Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Cleveland, OH

031 
WWUS51 KCLE 202218
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
618 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

OHC043-143-202228-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-220720T2245Z/
Erie OH-Sandusky OH-
618 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ERIE AND SOUTHEASTERN SANDUSKY
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
north central and northwestern Ohio.

LAT...LON 4117 8298 4125 8284 4129 8284 4129 8251
      4128 8247 4113 8251 4111 8306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 255DEG 19KT 4125 8284 

$$

OHC077-147-202245-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-220720T2245Z/
Huron OH-Seneca OH-
618 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN HURON AND EAST CENTRAL SENECA COUNTIES...

At 618 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Bellevue, or 12
miles west of Norwalk, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Norwalk, Bellevue, Milan, Northern Milan, Monroeville, Republic and
Flat Rock.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4117 8298 4125 8284 4129 8284 4129 8251
      4128 8247 4113 8251 4111 8306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 255DEG 19KT 4125 8284 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Kahn

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
359 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will push east through the area through this
evening. After weak high pressure builds across the area late
tonight into Thursday, a trough will push east across the lower
Great Lakes Thursday night into Friday. High pressure returns to
the area late Friday into Friday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect for the western
half of the forecast area. Storms have initiated from Bowling
Green to Toledo, and would expect this activity to
continue/persist eastward over the next several hours. Ample
instability ahead of the front with increasing deep layer bulk
shear promotes a favorable environment for convection to persist
eastward through this evening. Still some concern about the
overall organization of convection eastward given the dry mid
levels, but increasing shear as the exit region of a mid/upper
jet moves east into the area should provide some better support
for organization.

Damaging winds are the primary threat with ample dry air aloft
and steep low level lapse rates, but a tornado or two cannot be
ruled out with somewhat favorable low level helicity, 0-3km
CAPE, and LCLs near 1000m. If the storms become more organized,
the severe threat may persist farther east into the area which
would necessitate a watch extension.

Any lingering convective activity will push east of the forecast
area after midnight, with a few stray showers possible towards
daybreak as a secondary mid level trough swings through the
eastern Great Lakes.

Weak high pressure builds into the area Thursday with mainly dry
conditions expected through the evening. Another weak
disturbance will track eastward across the Great Lakes Thursday
night, with some scattered showers possible. Highs will be a
touch cooler Thursday in the mid/upper 80s for most locations,
with low 80s across northwest PA and near 90 across northwest
OH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
A generally quiet short term period is expected as our area becomes
sandwiches between two fronts, additionally influenced by a weak
area of high pressure. There could be a few weak mid-level
shortwaves Friday and Friday night which could result in isolated
showers and/or thunderstorms, but not anticipating anything too
significant. Temperatures will be near to slightly above average on
Friday, in the mid to upper 80s.

Saturday should remain dry for the most part with a substantial
capping inversion in place during the day. This will allow for above-
average temperatures in the  low to mid 90s with dew points in the
lower 70s. Heat indices will approach 100 degrees in some spots,
especially across NW OH.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A more active long term period is in store across the region,
especially on Sunday into Monday as an upper trough axis and
associated surface cold front drops south across the Lower Great
Lakes.

A heavy rain signal is apparent on Sunday and Sunday night as an
anomalously-moist airmass accompanies a southward-moving cold front,
characterized by PWATs nearing 2.0 inches, westerly shear vectors
paralleling the front, and tall and skinny CAPE profiles present.
The heavy rain threat may persist into Monday morning and Monday
afternoon, depending on the timing of the cold frontal passage.

By Tuesday and Tuesday night, high pressure will build south across
the Great Lakes, allowing the area to dry out briefly. However, by
Wednesday, we could be dealing with another system as an upper
trough axis sweeps east across the Great Lakes, ushering back the
anomalously-moist airmass, characterized by PWATs nearing 2.0
inches.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Wednesday THROUGH Monday/...
VFR conditions are expected at the terminals through most of the
period, with the primary focus on TSRA potential from west to
east from 18Z through 06Z. A broken line of SHRA/TSRA is
expected to progress eastward across northern OH through this
evening, pushing east of KYNG/KERI by 06Z. Only confident
enough for small windows of TEMPO TSRA for the western
terminals, with a VCTS mention east. Any storms that impact
terminals could produce brief gusts up to 50 kts, especially at
KTOL, KFDY, KMFD and possibly KCLE through 02Z. Brief reductions
to MVFR or even IFR possible with the storms. Generally VFR
conditions expected behind the front from 06Z through the end of
the period aside from a stray SHRA/MVFR cig at KERI near 12Z.
Southwest winds with gusts of 20-25 kts early in the period will
become more westerly by the end of the period.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible again with isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.MARINE...
Enhanced south to southwest flow, 15 to 20 knots, will persist
across the lake through the evening, before shifting towards the
west by Thursday morning into the afternoon, 15 to 20 knots,
necessitating a Small Craft Advisory during much of the day on
Thursday. Beyond Thursday, generally southwest flow of 10 to 15
knots will persist through Saturday, perhaps strengthening into the
15 to 20 knot range by Sunday. A cold front is expected to move
south across the lake sometime Sunday night into Monday, resulting
in winds shifting towards the north and northwest, 10 to 15 knots by
late Monday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 4 PM EDT Thursday for
     LEZ146>148.
     Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 8 PM EDT Thursday for LEZ149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Greenawalt
NEAR TERM...Greenawalt
SHORT TERM...Kahn
LONG TERM...Kahn
AVIATION...Greenawalt
MARINE...Kahn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
339 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

LEZ142>144-162>164-OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027-028-036-211945-
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-
Wyandot-Crawford-Marion-
339 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 477 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central Ohio
and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. Please relay
any information about observed severe weather to the NWS while
following all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

LEZ061-145>149-165>169-OHZ010>014-020>023-029>033-037-038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-211945-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-
on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Medina-
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford-
339 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening.
Damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph will be the main threat followed by
large hail. The threat of an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out if
storms remain discrete.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state,
and CDC guidelines.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
343 PM EDT WED JUL 20 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 9 ENE OREGON            41.70N 83.26W
07/20/2022  M39 MPH          LEZ142             OH   MESONET

            34 KNOT PEAK WIND. MESONET STATION TWCO1 8
            ENE OREGON.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
406 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

OHZ007-008-202045-
Ottawa OH-Sandusky OH-
406 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Ottawa and Sandusky
Counties through 445 PM EDT...

At 405 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles west of Gibsonburg, or 9 miles east of Bowling Green, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fremont, Oak Harbor, Gibsonburg, Woodville, Elmore, Ballville,
Risingsun, Lindsey, Rocky Ridge, Helena and Stony Prairie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
northwestern Ohio.

&&

LAT...LON 4149 8341 4159 8306 4147 8299 4147 8303
      4145 8304 4145 8302 4144 8301 4143 8301
      4145 8298 4136 8293 4126 8342
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 246DEG 33KT 4136 8346

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Sefcovic

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
446 PM EDT WED JUL 20 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 16 NE HARBOR VIEW       41.83N 83.19W
07/20/2022  M48 MPH          LEZ162             OH   MESONET

            42 KNOT PEAK WIND. MESONET STATION THLO1 9
            SSE STONY POINT.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
447 PM EDT WED JUL 20 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 9 ENE OREGON            41.70N 83.26W
07/20/2022  M58 MPH          LEZ142             OH   MESONET

            50 KNOT PEAK WIND. MESONET STATION TWCO1 8
            ENE OREGON.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
532 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

OHZ008-009-018-019-202230-
Seneca OH-Huron OH-Erie OH-Sandusky OH-
532 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Huron,
northeastern Seneca, Erie and southeastern Sandusky Counties through
630 PM EDT...

At 532 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Green Springs, or 7 miles northeast of Tiffin, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Tiffin, Norwalk, Western Vermilion, Bellevue, Clyde, Green Springs,
Northern Milan, Milan, Wakeman, Monroeville, Berlin Heights,
Bettsville, Republic, Flat Rock, Bloomingville, Kansas and
Birmingham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
north central and northwestern Ohio.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 8329 4141 8257 4140 8254 4138 8252
      4138 8248 4143 8236 4143 8235 4121 8235
      4108 8323
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 256DEG 45KT 4120 8309

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Kahn

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
549 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

OHZ007>009-202230-
Erie OH-Ottawa OH-Sandusky OH-
549 PM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Ottawa, Erie and
east central Sandusky Counties through 630 PM EDT...

At 549 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Castalia, or 7 miles southwest of Sandusky, moving northeast at 35
mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Sandusky, Castalia, Marblehead, Sandusky South, Vickery and Fairview
Lanes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for
north central and northwestern Ohio.

&&

LAT...LON 4142 8297 4142 8292 4145 8284 4147 8283
      4147 8281 4149 8284 4154 8281 4154 8272
      4150 8274 4145 8269 4148 8267 4144 8266
      4140 8255 4133 8292
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 244DEG 31KT 4138 8284

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Kahn