220103T1900Z/
Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Greater Rutherford-
Eastern Polk-Greater Oconee-Anderson-Abbeville-Greenwood-
Including the cities of Cornelia, Demorest, Clarkesville, 
Hollywood, Boydville, Toccoa, Royston, Gumlog, Lavonia, 
Franklin Springs, Canon, Hartwell, Nuberg, Reed Creek, Elberton, 
Fortsonia, Middleton, Ruckersville, Forest City, Rutherfordton, 
Spindale, Tryon, Columbus, Mill Spring, Seneca, Oakway, Anderson,
Abbeville, Calhoun Falls, Ware Shoals, and Ninety Six
1200 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of upstate South Carolina, northeast Georgia 
  and western North Carolina.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 2 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ005>009-012>014-031300-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0003.220103T0700Z-220103T1900Z/
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-
Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-
Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-
Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville, 
Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Statesville, Mooresville, 
Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, Advance, Hickory, Newton, 
St. Stephens, Salisbury, Shelby, Kings Mountain, Lincolnton, 
Crouse, Gastonia, Charlotte, Concord, Kannapolis, Monroe, 
Trinity, Indian Trail, Weddington, Easley, Dacusville, Clemson, 
Greenville, Taylors, Greer, Mauldin, Fork Shoals, Simpsonville, 
Berea, Spartanburg, Gaffney, Catawba, Rock Hill, Laurens, 
Clinton, Union, Monarch Mills, Chester, Cornwell, and Great Falls
1200 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of Upstate South Carolina and Piedmont North 
  Carolina.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 2 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
502 
WWUS72 KGSP 031018
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
518 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

SCZ001>003-031830-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220103T1900Z/
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Including the cities of Mountain Rest, Walhalla, Pumpkintown, 
Tigerville, Gowensville, Cleveland, and Slater-Marietta
518 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...Greenville Mountains, Oconee Mountains and Pickens 
  Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation could briefly mix with or
  change over to wet snow before ending this morning. An
  accumulation of perhaps up to one inch could occur, mainly on
  grassy surfaces.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510-
SCZ004>014-019-031830-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-220103T1900Z/
Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-
Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-
Union NC-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood-
Including the cities of Cornelia, Demorest, Clarkesville, 
Hollywood, Boydville, Toccoa, Royston, Gumlog, Lavonia, 
Franklin Springs, Canon, Hartwell, Nuberg, Reed Creek, Elberton, 
Fortsonia, Middleton, Ruckersville, Bethlehem, Ellendale, 
Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Statesville, 
Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, Advance, 
Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, Shelby, Kings Mountain,
Lincolnton, Crouse, Gastonia, Charlotte, Concord, Kannapolis, 
Monroe, Trinity, Indian Trail, Weddington, Forest City, 
Rutherfordton, Spindale, Tryon, Columbus, Mill Spring, Seneca, 
Oakway, Easley, Dacusville, Clemson, Greenville, Taylors, Greer, 
Mauldin, Fork Shoals, Simpsonville, Berea, Spartanburg, Gaffney, 
Catawba, Rock Hill, Anderson, Abbeville, Calhoun Falls, Laurens, 
Clinton, Union, Monarch Mills, Chester, Cornwell, Great Falls, 
Ware Shoals, and Ninety Six
518 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of upstate South Carolina, northeast Georgia 
  and piedmont and western North Carolina.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...some locations east of the Blue Ridge
  Escarpment in North Carolina could see a brief period of wet
  snow this morning before precipitation ends. An accumulation of
  up to one inch is possible over the foothills, and especially
  the South Mountains.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
053 
WWUS72 KGSP 031428
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
928 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

SCZ001>003-031900-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220103T1900Z/
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Including the cities of Mountain Rest, Walhalla, Pumpkintown, 
Tigerville, Gowensville, Cleveland, and Slater-Marietta
928 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Greenville Mountains, Oconee Mountains and Pickens 
  Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind gusts have peaked and will slowly 
  diminish through throughout the afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510-
SCZ004>014-019-031900-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-220103T1900Z/
Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-
Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-
Union NC-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood-
Including the cities of Cornelia, Demorest, Clarkesville, 
Hollywood, Boydville, Toccoa, Royston, Gumlog, Lavonia, 
Franklin Springs, Canon, Hartwell, Nuberg, Reed Creek, Elberton, 
Fortsonia, Middleton, Ruckersville, Bethlehem, Ellendale, 
Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Statesville, 
Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville, Advance, 
Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Salisbury, Shelby, Kings Mountain,
Lincolnton, Crouse, Gastonia, Charlotte, Concord, Kannapolis, 
Monroe, Trinity, Indian Trail, Weddington, Forest City, 
Rutherfordton, Spindale, Tryon, Columbus, Mill Spring, Seneca, 
Oakway, Easley, Dacusville, Clemson, Greenville, Taylors, Greer, 
Mauldin, Fork Shoals, Simpsonville, Berea, Spartanburg, Gaffney, 
Catawba, Rock Hill, Anderson, Abbeville, Calhoun Falls, Laurens, 
Clinton, Union, Monarch Mills, Chester, Cornwell, Great Falls, 
Ware Shoals, and Ninety Six
928 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of upstate South Carolina, northeast Georgia 
  and piedmont and western North Carolina.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind gusts have peaked and will slowly
  diminish through throughout the afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
792 
WWUS72 KGSP 031655
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1155 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

SCZ001>003-031800-
/O.CAN.KGSP.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220103T1900Z/
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
1155 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Breezy conditions will persist this afternoon, but no further
damaging wind gusts are expected. The High Wind Warning has thus
been cancelled.

$$

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510-
SCZ004>014-019-031800-
/O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-220103T1900Z/
Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-
Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-
Union NC-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood-
1155 AM EST Mon Jan 3 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Breezy conditions will persist this afternoon, but no further
strong wind gusts are expected. The Wind Advisory has thus been 
cancelled.

$$

HG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 2, 6:47 PM EST, 3 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 2, 6:47 PM EST, 3 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
647 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A winter storm will impact the region tonight into Monday with
periods of heavy rain and mainly mountain snow along with gusty
winds in its wake. High pressure will be seasonably cold and dry
weather Tuesday into Wednesday with additional active weather
possibly at times Thursday into next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 515 pm EST Sunday: No significant changes to the
forecast. Updated QPF and snow totals for Sunday night/Monday
morning, with not much change warranted. The GFS and HRRR still
appear to be handling the system well, so it's worth keeping a
close eye on their suggestions.

Hazards will run the gamut from snow to severe to heavy rain
to gradient winds over the next 24 hours. The setup includes
a deepening southern stream low pressure system moving toward
the mid/lower MS River Valley this afternoon. The H5 low should
close off over the lower MS River Valley this evening and then
go slightly negative tilt overnight as it crosses GA and moves
over the Savannah River. The associated surface low is expected
to move up the Interstate 85 corridor across our forecast area
through the overnight hours.

One concern will be the potential for severe weather as a 50 kt
850 jet transits the lower piedmont 06Z to 10Z, with a surface low
moving along or near I-85 and uncovering warm sector instability in
the southeast part of the area. The Day 1 Marginal and Slight risk
areas have been adjusted back to northwest accordingly as we should
uncover some 600+ sbCAPE southeast of I-85. The HWO addresses the
possible severe threat, with an isolated tornado mention now added.
Heavy rainfall may also be a concern, with HREF consensus heavy
rain stripes affecting the I-77 corridor region overnight. However,
low stream levels continue to mitigate any flooding potential
somewhat and will hold off on any FFA at present.

Minor adjustments will be made to the Winter Storm Warnings and
Advisories with the high elevation warning expanded down into
Macon and the Advisories expanded across the northern NC foothills.
Uncertainty over accumulations remains very high given the present
very warm profiles, the warm ground, and the speed of the system
overnight through Monday morning. However, the forcing is tremendous
tonight as upper jetlet divergence ahead of the approaching wave
sharpens up quickly this evening. A mid-level deformation zone will
cross the region mainly from 08Z to 12Z and bring locally very heavy
snow rates, at least in the places cold enough for snow. Saturated
geopotential vorticity fields also indicate some thundersnow
could be possible in the heaviest rates late tonight. Amounts
have been boosted to 10 to 12 inches in the highest peaks of the
Smokies. The snow will end as NW upslope snowfall in the TN border
counties Monday, tapering off in the afternoon. Black ice will be
a concern beyond the Warning/Advisory period.

Gradient flow on the back side of the system will warrant a high
winds mention in the WSW product, but will also post a Wind Advisory
in the SC mountains. The wind advisory could need expanding east, as
the HRRR and RAP are trending windier.  Will reconsider this soon.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 210 PM EST Sunday: A stout 1035 mb high will build into the
region Monday night supporting clear skies and light winds. These
conditions combined with expected snow cover across much of the
mountains from the Monday storm may lead to some of the cold
overnight lows this season with mainly 10s across the mountains and
20s to the east.

A power jet streak will dive into the Mississippi Valley Tuesday and
trigger the deepening of a broad trough near the Ohio Valley by
Wednesday. Associated cyclogenesis over the Great Lakes will likely
drive a mostly moisture starved weak cold front through the region
late Wednesday with little consequence outside some increased cloud
focused across western areas. Weak return flow behind the departing
high pressure zonal downslope flow with allow temperatures to
moderate to near normal Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 235 PM EST Sunday: Forecast confidence goes out the window
Thursday into next weekend. General troughiness across the region
should support continued near if not below normal temperatures
through the period. A progressive pattern looks to limit moisture
influx into the region ahead of a possible storm later Thursday or
Friday with somewhat deeper moisture possible with another system
next weekend. Thermal profiles would probably support wintry weather
(with freezing rain possibly mixing in when moisture is shallow as
indicated by some guidance) at times focused across the mountains
and northern tier. High pressure will support sunny, dry, and
seasonably cold conditions in between systems.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Most TAF sites are VFR at present, but
such conditions should not persist for much longer.  MVFR CIG
restrictions should build back in within the next hour or two across
the Upstate, with the possibility for some spotty IFR CIGs mixed
in, which have been handled with TEMPOs at KGSP, KGMU, and KAND.
In keeping with the previous round of TAFs, have kept mention of
snow confined to KAVL and KHKY, with KAVL now sporting a prevailing
-SHSN Monday morning, and at KHKY still only a PROB30 for -SHRASN.
Went ahead and dropped snow mention altogether at KCLT, as it
seems increasingly unlikely that anything more than brief, thin
flurries will stretch that far east and south.  TSRA has been added
across all sites except KHKY, with KCLT even gaining a PROB30 for
+TSRA, as some of the short-term guidance shows an increasingly
dire-looking couple of hours after daybreak Monday.  Otherwise,
winds should begin to turn NNEly in the next few hours, and as
they do so, impressive low-level gradient flow should increase
gust potential the second half of Sunday night and well into the
day Monday.  Gusts have been expanded in places, as some guidance
now also depicts gap winds at KGSP and KGMU.  After perhaps 18Z,
the influx of very dry air behind this system should allow rapid
improvement in CIGs and VSBYs and much calmer conditions to prevail
through the end of the TAF period.

Outlook: Dry high pressure remains Monday night through Wednesday.
Another cold front may arrive from the west Wednesday night into
Thursday, but with limited moisture and low confidence on any
restrictions.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to noon EST
     Monday for GAZ010.
NC...Winter Storm Warning from 10 PM this evening to noon EST
     Monday for NCZ033-048>050-052-053.
     Winter Weather Advisory below 3500 feet from 10 PM this
     evening to noon EST Monday for NCZ051-058-059-062.
     Winter Storm Warning above 3500 feet from 10 PM this evening
     to noon EST Monday for NCZ051-058-059-062.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to noon EST
     Monday for NCZ063>065-501>507-509.
SC...Wind Advisory from 2 AM to 2 PM EST Monday for SCZ001>003.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Munroe
NEAR TERM...HG/MPR
SHORT TERM...Munroe
LONG TERM...Munroe
AVIATION...MPR
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 2, 4:00 PM EST, 6 hours 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
400 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

NCZ051-058-059-062-032100-
Swain-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-
400 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST MONDAY BELOW 3500 FEET...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to report snow and ice accumulations to our
office.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-032100-
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Haywood-Buncombe-
400 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to report snow and ice accumulations to our
office.

GAZ010-NCZ063>065-501>507-509-032100-
Rabun-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-
Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-
Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-
400 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia and western
North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ035>037-056-057-032100-
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-
400 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and perhaps an isolated
thunderstorm or two will develop over the northwest Piedmont tonight.
Additionally, winds are expected to increase and become very gusty
from the north and northeast after midnight, with gusts in the 30 to
40 mph expected. With the ground being wet from recent rainfall in
many areas, trees will likely be more susceptible to falling than
would typically be expected from these wind speeds. Locally
excessive rainfall could result in flash flooding of smaller streams
and urban areas, mainly between midnight and daybreak. Occasional
cloud-to- ground lightning will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Lingering precipitation is expected to mix with, and may change over
to light snow before ending across the northwest Piedmont Monday
morning. Some areas north of I-40 may see a dusting on grassy
surfaces.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

SCZ001>003-032100-
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
400 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

In addition to the expected very gusty winds, isolated thunderstorms
are possible tonight across the South Carolina mountains. Cloud-to-
ground lightning and locally heavy rainfall and will be the main
threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ068>072-082-508-510-SCZ004>014-019-032100-
Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-
Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-
Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood-
400 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Widespread moderate to heavy rain with embedded isolated to
scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop tonight across
upstate South Carolina, northeast Georgia, and the southern foothills
and Piedmont of North Carolina. A few of these storms could become
severe, especially south and east of I-85. The main severe storm
threat will be from locally damaging wind gusts, but an isolated,
brief tornado or two is also possible. Even outside of thunderstorms,
winds are expected to increase and become very gusty from the north
and northeast after midnight, with gusts in the 30 to 40 mph
expected. With the ground being wet from recent rainfall in many
areas, trees will likely be more susceptible to falling than would
typically be expected from these wind speeds. Finally, locally
heavy- to-excessive rainfall could result in brief flash flooding of
smaller streams and urban areas, especially east of I-77. Cloud-to-
ground lightning can occur with any thunderstorm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information
about observed severe weather to the NWS while following all
local, state, and CDC guidelines.

Lane

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 3, 7:35 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPHabersham7 hr
Jan 3, 2:34 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPElbert116 min
Jan 2, 10:06 PM ESTHigh Wind WarningGSP14 hr
Jan 3, 4:01 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPOconee29 min
Jan 3, 4:34 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPickens26 min
Jan 3, 4:55 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGreenville, Pickens, Union35 min
Jan 3, 5:29 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCherokee, Greenville, Spartanburg31 min
Jan 3, 5:39 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPYork36 min
Jan 3, 6:05 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPGreenville, Laurens, Spartanburg115 min
Jan 3, 6:32 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPCherokee118 min
Jan 3, 11:49 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAnderson5 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2022Wind Advisories in South Carolina, 2022Wind Advisories in Georgia, 2022Every wind advisory in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.