Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2022
Small Craft Advisory 34, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Mar 7, 2022, 3:26 AM EST. It took effect at Mar 7, 2022, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 7, 2022, 3:26 AM EST (08:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 7, 2022, 4:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Mar 8, 2022, 1:00 PM EST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
534 WHUS71 KBUF 070826 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 326 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 LOZ043-044-071630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-220307T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.220307T2100Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 326 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...For the first Small Craft Advisory, waves 3 to 6 feet. For the second Small Craft Advisory, west winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...For the first Small Craft Advisory, until 7 AM EST this morning. For the second Small Craft Advisory, from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-071630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-220307T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.220308T0000Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 326 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...For the first Small Craft Advisory, waves 3 to 6 feet. For the second Small Craft Advisory, west winds to 30 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the first Small Craft Advisory, until 7 AM EST this morning. For the second Small Craft Advisory, from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042-071630- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.220307T2100Z-220308T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 326 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
6 follow-up statements
217 WHUS71 KBUF 071132 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 632 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 LOZ043-044-071945- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-220307T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.220307T2100Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 632 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 8 to 11 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-071945- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-220307T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.220308T0000Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 632 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042-071945- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.220307T2100Z-220308T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 632 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ Hitchcock
587 WHUS71 KBUF 071946 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 246 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 LEZ040-041-080400- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.220307T2200Z-220308T1000Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 246 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042-080400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.220307T2100Z-220308T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 246 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-080400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.220307T2100Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 246 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-080400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.220308T0000Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 246 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
799 WHUS71 KBUF 080402 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1102 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 LOZ042-081215- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220308T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 1102 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-081215- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 1102 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-081215- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1102 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-081000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220308T1000Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 1102 PM EST Mon Mar 7 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
782 WHUS71 KBUF 080954 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 454 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 LEZ040-041-081100- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220308T1000Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 454 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... $$ LOZ042-081800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220308T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 454 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-081800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 454 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-081800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 454 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
659 WHUS71 KBUF 081433 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 933 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 LOZ042-081800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220308T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 933 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043-044-082245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- 933 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ045-082245- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 933 AM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
396 WHUS71 KBUF 081735 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1235 PM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 LOZ043>045-081845- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220309T0000Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 1235 PM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Winds and waves will continue to diminish this afternoon. $$ LOZ042-081845- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0034.000000T0000Z-220308T1800Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 1235 PM EST Tue Mar 8 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... Winds and waves will continue to diminish this afternoon. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 7, 12:28 AM EST, 2 hours 58 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 7, 12:28 AM EST, 2 hours 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1228 AM EST Mon Mar 7 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
Our attention will now turn to a storm system organizing over the
Ohio Valley. This feature will track northeast across our area on
Monday with a half inch or more of widespread rain resulting in
noticeable rises on area tributaries. Colder air in the wake of the
system Monday night will allow the rain to end as a nuisance amount
of snow. High pressure will then supply the bulk of our forecast
area with fair dry weather Tuesday and Wednesday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Focus for later tonight and Monday will now shift to a low pressure
wave forecast to track across the Ohio Valley into New York State.
This will send a swath of rain into the region starting late tonight
and continuing through Monday. Ensemble plumes support most likely
rain totals ranging from around a half inch to an inch south of the
NYS Thruway to about a third of an inch closer to Lake Ontario. This
rainfall most likely can be handled by the area rivers and creeks,
however if more rain falls some hydrologic concerns with area creeks
and rivers could arise.
Colder air moving in from the north behind the wave will bring a mix
of wet snow by late in the day, especially for the North
Country.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CAA on the backside of the departing system will transition rain
over to snow Monday evening and night. Nothing significant
accumulation wise...an inch or two with the help of a bit of lake
enhancement or upstream connections in spots off Lake Ontario. Might
even see a few isolated higher amounts in the 3 to 4 inch range but
the key will be the upstream connections. The big story though will
be the return of a much colder air mass to the area. In
fact...temperatures will be found in the low to mid 20s by sunrise
Tuesday.
Tuesday dry air filtering in across the Lower Lakes and falling
equilibrium levels ( < 5K feet) will put the breaks on any remaining
lake snows southeast of the lakes by midday. Still could see some
minor accumulations in the most persistent snows...an inch or so at
best.
Tuesday night sprawling sfc ridge to our southwest moves in
overhead. Any remaining lake snows will quickly end with dry
condition areawide. Cold night anticipated across the CWA...lows
mainly in the 20s with a few readings in the teens east of Lake
Ontario.
Wednesday weak warm air advection develops across the region which
looks like it will provide the area with a nice warmup. Temps
rebounding into the 40s areawide. It also look dry but guidance does
suggest that there will be a weak system passing by to our south.
Right now...the only thing it will do is too introduce some mid and
high level clouds across the region. The other thing to keep an eye
on is a weakening frontal boundary approaching the Lower Lakes from
the NW. This might play a role in some more active weather late in
the week.
Wednesday night not much will change with weak sfc ridge sandwiched
in over the region...expect dry and quiet weather. Lows in the 20s.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Thursday...sfc ridge will still be sandwiched in over the region
which will provide a dry mild day areawide. Highs climbing well into
the 40s to low 50s.
Thursday night...a robust shortwave diving south across the northern
Plains will help to carve out a deep upper level trough across the
central CONUS on Friday. This will allow for another warm up to
close out the work week owed to deep southwesterly flow setting up
downstream of the deepening trough to the west. As is typical when
we warm up this time of year, there will also be an uptick in
available moisture, which will allow for an increasing chance for
some rain showers on Friday to accompany the warm up. A strong cold
front will then be poised to cross the region bringing the
likelihood of precipitation sometime Friday night into the start of
next weekend. As to be expected there are timing differences this
far out in time as to when exactly the front plows across the
region. At this point, timing appears to be sometime between late
Friday and Saturday morning. Much colder air will pour across the
area in the wake of the FROPA with rain changing to snow, with some
lake effect snows expected to develop downwind of the Lakes.
Much colder air pouring in under NW flow will continue to support
lake effect snow showers southeast of the lakes into Sunday. Cold
day anticipated Sunday with highs only in the 20s to low 30s.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Areas of MVFR CIGS will continue through the rest of the night,
mainly along and north of the NY Thruway with some low level
moisture trapped beneath an inversion. Mainly VFR will prevail
across the Southern Tier.
Low pressure will move over the region today, with rain quickly
overspreading the area from southwest to northeast from 10-13Z
Monday. CIGS/VSBY will initially deteriorate to MVFR as the rain
develops, then drop further with widespread IFR CIGS and MVFR to IFR
VSBY in BR later this morning through the afternoon as low level
moisture pools near a sharp frontal zone draped across the area. The
rain will change to a brief period of wet snow late this afternoon
and this evening as colder air moves back into the region behind the
departing low moving into New England.
Following the brief period of snow, expect improvement to MVFR CIGS
and VFR VSBY in most locations from late evening through tonight.
Some limited lake effect snow will develop southeast of the lakes
with local IFR VSBY and MVFR CIGS continuing through the overnight.
The best lake effect snow will focus southeast of Lake Ontario to
the east of KROC. W/WNW winds will quickly increase this evening in
the wake of the system, with gusts of 25-35 knots areawide.
Outlook...
Tuesday...Local IFR in lake effect snow southeast of Lake Ontario
in the morning, otherwise mainly VFR.
Wednesday through Thursday...Mainly VFR.
Friday...Mainly VFR with a chance of showers.
&&
.MARINE...
Widespread small craft advisories will drop off from west to east
during the course of the overnight.
Winds will become light and variable for a short time late tonight
and early Monday before becoming easterly and freshening during the
course of the day. This will be the result of the next storm system
that is forecast to track across Pennsylvania and New York state.
Another round of small craft advisories looks likely Monday night
into Tuesday...especially on Lake Ontario.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for
LOZ043>045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...AR/JM
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...RSHHazardous weather outlook, Mar 6, 6:55 PM EST, 8 hours 31 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 655 PM EST Sun Mar 6 2022 NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-080000- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua- Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie- 655 PM EST Sun Mar 6 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. An area of low pressure will pass by the region Monday. Rain associated with this low could produce a half to one inch of rainfall Monday. The combination of rain and snowmelt will produce significant rises on area creeks and rivers to near bankfull. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-080000- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lower Niagara River- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 655 PM EST Sun Mar 6 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf SLZ022-024-080000- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 655 PM EST Sun Mar 6 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 6, 10:49 PM EST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1049 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0145 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 ESE VARYSBURG 42.75N 78.25W
03/06/2022 WYOMING NY 911 CALL CENTER
POLES DOWN IN ORANGEVILLE.
0145 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 W VARYSBURG 42.77N 78.41W
03/06/2022 WYOMING NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0150 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NW WARSAW 42.78N 78.21W
03/06/2022 M59 MPH WYOMING NY MESONET
MESONET STATION WARS WARSAW.
0145 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE PULTNEYVILLE 43.29N 77.15W
03/06/2022 M58 MPH WAYNE NY MESONET
MESONET STATION FW8347 PULTNEYVILLE.
0245 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSE SODUS POINT 43.25N 76.99W
03/06/2022 M58 MPH WAYNE NY MESONET
MESONET STATION FW9870 WILLIAMSON.
0255 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ONTARIO 43.22N 77.28W
03/06/2022 WAYNE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0300 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MACEDON 43.07N 77.30W
03/06/2022 WAYNE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0300 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WOLCOTT 43.22N 76.81W
03/06/2022 WAYNE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0305 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LYONS 43.06N 76.99W
03/06/2022 WAYNE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0305 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NEWARK 43.04N 77.09W
03/06/2022 WAYNE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0310 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CLYDE 43.08N 76.87W
03/06/2022 WAYNE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0355 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NE WEBSTER 43.26N 77.37W
03/06/2022 M58 MPH WAYNE NY MESONET
MESONET STATION ONTA ONTARIO.
0405 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 W PULTNEYVILLE 43.28N 77.25W
03/06/2022 M58 MPH WAYNE NY MESONET
MESONET STATION DW2745 WILLIAMSON.
1230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S KNOWLESVILLE 43.23N 78.31W
03/06/2022 M64 MPH ORLEANS NY MESONET
MESONET STATION MEDI 3 E MEDINA.
0150 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BARRE 43.19N 78.19W
03/06/2022 ORLEANS NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0150 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LYNDONVILLE 43.32N 78.39W
03/06/2022 ORLEANS NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ALBION 43.25N 78.19W
03/06/2022 ORLEANS NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CLARENDON 43.20N 78.06W
03/06/2022 ORLEANS NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0212 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 W KENT 43.33N 78.19W
03/06/2022 ORLEANS NY PUBLIC
BARN COLLAPSED.
0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 SSW KENDALL 43.28N 78.05W
03/06/2022 ORLEANS NY 911 CALL CENTER
ROOF OFF A HOUSE.
0220 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 NNW HOLLEY 43.27N 78.05W
03/06/2022 ORLEANS NY PUBLIC
BARN COLLAPSED.
0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 E VICTOR 42.99N 77.33W
03/06/2022 ONTARIO NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PHELPS 42.96N 77.06W
03/06/2022 ONTARIO NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREE AND WIRES DOWN.
0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CLIFTON SPRINGS 42.96N 77.13W
03/06/2022 ONTARIO NY 911 CALL CENTER
POLES LEANING; WIRES DOWN AND TREE DOWN.
1220 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 ENE LOCKPORT 43.17N 78.67W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY PUBLIC
TREE FELL ON HOUSE AT CLEVELAND PLACE.
1225 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG OLCOTT 43.34N 78.71W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY PUBLIC
TREE DOWN ON HOUSE.
1225 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 ESE BARKER 43.32N 78.53W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY PUBLIC
TREE AND WIRES DOWN ACROSS JOHNSON CREEK
ROAD.
1230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 NNE LOCKPORT 43.21N 78.67W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY PUBLIC
UTILITY POLE DOWN IN ROADWAY.
1235 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LOCKPORT 43.17N 78.69W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY BROADCAST MEDIA
LARGE TREE ACROSS HARVEY AVENUE AND ON HOUSE
AND CAR.
1239 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW MIDDLEPORT 43.17N 78.49W
03/06/2022 M60 MPH NIAGARA NY MESONET
MESONET STATION EW0754 MIDDLEPORT.
1250 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SSW NEWFANE 43.27N 78.71W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY PUBLIC
TREE AND WIRES DOWN ACROSS EWINGS ROAD.
0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 ESE NEWFANE 43.28N 78.67W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY PUBLIC
TREE AND WIRES DOWN AT BROWN ROAD AND
CHARLOTTEVILLE ROAD.
0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 ENE LOCKPORT 43.18N 78.65W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY PUBLIC
TREE DOWN ON CHESTNUT RIDGE ROAD.
0236 PM NON-TSTM WND GST NIAGARA FALLS AIRPORT 43.12N 78.93W
03/06/2022 M64 MPH NIAGARA NY ASOS
ASOS STATION KIAG NIAGARA FALLS AIRPORT.
0247 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LOCKPORT 43.17N 78.69W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY PUBLIC
TREE FELL ON A HOUSE AT 37 HARVEY AVE.
0304 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 N PENDLETON 43.12N 78.77W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY PUBLIC
TREE FELL ON A GARAGE AT 6401 MAIN RD.
0316 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 WNW RAPIDS 43.12N 78.70W
03/06/2022 NIAGARA NY PUBLIC
LIGHT POLE FELL ON AN UNOCCUPIED CAR AT 6179
SOUTH TRANSIT RD.
1240 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NNE IRONDEQUOIT 43.22N 77.57W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
TREE DOWN ACROSS HOFFMAN ROAD.
1240 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 SSE HAMLIN 43.25N 77.88W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
TREE FELL DOWN ON HOUSE ON SWEDEN WALKER
ROAD.
1240 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 NW IRONDEQUOIT 43.24N 77.63W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
WIRES DOWN ON DENISE ROAD.
1250 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WSW BROCKPORT 43.21N 77.97W
03/06/2022 M63 MPH MONROE NY MESONET
MESONET STATION BROC BROCKPORT.
0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 NE IRONDEQUOIT 43.23N 77.55W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
WIRES DOWN.
0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NNE BRIGHTON 43.13N 77.57W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY BROADCAST MEDIA
TREE DOWN ON SYLVAN ROAD.
0105 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 ENE HILTON 43.31N 77.73W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
WIRES DOWN SALMON CREEK DR.
0110 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E HILTON 43.30N 77.69W
03/06/2022 M69 MPH MONROE NY MESONET
MESONET STATION EW8655 GREECE.
0115 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 SW HILTON 43.26N 77.83W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
WIRES DOWN.
0116 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW GREECE 43.25N 77.73W
03/06/2022 M72 MPH MONROE NY MESONET
MESONET STATION AT994 GREECE.
0121 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ROCHESTER AIRPORT 43.12N 77.68W
03/06/2022 M72 MPH MONROE NY ASOS
ASOS STATION KROC ROCHESTER AIRPORT.
0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SW WEBSTER 43.20N 77.45W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
WIRES DOWN ON KENNINGTON BLVD.
0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 N SCOTTSVILLE 43.08N 77.75W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
WIRES DOWN ON BROOK ROAD.
0140 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 SE NORTH CHILI 43.08N 77.75W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
WIRES DOWN ON BROOK ROAD.
0145 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SE GATES-NORTH GATES 43.15N 77.68W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
EMPTY TRACTOR TRAILER OVERTURNED ON I-490.
0146 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSE IRONDEQUOIT 43.18N 77.55W
03/06/2022 M63 MPH MONROE NY MESONET
MESONET STATION EW1144 ROCHESTER.
0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SE ROCHESTER 43.16N 77.60W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
STREET LAMP POLE TOPPLED FROM THE WIND AT
GROVE ST. AND UNIVERSITY AVE.
0235 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 ENE IRONDEQUOIT 43.22N 77.56W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
TREE SPLIT IN HALF PARTIALLY BLOCKING THE
200 BLOCK OF BRANDON ROAD.
0325 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 WSW PENFIELD 43.13N 77.48W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
FIVE MILE LINE RD IS CLOSED BETWEEN PENFIELD
RD & LINDEN. POWER IS OUT.
0351 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 S IRONDEQUOIT 43.18N 77.58W
03/06/2022 MONROE NY PUBLIC
TREE ON A HOME AT THE INTERSECTION OF
NORTHLAND AND NEWCOMB ST.
0145 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW MOUNT MORRIS 42.74N 77.88W
03/06/2022 LIVINGSTON NY 911 CALL CENTER
POLE AND WIRES DOWN.
1228 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNE BATAVIA 43.03N 78.17W
03/06/2022 M66 MPH GENESEE NY AWOS
AWOS STATION KGVQ BATAVIA.
1235 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 NNW BERGEN 43.13N 77.96W
03/06/2022 GENESEE NY PUBLIC
WIRES DOWN ALONG REED ROAD.
0115 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ALABAMA 43.10N 78.39W
03/06/2022 GENESEE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0130 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ENE BATAVIA 43.02N 78.14W
03/06/2022 M65 MPH GENESEE NY MESONET
MESONET STATION BATA BATAVIA.
0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BYRON 43.08N 78.06W
03/06/2022 GENESEE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LE ROY 42.98N 77.99W
03/06/2022 GENESEE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BERGEN 43.08N 77.94W
03/06/2022 GENESEE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG STAFFORD 42.98N 78.07W
03/06/2022 GENESEE NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.
1210 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW MILLGROVE 42.91N 78.58W
03/06/2022 ERIE NY NWS EMPLOYEE
PINE TREE DOWN ACROSS TOWN LINE ROAD.
1215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE KENMORE 42.97N 78.84W
03/06/2022 M59 MPH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
0101 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO AIRPORT 42.93N 78.73W
03/06/2022 M58 MPH ERIE NY ASOS
ASOS STATION KBUF BUFFALO AIRPORT.
0127 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ALDEN 42.90N 78.50W
03/06/2022 ERIE NY NWS EMPLOYEE
WIRES DOWN ON EXCHANGE STREET.
0130 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ENE WEST FALLS 42.71N 78.63W
03/06/2022 M58 MPH ERIE NY MESONET
MESONET STATION EAUR EAST AURORA.
0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WSW ELMA CENTER 42.81N 78.68W
03/06/2022 M67 MPH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 W EAST AURORA 42.77N 78.64W
03/06/2022 ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
A SERIES OF PHONE POLES DOWN ALONG KNOX
ROAD.
0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SSE HARRIS HILL 42.95N 78.67W
03/06/2022 ERIE NY NWS EMPLOYEE
PINE TREE DOWN NEAR GENESEE STREET.
0115 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG JAMESTOWN 42.10N 79.24W
03/06/2022 CHAUTAUQUA NY 911 CALL CENTER
1 TREE AND ALSO SOME WIRES DOWN IN
JAMESTOWN.
0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ALLEGANY 42.09N 78.49W
03/06/2022 CATTARAUGUS NY 911 CALL CENTER
TREE AND WIRES DOWN IN THE TOWN OF ALLEGANY.
0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNW IRONDEQUOIT 43.26N 77.60W
03/06/2022 M64 MPH LOZ043 NY MESONET
MESONET STATION RPRN6 3 NNW IRONDEQUOIT.
0226 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NE IRONDEQUOIT 43.24N 77.53W
03/06/2022 M70 MPH LOZ043 NY MESONET
MESONET STATION XIQB IRONDEQUOIT BAY.
0100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NW OLCOTT 43.34N 78.72W
03/06/2022 M59 MPH LOZ042 NY MESONET
MESONET STATION OLCN6 OLCOTT.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 3:30 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego | 7 hr |
| Mar 7, 4:51 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BUF | Allegany | 39 min |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2022Every small craft advisory in 2022
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.