Severe Thunderstorm Warning 140, NWS Dodge City, KS

064 
WWUS53 KDDC 070515
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1215 AM CDT Thu Jul 7 2022

KSC075-187-070545-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0140.000000T0000Z-220707T0545Z/
Hamilton KS-Stanton KS-
1215 AM CDT Thu Jul 7 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM
CDT/1145 PM MDT/ FOR HAMILTON AND NORTHERN STANTON COUNTIES...

At 1215 AM CDT/1115 PM MDT/, severe thunderstorms were located along
a line extending from 15 miles north of Coolidge to near Syracuse to
14 miles northwest of Manter, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  Syracuse around 1120 PM MDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 10204 3826 10155 3773 10154 3768 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0515Z 262DEG 28KT 3825 10191 3797 10179 3771 10201 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

TATRO

565 
WWUS53 KDDC 070535
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1135 PM MDT Wed Jul 6 2022

KSC187-070544-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0140.000000T0000Z-220707T0545Z/
Stanton KS-
1135 PM MDT Wed Jul 6 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN STANTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened. Therefore, the 
warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3798 10154 3799 10177 3826 10189 3826 10155
TIME...MOT...LOC 0534Z 245DEG 26KT 3831 10174 3804 10165 

$$

KSC075-070545-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0140.000000T0000Z-220707T0545Z/
Hamilton KS-
1135 PM MDT Wed Jul 6 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM MDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY...

At 1134 PM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 11 miles south of Tribune to 6 miles northeast of
Syracuse, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe thunderstorms will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Hamilton County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3798 10154 3799 10177 3826 10189 3826 10155
TIME...MOT...LOC 0534Z 245DEG 26KT 3831 10174 3804 10165 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

UMSCHEID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1100 PM CDT Wed Jul 6 2022

...updated aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 1203 PM CDT Wed Jul 6 2022

Strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will be possible late this
afternoon into this evening as a series of weak perturbations eject
northeast out of the Southern Rockies into the high plains of eastern
Colorado/ Western Kansas, interacting with a stalled surface trough
axis bisecting southwest Kansas into central Kansas. Despite a
relatively weak flow aloft and weaker deep layer shear in general,
ample instability (SBCAPE values in excess of 1500-2000 J/kg) and
steepening lapse rates will set the stage for potential thunderstorm
development in vicinity of a low level convergence axis associated
with the stalled surface trough. Outside of an ongoing festering
band of showers/embedded thunderstorms in extreme southwest
Kansas, any initiation closer to the surface trough axis based on
CAMs looks to be generally after 21Z as capping erodes, mainly
north of highway 50. Additionally, thunderstorms developing in
eastern Colorado late this afternoon may eventually spread east-
northeastward into portions of extreme western Kansas later in the
evening. With PW values in excess of 1.5 inches, localized flooding
cannot be ruled out with the strongest storms.

Slightly cooler temperatures are likely tonight as a weak cold front
pushes southeast into western Kansas. Lows are expected down into
the 60s(F) in west central and portions of southwest Kansas with the
lower 70s(F) still possible in south central Kansas. Temperatures
will not be quite as hot for much of the area Thursday as a weak
cold front pushes southeast across much of southwest Kansas late
tonight before stalling out Thursday morning. Should see highs
holding to the 90s(F) in west central and southwest Kansas with
100F still possible in south central Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Wed Jul 6 2022

Thunderstorm chances linger into Thursday night/Friday, but the
focus shifts a little southward as an approaching cold front is
projected to stall out closer to the Oklahoma border by Thursday
morning. Ample instability and diurnal heating resulting in
steepening lapse rates will be the order of the day once again,
increasing the potential for thunderstorms in vicinity of the
boundary toward late afternoon/evening as another in a series of
small upper level shortwaves ejected out of the Colorado Rockies
into the high plains. The pattern is then expected to dry out a bit
into the weekend as medium range models indicate upper level ridging
building in across the Intermountain West, then shifting eastward
into the Western High Plains. A few storms cannot be ruled out in
extreme southwest Kansas Friday evening as a southeasterly upslope
flow sets up north of a near stationary frontal boundary projected
to curve up generally from the Texas Panhandle into southeast
Colorado.

Fairly seasonal temperatures are likely Friday as surface high
pressure moves through the Northern Plains, reinforcing a slightly
cooler air mass across western Kansas within east-northeasterly
upslope flow. Widespread highs in the 90s(F) can be expected with
temperatures once again pushing 100F Sunday as ridging aloft moves
out of the Colorado Rockies into the Western High Plains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed Jul 6 2022

VFR should prevail for the TAFs through the pd. Will be watching a line
of storms that is currently across eastern Colorado. Have the highest
confidence of impacting the KGCK/KHYS terminals. Lower confidence elsewhere.
Timing on this would be through the early morning hours. There might
be some gusty isolated winds associated with this. Otherwise, winds
will remain light and variable.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  70  93  68  95 /  50  20  30  10
GCK  68  91  67  93 /  60  20  30  10
EHA  67  92  66  93 /  50  20  40  10
LBL  69  95  68  95 /  50  20  30  10
HYS  70  92  68  92 /  50  10  30   0
P28  75 100  72  96 /  30  10  30  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...JJohnson
AVIATION...Sugden

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
446 AM CDT Wed Jul 6 2022

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-071000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
446 AM CDT Wed Jul 6 2022 /346 AM MDT Wed Jul 6 2022/

...A heat advisory is in effect for today for parts of
southwestern Kansas...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Temperatures this afternoon from 100 to 105, along with dewpoint
values in the lower 60s, will lead to dangerous heat indices of
105 or higher. See the latest statement (TOPNPWDDC) for details.

There is a chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.
These storms could contain winds of 50 to 60 mph and small hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Temperatures Thursday afternoon over south central Kansas from
100 to 105, along with dewpoint values in the lower 60s, will
lead to dangerous heat indices of 105 or higher.

There is a chance of strong to marginally severe thunderstorms
Thursday afternoon and evening, especially south and east of Dodge
City. These storms could contain winds of 50 to 60 mph and small
hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ddc

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
554 PM CDT Wed Jul 6 2022

KSZ064-065-079-062330-
Hodgeman KS-Pawnee KS-Edwards KS-
554 PM CDT Wed Jul 6 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Hodgeman, southwestern Pawnee and northwestern Edwards Counties
through 630 PM CDT...

At 554 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hanston, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Burdett, Rozel and Sanford.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3800 9972 3815 9978 3826 9932 3800 9925
TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 258DEG 24KT 3807 9966

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

SPRINGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
845 PM CDT WED JUL 6 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0659 PM     TSTM WND GST     10 ENE HUDSON           38.14N 98.48W
07/06/2022  M64 MPH          STAFFORD           KS   MESONET

            MESONET STATION QNRK1 STAFFORD.

&&

GT