Alert archive / North Dakota / High Wind Warnings in 2022

High Wind Warning 1, NWS Grand Forks, ND

April 5, 202217 counties in North Dakota; 8 counties in Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this high wind warning at Apr 5, 2022, 3:04 PM CDT for 17 counties in North Dakota; 8 counties in Minnesota. It took effect at Apr 6, 2022, 10:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 25 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 5, 2022, 3:04 PM CDT (20:04 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 6, 2022, 10:00 AM CDT
Expired
Apr 7, 2022, 10:40 AM CDT
In force
25 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
All 25 counties

Clay County, MN, Grant County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Polk County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Cass County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 257 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2022-04-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2022-04-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 80 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1463 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

684 
WWUS73 KFGF 052004
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
304 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

MNZ001>004-007-029-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-
052>054-080000-
/O.NEW.KFGF.HW.W.0001.220406T1500Z-220408T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-Wilkin-Towner-
Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-
Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-
Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Breckenridge, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, 
Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, 
Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, 
New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, 
Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland,
Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, 
Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
304 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Wednesday to 7 PM CDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult especially for high profile 
  vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Where snowfall occurs visibilities may be
  reduced to near whiteout at times. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown
around or damaged by the wind.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
735 
WWUS73 KFGF 060245
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
945 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

MNZ001>004-007-029-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-
052>054-080000-
/O.CON.KFGF.HW.W.0001.220406T1500Z-220408T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-Wilkin-Towner-
Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-
Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-
Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Breckenridge, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, 
Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, 
Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, 
New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, 
Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland,
Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, 
Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
945 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO
7 PM CDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Wednesday to 7 PM CDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult especially for high profile 
  vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Where snowfall occurs visibilities may be 
  reduced to near whiteout at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown
around or damaged by the wind.

&&

$$
377 
WWUS73 KFGF 060903
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
403 AM CDT Wed Apr 6 2022

MNZ001>004-007-029-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-
052>054-080000-
/O.CON.KFGF.HW.W.0001.220406T1500Z-220408T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-Wilkin-Towner-
Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-
Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-
Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Breckenridge, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, 
Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, 
Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, 
New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, 
Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland,
Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, 
Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
403 AM CDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM CDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Wednesday to 7 PM CDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult especially for high profile 
  vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Where snowfall occurs visibilities may be 
  reduced to near whiteout at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown
around or damaged by the wind.

&&

$$
270 
WWUS73 KFGF 061430
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
930 AM CDT Wed Apr 6 2022

MNZ030-040-080000-
/O.EXA.KFGF.HW.W.0001.220406T1500Z-220408T0000Z/
West Otter Tail-Grant-
Including the cities of Fergus Falls, Elbow Lake, Hoffman, Ashby,
Herman, and Barrett
930 AM CDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...West Otter Tail and Grant Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM CDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property 
  and cause power outages. Travel will be difficult especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Where snowfall occurs visibilities may be 
  reduced to near whiteout at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown
around or damaged by the wind.

&&

$$

MNZ001>004-007-029-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-
052>054-080000-
/O.CON.KFGF.HW.W.0001.220406T1500Z-220408T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-Wilkin-Towner-
Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-
Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-
Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Breckenridge, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, 
Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, 
Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, 
New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, 
Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland,
Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, 
Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
930 AM CDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Counties along and west of the Red River in northwest
  Minnesota and eastern North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM CDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property 
  and cause power outages. Travel will be difficult especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Where snowfall occurs visibilities may be 
  reduced to near whiteout at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown
around or damaged by the wind.

&&

$$
045 
WWUS73 KFGF 062008
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
308 PM CDT Wed Apr 6 2022

MNZ001>004-007-029-030-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-
049-052>054-080000-
/O.CON.KFGF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220408T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-
Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Elbow Lake, 
Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, 
Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, 
Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, 
New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, 
Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland,
Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, 
Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
308 PM CDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Eastern North Dakota into the Red River Valley.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM CDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property 
  and cause power outages. Travel will be difficult especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Where snowfall occurs visibilities may be 
  reduced to near whiteout at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown
around or damaged by the wind.

&&

$$
500 
WWUS73 KFGF 070238
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
938 PM CDT Wed Apr 6 2022

MNZ001>004-007-029-030-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-
049-052>054-080000-
/O.CON.KFGF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220408T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-
Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Elbow Lake, 
Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, 
Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, 
Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, 
New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, 
Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland,
Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, 
Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
938 PM CDT Wed Apr 6 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern North Dakota into the Red River Valley.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM CDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property 
  and cause power outages. Travel will be difficult especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Where snowfall occurs visibilities may be 
  reduced to near whiteout at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown
around or damaged by the wind.

&&

$$
632 
WWUS73 KFGF 070836
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
336 AM CDT Thu Apr 7 2022

MNZ001>004-007-029-030-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-
049-052>054-080000-
/O.CON.KFGF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220408T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-
Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Elbow Lake, 
Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, 
Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, 
Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, 
New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, 
Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland,
Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, 
Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
336 AM CDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern North Dakota into the Red River Valley.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM CDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property 
  and cause power outages. Travel will be difficult especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown
around or damaged by the wind.

&&

$$
9
042 
WWUS73 KFGF 071540
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1040 AM CDT Thu Apr 7 2022

MNZ001>004-007-029-030-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-
049-052>054-080000-
/O.CAN.KFGF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-220408T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.WI.Y.0005.220407T1540Z-220408T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-
Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Ada, 
Twin Valley, Halstad, Moorhead, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, 
Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Breckenridge, Fergus Falls, Elbow Lake, 
Hoffman, Ashby, Herman, Barrett, Cando, Langdon, Cavalier, 
Walhalla, Drayton, Pembina, Neche, St. Thomas, Fort Totten, 
Maddock, Leeds, Minnewaukan, Devils Lake, Grafton, Park River, 
New Rockford, Lakota, Mcville, Aneta, Tolna, Grand Forks, 
Cooperstown, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton, Portland,
Valley City, Fargo, Lisbon, Enderlin, Gwinner, Milnor, Forman, 
Rutland, Wahpeton, Edinburg, Adams, and Lankin
1040 AM CDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM CDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Apr 5, 1:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 5, 1:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
117 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

.UPDATE...
Issued at 109 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

Received reports of around 6 inches of snow within Beltrami,
Hubbard, Clearwater, Mahnomen, and into eastern Becker counties
from snow this morning, mainly on grassy and elevated surfaces.
Snow has ended in these areas as lead wave moves north-northeast
into northern MN. Thus, have expired WW.Y.

Additional snowfall up to 3 inches is expected near the
international border within northwest MN (particularly near LOW),
however with warm pavement temps this afternoon will mitigate
impacts.

While chances for impactful weather remain likely, discussions
still continue regarding messaging strategy for the next couple of
days.

UPDATE Issued at 1010 AM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

Area webcams and reports from Beltrami, Hubbard, Clearwater, into
eastern Becker counties show moderate to heavy snow since this
morning. Received reports of around 3 inches and slick roads with
spin outs/accidents in this area around 8-9 AM. These reports led
to Winter Weather Advisory in this area through the morning, with
the expectation of afternoon sun to help warm surfaces and
mitigate impacts. There remains some question of whether areas
will receive 6 or more inches (warning criteria), however tracking
current mid level wave northeast into northern MN and ball-parking
0.05 1 hr QPF translates to half an inch per hour for around 4
hours, thinking we max out around 5 inches. And despite additional
snow expected push through the afternoon near LOW, anticipating
snow accums/ratios to be limited with help of solar warming of
surfaces.

Otherwise, mostly rain with some snow mixing in expected across
much of the region ahead of a dry slot as the lead wave near the
tri- state area pushes northeast as trackable via water vapor.
While a brief dry period can be seen today, this lead wave will
be replaced by a secondary developing wave within eastern
SD/southern MN, which will help refill in widespread precip this
evening/tonight as sfc low migrates east-southeast.

Other discussion within the office revolve around anticipated
impacts tomorrow/Thursday. It's a tricky situation where high
winds gusting over 55 mph are likely (70% or greater chance),
although widespread snow coincident with high winds raises
questions on winter-type impacts, mainly in the form of
significantly reduced visibility. Despite how we message this
event over the next 2 days, impacts of some kind are likely mainly
driven by the fact of high likelihood of winds over 55 mph.

UPDATE Issued at 625 AM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

Light rain continues to fall across eastern ND and the Red River
Valley, with rain/snow or snow east of the valley. The southern
edge of the precipitation is clearing out SE ND and west central
MN, however still expect some redevelopment as the day goes on
(seeing weak echoes across SE ND already). Rainfall amounts up to
0.50 inches have been recorded in portions of west central MN,
with snowfall totals up to one inch in the far east. Overall,
about as expected. Webcams near Park Rapids show grassy surfaces
covered with snow while road surfaces remain mostly clear. Only
changes to ongoing forecast is to increase POPs in
Trail/Steele/Nelson as band lifts through that area these next
several hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 255 AM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

Warm advection precipitation early this morning as temperatures
near the freezing mark will be the primary concern for today.
Ground temperatures are warm and early morning observations are
rain, with above freezing air temperatures under cloudy skies.
There have been a few recent observations with mixed
precipitation, but no accumulation is expected. There is a bit
greater concern in the northeast and far east, where temperatures
have fallen through the night. Most likely scenario for Park
Rapids up into the Warroad area would be a couple of inches of
accumulation on grassy surfaces, with slush on hard surfaces and
slippery conditions from areas where temps get down into the upper
20s before climbing as sky increases. There is some overlap of
q-vector convergence and mid-level FG forcing but the waves of
precip are progressing quite rapidly. Chopped snowfall ratios in
half in the eastern zones to lower accumulations, primarily due to
the warm surface temperatures. Will highlight this thinking in
the morning HWO and monitor through the 7 AM update, addressing
with further messaging in conditions are worse than expected.

Expecting to see a dry slot lift south to north this morning,
which should allow temperatures to climb into the upper 30s. As
the day goes on this area will fill back in, and the precipitation
wave moving across the south may slow down and linger along the
international border a bit longer, providing more time for
dynamic cooling to transition rain to snow.

The surface low moves into the valley late this afternoon and into
west central MN this evening, setting up strong south winds on the
back side of the low. Wednesday still looks to be quite windy but
less concerned now than previous messaging on potential for
blowing snow on Wednesday, as snow in the late part of the night
will turn to a mix by late Wed morning as winds climb well into
advisory criteria...with low end warning winds possible. However,
with temperatures in the 30s and snow transitioning to a mix, low
likelihood in seeing impactful bursts of reduced visibility with
the precip in the higher winds. Will let day shift address any
wind or winter headlines for Wednesday.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 255 AM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

Ensembles in fair agreement with the overall synoptic pattern in the
extended time frame with the departure of the stacked mature low
pressure system Thursday. Then a dry Friday and Saturday is expected
before precip chances return with SW flow aloft Sunday into the
first half of next week. Impacts from the departing system will
revolve around wind and snow potential Wednesday night into Thursday
with any falling snow creating reduced visibilities with northerly
winds sustained at 30 to 40 mph and gusts to 45 to 55mph. Placement
of the sfc low and extent of wraparound moisture will define
snowfall extent within the deformation zone Wednesday night into
Thursday. Currently seeing around a 50% chance of at least 2" in the
valley with higher chances, 70 to 80% along the higher elevations in
E ND and in Lakes country of MN. The chance for 4" or more lowers to
20 to 30% in the valley and 30 to 50% for the higher elevations.
Regardless winter impacts will be possible when snow is falling
given these winds and the wet sticky nature of the snow creating
slower travel conditions with reduced visibility and some snow
accumulations even on road surfaces.

Drying out with the departure of the system Thursday night into
Friday with sfc high pressure and upper level ridging to start the
weekend. Temperatures will moderate with highs in the 30s and low
40s Friday warming to the low 50s by Sunday. Thereafter a touch
cooler as SW flow aloft brings some upper energy and increasing
clouds and precip chances into the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 109 PM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

Impactful slow moving system expected through TAF period, and
likely beyond into Thursday.

Snow and rain leading to vsby reductions under 2SM with MVFR to
IFR CIGs will continue through the TAF period across much of the
area as a slow moving system moves through the area. Winds
currently out of the east and southeast will shift towards the
west and north starting Wed morning. These winds will also
increase substantially Wed ranging between 20-30 kt gusting up to
40-50 kt, highest at KGFK and KFAR within the Red River Valley.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

UPDATE...CJ
SHORT TERM...Speicher
LONG TERM...JK
AVIATION...CJ
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 5, 9:25 AM CDT, 5 hours 39 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
925 AM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

MNZ001>004-007-029-030-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-
049-052>054-061430-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-
Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-Western Walsh-
925 AM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A wintry mix is possible tonight as rain transitions to snow.
This may cause slippery conditions after midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A wintry mix is possible Wednesday morning. Also, high winds are
expected with gusts up to 55 mph possible. This will cause
hazardous driving conditions, especially for high profile
vehicles.

More widespread snow is expected Wednesday night, with potential
winter impacts to Thursday morning travel.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

MNZ005-006-008-013>015-022-027-031-032-061430-
Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-
925 AM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of west central
and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Areas of rain and snow will transition to snow east of the valley
this morning. One or two inches of snow is possible on grassy
surfaces, and slick or slushy surfaces can be expected. This may
impact travel.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A wintry mix is possible Wednesday morning. Also, breezy winds
are expected with gusts up to 40 mph possible. More widespread
snow is expected Wednesday night, with potential winter impacts
to Thursday morning travel.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

MNZ009-016-017-023-024-028-061430-
North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-South Clearwater-
Hubbard-East Becker-
925 AM CDT Tue Apr 5 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of west central
and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of moderate to heavy snow are expected this morning.
Three to five inches of wet, heavy snow is expected leading to
slick or slushy surfaces. Plan on travel impacts through this
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A wintry mix is possible Wednesday morning. Also, breezy winds
are expected with gusts up to 40 mph possible. More widespread
snow is expected Wednesday night, with potential winter impacts
to Thursday morning travel.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 5, 9:07 AM CDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
907 AM CDT TUE APR 5 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     SNOW             4 NE BECIDA             47.39N 95.01W
04/05/2022  E2.0 INCH        HUBBARD            MN   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            MN DNR REPORT OF AROUND 1 TO 2 INCH OF WET
            AND SLUSHY SNOW, WITH ROADWAYS COVERED AND
            SLICK. STILL SNOWING.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 5, 11:13 AM CDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1113 AM CDT TUE APR 5 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     HEAVY SNOW       PONSFORD                46.97N 95.38W
04/05/2022  U6.0 INCH        BECKER             MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED REPORT OF 6 INCHES
            ON ELEVATED SURFACE IN PONSFORD AS OF 9:30
            AM CDT. STILL SNOWING.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 5, 11:31 AM CDT, 3 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1131 AM CDT TUE APR 5 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     SNOW             6 NNE WHITE EARTH       47.18N 95.79W
04/05/2022  E3.0 INCH        MAHNOMEN           MN   PUBLIC

            CALL TO GAS STATION WITH REPORT OF ESTIMATED
            2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW. ALSO RELAYED SCHOOLS
            BUSES WERE DELAYED BECAUSE OF SLUSH AND SNOW
            ON ROADS. STILL SNOWING AT TIME OF REPORT.

1000 AM     HEAVY SNOW       WAUBUN                  47.18N 95.94W
04/05/2022  E6.0 INCH        MAHNOMEN           MN   PUBLIC

            REPORT RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF 6 INCHES
            IN WAUBUN. STILL SNOWING AT TIME OF REPORT.

1100 AM     HEAVY SNOW       WAUBUN                  47.18N 95.94W
04/05/2022  E8.0 INCH        MAHNOMEN           MN   PUBLIC

            CALL TO GAS STATION WITH REPORT OF AROUND 8
            INCHES ESTIMATED ON GRASSY SURFACES. ROADS
            WERE WET. STILL SNOWING AT TIME OF REPORT.

&&
Local storm report, Apr 5, 11:49 AM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1149 AM CDT TUE APR 5 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1147 AM     HEAVY SNOW       1 S LAKE ITASCA         47.24N 95.21W
04/05/2022  M6.0 INCH        CLEARWATER         MN   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            LAKE ITASCA STATE PARK MEASURED 6 INCHES ON
            ELEVATED SURFACE. NOTED LESSER AMOUNTS OF
            SLUSH ON PAVEMENT. EVENT TOTAL.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 5, 10:32 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningFGFCass11 days
Apr 5, 3:13 PM CDTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGFBarnes, Cass, Grand Forks, Griggs, Nelson, Pembina and 6 more44 hr
Apr 5, 8:46 AM CDTWinter Weather AdvisoryFGFBecker, Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard4 hr
Apr 5, 10:32 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningFGFClay9 days

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in North Dakota, 2022High Wind Warnings in Minnesota, 2022Every high wind warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.