Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Cleveland, OH

697 
WWUS51 KCLE 140640
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
240 AM EDT Tue Jun 14 2022

OHC123-140649-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-220614T0700Z/
Ottawa OH-
240 AM EDT Tue Jun 14 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR OTTAWA COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for
north central and northwestern Ohio.

LAT...LON 4119 8356 4142 8296 4130 8269 4099 8316
      4099 8336 4117 8355
TIME...MOT...LOC 0639Z 294DEG 35KT 4125 8302 

$$

OHC043-063-077-143-147-173-140700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-220614T0700Z/
Huron OH-Seneca OH-Erie OH-Sandusky OH-Wood OH-Hancock OH-
240 AM EDT Tue Jun 14 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN HURON...SENECA...ERIE...SOUTHEASTERN SANDUSKY...
SOUTHEASTERN WOOD AND NORTHEASTERN HANCOCK COUNTIES...

At 239 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Green Springs,
or 8 miles southeast of Fremont, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect damage to 
         trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Tiffin, Fremont, Fostoria, Bellevue, Clyde, Green Springs, New
Riegel, Ballville, Bloomdale, Bettsville, Republic, Burgoon, Flat
Rock, Bascom, Kansas, Vickery and Stony Prairie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4119 8356 4142 8296 4130 8269 4099 8316
      4099 8336 4117 8355
TIME...MOT...LOC 0639Z 294DEG 35KT 4125 8302 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Saunders

868 
WWUS51 KCLE 140655
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
255 AM EDT Tue Jun 14 2022

OHC043-063-077-143-147-173-140705-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-220614T0700Z/
Huron OH-Seneca OH-Erie OH-Sandusky OH-Wood OH-Hancock OH-
255 AM EDT Tue Jun 14 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN HURON...SENECA...
ERIE...SOUTHEASTERN SANDUSKY...SOUTHEASTERN WOOD AND NORTHEASTERN
HANCOCK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 300 AM EDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for
north central and northwestern Ohio.

LAT...LON 4119 8356 4142 8296 4130 8269 4099 8316
      4099 8336 4117 8355
TIME...MOT...LOC 0655Z 297DEG 35KT 4121 8291 

$$

Saunders

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
137 AM EDT Tue Jun 14 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A significant severe wind threat continues to be a possibility late
this evening and overnight. Following tonight, weak high pressure
will build for Tuesday and Wednesday. A cold front will move east
across the area on Thursday, followed by high pressure for
Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
935 PM Update...
Line of convection getting organized in NW OH, but the biggest
issues could still be to come with the activity forming further
northwest over Lake Michigan and west central Michigan. Will be
watching this as it moves southeastward. CAMs suggesting a
modest surge in the instability gradient to the northeast, and
will keep the possibility of this activity reaching further
east into the CWA.

Previous Discussion...
The threat for a potential significant severe wind and flash
flooding event continues across the area for late this evening
and overnight. A large area of the "hatched" significant wind
outline in the current SPC SWODY1 outlook remains in place, with
perhaps significant damaging wind gusts in excess of 75 mph
possible. More details on the severe weather and flash flooding
potential for late this evening and overnight will be discussed
below.

Recently of note, a cluster of storms has developed within the
warm sector across southern IN this afternoon which, in general,
is not being handled well by most hires models, except for the
12z ARW and 15Z RAP models. The anticipation is for this
cluster of storms to quickly grow upscale into the first MCS of
the day, traveling southeastwards across the lower OH Valley.
This activity should, for the most part, skirt just to the south
of our area through the rest of the afternoon and evening.

The main show still awaits us in the Upper Midwest; specifically
across WI this afternoon where a remnant MCV continues to
produce prolific lightning and maintain cold cloud tops. On the
southern end of this MCV is where an overlap between strong
instability and shear, on the order of 50 to 55 knots, resides.
Activity is beginning to blossom on the southern end of this
MCV, noted by IR sampled cloud top temperatures in excess of -80
degrees C, and is expected to ride the generally NW to SE instability
gradient through the rest of the afternoon, evening, and into
the overnight hours. This instability gradient currently extends
from southern WI, through south-central MI, and along the
lakeshore of northern OH. Thus, the expectation is for a
severe convective complex to arrive across NW OH/northern OH
sometime between 10 PM and 2 AM, tracking southeast across the
region and exiting shortly before sunrise.

The heavy rainfall/flash flooding threat also remains apparent
for late this evening and overnight. Some models suggest several
rounds of heavy thunderstorm activity, residing within an
exceptionally moist airmass with PWATs in the 1.8 to 2.0 inch
range. Current forecast rainfall totals do not represent the
scope of the flash flooding threat given the uncertainty on
location of the possible convective complex/s. It is entirely
possible for some areas to quickly receive 2 to 3 to locally
higher amounts of 4 inches of rain in a very short period of
time.

Finally, have let the excessive heat watch continue across NW OH
at this time, given uncertainty on the timing and location of
the convective complexes tonight. The general thinking is that
we will need at least a heat advisory for much of NW OH tomorrow
(Tuesday).

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Large upper level high pressure is expected to become situated over
the Ohio Valley by Wednesday morning.  A strong flow of hot air and
very high dewpoint air will surge northeast through the Middle
Mississippi Valley region into the eastern Great Lakes.  Dewpoint
temperatures are scheduled to rise into the middle 70s for the local
area by Wednesday with 850 MB temperatures climbing to the lower 20s
C during the day Wednesday.  Model soundings support a fairly dry
profile throughout the column Wednesday as dry slot slips into the
local area.  This will allow air temperatures to become quite warm.
Some record high temperatures for Wednesday are in the low 90s and
potential exists for some of these records to fall.  Heat watch
remains in effect for the western portions of the forecast area at
this time.  Temperatures are expected to be quite warm Wednesday
night well ahead of a cold front progged to shift east toward the
area.  Timing of the front places it just west of the forecast area
by 12Z Thursday morning.  The cold front sweeps east Thursday across
the area and should bring a break to the warm temperatures by later
in the day.  Highs still expected to top out in the lower to middle
90s across the area.  Increasing instability ahead of the cold front
should support a threat for showers and thunderstorms Thursday.
Upper level trough and reinforcing cold front could support a
lingering threat for showers and thunderstorms Thursday evening but
gradually ending from west to east.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A rapidly amplifying upper level ridge expected to be over the
Central Plains states by Thursday afternoon should shift east over
the Mississippi Valley region by Sunday.  Surface high pressure
building southeast through central Ontario, Canada will then force a
return southerly flow of air back to the local area late Saturday
into Saturday night.  A gradual surge of warmer air will then follow
the warm front and gradually increase surface temperatures through
the weekend into Monday.  Otherwise, forecast area should remain
predominantly dry across the area during this forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
Second round of convection to affect terminals over the next 4
hours or so with TOL on deck first. Strong, gusty winds
expected gusting 30-50kts as line of storms rolls through the
region during this time. Visibilities to IFR in storms as well,
and ceilings to MVFR. Ceilings could go IFR during the morning
hours in the wake of the thunderstorm activity, then slowly
lift and scatter out during the afternoon.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible again Wednesday night through Friday
morning with showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds are expected to remain primarily light and less than 10 knots
through much of this forecast period. The exception will be tonight
as a thunderstorm complex is progged to move southeast across the
area.  Main threats could be strong thunderstorm winds, large hail,
there is also the possibility for tornadic waterspouts.  The
thunderstorms complex is expected to move southeast across the area
and be out of the area tomorrow morning.  Small craft advisories are
not anticipated through the period but special marine warnings may
be needed later tonight.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Parts of the area may approach record high temperatures on
Wednesday. Here are the records for area climate sites for June 15:

Climate site        Record  (year)

Akron area          94      (1925)

Cleveland area      97      (1954)

Erie area           91      (1991)

Mansfield area      94      (1925)

Toledo area         96      (1994)

Youngstown area     93      (1994)

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Excessive Heat Watch from noon EDT today through Wednesday
     evening for OHZ003-006-017.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Kahn
NEAR TERM...Kahn/26
SHORT TERM...Lombardy
LONG TERM...Lombardy
AVIATION...26
MARINE...Lombardy
CLIMATE...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1007 PM EDT Mon Jun 13 2022

OHZ007>010-018>022-027>033-036>038-047-150215-
Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-
1007 PM EDT Mon Jun 13 2022

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 361 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Heat indices in excess of 100 degrees are possible on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state,
and CDC guidelines.

OHZ003-006-017-150215-
Lucas-Wood-Hancock-
1007 PM EDT Mon Jun 13 2022

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 361 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Excessive Heat Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state,
and CDC guidelines.

OHZ011>013-023-150215-
Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Trumbull-
1007 PM EDT Mon Jun 13 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are possible late this evening into tonight.
The primary weather hazard will be damaging wind gusts, some perhaps
significant. Large hail and isolated tornadoes may also be possible.
Repeated thunderstorms and heavy rainfall could also lead to flash
flooding. Be prepared for severe weather and make sure to have
multiple ways to get warnings.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Heat indices in excess of 100 degrees are possible on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state,
and CDC guidelines.

OHZ014-089-PAZ001>003-150215-
Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
Crawford-
1007 PM EDT Mon Jun 13 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio and northwest
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Heat indices in excess of 100 degrees are possible on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ142>149-162>169-150215-
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-
on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1007 PM EDT Mon Jun 13 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are possible late this evening into tonight.
The primary weather hazard will be damaging wind gusts, some perhaps
significant. Large hail and isolated tornadoes may also be possible.
Be prepared for severe weather and make sure to have multiple ways to
get warnings.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
138 AM EDT TUE JUN 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1132 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 E ASHLAND             40.88N 82.25W
06/13/2022                   ASHLAND            OH   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            SHINGLES BLOWN OFF ROOF.

&&

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
149 AM EDT TUE JUN 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1132 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNE MIFFLIN           40.82N 82.34W
06/13/2022                   ASHLAND            OH   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN.

&&

DK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
150 AM EDT Tue Jun 14 2022

OHZ003-006>008-140615-
Wood OH-Ottawa OH-Sandusky OH-Lucas OH-
150 AM EDT Tue Jun 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Ottawa, northwestern
Sandusky, northeastern Wood and northern Lucas Counties through 215
AM EDT...

At 150 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Rossford, or near Toledo, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Toledo, Swanton, Perrysburg, Oregon, Sylvania, Rossford, Waterville,
Northwood, Whitehouse, Genoa, Woodville, Holland, Maumee, Ottawa
Hills, Walbridge, Pemberville, Millbury, Luckey, Clay Center and
Williston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for
northwestern Ohio.

&&

LAT...LON 4158 8388 4172 8370 4163 8320 4134 8342
TIME...MOT...LOC 0550Z 292DEG 35KT 4158 8358

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Saunders

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
151 AM EDT TUE JUN 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1122 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LEXINGTON               40.68N 82.59W
06/13/2022                   RICHLAND           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES SNAPPED IN HALF, POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
157 AM EDT TUE JUN 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MOUNT GILEAD            40.55N 82.83W
06/13/2022                   MORROW             OH   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE LARGE TREES DOWN, 4-5 INCHES IN
            DIAMETER. DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
205 AM EDT TUE JUN 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N MILAN               41.35N 82.61W
06/13/2022                   ERIE               OH   PUBLIC

            2 FOOT DIAMETER TREE SNAPPED IN HALF.

&&

DK