Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Special Weather Statements in 2022

Special Weather Statement, NWS Cleveland, OH

April 25, 2022Erie County, Pennsylvania

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this special weather statement at Apr 25, 2022, 4:11 PM EDT for Erie County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 64 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 25, 2022, 4:11 PM EDT (20:11 UTC)
Expired: Apr 25, 2022, 5:15 PM EDT
In force: 64 min
Issued by: NWS Cleveland, OH
Hail: 0.00 in
Wind: 50

County Erie County, PA

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1686 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Apr 25, 3:32 PM EDT, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 25, 3:32 PM EDT, 39 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
332 PM EDT Mon Apr 25 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move east of the area overnight. A trough will
move slowly southeast into the lower Great Lakes region through
Wednesday. High pressure is expected to follow the trough and build
into the Great Lakes by Thursday and remain nearly stationary
through Saturday. Low pressure should move northeast to Iowa by
Saturday night forcing a warm front north across the local area over
the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
The surface cold front has arrived and is currently
moving east across the area at this time.  Showers and thunderstorms
continue to advance east ahead of the front this afternoon.
Instability developed over the eastern portions of the forecast area
as periods of sun helped to destabilize the atmosphere.  Some
reports of damaging winds have been received with some of the
thunderstorms at this time.

Cold air advection will follow the front overnight and force the
warm air out of the area. As an upper level trough descends over the
Great Lakes region, expecting broad surface trough to descend into
the local area and move fairly slowly through this forecast period.
Cyclonic northwesterly flow will develop Tuesday night allowing a
dry slot to push into the region. Then, wrap around moisture will
push into the area and set-up flow to support some lake effect
rain/snow showers across the northeast portions of the forecast area
late Tuesday into Tuesday night.  Snow accumulations will likely be
confined to the higher elevations to the east Tuesday night.
Otherwise, fair weather will prevail Tuesday across the rest of the
forecast area. This trend will continue into Tuesday night. Skies
will clear out and cold air advection will continue and there is the
possibility for the development of some frost in the west.  So, will
need to monitor trends for possible frost/freeze headlines.

As for temperatures, cold air advection will produce falling
temperatures through the night into the 40s, recovering to the 50s
tomorrow and even colder tomorrow night.  Cold air should drop lows
into the lower 30s with some isolated middle to upper 20s in the
normally colder spots.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
We begin the short term period with lingering lake enhanced showers
across the snowbelt. Favorable northwesterly fetch off of Lake Erie,
in addition to 850 mb temperatures near -8 to -10 degrees C will
allow for lake enhanced precipitation through late Wednesday
morning. Given cold air aloft and near the surface overnight
Wednesday, rain/snow mix will transition to mostly snow across
the snowbelt overnight. The highest snow accumulations remain
across the higher terrain locations in NW PA. The upper level
low will drift eastward late Wednesday as surface high pressure
will begin to build into the region from the north. This will
cut off any lingering lake enhanced precipitation. Dry air looks
to remain in place for the remainder of the short term period.

Temperatures in the short term will be well below average for this
time of year given the cold air mass in place above the region. Low
temperatures on Wednesday will drop below freezing and into the
upper 20s for most, except along the immediate lake shore. Given
this cold air mass, frost development is most likely to occur
overnight Wednesday into Thursday as clearing skies, below
freezing temperatures, and calm winds are expected. High
temperatures on Thursday will struggle to reach into the mid
50s, with most of the lakeshore locations topping out in the
upper 40s, which is around 20- 25 degrees below average for late
April. Low temperatures Thursday night will settle in the mid
30s, but with cloud cover increasing from west to east
overnight, frost potential seems less likely and should remain
confined to the eastern portion of the CWA.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Surface high pressure will drift southward to begin the long term,
but we look to remain dry for the first half of the weekend thanks
to upper level ridging. Saturday night into Sunday an upper level
vort max will eject out of the Rockies. This vort max will slowly
creep toward the Ohio Valley. Chance PoPs begin in the southwestern
corner of the CWA Saturday afternoon and begin to move northeastward
throughout the overnight hours Saturday night into Sunday morning.
Models seem to be in a bit better of an agreement with precip onset
early Sunday morning, but the GFS has precip ending quickly with the
Euro and Canadian having precip hanging on through most of
Monday.

Temperatures will slowly increase through the long term period,
returning to near normal by Sunday. Highs should reach the mid to
upper 60s, near normal for early May, Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/...
A cold front moving east across the area forcing showers in
advance of the front. The atmosphere has become unstable enough
to support the development of thunderstorms from Cleveland to
Mansfield east this afternoon and early evening. As front moves
through the area, expecting ceilings to drop to between 700 and
800 feet across the area with occasional IFR/MVFR visibilities
in showers and thunderstorms. Once front clears the area to the
east, conditions will be improving from west to east to VFR.
Winds will be 10 to 20 knots from the southwest ahead of the
cold front and then become west-northwest after frontal passage.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible with rain/snow Tuesday night through
Wednesday morning across northeast Ohio and northwest PA.
Widespread frost possible Wednesday night through Saturday
morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Generally northwest flow across the lake will become west by
Tuesday remaining at 10-15 knots. Westerly winds will increase
Tuesday afternoon ranging between 15-25 knots through Wednesday
morning. Waves look to approach the 3-5 foot range Tuesday night
into Wednesday morning, which may warrant the issuance of a
Small Craft Advisory for this period. High pressure begins to
move into the region by Wednesday afternoon which will allow
winds to decrease to 10-15 knots with flow becoming northerly.
High pressure remains in the region through Friday, allowing for
diminishing winds and subsiding waves.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Lombardy
NEAR TERM...Lombardy
SHORT TERM...Iverson
LONG TERM...Iverson
AVIATION...Lombardy
MARINE...Iverson

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 25, 3:42 PM EDT, 29 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
342 PM EDT Mon Apr 25 2022

OHZ013-014-021>023-032-033-PAZ002-003-261945-
Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Stark-Mahoning-
Southern Erie-Crawford-
342 PM EDT Mon Apr 25 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio and northwest
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible ahead of a cold
front that is moving across the area. There a possibility that these
thunderstorms could reach severe levels. Damaging wind gusts or
maybe some large hail are possible with the thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>012-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001-261945-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-
Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-
Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
342 PM EDT Mon Apr 25 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 25, 2:41 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
241 PM EDT MON APR 25 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EATON TOWNSHIP          41.31N 82.02W
04/25/2022                   LORAIN             OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF TORN OFF BUILDING.

&&

LOMBARDY

Local storm report, Apr 25, 3:36 PM EDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
336 PM EDT MON APR 25 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0314 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSE CHARDON           41.56N 81.20W
04/25/2022                   GEAUGA             OH   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON SOUTH ST.

&&

Local storm report, Apr 25, 3:39 PM EDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
339 PM EDT MON APR 25 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 NE AQUILLA            41.61N 81.05W
04/25/2022                   GEAUGA             OH   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN.

&&

Local storm report, Apr 25, 3:48 PM EDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
348 PM EDT MON APR 25 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0234 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S BEREA               41.35N 81.86W
04/25/2022                   CUYAHOGA           OH   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

Local storm report, Apr 25, 4:05 PM EDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
405 PM EDT MON APR 25 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 1 NNW FAIRPORT HARBOR   41.76N 81.28W
04/25/2022  M50 MPH          LAKE               OH   OTHER FEDERAL

            44 KNOT PEAK WIND. BUOY STATION FAIO1
            FAIRPORT, OH.

&&

Special weather statement, Apr 25, 4:11 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
411 PM EDT Mon Apr 25 2022

PAZ001>003-252115-
Northern Erie PA-Southern Erie PA-Crawford PA-
411 PM EDT Mon Apr 25 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Erie and
northwestern Crawford Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 411 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Albion, or 9 miles southeast of Conneaut, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Erie, Edinboro, North East, Girard, Waterford, Albion, Wattsburg,
Northwest Harborcreek, Wesleyville, Cranesville, Springboro, Platea
and McKean.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4224 7977 4220 7976 4201 7976 4200 7975
      4200 7966 4176 8047 4182 8052 4190 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 242DEG 41KT 4184 8043

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Sefcovic

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 25, 12:57 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CLE	Crawford, Seneca	48 min
Apr 25, 1:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CLE	Huron	45 min
Apr 25, 1:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Erie, Huron, Lorain	48 min
Apr 25, 2:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Cuyahoga, Lake, Lorain	38 min
Apr 25, 2:48 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	CLE		87 min
Apr 25, 2:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Trumbull	47 min
Apr 25, 3:40 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Ashtabula	35 min
Apr 25, 4:04 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	CLE		69 min
Apr 25, 4:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CLE	Erie	58 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Pennsylvania, 2022 Every special weather statement in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.