Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Dodge City, KS

419 
WWUS53 KDDC 230207
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
907 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

KSC055-230217-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-220423T0230Z/
Finney KS-
907 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN FINNEY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area.  Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3842 10079 3844 10092 3849 10090 3859 10087
      3870 10084 3870 10071
TIME...MOT...LOC 0207Z 201DEG 41KT 3852 10087 

$$

KSC171-230230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-220423T0230Z/
Scott KS-
907 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTY...

At 907 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Scott City,
moving north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Scott County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3842 10079 3844 10092 3849 10090 3859 10087
      3870 10084 3870 10071
TIME...MOT...LOC 0207Z 201DEG 41KT 3852 10087 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

TATRO

342 
WWUS53 KDDC 230218
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
918 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

KSC171-230228-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-220423T0230Z/
Scott KS-
918 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3842 10079 3844 10092 3849 10090 3859 10087
      3870 10084 3870 10071
TIME...MOT...LOC 0216Z 193DEG 36KT 3863 10084 

$$

TATRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
549 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

...Updated aviation section...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

17Z obs showing a robust area of moisture across southwest Kansas
with dewpoints in the 60s from LBL to GCK on east with 50
dewpoints to the Colorado border. Dryline is positioned from North
Platte, Nebraska to Springfield, Colorado. Surface wind speeds are
sustained 30 mph with gusts over 40 mph. A large longwave trough
is moving into the desert southwest with a deepening surface low
in northeast Colorado.

Tonight...models are still suggesting two rounds of storms with
the first round developing along a dryline after 6 PM and a second
round developing along a cold front and shortwave trough after
midnight. With good mixing today the dryline should be sharp as it
moves into western Kansas with an increasing LLJ after 00Z. This
will produce clockwise hodographs and with CAPE values over 2000
j/kg and over 40 kts bulk shear any storms that develop will have
the capability of hail 2 inches or larger as they start out as
discrete supercell. With the strong wind speeds at 850 mb the
potential for strong winds with the mixing will also be possible
(as the wind speeds even without the storms could be close to
severe levels late this afternoon). Storms could easily produce
70-80 mph gusts. With the high LCLs forecast even though the low
level shear will be good...the tornado outlook with LP dryline
supercells tonight is not as great. The other possibility is with
the LP supercells of dry lightning strikes that could add a fire
danger on top of the severe danger as it looks like the rainfall
at least initially with the storms won't be much. What may inhibit
initiation on the dryline will be the warm mid level temperatures
(+10 to +11 C 700 mb temps).

Later tonight as a shortwave ejects out of Colorado a second round
of storms will develop as a weak cold front enters into northwest
Kansas. These storms will grow to linear pretty quickly and the
main threat will be wind gusts 60-80 mph. The strongest of the 850
mb winds look to increase to 70 kts after midnight and these
storms could easily mix those winds to the surface. Storm
propagation to the east should be fairly rapidly however models
don't have a consensus how far south the line will be. At this
point the best chance of the overnight storms will be along the
I-70 corridor and lesser chances to the south.

Saturday the upper level trough will move into southwest Kansas
and we should expect gusty southwest winds through the day and
with the cold frontal passage the moisture will be scoured out of
the region. With this combo fire weather will once again be a
concern with winds 20-30 mph with higher gusts and humidity values
falling to below 15%. Highs should reach into the upper 70s and
lower 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 152 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

Sunday a much more robust cold front should move through the
region with stronger cold air advection through the day. Initial
winds will increase behind he front but with the quick arrival of
a high we should see the winds diminish by afternoon. Highs will
be in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Sunday night into Monday morning a shortwave trough will move
through eastern Colorado and with some upslope winds medium term
models are suggesting precipitation developing along the front
range of the Rockies to the CO-KS border. It looks like the best
lift with the shortwave should keep the moisture just west of the
border so removed the slight POP chance that was in for our
western counties for Sunday night.

For the first parts of the week we should see upper level ridging
moving into the plains which will keep us dry. Winds will pick up
again for Tuesday and Wednesday as a surface low deepens in
eastern Colorado and a shortwave moves from the four corners
region to Nebraska. Upped the forecasted wind speeds for Tuesday
and Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 536 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

A few thunderstorms may affect the GCK terminal later this evening
bringing brief lowered ceilings and visibilities. Otherwise expect
VFR conditions through tomorrow. Winds will generally be from the
south gusting to over 40 knots at times. LLWS is also expected
overnight but end by sunrise tomorrow.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

A fire weather watch is in effect for Saturday as winds will be
picking up out of the southwest to 20-30 mph with higher gusts and
colder air behind a weak cold front will drop relative humidity
values to around 10-12% by the afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  55  78  41  69 /  40   0   0   0
GCK  51  76  38  66 /  50   0   0   0
EHA  50  75  38  67 /  20   0   0   0
LBL  53  78  39  69 /  40   0   0   0
HYS  59  78  42  68 /  50  10   0   0
P28  65  84  47  74 /  30  20   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until 1 AM CDT /midnight MDT/ Saturday for
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.

Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
evening for KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.

Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for
KSZ061-074-084.

&&

SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...Hovorka_42
FIRE WEATHER...Tatro

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
205 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-231915-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
205 PM CDT Fri Apr 22 2022 /105 PM MDT Fri Apr 22 2022/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Two rounds of storms will be possible for tonight. Storms could be
possible after 6 PM along a dry line for areas roughly along and
west of highway 83. Main threat with these storms will be large
hail 2 inches in diameter or larger and gusty winds. An isolated
tornado can't be ruled out, however the overall environment
doesn't look favorable for tornado develop.

A second round of storms is forecast to develop in northwest
Kansas and will evolve into a squall line after midnight as it
moves eastward. The main threat with these storms will be wind
gusts over 70 mph. The best chance of storms will be along the
I-70 corridor with lesser chances as you move south.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Significant risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Elevate risk of fire weather for Saturday as winds will be out of
the southwest at 20-30 mph with higher gusts and relative humidity
values falling to 10-12%

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Saturday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Excessive cold: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Excessive cold: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Excessive cold: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 6 PM this evening.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ddc

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
754 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     HAIL             HUGOTON                 37.18N 101.35W
04/22/2022  E1.50 INCH       STEVENS            KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
757 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     HAIL             3 S ULYSSES             37.54N 101.36W
04/22/2022  E1.00 INCH       GRANT              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
758 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0749 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW PIERCEVILLE        37.92N 100.72W
04/22/2022  M74 MPH          FINNEY             KS   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KGCK GARDEN CITY.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
820 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0806 PM     HAIL             HUGOTON                 37.18N 101.35W
04/22/2022  U1.50 INCH       STEVENS            KS   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: PING PONG BALL (1.50
            IN.).

0811 PM     HAIL             HOLCOMB                 37.99N 100.99W
04/22/2022  U1.00 INCH       FINNEY             KS   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: QUARTER (1.00 IN.).

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
823 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     HAIL             ULYSSES                 37.58N 101.36W
04/22/2022  E2.00 INCH       GRANT              KS   PUBLIC

            REPORT RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

GERARD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
843 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     HAIL             HOLCOMB                 37.99N 100.99W
04/22/2022  E1.25 INCH       FINNEY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

GERARD