Alert archive / North Dakota / Winter Storm Warnings in 2022

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Grand Forks, ND

January 31, 20227 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this winter storm warning at Jan 31, 2022, 12:09 PM CST for 7 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Jan 31, 2022, 4:00 PM CST. It was in force for 11 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 31, 2022, 12:09 PM CST (18:09 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 31, 2022, 4:00 PM CST
Expired
Feb 1, 2022, 3:18 AM CST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
All 24 counties

Clay County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Polk County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Cass County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 1, 2:39 AM CSTBLIZZARDWarroad, MNBLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY SEEN ON THE MN11 CAMERA FOR AT LEAST THREE HOURS PRIOR TO THE REPORT TIME.
Feb 1, 2:55 AM CSTBLIZZARD1 Nw Valley City, NDAWOS STATION KBAC VALLEY CITY AP ND. VISIBILITY REPORTED DOWN TO ONE QUARTER MILE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 258 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2022-01-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2022-01-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 175 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1841 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

466 
WWUS43 KFGF 311809
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1209 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

NDZ006-007-014-015-024-012100-
/O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0004.220201T0000Z-220201T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WS.W.0002.220131T2200Z-220201T1800Z/
Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-
Including the cities of Cando, Langdon, Fort Totten, Maddock, 
Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, and New Rockford
1209 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
NOON CST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...A period of mixed light snow and light freezing rain is
  expected late afternoon into early this evening. Total snow
  accumulations of up to one inch. After 10 pm tonight and into
  Tuesday morning look for strong west to northwest winds gusting
  over 55 mph creating reduced visibilities in blowing snow. 

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 3 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. The cold wind chills 
  as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in 
  as little as 30 minutes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at 
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 
1 in either state.

&&


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ001>005-007-029-NDZ008-016-026>030-038-039-049-052>054-012100-
/O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0004.220201T0000Z-220201T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WS.W.0002.220201T0000Z-220201T2100Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-Wilkin-Pembina-
Eastern Walsh-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, 
Breckenridge, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, 
St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, 
Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, 
Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, 
Milnor, Forman, Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
1209 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM
CST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...A period of snow expected this evening, possibly mixed with 
  freezing rain or sleet. Total snow accumulations of up to two 
  inches. After midnight look for strong west to northwest winds 
  gusting over 50 mph creating reduced visibilities in blowing snow. 

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 3 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. The cold wind chills 
  as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in 
  as little as 30 minutes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at 
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 
1 in either state.

&&


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ006-008-009-013-014-012100-
/O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0004.220201T0000Z-220201T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0012.220201T0300Z-220201T2100Z/
Lake Of The Woods-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-
Red Lake-
Including the cities of Baudette, Newfolden, Middle River, 
Grygla, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Thief River Falls, 
and Red Lake Falls
1209 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 PM CST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...A period of light snow...possibly mixed with freezing
  drizzle late evening into the overnight. Total accumulations up
  to 2 inches. After 3 am and continuing into the daytime Tuesday
  look for west to northwest winds gusting to 45 mph causing 
  areas of blowing snow and reduced visibility. 

* WHERE...Lake Of The Woods, East Marshall, North Beltrami, 
  Pennington and Red Lake Counties.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 3 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute.  The cold wind 
  chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed 
  skin in as little as 30 minutes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ015>017-022>024-027-028-030>032-040-012100-
/O.NEW.KFGF.WW.Y.0012.220201T0300Z-220201T2100Z/
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-West Otter Tail-
East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Including the cities of Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, 
Bagley, Clearbrook, Bemidji, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, 
Alida, Ebro, Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, 
Roy Lake, Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake,
Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, 
Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman,
and Barrett
1209 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 PM CST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...A period of light snow...possibly mixed with freezing
  drizzle late evening into the overnight. Total accumulations up
  to one inch. After 3 am and continuing into the daytime Tuesday
  look for west to northwest winds gusting to 45 mph causing 
  areas of blowing snow and reduced visibility. 

* WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west 
  central Minnesota.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 3 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

dtr
3 follow-up statements
227 
WWUS43 KFGF 312132
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
332 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

NDZ006-007-014-015-024-011800-
/O.CON.KFGF.WS.W.0002.220131T2200Z-220201T1800Z/
Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-
Including the cities of Cando, Langdon, Fort Totten, Maddock, 
Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, and New Rockford
332 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...A period of mixed light snow and light freezing rain is
  expected late afternoon into early this evening. Total snow
  accumulations of up to one inch. After 10 pm tonight and into
  Tuesday morning look for strong west to northwest winds gusting
  over 55 mph creating reduced visibilities in blowing snow. 

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 3 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. The cold wind chills 
  as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in 
  as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...The severity of winter impacts is
  dependent on new snowfall or the crust on the snowpack breaking.
  At least some blowing snow and reduced visibilities in open
  country is expected, with a 30 percent chance for widespread
  blizzard conditions to develop. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ001>005-007-029-NDZ008-016-026>030-038-039-049-052>054-012100-
/O.CON.KFGF.WS.W.0002.220201T0000Z-220201T2100Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-Wilkin-Pembina-
Eastern Walsh-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, 
Breckenridge, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, 
St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, 
Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, 
Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, 
Milnor, Forman, Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
332 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...A period of snow expected this evening, possibly mixed with 
  freezing rain or sleet. Total snow accumulations of up to two 
  inches. After midnight look for strong west to northwest winds 
  gusting over 50 mph creating reduced visibilities in blowing snow. 

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 3 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. The cold wind chills 
  as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in 
  as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...The severity of winter impacts is
  dependent on new snowfall or the crust on the snowpack breaking.
  At least some blowing snow and reduced visibilities in open
  country is expected, with a 30 percent chance for widespread
  blizzard conditions to develop. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ006-008-009-013>017-022>024-027-028-030>032-040-012100-
/O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0012.220201T0300Z-220201T2100Z/
Lake Of The Woods-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-
Red Lake-East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-West Otter Tail-
East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Including the cities of Baudette, Newfolden, Middle River, 
Grygla, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Thief River Falls, 
Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Bagley, 
Clearbrook, Bemidji, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Alida, Ebro, 
Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, 
Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, 
Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, 
Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman,
and Barrett
332 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO 3 PM CST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...A period of light snow...possibly mixed with freezing
  drizzle late evening into the overnight. Total accumulations up
  to 2 inches. After 3 am and continuing into the daytime Tuesday
  look for west to northwest winds gusting to 45 mph causing 
  areas of blowing snow and reduced visibility. 

* WHERE...Lake Of The Woods, East Marshall, North Beltrami, 
  Pennington and Red Lake Counties.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 3 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute.  The cold wind 
  chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed 
  skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$
693 
WWUS43 KFGF 010358
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
958 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

NDZ006-007-014-015-024-011800-
/O.CON.KFGF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220201T1800Z/
Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-
Including the cities of Cando, Langdon, Fort Totten, Maddock, 
Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, and New Rockford
958 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Tonight and into Tuesday morning look for strong west to
  northwest winds gusting over 55 mph creating reduced 
  visibilities in blowing snow.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. The cold wind 
  chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on 
  exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...The severity of winter impacts is 
  dependent on new snowfall or the crust on the snowpack 
  breaking. At least some blowing snow and reduced visibilities 
  in open country is expected, with a 30 percent chance for 
  widespread blizzard conditions to develop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ001>005-007-029-NDZ008-016-026>030-038-039-049-052>054-012100-
/O.CON.KFGF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220201T2100Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-Wilkin-Pembina-
Eastern Walsh-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, 
Breckenridge, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, 
St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, 
Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, 
Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, 
Milnor, Forman, Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
958 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Total snow accumulations of up to two inches. After 
  midnight look for strong west to northwest winds gusting over 50
  mph creating reduced visibilities in blowing snow.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. The cold wind 
  chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on 
  exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

* ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...The severity of winter impacts is 
  dependent on new snowfall or the crust on the snowpack 
  breaking. At least some blowing snow and reduced visibilities 
  in open country is expected, with a 30 percent chance for 
  widespread blizzard conditions to develop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ006-008-009-013>017-022>024-027-028-030>032-040-012100-
/O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-220201T2100Z/
Lake Of The Woods-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-
Red Lake-East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-West Otter Tail-
East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Including the cities of Baudette, Newfolden, Middle River, 
Grygla, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Thief River Falls, 
Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Bagley, 
Clearbrook, Bemidji, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Alida, Ebro, 
Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, 
Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, 
Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, 
Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman,
and Barrett
958 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...A period of light snow...possibly mixed with freezing 
  drizzle late evening into the overnight. Total accumulations 
  up to 2 inches. After 3 am and continuing into the daytime 
  Tuesday look for west to northwest winds gusting to 45 mph 
  causing areas of blowing snow and reduced visibility.

* WHERE...Lake Of The Woods, East Marshall, North Beltrami, 
  Pennington and Red Lake Counties.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM CST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute. The cold wind
  chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed
  skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$
443 
WWUS43 KFGF 010918
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
318 AM CST Tue Feb 1 2022

MNZ001>005-007-029-NDZ008-016-026>030-038-039-049-052>054-012100-
/O.UPG.KFGF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220201T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.BZ.W.0004.220201T0918Z-220201T2100Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-Wilkin-Pembina-
Eastern Walsh-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, 
Breckenridge, Cavalier, Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, 
St. Thomas, Grafton, Park River, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, 
Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, 
Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, 
Milnor, Forman, Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
318 AM CST Tue Feb 1 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations less
  than one inch possible. This morning winds will gust as high as
  65 mph over parts of eastern ND and to 50 mph in northwest MN.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM CST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce
  visibility, mainly in open country. The hazardous conditions 
  will impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree 
  damage. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

NDZ006-007-014-015-024-011800-
/O.UPG.KFGF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220201T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.BZ.W.0004.220201T0918Z-220201T1800Z/
Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-
Including the cities of Cando, Langdon, Fort Totten, Maddock, 
Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, and New Rockford
318 AM CST Tue Feb 1 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations of up
  to one inch possible. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph this 
  morning.

* WHERE...Towner, Cavalier, Benson, Ramsey and Eddy Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon CST today.

* IMPACTS...Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce
  visibility, mainly in open country. The hazardous conditions 
  will impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree 
  damage. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must
travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded,
stay with your vehicle. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

MNZ006-008-009-013>017-022>024-027-028-030>032-040-012100-
/O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-220201T2100Z/
Lake Of The Woods-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-
Red Lake-East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-West Otter Tail-
East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Including the cities of Baudette, Newfolden, Middle River, 
Grygla, Red Lake, Redby, Ponemah, Thief River Falls, 
Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Bagley, 
Clearbrook, Bemidji, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun, Alida, Ebro, 
Lake Itasca, Long Lost Lake, Lower Rice Lake, Roy Lake, 
Upper Rice Lake, Park Rapids, Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, 
Fergus Falls, Perham, New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, 
Battle Lake, Wadena, Menahga, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby, Herman,
and Barrett
318 AM CST Tue Feb 1 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Light snow and areas of blowing snow. Additional snow
  accumulations to 1 inch possible. West to northwest winds are
  expected to increase and gust to 45 mph causing areas of 
  blowing snow and reduced visibility.

* WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northwest and west 
  central Minnesota.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM CST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility mainly in open country. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at
dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling
5 1 1 in either state.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 31, 7:44 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 7:44 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
744 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

.UPDATE...
Issued at 744 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

Near term trends how increasing high clouds ahead of the
approaching clipper that will be arriving later today.
Temperatures have leveled off in the single digits above zero
where they are the coldest in MN, and temps are already starting
to warm into the teens to near 20 in our far west. Near term
morning period was adjusted with these trends with the 7am
update, otherwise no changes from 417am discussion.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 417 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

Wind and blowing snow impacts are expected today into Tuesday as a
potent clipper dives southeastward into the area this afternoon.
Ensembles and blended guidance are in strong agreement regarding
light accumulating snow and strong northwest winds impacting the
area starting this evening. As the system pushes into the area, we
will see mainly light snow working in from the west-northwest
beginning around sunset for the Devils Lake basin.

Sounding profiles signify a warm layer at around 800mb to 900mb,
which could allow a brief period of freezing rain or drizzle as
precipitation begins. The pressure gradient magnitude increases very
quickly following the onset of snow as it pushes eastward, allowing
winds to ramp up substantially. The vast majority of current
guidance indicates 925mb winds of 45 to 50 knots, which will easily
mix down to the surface, especially during periods of snowfall.

The next question in this scenario will surround just how likely the
snow crust is to break, allowing these strong winds to tap into
several inches of blowable snow. The latest NOHRSC analysis
indicates a well established snow pack across much of eastern North
Dakota and the Red River Valley, thus in the event that we tap into
this snow, blizzard conditions would be likely, even with no new
snowfall.

Further east, winds will be slightly less; however, there is concern
for the open areas and lakes, such as Lake of the Woods and the Red
Lakes, which typically see higher wind gusts than the surrounding
areas. Gusts of 40 knots or higher remain possible, and thus, this
area could see periods of blizzard conditions as well. It is also
worth noting, that Lake of the Woods and the surrounding areas will
see higher amounts of new snowfall from this system, which will
provide more in the way of blowable snow, even with lower peak winds.

Winds will increase quickly after midnight for the Devils Lake
Basin, reaching the Red River Valley and northwest Minnesota shortly
thereafter. Peak winds and blowing snow are expected to occur during
the morning commute Tuesday morning, leading to the expectation of
travel impacts across much of the forecast area.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 417 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

Main impacts in the long range periods are related to arctic air and
dangerous cold Wednesday into Friday morning.

Signal for what will likely be as cold as or possibly a little
colder our other arctic outbreaks this winter, but the pattern does
shift meaning it will only stay in place for several days before the
"roller coaster" of highs/lows returns next weekend due to a return
of northwest flow. Latest ensembles are showing a tighter spread in
potential highs/lows through Thursday (really locking on these
temps). The coldest night/morning looks to be Wednesday
night/Thursday morning when many locations will be in the -30 range
and widespread wind chills -40 to -55F are possible. The more extreme
wind chills will be wind dependent as usual, and gradient will tend
to be weaker under surface high pressure/winds lighter. There is a
fast moving weak impulse that may allow for flurries or a dusting of
light snow to move through the region Thursday-Thursday night, but
impacts from that would be minimal.

By next weekend there is a significant increase in spread
regarding temperatures as the upper trough transitions back to a
progressive west-northwest flow pattern. At the very least we should
be back towards seasonal ranges if not above seasonal depending on
WAA between progressive trough passages. There is a general signal
for another trough passage, however there is still variation
between ensemble clusters in magnitude/evolution of the trough with
changes where favorable signal for organized snowfall is. Right now
NBM QPF probs are generally in the 25-40% range for 0.1" or higher
favoring our north towards the International border.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 531 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

Quiet through this afternoon, then potentially significant impacts
to aviation this evening into Tuesday. VFR conditions prevail this
morning at all sites, which will continue into the early afternoon
hours. Mid to upper clouds fill into the area starting around
midday, with ceilings gradually falling into the MVFR category by
late in the afternoon. Winds will become gusty out of the south
this evening, then shift to the west then northwest by Tuesday
morning. Gusts could reach upwards of 50 knots at KGFK and KDVL,
along with blowing snow and potential blizzard conditions.
Visibility will be impacted beginning around 06Z across the area
in association with a potential blizzard scenario.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Winter Storm Watch from 6 PM CST this evening through Tuesday
     afternoon for NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-
     052>054.

MN...Winter Storm Watch from 6 PM CST this evening through Tuesday
     afternoon for MNZ001>009-013-014-029.

UPDATE...DJR
SHORT TERM...Lynch
LONG TERM...DJR
AVIATION...Lynch
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 6:54 AM CST, 5 hours 15 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
654 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

MNZ001>009-013-014-029-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-
052>054-011300-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
Wilkin-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-
Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-
Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
654 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Light snow and very strong winds will bring hazardous travel
conditions to the area this evening through midday Tuesday. West
to northwest winds are expected to gust as high as 60 mph,
possibly breaking the crust on the existing snow pack. There is a
potential for widespread blowing snow with this system, along with
blizzard conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Frigid temperatures and wind chills are expected Tuesday night
through Friday night, with wind chills of 40 below zero to 50
below zero.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

MNZ015>017-022>024-027-028-030>032-040-011300-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-West Otter Tail-
East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
654 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of west central
and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Light snow and blowing snow are expected through the evening and
overnight hours, with winds gusting up to 40 mph. Travel could be
impacted for the Tuesday morning commute due to reduced visibility
and slick roadways.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Frigid temperatures and wind chills are expected Tuesday night
through Friday night, with wind chills of 30 below zero to 40
below zero.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 31, 7:30 AM CST, 4 hours 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
730 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-
024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054-311430-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-
Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-
Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada,
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster,
Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden,
Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston,
Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Mahnomen, Naytahwaush, Waubun,
Detroit Lakes, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Elbow Lake, Hoffman,
Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, Walhalla,
Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, Maddock, Leeds,
Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, New Rockford,
Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, Cooperstown, Finley,
Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland, Valley City, Fargo,
Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, Rutland, Wahpeton,
Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
730 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR POTENTIAL BLIZZARD CONDITIONS REMAINS
IN EFFECT THIS EVENING INTO TUESDAY...

Confidence is increasing in potential high winds and potential for
blowing snow lasting from tonight through midday Tuesday.
Initially light snow may mix with freezing rain in northeast ND
this afternoon and evening, with light to moderate snow then
developing into northwest MN. The best chance for snow
accumluations remains north of highway 2 closer to the
International Border. Winds will increase from the northwest this
evening and by late tonight continuing into Tuesday. The
strongest winds gusting around 60 mph appear likely to develop
into eastern ND, though gusty winds are still possible further
east. This would likely cause blowing snow and visibility issues,
the severity of which will depend on how much the current snow
pack is able to blow for areas that do not receive new snowfall.
Confidence isn't high enough yet for upgrading the watch to a
winter weather advisory or blizzard warning, but this will be
considered today.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 31, 12:09 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGFBecker, Beltrami, Clay, Clearwater, Grant, Hubbard and 10 more32 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in North Dakota, 2022Winter Storm Warnings in Minnesota, 2022Every winter storm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.