Severe Thunderstorm Warning 15, NWS Cleveland, OH

150 
WWUS51 KCLE 142318
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
718 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

OHC153-142326-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-220514T2345Z/
Summit OH-
718 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SUMMIT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning moved out of the 
warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4078 8157 4091 8146 4091 8142 4092 8126
      4081 8117
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 355DEG 5KT 4085 8141 

$$

OHC151-142345-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-220514T2345Z/
Stark OH-
718 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL STARK COUNTY...

At 716 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over North Canton,
or near Canton, moving south at 5 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Canton, Massillon, Green, North Canton, Louisville, Meyers Lake,
Hills And Dales and Perry Heights.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4078 8157 4091 8146 4091 8142 4092 8126
      4081 8117
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 355DEG 5KT 4085 8141 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Lombardy

820 
WWUS51 KCLE 142334
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
734 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

OHC151-142344-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-220514T2345Z/
Stark OH-
734 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL STARK COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4078 8157 4091 8146 4091 8142 4092 8126
      4081 8117
TIME...MOT...LOC 2330Z 355DEG 5KT 4082 8141 

$$

Lombardy

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
348 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak upper trough will exit the region tonight followed by a
second trough approaching from the western Great Lakes Sunday.
This trough and associated low pressure system will cross the
region Sunday night dragging a cold front through the area. A
secondary cold front will move through late Monday followed by
high pressure Tuesday. The next low pressure system will
approach by Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to develop this
afternoon as moisture advection continues to increase across the
region between a deamplifying mid/upper trough over the Upper
Midwest/western Great Lakes and old upper closed low lifting out of
the Mid Atlantic region. Since the lower Great Lakes and Ohio Valley
are in between these features, forcing is weak despite seasonably
high moisture (PWATs of 1.1 to 1.3 inches per NAEFS Ensemble
Situational Awareness Table). This is leading to a weakly sheared
environment with deep layer shear limited to about 6 to 13 knots.
Another way to visualize the lack of forcing and shear is by looking
at 850-300 mb mean wind which is only around 10 knots on the latest
mesoanalysis. This is causing convection to move very little this
afternoon, slowly drifting in all directions, dropping locally heavy
rain. We received a report 1.25 inches of rain in 15 minutes from
one cell over southern Holmes County early this afternoon, and given
the pulse convection environment and MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/Kg with
LI's averaging -5 to -7, scattered slow moving storms will continue.
CAMS and radar trends suggest the best coverage will be from now
through late afternoon, so have likely to categorical PoPs gradually
tapering through the evening. Severe weather is not a concern given
the lack of shear, but one area to watch for a possible severe storm
would be NW Ohio. A weak impulse/shortwave ejecting out of the
upstream trough is igniting a somewhat more organized line of
convection along a weak surface trough, and this could produce
isolated wind damage if any cold pools can organize.

Expect the convection to diminish rather quickly after sunset this
evening with most areas dry overnight. Added patchy fog to some far
southern areas where heavier rainfall today could lead to radiation
fog around valleys and waterways. Lows tonight will fall into the
upper 50s/low 60s.

For Sunday, the old upper low finally shears out and ejects through
the NE CONUS as a new shortwave begins to reamplify the mid/upper
trough over the western Great Lakes. This will support continued
warm/moist advection across the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes
ahead of the digging mid/upper trough, but convective coverage
should be less than what occurred Saturday due to some subsidence and
the exit of the old upper low. Kept PoPs limited to slight chance
Sunday afternoon gradually increasing Sunday evening as the trough
approaches. The trough will swing through the region Sunday night
with the axis becoming negatively tilted through Michigan by 12Z
Monday. This combined with the left exit of an 80-100 knot H3 jet
streak will allow a deepening surface low to progress across Lake
Erie and southern Ontario dragging a cold front into the region.
Increasing deep layer shear and a 35-40 knot low-level jet in
response to the greater upper forcing will allow for a more
organized round of showers/storms Sunday night, and the SPC
maintains a marginal risk for our entire area in the day 2
convective outlook. However, The overnight timing should keep any
severe threat localized with damaging winds being the main threat.

Highs Sunday will continue to reach the upper 70s/low 80s with muggy
dew points in the low 60s, but Sunday night will begin to cool off
with lows in the mid/upper 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Mid/upper shortwave trough will be pivoting ENE across the lower
Great Lakes on Monday. Surface low and attendant cold front will be
moving east of the area during the day, with diminishing pops into
the afternoon, but still low chances lingering into the evening as
secondary mid level energy rotates through the area. Broader upper
trough establishes over eastern Canada, leaving the local area in a
northwest flow regime. This will result in slightly cooler
temperatures but generally dry conditions, as mid level energy
rotation through the trough generally stays north of Lake Erie
through Tuesday night. Highs Monday will generally range from the
mid 60s to low 70s across the area, with temperatures a few degrees
cooler on Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The long term will be characterized by increasing heat and humidity
through the end of the week, as upper level ridging amplifies over
the eastern CONUS. A warm front will lift northward across the local
area Thursday into Friday, which may be the focus for scattered
convection. Falling heights and weak frontal forcing may work
eastward into the region by the weekend, resulting in increasing
shower/thunderstorm chances. High temps by Friday and Saturday will
approach the mid 80s, with upper 80s not out of the question.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/...
Low confidence forecast in terms of timing thunderstorms this
afternoon at the TAF sites. Showers and thunderstorms are
developing now, and believe the best window to see a
thunderstorm at any TAF site is early to late afternoon
(18-22Z), but leftover showers will continue to be scattered
around the area through early tonight. Limited tempo groups for
thunder and VCTS to 2 to 3 hour windows since these cells will
not last long, but it is almost impossible to say when exactly
one may pass over a terminal. Brief MVFR or IFR will occur in
any thunderstorm with heavy rainfall and variable winds, but VFR
will otherwise prevail through the TAF period with dry
conditions generally expected later tonight through Sunday
morning.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in showers and thunderstorms
Sunday afternoon through Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
Quiet on the lake through the remainder of the weekend, however will
need to watch for increasing winds late Monday and Monday night as
low pressure strengthens and moves northeast of the lake. Some
models are showing a compact area of west/northwest winds of 20-25
kts moving across the lake behind the low. This may result in a
brief period of small craft advisory conditions, but will monitor
trends over the next day or two for increasing confidence in this
solution. Later Monday night into Tuesday, generally west to
northwest flow across the lake expected before ridging builds east
across the lake midweek. A warm front should lift north across the
lake by the end of the week, with easterly flowing becoming
southerly by the weekend.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Garuckas
NEAR TERM...Garuckas
SHORT TERM...Greenawalt
LONG TERM...Greenawalt
AVIATION...Garuckas
MARINE...Greenawalt

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
335 AM EDT Sat May 14 2022

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-150745-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-
Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-
Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-
Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
Southern Erie-
335 AM EDT Sat May 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

Strong thunderstorms with the potential for wind gusts and hail are
possible today and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
426 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

OHZ010-011-020-021-142115-
Summit OH-Medina OH-Lorain OH-Cuyahoga OH-
426 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southern Cuyahoga,
eastern Medina, northern Summit and east central Lorain Counties
through 515 PM EDT...

At 425 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Parma to near Grafton. Movement was southeast
at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible. Heavy rain could cause ponding of water on the
         roadways.

Locations impacted include...
Cleveland, Medina, Parma, Cuyahoga Falls, Strongsville, Brunswick,
North Royalton, Hudson, Twinsburg, Macedonia, Chippewa Lake, Garfield
Heights, Maple Heights, Parma Heights, Broadview Heights, Brook Park,
Berea, Middleburg Heights, Brecksville and Bedford.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4131 8139 4101 8187 4124 8206 4145 8173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2025Z 312DEG 6KT 4137 8175 4125 8194

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Lombardy

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
431 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

OHZ006-008-142115-
Wood OH-Sandusky OH-
431 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central
Sandusky and eastern Wood Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 430 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bowling Green, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible. Ponding of water is also possible on roadways.

Locations impacted include...
Bowling Green, Gibsonburg, Pemberville, Haskins, Luckey, Bradner,
Wayne, Portage, Jerry City and Tontogany.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4139 8377 4153 8361 4139 8333 4119 8357
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 307DEG 18KT 4140 8360

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Lombardy

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
513 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

OHZ023-033-142200-
Mahoning OH-Trumbull OH-
513 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Trumbull and eastern Mahoning Counties through 600 PM EDT...

At 512 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hilltop, or near Youngstown, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph. Half inch hail. Locally heavy
         rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Youngstown, Warren, Boardman, Niles, Campbell, Hubbard, Canfield,
Lordstown, Hilltop, Maplewood Park, Austintown, Struthers, Girard,
McDonald, Poland, New Middletown, Lowellville, North Jackson,
Churchill and Bolindale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4112 8091 4123 8077 4117 8052 4090 8052
      4090 8061
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 299DEG 12KT 4112 8074

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Lombardy

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
551 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             3 NNE MEDINA            41.18N 81.84W
05/14/2022  M0.75 INCH       MEDINA             OH   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA PHOTO OF A HAIL STONE 0.75
            INCHES IN DIAMETER.

&&

SEFCOVIC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
556 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

OHZ020-142245-
Medina OH-
556 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Medina
County through 645 PM EDT...

At 555 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Chippewa Lake, or near Medina, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph, half inch hail, and very heavy
         rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Medina, Wadsworth, Rittman, Chippewa Lake, Seville, Westfield Center,
Gloria Glens Park, Chippewa-On-The-Lake and Briarwood Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4103 8197 4115 8196 4119 8169 4099 8169
      4099 8185
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 274DEG 11KT 4108 8188

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Lombardy

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
631 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

OHZ021-022-032-142315-
Summit OH-Portage OH-Stark OH-
631 PM EDT Sat May 14 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Portage, Stark and southeastern Summit Counties through 715 PM EDT...

At 630 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hartville, or 8 miles southeast of Akron, moving southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Akron, Canton, Massillon, Kent, Green, Alliance, Tallmadge, North
Canton, Louisville, Mogadore, Minerva, Hartville, New Franklin,
Brimfield, Randolph, Lakemore, Atwater, East Canton, Meyers Lake and
Brady Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4098 8160 4116 8131 4098 8108 4073 8109
      4073 8146
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 328DEG 9KT 4099 8140

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Lombardy