Alert archive / Ohio / River Flood Warnings in 2022

River Flood Warning 31, NWS Cleveland, OH

March 7, 2022Hancock County, Ohio

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this river flood warning at Mar 7, 2022, 2:41 PM EST for Hancock County, Ohio. It took effect at Mar 7, 2022, 3:32 PM EST. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 7, 2022, 2:41 PM EST (19:41 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 7, 2022, 3:32 PM EST
Expired
Mar 8, 2022, 2:29 AM EST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Hancock County, OH

The river

Written for the forecast point Eagle Creek above Findlay (FECO1). The gauge peaked at 9.53 ft at Mar 7, 2022, 11:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderatemajor51003/0703/0803/09
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
9 ft
Moderate stage
10 ft
Major stage
11 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04188496, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

971 
WGUS41 KCLE 071941
FLWCLE

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
241 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...The National Weather Service in Cleveland OH has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek Above Findlay affecting Hancock County.

For the Eagle Creek (Hancock)...including Findlay...Minor flooding 
is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 900 PM EST.

&&


OHC063-080200-
/O.NEW.KCLE.FL.W.0031.220307T2032Z-220308T0401Z/
/FECO1.1.ER.220307T2032Z.220307T2100Z.220307T2200Z.UU/
241 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek Above Findlay.

* WHEN...Until late this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, Eagle Creek will overrun its banks and 
  begin to inundate portions of Fremont and Graceland Avenue. Water 
  will inundate a field near Rosemont Drive.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 8.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late this
    afternoon to 9.1 feet late this afternoon. It will then fall
    below flood stage late this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    9.8 feet on 12/29/2015.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8366 4104 8363 4087 8366 4087 8370


$$

Lombardy
3 follow-up statements
717 
WGUS81 KCLE 072346
FLSCLE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
646 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Black River At Elyria affecting Lorain County.

  Eagle Creek Above Findlay affecting Hancock County.

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station affecting Trumbull County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Nimishillen Creek Near North Industry affecting Stark County.

  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck affecting Holmes and Wayne Counties.

For the Black River...including Elyria...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Nimishillen Creek...including North Industry...Major 
flooding is forecast.
For the Eagle Creek (Hancock)...including Findlay...Minor flooding 
is forecast.
For the Eagle Creek (Trumbull)...including Phalanx Station...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight by 445 AM EST.

&&


OHC093-081000-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0032.220307T2346Z-220309T0130Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.220307T2115Z.220307T2315Z.220308T1930Z.NO/
646 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO TOMORROW 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River At Elyria.

* WHEN...From this evening to tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 9.5 feet, Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle 
  Township along Woodside Drive.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:15 PM EST Monday the stage was 9.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:15 PM EST Monday was 9.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage early
    tomorrow afternoon to 9.3 feet and then begin rising this
    evening. It will then rise above flood stage late this
    evening to 9.9 feet tomorrow morning. It will fall below
    flood stage again early tomorrow afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212


$$

OHC063-081000-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220308T1334Z/
/FECO1.1.ER.220307T1935Z.220308T0200Z.220308T0734Z.UU/
646 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek Above Findlay.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Water from the Eagle Creek will impact 
  portions of South Blanchard Street, Brookside Drive, Fremont and 
  Graceland Streets. The intersections of Beechmont Drive with 
  Fairmont and Rosemont Drives flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 9.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:00 PM EST Monday was 9.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.5
    feet late this evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8366 4104 8363 4087 8366 4087 8370


$$

OHC155-081000-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-220309T1615Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.220307T1557Z.220308T1400Z.220309T1015Z.UU/
646 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.

* WHEN...Until late Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and 
  Knowlton Roads will be flooded and impassable.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 10.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:00 PM EST Monday was 10.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.9
    feet late tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood
    stage early Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100


$$

OHC151-081000-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-220308T2133Z/
/NHSO1.3.ER.220307T1304Z.220308T0000Z.220308T1533Z.NR/
646 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Nimishillen Creek Near North Industry.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, Water inundates the first floor of homes 
  in Canton and North Industry. Central Avenue Southeast floods in 
  Canton Township.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:15 PM EST Monday the stage was 12.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:15 PM EST Monday was 13.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.2
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late
    tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4077 8139 4077 8134 4065 8132 4065 8138


$$

OHC075-169-081000-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.220307T1853Z.220309T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
646 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Private property on Water Street in the 
  Village of Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads 
  impassable including State Route 60 south and County Road 621.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 16.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:00 PM EST Monday was 16.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.8
    feet early Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202


$$

Kahn
481 
WGUS81 KCLE 080221
FLSCLE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
921 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station affecting Trumbull County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Larue affecting Marion County.

  Nimishillen Creek Near North Industry affecting Stark County.

  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck affecting Holmes and Wayne Counties.

  Mahoning River At Youngstown affecting Mahoning and Trumbull 
  Counties.

  Black River At Elyria affecting Lorain County.

  Eagle Creek Above Findlay affecting Hancock County.

For the Black River...including Elyria...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Scioto River...including Larue, Prospect...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Nimishillen Creek...including North Industry...Minor 
flooding is forecast.
For the Mahoning River...including Leavittsburg, Warren, 
Youngstown...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Eagle Creek (Hancock)...including Findlay...Minor flooding 
is forecast.
For the Eagle Creek (Trumbull)...including Phalanx Station...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning by 730 AM EST.

&&


OHC101-081230-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-220309T1030Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.220308T0121Z.220308T1200Z.220309T0430Z.NO/
921 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Scioto River Near Larue.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flooding occurs in lowland areas south of 
  the Village of La Rue. Roads inundated include High Street, Larue 
  Prospect Road, and parts of Vine Street.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 12.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM EST Monday was 12.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.5
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC099-155-081230-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-220308T1305Z/
/YGWO1.1.ER.220307T2330Z.220308T0600Z.220308T0705Z.NO/
921 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mahoning River At Youngstown.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, River inundates lowland near the river. 
  Some basement flooding possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM EST Monday the stage was 13.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 14.2 feet just after midnight
    tonight. It will then fall below flood stage just after
    midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4115 8081 4121 8077 4119 8068 4108 8055
      4103 8065


$$

OHC155-081230-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-220310T0454Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.220307T1557Z.220308T1100Z.220309T2254Z.UU/
921 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.

* WHEN...Until late Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, Flooding begins on Braceville Robinson 
  Road. Portions of Barcley Messerly Road south of Eagle Creek Road 
  will be impassable. Some homes will be threatened.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 11.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM EST Monday was 11.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.1
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    Wednesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100


$$

OHC151-081230-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-220308T1255Z/
/NHSO1.1.ER.220307T1304Z.220307T2200Z.220308T0655Z.NR/
921 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Nimishillen Creek Near North Industry.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12.5 feet, Widespread flooding in southern portions 
  of Canton from Ridge Avenue north to Allenford Drive. Flood waters 
  cut off access to homes along Cheyenne Street and Allenford Drive. 
  Flood waters cut off access to properties on Cleveland Southwest 
  Avenue. Some low lying properties inundated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM EST Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:15 PM EST Monday was 13.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 5.0 feet
    Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4077 8139 4077 8134 4065 8132 4065 8138


$$

OHC075-169-081230-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-220312T0600Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.220307T1853Z.220308T1200Z.220312T0000Z.NO/
921 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.

* WHEN...Until early Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Private property on Water Street in the 
  Village of Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads 
  impassable including State Route 60 south and County Road 621.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 16.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM EST Monday was 16.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.9
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    Friday evening.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202


$$

OHC093-081230-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-220308T1851Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.220307T2115Z.220308T0600Z.220308T1251Z.NO/
921 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River At Elyria.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Flooding along the East Branch of the 
  Black River on Foster Road in Penfield Township.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM EST Monday the stage was 10.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:15 PM EST Monday was 10.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 10.6
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212


$$

OHC063-081230-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220308T1334Z/
/FECO1.1.ER.220307T1935Z.220308T0300Z.220308T0734Z.UU/
921 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek Above Findlay.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, Eagle Creek will overrun its banks and 
  begin to inundate portions of Fremont and Graceland Avenue. Water 
  will inundate a field near Rosemont Drive.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 9.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM EST Monday was 9.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 4.7 feet
    tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8366 4104 8363 4087 8366 4087 8370


$$

Kahn
016
WGUS81 KCLE 080729
FLSCLE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
229 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek Above Findlay affecting Hancock County.

OHC063-080830-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-220308T0729Z/
/FECO1.1.ER.220307T1935Z.220308T0400Z.220308T0548Z.UU/
229 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Eagle Creek Above Findlay.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:00 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 8.2 feet and continues
    to fall.
  - Forecast...Eagle Creek above Findlay will fall below 8 feet
    overnight.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8366 4104 8363 4087 8366 4087 8370


$$

26

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 7, 12:45 PM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 7, 12:45 PM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1245 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A low pressure system across the Lower Ohio Valley will track
towards the Upper Ohio Valley and lift a warm front back towards
central Ohio this today. This low pressure system and trailing
cold front will exit the region this afternoon. High pressure
will build in by Tuesday lingering through Tuesday night. A cold
front will approach the area on Wednesday, settling across Lake
Erie by Thursday morning. The next low pressure system and
associated cold front will impact the region Friday and Friday
night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Update...
The near-term forecast remains valid. No changes appeared
necessary early this afternoon based on latest trends in
observations and model guidance.

Previous Discussion...
Low pressure is currently located over southern Indiana with a
stationary front extending east- northeast across our southern
CWA border. Upper-level divergence from an upper- level jet
stream across the Great Lakes region and differential vorticity
advection from an upstream mid-level trough have provided
significant synoptic forcing for ascent across the region today.
Strong moisture advection and isentropic lift from a 60-70 kts
LLJ have been a focal point for a large area of moderate rain,
which currently encompasses the entire forecast area. Rainfall
rates of 0.5-0.75"/hr have been observed and are to be expected
through this morning, particularly for the southern part of our
CWA, notably areas along and south of a line from Upper Sandusky
to Warren. Brief heavy rainfall could be possible, especially
if any convective elements are present, though expected MUCAPE
of <100 J/kg should limit that potential. Most areas should
receive a steady rainfall for 4-5 hours before the mid-level
trough dry slot encroaches. It's unlikely that precipitation
suddenly ends, as most models suggest a resurgence in the LLJ
late this morning into the early afternoon, particularly noted
at 700 mb. Because of this, expect steady rain to give way to
scattered/numerous showers, which should persist through at
least mid-afternoon before a more notable decrease in
precipitation coverage. By mid-afternoon, total QPF is expected
to be around 1 to 1.5" with lower amounts of 0.5" towards far
northwest Ohio. Highest amounts are expected to be towards
central Ohio where 1.5" amounts will be more common, with some
isolated amounts up to 2". Antecedent conditions are wet across
the area, not only due to rainfall and snowmelt over the past
couple weeks but also because the recent rain from the past day.
Wet antecedent conditions and expected rainfall will lead to
rises on local rivers, creeks, and streams, some of which may
produce minor flooding. Nuisance flooding for the typical low-
lying and poor- drainage areas will also be possible.

As this system pulls off to the east this evening, northwest
flow and associated cold air advection ensues, leading to
cooling temperatures and the transition of showers from rain to
snow. However, only scattered coverage of snow showers is
expected, with little to no snow accumulations expected. Snow
showers/flurries linger through the morning hours on Tuesday.
High pressure gradually builds across the Ohio Valley on
Tuesday, though cloud cover may be tough to fully get rid of as
low clouds hang around through much of the day.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A dry period for the most part with high pressure largely in
control, but with features nearby that may necessitate minor
forecast changes in the next couple of days. The stationary from
lingering over the northern Gulf Coast to the Outer Banks will lie
parallel to the flow aloft which will become active, and expect an
axis of precipitation to develop as a result. This should be well
south of the region in the southern Appalachians, but a weak axis in
the northern part of the flow could draw that precipitation shield
northward into the Ohio Valley. Could end up clipping the far
southeastern zones, but will keep it dry in the forecast with this
issuance. Simultaneously, further to the north, the tail end of a
cold front traversing the northern Great Lakes could create wind
shifts, but again, this feature for our region should be dry.
Temperatures slightly above normal for the period.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The long term is where it gets potentially interesting. Operational
models showing a high amplitude trough digging from the northern
plains region into the Great Lakes while a southern stream trough
could potentially merge with it over the Mississippi Valley. The way
it looks right now, the high amplitude nature  would result in a
surface low with a south to north dominant track through eastern OH
and into the Lake Ontario basin/eastern Canada. With the generation
of cold air in the rapidly deepening system, may have a snow event
as we head to the middle of the month of March. Lots of details to
figure out and they will eventually settle into place, but ensembles
are supporting the anomalous cold pool settling into the Great Lakes
for the beginning of the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/...
A surface low centered near the northeast OH/northwest PA border
early this afternoon will continue moving northeastward and
become centered over the Canadian Maritimes by 18Z/Tues. A cold
front extending southwestward from the low should exit our
region to the east by 21Z/Mon. Behind the low and front, a
surface high pressure ridge will build from the central Great
Plains. Scattered showers, mainly in the form of rain and
associated with the low pressure system, will continue exiting
eastward through this early evening. Behind these showers, light
lake-effect snow showers are possible generally southeast and
then east of Lake Erie after about 05Z/Tues. MVFR to IFR
visibility is expected in any precip and mist.

Widespread MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected through the TAF
period. The greatest potential for IFR ceilings exists through
this early evening. Regional surface winds will vary between
southwesterly and northwesterly through the TAF period, with
speeds expected to vary between about 10 and 20 knots. Gusts up
to 25 knots are possible at times, especially through this
evening.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible with widespread rain and/or snow
Friday into Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Still have some high spatial ice coverage across the lake, but
portions have begun to open up, including the shoreline, but that
will be largely dictated by wind directions in the coming days.
Temperatures continue to slowly moderate overall as we head into the
middle of March, favoring more slow decay. For the open areas, wind
directions switch from NE to NW as low pressure passes to the
southeast of Lake Erie. Wave heights can be expected to increase
during this period where ice is open enough along the fetch of the
lake., which basically translates to to some 2-4ft waves from
basically Lorain eastward into PA. Wave heights diminish Tuesday
with high pressure moving into the area a the associated wind speed
decreases. The lake remains fairly quiet wave and wind wise through
midweek, but a potentially strong developing low pressure system for
the end of the week/early weekend brings strong NW winds possible
Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Saunders
NEAR TERM...Jaszka/Saunders
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...26
AVIATION...Jaszka
MARINE...26
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 7, 3:46 AM EST, 10 hours 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
346 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-080900-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
346 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ003-006>014-017>019-089-PAZ001>003-080900-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford-
346 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ020>023-027>033-036>038-047-080900-
Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-
Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
346 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall this morning may lead to
localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 7, 9:53 AM EST, 4 hours 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
953 AM EST MON MAR 7 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     FLOOD            2 W STREETSBORO         41.24N 81.38W
03/07/2022                   PORTAGE            OH   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            SR 303 BETWEEN STONE RD AND JEFFERSON ST
            CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

RC
Local storm report, Mar 7, 9:59 AM EST, 4 hours 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
959 AM EST MON MAR 7 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0952 AM     FLOOD            6 S BOARDMAN            40.94N 80.69W
03/07/2022                   MAHONING           OH   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            STATE ROUTE 165 BETWEEN BUFFALO RD AND
            BLOSSER RD IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

RC
Local storm report, Mar 7, 10:35 AM EST, 4 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1035 AM EST MON MAR 7 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW CORTLAND          41.31N 80.77W
03/07/2022  M2.64 INCH       TRUMBULL           OH   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MOQO1 2.8 SW CORTLAND.

&&

RC
Local storm report, Mar 7, 10:36 AM EST, 4 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1036 AM EST MON MAR 7 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MUNROE FALLS            41.13N 81.44W
03/07/2022  M2.00 INCH       SUMMIT             OH   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MRFO1 MUNROE FALLS.

&&

RC
Local storm report, Mar 7, 11:24 AM EST, 3 hours 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1124 AM EST MON MAR 7 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 AM     FLOOD            3 SSW LIMAVILLE         40.95N 81.17W
03/07/2022                   STARK              OH   PUBLIC

            EDISON ST NE BETWEEN FRESHLEY AVE NE AND
            MCCALLUM AVE IS CLOSED DUR TO FLOODING.

&&

RC
Special weather statement, Mar 7, 2:12 PM EST, 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
212 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

OHZ011-072115-
Cuyahoga-
Including the city of Cleveland
212 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022

...Locally Dense Fog Eastern Cuyahoga County..

Locally dense fog reducing visibility down to less than an eighth
of a mile at times can be expected through the early part of the
afternoon rush hour. Motorists should exercise caution and allow
extra distance between their vehicle and the one in front of them
in the event they encounter zero visibility. Drier air will be
moving into the area late this afternoon and evening and the fog
should dissipate.

Lombardy

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 8:18 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningCLEHolmes, Wayne6 days
Mar 7, 5:53 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLEKnox, Marion, Morrow, Richland5 hr
Mar 7, 6:29 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningCLEStark21 hr
Mar 7, 6:38 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLEAshland, Holmes, Richland, Wayne8 hr
Mar 7, 6:42 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLEMahoning, Portage, Stark, Summit, Wayne11 hr
Mar 7, 6:55 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLEMahoning, Trumbull11 hr
Mar 7, 7:05 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningCLEStark11 hr
Mar 7, 7:33 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningCLEMahoning, Trumbull5 hr
Mar 7, 7:51 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningCLESummit25 hr
Mar 7, 8:51 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningCLETrumbull39 hr
Mar 7, 9:10 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLEMedina, Summit, Wayne3 hr
Mar 7, 9:52 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningCLEStark28 hr
Mar 7, 11:04 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningCLEAshland22 hr
Mar 7, 3:43 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningCLELorain32 hr
Mar 7, 5:28 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningCLEStark12 hr
Mar 7, 6:21 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningCLEStark14 hr
Mar 7, 6:46 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningCLEMahoning, Trumbull12 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Ohio, 2022Every river flood warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.