Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2022
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm warning at Feb 2, 2022, 3:55 AM EST for 16 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 2, 2022, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 39 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 2, 2022, 3:55 AM EST (08:55 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 2, 2022, 10:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 4, 2022, 1:00 PM EST
- In force
- 39 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 9:00 AM EST | SNOW 7.5 | 2 E Niagara Falls, NY | STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER STATION IAGN6 NIAGARA FALLS. |
| Feb 3, 12:00 PM EST | SNOW 3.8 | 1 Wnw Alden, NY | |
| Feb 3, 1:00 PM EST | SNOW 4 | 5 Nw Springville, NY | |
| Feb 3, 2:00 PM EST | SNOW 3.8 | Sardinia, NY | |
| Feb 3, 2:00 PM EST | SNOW 3.9 | 2 Ene Kenmore, NY | |
| Feb 3, 2:00 PM EST | SNOW 5 | 4 Nw North Tonawanda, NY | |
| Feb 3, 2:25 PM EST | SNOW 3.5 | Rochester, NY | |
| Feb 3, 3:45 PM EST | SNOW 4.5 | 1 Sw Rapids, NY | |
| Feb 3, 3:45 PM EST | SNOW 4.5 | Orchard Park, NY | |
| Feb 3, 4:00 PM EST | SNOW 5 | 2 Ene Kenmore, NY | |
| Feb 3, 4:00 PM EST | SNOW 5.5 | Hamburg, NY | |
| Feb 3, 4:00 PM EST | SNOW 6.4 | Perrysburg, NY | |
| Feb 3, 4:00 PM EST | SNOW 7 | 2 Sw Forestville, NY | |
| Feb 3, 4:20 PM EST | SNOW 5.3 | 1 Nw Williamsville, NY | |
| Feb 3, 4:30 PM EST | SNOW 4.3 | Jamestown, NY | |
| Feb 3, 4:43 PM EST | SNOW 4 | 3 Ene Greece, NY | |
| Feb 3, 4:45 PM EST | SNOW 5.4 | East Aurora, NY | |
| Feb 3, 5:15 PM EST | SNOW 6.3 | 4 Nw Eden, NY | |
| Feb 3, 5:43 PM EST | SNOW 4.5 | 3 Nnw Greece, NY | |
| Feb 3, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 4.3 | 2 Ne Honeoye Falls, NY | |
| Feb 3, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 5 | 5 E Great Valley, NY | |
| Feb 3, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 6 | Silver Creek, NY | |
| Feb 3, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 6.3 | 3 Se West Seneca, NY | |
| Feb 3, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 6.5 | 4 Nw North Tonawanda, NY | |
| Feb 3, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 9.5 | Silver Creek, NY | CORRECTS A PREVIOUS SNOW REPORT FROM SILVER CREEK. |
| Feb 3, 7:00 PM EST | SNOW 3.6 | Rochester Airport, NY | |
| Feb 3, 7:00 PM EST | SNOW 4 | Rochester Airport, NY | CORRECTS PREVIOUS SNOW REPORT FROM ROCHESTER AIRPORT. |
| Feb 3, 7:00 PM EST | SNOW 5 | Corfu, NY | SNOWFALL 7AM TO 7PM. |
| Feb 3, 7:00 PM EST | SNOW 5.8 | 2 E Stafford, NY | |
| Feb 3, 7:00 PM EST | SNOW 6.2 | Buffalo Airport, NY | STORM TOTAL. |
| Feb 3, 7:00 PM EST | SNOW 6.8 | 1 Nw Williamsville, NY | |
| Feb 3, 7:00 PM EST | SNOW 7.5 | 1 Sw Rapids, NY | |
| Feb 3, 8:15 PM EST | SNOW 4.3 | 1 Wsw Palmyra, NY | |
| Feb 3, 8:20 PM EST | SNOW 6.5 | 1 W Kenmore, NY | |
| Feb 3, 8:40 PM EST | SNOW 6.5 | 2 Sw Kenmore, NY | |
| Feb 3, 8:41 PM EST | SNOW 7 | Webster, NY | |
| Feb 3, 8:45 PM EST | SNOW 6.6 | Lancaster, NY | |
| Feb 3, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 5.8 | 2 Ssw Gates-North Gates, NY | |
| Feb 3, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 7.1 | 2 Ne Honeoye Falls, NY | |
| Feb 3, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 7.4 | 1 Wnw Colden, NY | |
| Feb 3, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 8 | Clarence, NY | |
| Feb 3, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 8.4 | Sardinia, NY | |
| Feb 3, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 12.7 | Perrysburg, NY | CORRECTS PREVIOUS SNOW REPORT FROM PERRYSBURG. |
| Feb 3, 9:10 PM EST | SNOW 4 | Lorraine, NY | |
| Feb 3, 9:15 PM EST | SNOW 4.5 | Glenfield, NY | |
| Feb 3, 9:15 PM EST | SNOW 6.5 | East Amherst, NY | |
| Feb 3, 9:20 PM EST | SNOW 9 | North Java, NY | |
| Feb 3, 9:45 PM EST | SNOW 6.2 | 3 E Lowville, NY | |
| Feb 3, 10:00 PM EST | SNOW 7.8 | Buffalo Airport, NY | CORRECTED STORM TOTAL FROM A PREVIOUS REPORT. |
| Feb 3, 10:35 PM EST | SNOW 10.8 | 4 Nw Eden, NY | |
| Feb 3, 10:45 PM EST | SNOW 10.1 | 2 Ne Hamburg, NY | |
| Feb 3, 11:00 PM EST | SNOW 8 | Lockport, NY | |
| Feb 3, 11:15 PM EST | SNOW 10.5 | 2 Nw Rochester, NY | |
| Feb 4, 12:01 AM EST | SNOW 9.2 | 1 Ne Snyder, NY | |
| Feb 4, 12:05 AM EST | SNOW 7.9 | 2 Se Buffalo, NY | |
| Feb 4, 1:00 AM EST | SNOW 7.1 | 3 Sse Gates-North Gates, NY | |
| Feb 4, 1:00 AM EST | SNOW 8.8 | 2 Sse Williamsville, NY | |
| Feb 4, 1:00 AM EST | SNOW 10.3 | Hamburg, NY | |
| Feb 4, 2:00 AM EST | SNOW 9.3 | 3 Se West Seneca, NY | |
| Feb 4, 2:00 AM EST | SNOW 11 | 3 Nne Wolcottsville, NY |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2309 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 316 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 358 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
163 WWUS41 KBUF 020855 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 355 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 NYZ001-010-019-020-085-021700- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0006.220203T0300Z-220204T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0300Z-220204T1500Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 355 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. Greatest accumulations expected Thursday and Thursday Night. * WHERE...Niagara, Erie, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ002-003-011>013-021-021700- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0006.220203T0300Z-220204T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0300Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Wellsville 355 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. Greatest accumulations expected Thursday and Thursday Night. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004>008-014-021700- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0006.220203T0300Z-220204T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0600Z-220204T1800Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Ontario- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, and Canandaigua 355 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. Greatest accumulations expected Thursday and Thursday Night. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, Lewis, and Ontario counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM Thursday to 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$
10 follow-up statements
522 WWUS41 KBUF 021626 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1126 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 NYZ001-010-019-020-085-030030- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0300Z-220204T1500Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 1126 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. Greatest accumulations expected Thursday and Thursday Night. * WHERE...Niagara, Erie, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ002-003-011>013-021-030030- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0300Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Wellsville 1126 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. Greatest accumulations expected Thursday and Thursday Night. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004>008-014-030030- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0600Z-220204T1800Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Ontario- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, and Canandaigua 1126 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches. Greatest accumulations expected Thursday and Thursday Night. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, Lewis, and Ontario counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM Thursday to 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ EAJ
010 WWUS41 KBUF 022004 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 304 PM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 NYZ001-010-019-020-085-030415- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0300Z-220204T1500Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 304 PM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 13 inches. accumulations expected Thursday and Thursday Night. * WHERE...Niagara, Erie, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will transition to wet snow between 8 pm and 11 pm this evening with accumulation of 1 to 3 inches by the Thursday morning commute. Snow will continue Thursday with 2 to 5 inches of accumulation by sunset. Snow continues Thursday night with additional 3 to 5 inches. Additional minor accumulations are possible Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ002-003-011>013-021-030415- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0300Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Wellsville 304 PM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. Greatest accumulations expected Thursday and Thursday Night. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will transition to wet snow between 9 pm this evening and 1 am Thursday morning with accumulations generally 2 inches or less by the Thursday morning commute. Snow will continue Thursday with 3 to 5 inches of accumulation by sunset. Snow continues Thursday night with additional accumulations of 3 to 5 inches. Additional minor accumulations are possible Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004>008-014-030415- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0600Z-220204T1800Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Ontario- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, and Canandaigua 304 PM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 13 inches. Greatest accumulations expected Thursday and Thursday Night. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, Lewis, and Ontario counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM Thursday to 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will transition to wet snow between 9 pm this evening and 1 am Thursday morning first over higher terrain with accumulations generally 2 inches or less by the Thursday morning commute. Snow will continue Thursday with 2 to 4 inches of accumulation by sunset. Snow continues Thursday night with additional 3 to 7 inches. Additional minor accumulations are possible Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ TMA
737 WWUS41 KBUF 030223 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 923 PM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 NYZ001-010-019-020-085-031100- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0300Z-220204T1500Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 923 PM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 13 inches tonight through Friday morning. * WHERE...Niagara, Erie, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect 1 to 3 inches accumulation by the Thursday morning commute. Most of the snow accumulation will be Thursday afternoon through Thursday night. Additional minor accumulations are possible Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ002-003-011>013-021-031100- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0300Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Wellsville 923 PM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches tonight through Friday morning. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will change to snow through 2 am Thursday morning with accumulations generally 2 inches or less by the Thursday morning commute. Most of the snow accumulation will be Thursday afternoon through Thursday night. Additional minor accumulations are possible Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004>008-014-031100- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.220203T0600Z-220204T1800Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Ontario- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, and Canandaigua 923 PM EST Wed Feb 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 13 inches tonight through Friday morning. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, Lewis, and Ontario counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM Thursday to 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will transition to wet snow tonight with accumulations generally 2 inches or less by the Thursday morning commute. Snow will continue Thursday with 2 to 4 inches of accumulation by sunset. Snow continues Thursday night with additional 3 to 7 inches. Additional minor accumulations are possible Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ Apffel
384 WWUS41 KBUF 030900 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 400 AM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 NYZ001-010-019-020-085-031700- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1500Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 400 AM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Significant snowfall. TOTAL snow accumulations of 7 to 13 inches. * WHERE...Niagara, Erie, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult...especially later today and tonight. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will likely impact commutes into Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall of just an inch or two will coat some untreated secondary roadways this morning. Most of the snow accumulation will be later this afternoon through the first half of tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be possible late tonight and Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ002-003-011>013-021-031700- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Wellsville 400 AM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Significant snowfall. TOTAL snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult...especially late today and tonight. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will likely impact commutes into Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall of just an inch or two will coat some untreated secondary roadways this morning. Most of the snow accumulation will be late this afternoon and tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be likely on Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004>008-014-031700- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Ontario- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, and Canandaigua 400 AM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Significant snowfall. TOTAL snow accumulations of 7 to 13 inches. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, Lewis, and Ontario counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult...especially tonight. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will likely impact commutes into Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall of just an inch or two will coat some untreated secondary roadways this morning. Most of the snow accumulation will be tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be likely on Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ RSH
208 WWUS41 KBUF 031645 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1145 AM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 NYZ001-010-019-020-085-040045- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1500Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 1145 AM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Significant snowfall. TOTAL snow accumulations of 7 to 13 inches. * WHERE...Niagara, Erie, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult...especially late this afternoon and tonight. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will likely impact commutes into Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most of the snow accumulation will be late this afternoon through the first half of tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be possible late tonight and Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ002-003-011>013-021-040045- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Wellsville 1145 AM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Significant snowfall. TOTAL snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult...especially late this afternoon and tonight. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will likely impact commutes into Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most of the snow accumulation will be late this afternoon and tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be likely on Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004>008-014-040045- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Ontario- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, and Canandaigua 1145 AM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Significant snowfall. TOTAL snow accumulations of 7 to 13 inches. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, Lewis, and Ontario counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult...especially tonight. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will likely impact commutes into Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most of the snow accumulation will be tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be likely on Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ TMA
464 WWUS41 KBUF 031953 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 253 PM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 NYZ001-010-019-020-085-040400- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1500Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 253 PM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches bringing storm total accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. * WHERE...Niagara, Erie, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult, especially late this afternoon and tonight. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will likely impact commutes into Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most of the snow accumulation will be late this afternoon through the first half of tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be possible late tonight and Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ002-003-011>013-021-040400- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Wellsville 253 PM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches bringing storm total accumulations of 8 to 16 inches. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult, especially late this afternoon and tonight. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will likely impact commutes into Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most of the snow accumulation will be late this afternoon and tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be likely on Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004>008-014-040400- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Ontario- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, and Canandaigua 253 PM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches bringing total snow accumulations of 8 to 16 inches. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, Lewis, and Ontario counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult, especially tonight. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will likely impact commutes into Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most of the snow accumulation will be tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be likely on Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ TMA
558 WWUS41 KBUF 040208 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 908 PM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 NYZ001-010-019-020-085-041100- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1500Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 908 PM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches tonight through mid-morning Friday. * WHERE...Niagara, Erie, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, especially overnight. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snow will be through 3 a.m. tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be possible late tonight through Friday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ002-003-011>013-021-041100- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Wellsville 908 PM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches tonight through early Friday afternoon. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, especially overnight. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snow will be through 5 a.m. tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be possible Friday morning and early afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004>008-014-041100- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Ontario- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, and Canandaigua 908 PM EST Thu Feb 3 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches tonight through early Friday afternoon. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, Lewis, and Ontario counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult, especially overnight. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snow will be through 5 a.m. tonight. Additional minor accumulations will be possible Friday morning and early afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ Apffel
802 WWUS41 KBUF 040926 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 426 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022 NYZ001-010-019-020-085-041500- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1500Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 426 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Significant snowfall. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. * WHERE...Niagara, Erie, Chautauqua, and Cattaraugus counties. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered roads. The hazardous conditions will certainly impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ002-003-011>013-021-041800- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Wellsville 426 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Significant snowfall. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered roads. The hazardous conditions will certainly impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004>008-014-041800- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Ontario- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, and Canandaigua 426 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Significant snowfall. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, Lewis, and Ontario counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered roads. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$
491 WWUS41 KBUF 041502 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1002 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022 NYZ001-010-019-020-085-041615- /O.EXP.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1500Z/ Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Buffalo, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park, and Springville 1002 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED... Occasional light snow will continue through late afternoon, but additional accumulations will generally be an inch or less. $$ NYZ002-003-011>013-021-041800- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Wellsville 1002 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches. * WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ NYZ004>008-014-041800- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Ontario- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, and Canandaigua 1002 AM EST Fri Feb 4 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Oswego, Jefferson, Lewis, and Ontario counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on snow covered and slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions. Submit snow reports through our website or social media. && $$ Hitchcock
509 WWUS41 KBUF 041802 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 102 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022 NYZ002>008-011>014-021-041915- /O.EXP.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-220204T1800Z/ Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Allegany- Including the cities of Medina, Rochester, Newark, Fair Haven, Oswego, Watertown, Lowville, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, and Wellsville 102 PM EST Fri Feb 4 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED... Light snow will bring an additional 1 to 2 inches through the rest of the afternoon. $$ Hitchcock
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 2, 12:47 AM EST, 3 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 12:47 AM EST, 3 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1247 AM EST Wed Feb 2 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
Our stretch of fair weather and thaw will fade through the afternoon
and evening as a cold front slowly pushes into our region. Along
this front waves of low pressure will bring widespread accumulating
snow to the region...with the first wave impacting the Niagara
Frontier tonight, and then the second wave Thursday afternoon and
Thursday night regionwide. Snow will end Friday, with another arctic
airmass settling over the region to start the weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
A surface low over western Ontario will track to near Hudson
Bay overnight, and northern Quebec Wednesday. A southerly
gradient will remain in place overnight as a 45 knot low level
jet passes through. This will help prevent much overnight
cooling with temperatures only dropping into the lower to mid
30s across most of Western NY with some 20s east of Lake
Ontario.
Wednesday will start dry across the region with dry air still
in place. A cold front from the Canadian surface low will be
just off to our northwest Wednesday morning, but the combination
of strong high pressure to our east and a subtle wave
developing along the front will slow the eastward advancement of
the front through the day. The slow eastward progress of the
front will also likely keep a slower trend to the incoming
precipitation. Latest model guidance suggests precipitation
will push into western New York late Wednesday afternoon, and
into eastern areas Wednesday evening. Otherwise, another day of
milder temperatures ahead of the front with most areas getting
into the lower 40s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for all of western and north
central New York Wednesday night through the first half of Friday.
Still enough model variability showing up to keep the watch as it
is at this time.
Latest model trends continuing to suggest a cold frontal passage
Wednesday night. This will mark a period of steadier precipitation
into the area as the front slowly progresses through the area.
Colder air steadily moving in behind the front will bring a
transition over to wet snow, although southern portions of the
area may remain a mix until Thursday morning or even see a bit
of sleet or freezing rain before the complete erosion of a
narrow warm nose that may slip northward into the region.
Depending on the exact timing of the transition over to snow it
is possible for a slushy accumulation of a few inches of snow
by the morning commute, especially across western New York
including Buffalo, but this would likely be a very wet snow with
snow to liquid ratios perhaps no higher than 4-6:1.
Cold frontal boundary will ease completely through the area by
Thursday. At some point a low level wave working northward along
the front will send better moisture quality into the frontal
zone with a window of better snowfall accumulations, likely
within the Thursday afternoon and Thursday night time frame.
Magnitude of forcing continues to suggest snowfall rates of .5"
per hour most common, with a window of near an inch per hour a
possibility probably in the Thursday afternoon and Thursday
night period.
Forecast will continue to highlight the potential for 9 inches or
more of snow across the entire area by daybreak Friday morning.
Modest winds this period suggest limited input for blowing
snow, with the highest winds likely confined to lake shore
areas where some impact due to blowing snow will be possible
later Thursday into Thursday night.
Both the intensity and coverage of snowfall diminishes Friday
as the frontal forcing eases south and east and moist ascent
fades. Some potential exists for lingering lake enhanced snows
within the trailing end of the system, but drier air quickly
advecting in should keep this potential limited.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The long term period will be generally quiet in terms of any
widespread precipitation or impactful weather. There will be some
lingering lake effect snows along and just south of Lake Ontario for
Saturday with a few flurries or light snow showers possible east of
Lake Erie. With winds shifting from WNW to west and then WSW, lake
snows that do develop will shift north. A sfc high over the region
and increased ridging over the area will limit snow amounts off of
both lakes, and will eventually cause the snow showers to scatter
out completely by Saturday evening.
Sunday should be dry, with the region sandwiched between a potential
coastal storm to the southeast, and a weakening disturbance dropping
out of the upper Great Lakes along an approaching cold front. Sunday
night into Monday, will bring the potential for some snow showers
across the region as the weakening low pressure and cold front
approaches and crosses the area. Generally high slight chance to low
chance POPs in place for this timeframe with the weakening state of
the low pressure. Snow showers may linger into Tuesday, with the
best chance for snow showers downwind of the lakes.
The temperatures on Saturday will be well below normal, followed by
more near normal temperatures for the rest of the long term period.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR flight conditions will prevail through the first 15 to 18 hours
of the 06Z TAF package. Limited LLWS through the next 6 hours as a
40 to 45 knot LLJ passes through...with surface winds remaining
steady with light gusts. A slow moving cold front will near the
northern Niagara Frontier this early evening, with a wind shift to
northwest and eventually northerly behind the front. Along this front
an initial rain and snow mix will quickly become snow...with flight
conditions deteriorating to IFR within snow for the remainder of the
night.
Outlook...
Thursday through Friday...Restrictions in snow to IFR/LIFR.
Friday Night...returning to mainly VFR, with MVFR in lake effect
snow south of Lake Ontario and southeast of Lake Erie.
Saturday...Mainly VFR, but some MVFR in lake effect snow south of
Lake Ontario.
Sunday...Mainly VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
Southerly winds will increase between a departing surface high and
approaching cold front this evening through early Wednesday, with
winds peaking tonight upwards of 20 knots or so on Lake Erie
and the central and eastern coastline of Lake Ontario. For this
a small craft advisory will remain as outlined below.
Lake Erie has become mostly ice covered which will limit the
development of higher wave heights.
A frontal boundary will slip across the Lakes Wednesday night
with winds quickly shifting from a southerly flow to a northwest
and then northerly flow Thursday and into Friday.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Storm Watch from this evening through Friday afternoon
for NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for LEZ040-
041.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for
LOZ043>045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Thomas
NEAR TERM...Apffel/TMA
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...SW
AVIATION...Thomas
MARINE...Apffel/Thomas/TMANearby
Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2022Every winter storm warning in 2022
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.