Alert archive / Iowa / Special Weather Statements in 2022

Special Weather Statement, NWS Des Moines, IA

August 7, 2022Audubon County, Guthrie County, Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this special weather statement at Aug 7, 2022, 6:28 PM CDT for Audubon County, Guthrie County, Iowa. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2022, 6:28 PM CDT (23:28 UTC)
Expired
Aug 7, 2022, 7:15 PM CDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Des Moines, IA
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
50

Counties Audubon County, IA, Guthrie County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 7, 6:20 PM CDT, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 6:20 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
620 PM CDT Sun Aug 7 2022

...Updated for the 00z Aviation Discussion...

.DISCUSSION.../Tonight through Sunday/
Issued at 254 PM CDT Sun Aug 7 2022

Key Messages:

-Marginal risk of severe weather this evening with gusty winds being
the primary threat
-Additional heavy rainfall is possible overnight north.
-Heat will return on Wednesday after a short intermission

Short Term:

The stationary boundary that provided bountiful rainfall to areas
north has not moved much since the morning. Currently it is draped
across the northern border and reaches down into portions of western
Iowa. Continued mid-level monsoonal moisture advects in from the
WSW, bringing additional shower activity to the western flank of the
boundary. It has continued to struggle to overcome inhibition in the
southern portion of the state, leaving only scattered mid and high
level clouds to combat the building heat in southern counties.
However, the clearing also comes with steeper mixing which will work
to lower the dew points some, thus lowering heat indices. There will
still be some locations this afternoon that will reach heat advisory
criteria south of I-80, but not widespread and long-lived enough to
expand the Heat Advisory.

The temperature gradient along the boundary will create higher
amounts of MUCAPE in the warm sector, giving a window for more
organized convection. The hail and tornado threats are minimal due
to warm cloud depths and well-mixed low-level air. More favorable
DCAPE along with very saturated cold pools will allow for an
occasional damaging wind gust from a stronger thunderstorm.

Overnight, the attention again shifts to the potential for heavy
rainfall. Rain will begin to lighten in the morning as the system
pushes southeast. The better signal for heavy rain lies to our
northeast in portions of southern Wisconsin and northeast Iowa. This
is where the jet-driven moisture transport will be maximized. As for
central Iowa, the atmosphere will still have plenty of moisture with
PWATs at nearly 200% of normal. The highest accumulations will be in
northern portions of the state with 2+ inches possible in localized
areas. The same areas that received lots of rain last night may see
additional rainfall again tonight, but given the lack of impacts or
significant river response, a flood watch was not reissued.

Long Term:

After the system clears out on Monday morning, we'll have a break
from the hot temperatures for a couple of days. High pressure will
work its way in from Canada and usher in northerly winds beginning
on Monday. Another shortwave will dip into the area for Tuesday
morning, but profiles are far too dry at that point to support
precip. Meanwhile, another 500mb ridge will continue to build in the
w est and eventually usher in a return of hotter weather beginning
on Wednesday for areas west. Expect heat to once again be the main
weather theme into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening/
Issued at 620 PM CDT Sun Aug 7 2022

Scattered storms are developing I80 north with activity expected
to increase into the evening hours. With some uncertainty on
coverage, have kept DSM and OTM mainly dry aft 05z while CAMS
hint at more northeasterly movement on remaining storms into 06z
and thereafter. Will continue to evaluate and update next package.
/rev

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for IAZ070>072-081>086-
092>097.

&&

DISCUSSION...Hagenhoff/Jimenez
AVIATION...REV
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 7, 3:05 PM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
305 PM CDT Sun Aug 7 2022

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-073>075-082015-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-
305 PM CDT Sun Aug 7 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Thunderstorm chances will continue today into tonight. The
overall threat for severe weather is low, but a few strong wind
gusts and locally heavy rainfall are possible. Flash flooding may
be a concern if heavy rainfall occurs in areas that are already
saturated from previous rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

IAZ070>072-081>086-092>097-082015-
Cass-Adair-Madison-Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-
Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
305 PM CDT Sun Aug 7 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

A Heat Advisory is in effect for the area this afternoon. Please
refer to the National Weather Service website at
weather.gov/desmoines for further details.

A few scattered thunderstorms are possible tonight. Severe weather
is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A few thunderstorms may linger into Monday. No severe weather is
expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

Hagenhoff

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 7, 6:28 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
628 PM CDT Sun Aug 7 2022

IAZ057-058-080015-
Guthrie IA-Audubon IA-
628 PM CDT Sun Aug 7 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Guthrie
and southeastern Audubon Counties through 715 PM CDT...

At 627 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Audubon, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail and additional
         rainfall up to one inch.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible. Ponding of ponding of water on roadways, low
         visibilities, and rises in small streams and creeks.

Locations impacted include...
  Guthrie Center.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4156 9495 4173 9491 4173 9450 4154 9450
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 271DEG 23KT 4165 9485

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Bury/REV

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 6, 7:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDMXCerro Gordo25 min
Aug 7, 12:40 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDMXCerro Gordo65 min
Aug 7, 3:24 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXCerro Gordo, Hancock, Winnebago, Worth6 hr
Aug 7, 5:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon42 min
Aug 7, 6:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDMXPolk52 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Iowa, 2022Every special weather statement in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.