Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2022

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

July 16, 2022Grant County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Jul 16, 2022, 5:39 PM CDT for Grant County, Kansas. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2022, 5:39 PM CDT (22:39 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2022, 6:15 PM CDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Dodge City, KS
Hail
0.00 in
Wind
55

County Grant County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 390 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2022-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 54 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2022-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -24 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
54 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-256 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1623 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
198 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 16, 4:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 4:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
438 PM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022

There is a frontal boundary that extends from eastern Colorado into
northwest Kansas. Higher moisture is pooling north of this front across
that area. This will be the main concern for any storm potential later
this afternoon and into the evening. Showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop along the boundary or farther west in the higher
moisture area. The best timing on this activity will be late this afternoon
into the evening. Have the highest confidence of storms along the Colorado
state line and into west-central Kansas. This is also where the highest
pops were retained for the northwest and north counties. The main threats
of this activity would be marginally strong outflow winds of 50 mph
and some brief moderate rainfall amounts. This activity should weaken
as it propagates farther east and southeast into mid to late evening
hours. Pops will continue to taper through this period as an expectation
to this evolution of the storms. Otherwise, the rest of the FA will
see mainly tranquil weather conditions tonight. Overnight lows tonight
will remain on the warm side with values mainly in the 70s. Upper 70s
will be likely across the southeast zones towards Med Lodge. Lastly,
the boundary will continue to move east through the overnight hours.
This front is expected to have cleared much of the area by noon Sunday.
Highs tomorrow will be slightly cooler with mid to upper 90s across
much of the FA. The main exception to this will be along the Oklahoma
border, where low 100's will still be likely. It doesn't look warm
enough right now for any heat headlines. Storms are not expected Sunday
afternoon and evening in response to the mid level ridge moving more
overhead.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022

More hot temperatures are expected Monday and Tuesday. A 596-hPa ridge
will be over our region during this period. Highs over 100 looks certain
for the beginning of the work week. Highs Tuesday looks to be the hottest
with enhanced compressional warming ahead of a weak sfc boundary. Values
of 105 to 110 looks on track for Tuesday. A slight cool down is possible
next Wednesday in the wake of a passing sfc front. It will overall
still be hot with values still centered a few degrees around 100. Unfortunately,
there is more bad news Thursday onward. The ridge and warm sector looks
to continue to spread northward through the end of the business week.
This supports a continue hot weather pattern with highs over 100. Overall
storm chances looks very isolated at a best. Much of the FA should
continue to bake and remain dry other than those lucky enough for a
passing isolated storm. Next weekend also looks hot with highs over
100 and mainly dry with the exception of perhaps an isolated storm
or two over a small area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 438 PM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022

VFR is expected to continue through this TAF cycle, outside of any
convective impacts. Some scattered thunderstorm activity is
expected during the 03-09z Sun time range, and included a VCTS/CB
mention for the DDC/GCK/HYS terminals for this time period. Kept
LBL dry. Confidence of exact convective placement is low, but
coverage will favor northern zones. A weak cold front will sag
through SW KS tonight, with light winds trending toward northerly
components through 12z Sun. VFR/SKC is expected daylight Sunday,
with light northeast winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  72  99  69 101 /  40   0   0   0
GCK  69  98  67 104 /  50   0   0   0
EHA  72  99  69 101 /  20  10   0   0
LBL  74 102  69 103 /  20   0   0   0
HYS  72  97  67 101 /  40   0   0   0
P28  77 102  70  99 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ090.

&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Turner
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 2:45 AM CDT, 14 hours 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
245 AM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-170745-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
245 AM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022 /145 AM MDT Sat Jul 16 2022/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today

A marginal risk of severe weather is possible mainly for areas
along and north of highway 50. Time frame will be from after 4 pm
through 10 pm. Main threat will be wind gusts over 60 mph and hail
to the size of quarters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Several days of 100 degree heat in the afternoon with the
potential of record breaking highs on Tuesday. Forecast high
temperatures for Tuesday at this point could be 107-110.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation won't be needed today.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 4:18 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
418 PM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022

KSZ074-162215-
Stanton KS-
418 PM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Stanton County
through 515 PM CDT...

At 418 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm very
near The Saunders Elevator, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
  Manter and Johnson City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3757 10204 3769 10161 3742 10158 3739 10186
      3739 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 251DEG 13KT 3747 10206

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

HOVORKA
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 5:39 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
539 PM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022

KSZ062-075-162315-
Kearny KS-Grant KS-
539 PM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Kearny
and northern Grant Counties through 615 PM CDT...

At 539 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Big Bow, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
  Ulysses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3784 10113 3757 10110 3750 10150 3755 10153
      3768 10153
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 248DEG 10KT 3761 10147

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

HOVORKA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 7:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCFinney33 min
Jul 16, 4:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCStanton57 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2022Every special weather statement in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.