Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2022
Wind Advisory 19, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Mar 29, 2022, 2:52 PM EDT for 11 counties in North Carolina; Rabun County, Georgia. It took effect at Mar 30, 2022, 3:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 20 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 29, 2022, 2:52 PM EDT (18:52 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 30, 2022, 3:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 31, 2022, 11:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Rabun County, GA, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 277 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2645 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 72 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 35 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 151 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
958 WWUS72 KGSP 291852 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 252 PM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022 GAZ010-NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062-063-300400- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.220330T1900Z-220331T1500Z/ Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham- Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers 252 PM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 11 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Georgia and western North Carolina, with the higher gusts above 50 mph at elevations above 3500 feet. * WHEN...From 3 PM Wednesday to 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ NCZ053-064-300400- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.220330T1900Z-220331T1500Z/ Buncombe-Transylvania- 252 PM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 11 AM EDT THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Buncombe and Transylvania Counties. * WHEN...From 3 PM Wednesday to 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ HG
6 follow-up statements
711 WWUS72 KGSP 300230 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1030 PM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022 GAZ010-NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062-063-301030- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.220330T1900Z-220331T1500Z/ Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham- Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers 1030 PM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 11 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Georgia and western North Carolina, with the higher gusts above 50 mph at elevations above 3500 feet. * WHEN...From 3 PM Wednesday to 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ NCZ053-064-301030- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.220330T1900Z-220331T1500Z/ Buncombe-Transylvania- 1030 PM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 11 AM EDT THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Buncombe and Transylvania Counties. * WHEN...From 3 PM Wednesday to 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$
681 WWUS72 KGSP 300836 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 436 AM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 GAZ010-NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062-063-301700- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.220330T1900Z-220331T1500Z/ Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham- Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers 436 AM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph in the valleys and up to 70 mph on the high peaks and ridge tops expected. * WHERE...Portions of the mountains of northeast Georgia and North Carolina. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ NCZ053-064-301700- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.220330T1900Z-220331T1500Z/ Buncombe-Transylvania- 436 AM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Buncombe and Transylvania Counties. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Lane
200 WWUS72 KGSP 301626 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1226 PM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-310200- /O.NEW.KGSP.HW.W.0002.220330T1900Z-220331T1500Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.220330T1900Z-220331T1500Z/ Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Including the cities of Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers 1226 PM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY BELOW 3500 FEET... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Swain, Haywood, Graham, Northern Jackson, Macon and Southern Jackson Counties. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ GAZ010-NCZ033-048>050-310200- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.220330T1900Z-220331T1500Z/ Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 1226 PM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph in the valleys and up to 55 mph on the high peaks and ridge tops expected. * WHERE...Portions of the mountains of northeast Georgia and North Carolina. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ NCZ053-064-310200- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.220330T1900Z-220331T1500Z/ Buncombe-Transylvania- 1226 PM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Buncombe and Transylvania Counties. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Krentz
572 WWUS72 KGSP 310119 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 919 PM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-310930- /O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Including the cities of Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers 919 PM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY BELOW 3500 FEET... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Swain, Haywood, Graham, Northern Jackson, Macon and Southern Jackson Counties. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ GAZ010-NCZ033-048>050-310930- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 919 PM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph in the valleys and up to 55 mph on the high peaks and ridge tops expected. * WHERE...Portions of the mountains of northeast Georgia and North Carolina. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ NCZ053-064-310930- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ Buncombe-Transylvania- 919 PM EDT Wed Mar 30 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Buncombe and Transylvania Counties. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ PM
446 WWUS72 KGSP 310848 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 448 AM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-311500- /O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Including the cities of Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers 448 AM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING BELOW 3500 FEET... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Swain, Haywood, Graham, Northern Jackson, Macon and Southern Jackson Counties. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ GAZ010-NCZ033-048>050-311500- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 448 AM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of the mountains of northeast Georgia and North Carolina. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ NCZ053-064-311500- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ Buncombe-Transylvania- 448 AM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...South winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Buncombe and Transylvania Counties. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Lane
092 WWUS72 KGSP 311449 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1049 AM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-311600- /O.EXP.KGSP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ /O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Including the cities of Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers 1049 AM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING BELOW 3500 FEET... Strong winds aloft have shifted east and surface winds will remain gusty this afternoon, yet below warning and advisory criteria. $$ GAZ010-NCZ033-048>050-311600- /O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, and Poplar 1049 AM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... Strong winds aloft have shifted east and surface winds will remain gusty this afternoon, yet below advisory criteria. $$ NCZ053-064-311600- /O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-220331T1500Z/ Buncombe-Transylvania- 1049 AM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING ABOVE 3500 FEET... Strong winds aloft have shifted east and surface winds will remain gusty this afternoon, yet below advisory criteria. $$ Krentz
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 29, 2:37 PM EDT, 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 2:37 PM EDT, 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
237 PM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
Surface high pressure will lead to continued dry conditions through
late Wednesday. Southerly wind will increase late Wednesday becoming
breezy to windy into Wednesday night. A cold front will cross the
area overnight Wednesday into Thursday with widespread rain ahead of
the front then wind shifting to the west behind the front and
continued breezy through Thursday afternoon. Dry weather returns
Thursday night into the first part of the weekend before a low
pressure system moving along the Gulf Coast potentially brings more
rain to the area.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Slow warming continues as periods of mid and upper clouds hamper
insol to offset and modify a cP airmass mix. Max temps still look
good in the m50s north and mtn valleys and l60s across the far
southern zones.
As the evening progresses an upper level ridge axis will continue to
advance toward the FA and shunt a sfc high off shore. The models are
in good agreement with a back-building sfc wedge maintained over the
nrn zones overnight and thru most of the Wed period. Meanwhile, a
moist llvl return flow will bring low clouds to the srn zones arnd
daybreak with some enhanced lifting along the wedge near I-77 for a
chance of -dz and possibly spotty light rain persisting into the
early afternoon.
The upper ridge axis continues eastward Wed afternoon and the flow
aloft becomes more difl ahead of an approaching frontal system.
Associated height falls will allow a wrn sfc low to deepen and
become stronger, which will tighten the p/grad across the NC mtns.
Also, h85 winds increase to arnd 50 kts by the end of the period
with vertical mixing making for advisory criteria winds realized at
the sfc by arnd 19z. The stronger winds will occur abv 3.5 Kft, yet
with the ongoing wild fires in Swain Co will keep the wind advisory
county-wide except for Buncombe and Transylvania counties. Min temps
tonight will be arnd normal south and a few degrees below normal
over the nrn Piedmont. With the wedge holding and deep morning
moisture, max temps will also favor warmer than normal temps south
and below normal levels north.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 230 pm EDT Tuesday: A strong upper ridge axis over the East at
the start of the period will migrate off the eastern seaboard
Wednesday night. The upstream trough axis over the Midwest and
Plains will slowly move east as well, with the eastward movement
slowed by several rounds of shortwave energy reinforcing the main
longwave trough axis Wednesday night through Thursday. An associated
cold front will move across the Mid South Wednesday night and then
cross the southern Appalachians and surrounding areas through
Thursday. The deep-layer moisture ahead of the main frontal boundary
will be fairly narrow, with the best rainfall chances ramping up
after 06Z Thursday and probably exiting the eastern zones around 18Z
Thu. The primary concern ahead of the front will be a robust,
southerly low-level jet of 60+ kt crossing the mountains Wed night
into Thursday morning. A Wind Advisory will be posted for this
system for much of the NC mountains, with some damaging gusts quite
possible at elevations above about 4500 feet. The bulk of the
precipitation will come through when instability is low. However,
overnight and Thu. morning deep-layer shear of nearly 70 kt will
require close monitoring of any convective elements. The greatest
instability may be right along and ahead of the passing front east
of the mountains Thu afternoon, when perhaps 500-1000 J/kg of sbCAPE
could be realized. Shear should lessen from the west, however,
during the most unstable period. Finally, brief heavy rainfall may
pose a maginal hydro threat across the region, especially in the
southern mountain upslope areas. A Flood Watch does not appear
warranted at present.
Lingering westerly flow upslope showers may persist along the spine
of the mountains into Thursday night, but with drying developing as
high pressure builds over into the region through Friday behind the
departing front. Despite the fropa, westerly downsloping will keep
max temps above climo east of the mountains on Friday afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 230 pm EDT Tuesday: A clipper system will brush the northern
tier of the forecast area on Saturday. Slightly deeper moisture will
briefly impact western NC Saturday afternoon, with southern tier
sections becoming just unstable enough for a few showers. Following
the wave passage, fairly zonal flow will return over most of the
CONUS for the latter half of the weekend, with dry high pressure
building over the east Sunday into Monday. A prominent wave will
carve out east of the Rockies Monday night. This wave will acquire a
sharp negative tilt, sweep east across the MS River Valley, and lift
toward the base of the Southern Appalachians. Late Tuesday could
thus be the next chance for appreciable heavy rainfall and strong to
severe thunderstorms returning to the region. Temperatures will
return to above climo values through the period.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Mid and upper clouds with light winds will
prevail thru the first half of the TAF period. With hipres broadening
out this afternoon and overnight, directions will be hard to pin
down, but for now will favor a synoptic se/ly to to s/ly flow. A
moist return flow will develop overnight and by daybreak llvl StCu
will move in and drop CIGs into MVFR across the non/mtn sites with
drops to IFR with -DZ looking more likely near KCLT thru noon. Flight
restrictions persist thru the TAF period, with KAVL remaining VFR.
While at KCLT, the afternoon period should see improving conds with
low-end s/ly gusts developing.
Outlook: A cold front brings the potential for convection and
associated restrictions Wed night into Thursday, with clearing and
VFR conditions returning Friday and continuing into Saturday.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
A Fire Danger Statement remains in effect for much of northeast GA
and Upstate SC until 8 pm this evening. Relative humidity values
will rebound tomorrow, with minimum RH mostly in the 40s late day
Wednesday under southerly flow. Breezy conditions will redevelop
from the west during the afternoon, with windy conditions late, but
light showers may also start to break out in the affected southern
mountains at that point, so it is presently unclear if any
additional Fire Danger products will be needed going forward. This
will be closely monitored.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Wind Advisory from 3 PM Wednesday to 11 AM EDT Thursday for
GAZ010.
INCREASED FIRE DANGER until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ017-
018-026-028-029.
NC...Wind Advisory from 3 PM Wednesday to 11 AM EDT Thursday for
NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062-063.
Wind Advisory above 3500 feet from 3 PM Wednesday to 11 AM EDT
Thursday for NCZ053-064.
SC...INCREASED FIRE DANGER until 8 PM EDT this evening for
SCZ001>014-019.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...SBK
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...HG
AVIATION...SBK
FIRE WEATHER...Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 29, 5:04 AM EDT, 9 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 504 AM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022 GAZ017-018-026-028-029-SCZ001>014-019-300915- Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Oconee Mountains- Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee- Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York- Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood- 504 AM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022 ...INCREASED FIRE DANGER IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia and upstate South Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. INCREASED FIRE DANGER. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None. NCZ048-051-052-058-059-062-063-300915- Madison-Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- 504 AM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Strong southerly winds will develop Wednesday and Wednesday night ahead of an approaching cold front. The winds may be strong enough to cause minor tree damage and sporadic power outages. With the winds arriving before the onset of rain, fire suppression may become more difficult. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None. GAZ010-NCZ033-035>037-049-050-053-056-057-064-065-068>072-082- 501>510-300915- Rabun-Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-Catawba- Rowan-Transylvania-Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg- Cabarrus-Union NC-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell- Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell- Rutherford Mountains-Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk- 504 AM EDT Tue Mar 29 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont North Carolina and western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... None.
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2022Wind Advisories in Georgia, 2022Every wind advisory in 2022
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.