Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Charleston, SC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston SC
711 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A potent low pressure system will move through the region
tonight bringing a round of strong thunderstorms to southeast
Georgia and southeast South Carolina. A cold front will
approach the area on Wednesday before pushing offshore
Thursday. Drier and cooler weather is expected to return late
week through early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
UPDATE: As of 7 PM, cleared some counties from the Tornado
Watch behind the main line of storms from Allendale Co, SC to
Tattnall Co, GA. Will continue to clear groups of counties as
the threat ends from southwest to northeast.

No significant changes with the latest update. The risk
for severe storms with damaging winds and a few tornadoes, some
strong, will continue for several more hours for much of the
area but will be diminishing from southwest to northeast so will
likely be able to drop the Tornado Watch early starting first across
inland portions of the GA Coastal Empire. Most of the
steadier/heavier rain will end by around midnight although a few
showers will still be possible overnight. Low temperatures
should be in the lower to mid 60s for most locales.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Wednesday: The forecast area will be in the warm sector ahead of a
cold front approaching the region on Wednesday. Models hint at a
wave of low pressure developing along the front late in the day or
Wednesday night as it moves to the western Carolinas. Aloft,
shortwave energy is progged to eject out of the Gulf of Mexico and
pass across the region. Deep moisture will once again overspread the
area. PWats are forecast to exceed 1.5 inches, which is well above
early April climatology. CAMS depict a broken line of showers and
thunderstorms expected to move through the afternoon/evening and
potentially a second, less threatening round overnight into early
Thursday morning. There will be plenty of instability to work with,
upwards of 1300 J/kg MLCAPE through the evening which will decrease
slightly around sunset, however moisture advection and forcing will
continue showers and thunderstorms through the overnight period.
Deep layer shear during the day will average 35-40 kt and will
increase to 55-60 kt in the evening. Conditions will be favorable
for isolated supercells. SPC Day 2 Outlook currently features the
entire area within a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms. Damaging
wind gusts, large hail, and isolated tornadoes will be the primary
threats. Additional rainfall through Wednesday night is around 1
inch on average and up to 2 inches across southeast Georgia, with
locally higher amounts possible. WPC currently has the majority of
our region in a Marginal Risk for heavy rainfall/potential flash
flooding and a Slight Risk across portions of southeast Georgia
where the greatest storm totals are forecast. High temps will be the
warmest of the set, reaching the low 80s in most locations and
cooler along the coast. Lows Wednesday night will be unseasonably
mild, mainly in the mid 60s.

Thursday and Friday: Once the front pushes offshore mid-day
Thursday, rain chances and cloud cover will decrease through the
remainder of the day. Winds could gust up to 20 mph in the
afternoon, otherwise the area will be precip-free by Thursday night.
Lows will range from the upper 40s inland to low/mid 50s closer to
the coast.

The forecast area will be on the far southern periphery of a large
area of low pressure over the Great Lakes and Northeast on Friday.
Aloft, a highly amplified mid level trough will encompass the
eastern half of the country. Enhanced pressure gradient will lead to
gusty west winds in the afternoon. No concerns with dry weather
expected. It will be cooler than previous days. Highs will peak in
the upper 60s to around 70.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A mid-level trough over the eastern U.S. on Saturday will slide
offshore Saturday night and be replaced by ridging early next week.
At the surface, high pressure will expand into the region as low
pressure across the Northeast moves into the Northern Atlantic.
Outside of breezy conditions Saturday, the weather is expected to be
quiet and dry through the long term forecast period. Temperatures
will be cooler than normal through the weekend, then expected to
warm early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Expect deteriorating conditions at KCHS/KJZI/KSAV for the next
several hours as some strong to severe storms move through the
area, possibly with gusts over 50 kt and tornadoes. At least
MVFR restrictions are expected with heavier rainfall through
about 02Z, with a return to VFR likely for a time before
returning back to at least MVFR by daybreak. Outside of
showers/thunderstorms, winds will be gusty and low- level wind
shear will be possible once showers move out of the region.

Extended Aviation Outlook: Flight restrictions are possible in
showers/thunderstorms Wednesday through Thursday morning. Gusty
winds up to 20 kt possible each afternoon Thursday through Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight: Gusty southerly winds will persist into the overnight
then become southwest. Small Craft Advisories will be in effect
for all waters, including the Charleston Harbor, ending at
various times. Strong to severe thunderstorms with winds over 50
kt and possible waterspouts will also be possible through the
evening.

Wednesday through Sunday: Wednesday through Sunday: South to southwest
winds will prevail ahead of an approaching cold front. There
will be a slight uptick in winds/seas Thursday as the front
pushes offshore with seas increasing to 3-5 ft and gusts up to
20-25 kt. Small Craft Advisories could be possible for portions
of the coastal waters especially across the Charleston County
waters and the Georgia waters from 20-60nm. There should be some
improvement thereafter, but conditions will remain fairly
elevated through late week. Additional advisories will be
possible, especially Friday night into Saturday. The pressure
gradient will relax on Sunday with no additional concerns.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ330-354.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ350-352-
     374.

&&

NEAR TERM...RJB
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston SC
705 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

GAZ101-116>119-137>141-SCZ042>044-047>052-061000-
Effingham-Inland Bryan-Coastal Bryan-Inland Chatham-Coastal Chatham-
Long-Inland Liberty-Coastal Liberty-Inland McIntosh-Coastal McIntosh-
Hampton-Inland Colleton-Dorchester-Inland Jasper-Beaufort-
Coastal Colleton-Charleston-Coastal Jasper-Tidal Berkeley-
705 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

...TORNADO WATCH 98 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Georgia and
southeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Severe Thunderstorms: Another round of showers and thunderstorms is
expected Wednesday and Wednesday night. Some thunderstorms could
become severe with damaging wind gusts, large hail and isolated
tornadoes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please relay any reports of hazardous weather including, but not
limited to large hail, damaging winds and flooding to the National
Weather Service in Charleston at 1-888-383-2024.

GAZ087-088-099-100-114-115-SCZ040-061000-
Jenkins-Screven-Candler-Bulloch-Tattnall-Evans-Allendale-
705 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Georgia and
southeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Severe Thunderstorms: Another round of showers and thunderstorms is
expected Wednesday and Wednesday night. Some thunderstorms could
become severe with damaging wind gusts, large hail and isolated
tornadoes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please relay any reports of hazardous weather including, but not
limited to large hail, damaging winds and flooding to the National
Weather Service in Charleston at 1-888-383-2024.

SCZ045-061000-
Inland Berkeley-
705 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

...TORNADO WATCH 98 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Severe Thunderstorms: Another round of showers and thunderstorms is
expected Wednesday and Wednesday night. Some thunderstorms could
become severe with damaging wind gusts, large hail and isolated
tornadoes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please relay any reports of hazardous weather including, but not
limited to large hail, damaging winds and flooding to the National
Weather Service in Charleston at 1-888-383-2024.

AMZ330-350-352-354-374-061000-
Charleston Harbor-
Waters from South Santee River to Edisto Beach SC out 20 NM-
Waters from Edisto Beach SC to Savannah GA out 20 NM-
Waters from Savannah GA to Altamaha Sound GA out 20 NM, including
Grays Reef National Marine Sanctuary-
Waters from Savannah GA to Altamaha Sound GA from 20 to 60 NM-
705 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

...TORNADO WATCH 98 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Severe Thunderstorms: Another round of showers and thunderstorms is
expected Wednesday and Wednesday night. Some thunderstorms could
become strong enough for Special Marine Warnings. Strong winds,
large hail and waterspouts will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please relay any reports of hazardous weather including, but not
limited to large hail, damaging winds and flooding to the National
Weather Service in Charleston at 1-888-383-2024.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston SC
659 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

GAZ101-116>119-137>141-SCZ047-048-051-052330-
Inland McIntosh-Inland Liberty-Inland Chatham-Inland Bryan-Coastal
McIntosh-Long-Coastal Liberty-Effingham-Coastal Chatham-Coastal
Bryan-Inland Jasper-Coastal Jasper-Beaufort-
659 PM EDT Tue Apr 5 2022

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF BRYAN, LIBERTY,
MCINTOSH, EFFINGHAM, CHATHAM, LONG, BEAUFORT AND JASPER COUNTIES...

At 658 PM EDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated
strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near Monteith to
near Tibet, and moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...strong winds 45 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar Indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of these storms include...
Hinesville, Pooler, Bluffton, Richmond Hill, Darien, Ludowici, Tibet
and Bellinger Hill Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A tornado watch is in effect. Thunderstorms can produce tornadoes
suddenly, sometimes with little or no warning. Be alert for rapidly
changing weather conditions and be ready to act quickly if severe
weather is observed or a warning is issued.

Report damage directly to the Charleston National Weather Service at
888-383-2024 when it is safe to do so. You can also email your
report to nws.charlestonsc@noaa.gov.

&&

LAT...LON 3135 8152 3143 8161 3145 8162 3147 8161
      3151 8166 3154 8166 3155 8170 3158 8170
      3161 8174 3160 8174 3161 8177 3165 8179
      3212 8150 3229 8084 3223 8089 3220 8089
      3133 8144
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 270DEG 41KT 3221 8113 3160 8169

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

BRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
704 PM EDT TUE APR 05 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     TORNADO          2 ENE VARNVILLE         32.86N  81.05W
04/05/2022                   HAMPTON            SC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAMPTON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED A TORNADO
            TOUCH DOWN ALONG PAPAS ROAD IN EASTERN HAMPTON COUNTY.
            MULTIPLE OUTBUILDINGS WERE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. TIME
            WAS ESTIMATED FROM RADAR DATA.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS2200312

SPR

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>