Alert archive / Massachusetts / Coastal Flood Statements in 2022

Coastal Flood Statement 7, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

July 15, 20226 counties in Massachusetts

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this coastal flood statement at Jul 15, 2022, 3:37 AM EDT for 6 counties in Massachusetts. It took effect at Jul 16, 2022, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2022, 3:37 AM EDT (07:37 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 16, 2022, 12:00 AM EDT
Expired
Jul 16, 2022, 3:35 AM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Barnstable County, MA, Essex County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 00:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 00:00Z on 2022-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 188 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 00:00Z on 2022-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -65 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
188 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
906 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.1
Supercell composite
-1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

892 
WHUS41 KBOX 150737
CFWBOX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
337 AM EDT Fri Jul 15 2022

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-024-152045-
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.S.0007.220716T0400Z-220716T0800Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
337 AM EDT Fri Jul 15 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IN EFFECT LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways (3.4 to 12.8 feet Mean Lower Low Water).

* WHERE...Eastern Essex MA, Suffolk MA, Eastern Norfolk MA, 
  Eastern Plymouth MA, Barnstable MA and Nantucket MA Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 pm this evening until 3 am Saturday morning when
  another very high astronomical tide occurs.

* IMPACTS...Splashover and very minor coastal flooding is 
  expected along the North Shore from Gloucester to Newburyport. 
  Wave action will likely cause some washover onto coastal roads 
  around the time of high tide.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Gloucester Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 ft, Moderate 13.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.0 ft, Moderate 3.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 16/01 AM  11.3/11.8   1.8/ 2.2   0.2/ 0.7     2      Minor    
 16/02 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8    2-3      None    
 17/02 AM  11.1/11.6   1.6/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.7     2      Minor    
 17/03 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None

Merrimack River near Newburyport MA
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.0 ft, Moderate 12.0 ft, Major 13.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 ft, Moderate 2.5 ft, Major 4.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/02 PM   8.8/ 9.3  -0.8/-0.2   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 16/02 AM  10.2/10.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.7     2       None    
 16/02 PM   9.0/ 9.5  -0.6/-0.1   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/03 AM  10.0/10.5   0.5/ 1.0   0.2/ 0.7     2       None    
 17/03 PM   9.0/ 9.5  -0.6/-0.1   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None

Boston Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 4.4 ft, Major 5.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 16/02 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 17/02 AM  11.7/12.2   1.6/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/03 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     1       None

Revere
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.6 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 6.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.7/12.2   1.8/ 2.2   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 16/02 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 17/02 AM  11.5/12.0   1.6/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/03 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     1       None

Scituate MA
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 ft, Moderate 13.5 ft, Major 15.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 3.8 ft, Major 5.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  10.0/10.5   0.2/ 0.8   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 16/02 AM  11.5/12.0   1.8/ 2.2   0.2/ 0.7     2      Minor    
 16/02 PM  10.1/10.6   0.4/ 0.9   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/02 AM  11.3/11.8   1.6/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.8    1-2     Minor    
 17/03 PM  10.1/10.6   0.4/ 0.9   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None

Buzzards Bay at Woods Hole
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.5 ft, Moderate 5.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/10 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 15/11 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.2/ 1.7   0.1/ 0.6    1-2      None    
 16/11 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.7/ 1.1   0.0/ 0.5    1-2      None    
 16/11 PM   3.0/ 3.5   1.0/ 1.5   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 17/12 PM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.1/ 0.6    1-2      None    
 18/12 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.1/ 0.6     2       None

Chatham MA - East Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 ft, Moderate 11.5 ft, Major 13.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 3.8 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/02 PM   5.1/ 5.6  -2.7/-2.2   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 16/02 AM   6.1/ 6.6  -1.7/-1.2   0.2/ 0.7     2       None    
 16/03 PM   5.1/ 5.6  -2.7/-2.2   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/03 AM   6.0/ 6.5  -1.8/-1.3   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/04 PM   5.2/ 5.7  -2.6/-2.1   0.2/ 0.8     2       None

Chatham - South side
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 ft, Moderate 10.5 ft, Major 11.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 4.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 7.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/02 PM   4.2/ 4.7  -0.3/ 0.2   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 16/02 AM   5.2/ 5.7   0.8/ 1.3   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 16/03 PM   4.2/ 4.7  -0.2/ 0.2   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/03 AM   5.2/ 5.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/04 PM   4.5/ 5.0   0.0/ 0.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None

Provincetown Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.9 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  10.5/11.0   0.4/ 0.9   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 16/02 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 17/03 AM  11.6/12.1   1.5/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None    
 17/03 PM  10.7/11.2   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9    1-2      None

Dennis - Sesuit Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 4.0 ft, Major 5.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  11.2/11.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.6/ 1.1     1       None    
 16/02 AM  12.6/13.1   2.1/ 2.6   0.4/ 0.9     1      Minor    
 16/02 PM  11.3/11.8   0.8/ 1.3   0.5/ 1.0     1       None    
 17/02 AM  12.4/12.9   1.9/ 2.3   0.5/ 1.0     1       None    
 17/03 PM  11.2/11.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9    1-2      None

Sandwich Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.0 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 4.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM   9.4/ 9.9  -1.0/-0.5   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None    
 16/02 AM  10.6/11.1   0.2/ 0.8   0.1/ 0.6     2       None    
 16/02 PM   9.5/10.0  -0.9/-0.4   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/02 AM  10.5/11.0   0.2/ 0.7   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/03 PM   9.4/ 9.9  -1.0/-0.5   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None

Wings Neck
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.5 ft, Moderate 9.0 ft, Major 11.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.1 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 7.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/10 AM   4.6/ 5.1   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 15/10 PM   5.2/ 5.7   0.9/ 1.4   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 16/11 AM   4.6/ 5.1   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 16/11 PM   4.9/ 5.4   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 17/12 PM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.8   0.0/ 0.5    1-2      None    
 18/12 AM   4.6/ 5.1   0.2/ 0.7   0.0/ 0.5     2       None

Nantucket Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 6.5 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 ft, Moderate 2.9 ft, Major 4.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/02 PM   3.4/ 3.9  -0.2/ 0.2   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 16/03 AM   4.2/ 4.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 16/03 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -0.2/ 0.3   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 17/03 AM   4.2/ 4.7   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 17/04 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -0.2/ 0.3   0.2/ 0.8     2       None

&&

$$

Frank
2 follow-up statements
114 
WHUS41 KBOX 151946
CFWBOX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
346 PM EDT Fri Jul 15 2022

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-024-160800-
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.S.0007.220716T0400Z-220716T0800Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
346 PM EDT Fri Jul 15 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways (3.4 to 12.8 feet Mean Lower Low Water).

* WHERE...Eastern Essex MA, Suffolk MA, Eastern Norfolk MA, 
  Eastern Plymouth MA, Barnstable MA and Nantucket MA Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 pm this evening until 3 am Saturday morning 
  when another very high astronomical tide occurs.

* IMPACTS...Splashover and very minor coastal flooding is 
  expected along the North Shore from Gloucester to Newburyport. 
  Wave action will likely cause some washover onto coastal roads 
  around the time of high tide.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Gloucester Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 ft, Moderate 13.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.0 ft, Moderate 3.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 16/01 AM  11.3/11.8   1.8/ 2.2   0.2/ 0.7     2      Minor    
 16/02 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8    2-3      None    
 17/02 AM  11.1/11.6   1.6/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.7     2      Minor    
 17/03 PM  10.1/10.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None

Merrimack River near Newburyport MA
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.0 ft, Moderate 12.0 ft, Major 13.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 ft, Moderate 2.5 ft, Major 4.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/02 PM   8.8/ 9.3  -0.8/-0.2   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 16/02 AM  10.2/10.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.7     2       None    
 16/02 PM   9.0/ 9.5  -0.6/-0.1   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/03 AM  10.0/10.5   0.5/ 1.0   0.2/ 0.7     2       None    
 17/03 PM   9.0/ 9.5  -0.6/-0.1   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None

Boston Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 4.4 ft, Major 5.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 16/02 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 17/02 AM  11.7/12.2   1.6/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/03 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     1       None

Revere
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.6 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 6.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.7/12.2   1.8/ 2.2   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 16/02 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 17/02 AM  11.5/12.0   1.6/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/03 PM  10.5/11.0   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     1       None

Scituate MA
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 ft, Moderate 13.5 ft, Major 15.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 3.8 ft, Major 5.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  10.0/10.5   0.2/ 0.8   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 16/02 AM  11.5/12.0   1.8/ 2.2   0.2/ 0.7     2      Minor    
 16/02 PM  10.1/10.6   0.4/ 0.9   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/02 AM  11.3/11.8   1.6/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.8    1-2     Minor    
 17/03 PM  10.1/10.6   0.4/ 0.9   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None

Buzzards Bay at Woods Hole
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.5 ft, Moderate 5.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/10 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 15/11 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.2/ 1.7   0.1/ 0.6    1-2      None    
 16/11 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.7/ 1.1   0.0/ 0.5    1-2      None    
 16/11 PM   3.0/ 3.5   1.0/ 1.5   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 17/12 PM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.1/ 0.6    1-2      None    
 18/12 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.1/ 0.6     2       None

Chatham MA - East Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 ft, Moderate 11.5 ft, Major 13.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 3.8 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/02 PM   5.1/ 5.6  -2.7/-2.2   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 16/02 AM   6.1/ 6.6  -1.7/-1.2   0.2/ 0.7     2       None    
 16/03 PM   5.1/ 5.6  -2.7/-2.2   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/03 AM   6.0/ 6.5  -1.8/-1.3   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/04 PM   5.2/ 5.7  -2.6/-2.1   0.2/ 0.8     2       None

Chatham - South side
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 ft, Moderate 10.5 ft, Major 11.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 4.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 7.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/02 PM   4.2/ 4.7  -0.3/ 0.2   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 16/02 AM   5.2/ 5.7   0.8/ 1.3   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 16/03 PM   4.2/ 4.7  -0.2/ 0.2   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/03 AM   5.2/ 5.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/04 PM   4.5/ 5.0   0.0/ 0.5   0.4/ 0.9     2       None

Provincetown Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.9 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  10.5/11.0   0.4/ 0.9   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 16/02 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 16/02 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 17/03 AM  11.6/12.1   1.5/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None    
 17/03 PM  10.7/11.2   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9    1-2      None

Dennis - Sesuit Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 4.0 ft, Major 5.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM  11.2/11.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.6/ 1.1     1       None    
 16/02 AM  12.6/13.1   2.1/ 2.6   0.4/ 0.9     1      Minor    
 16/02 PM  11.3/11.8   0.8/ 1.3   0.5/ 1.0     1       None    
 17/02 AM  12.4/12.9   1.9/ 2.3   0.5/ 1.0     1       None    
 17/03 PM  11.2/11.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9    1-2      None

Sandwich Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.0 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 4.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/01 PM   9.4/ 9.9  -1.0/-0.5   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None    
 16/02 AM  10.6/11.1   0.2/ 0.8   0.1/ 0.6     2       None    
 16/02 PM   9.5/10.0  -0.9/-0.4   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/02 AM  10.5/11.0   0.2/ 0.7   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/03 PM   9.4/ 9.9  -1.0/-0.5   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None

Wings Neck
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.5 ft, Moderate 9.0 ft, Major 11.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.1 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 7.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/10 AM   4.6/ 5.1   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 15/10 PM   5.2/ 5.7   0.9/ 1.4   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 16/11 AM   4.6/ 5.1   0.2/ 0.7  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 16/11 PM   4.9/ 5.4   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 17/12 PM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.8   0.0/ 0.5    1-2      None    
 18/12 AM   4.6/ 5.1   0.2/ 0.7   0.0/ 0.5     2       None

Nantucket Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 6.5 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 ft, Moderate 2.9 ft, Major 4.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/02 PM   3.4/ 3.9  -0.2/ 0.2   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 16/03 AM   4.2/ 4.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 16/03 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -0.2/ 0.3   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 17/03 AM   4.2/ 4.7   0.6/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     2       None    
 17/04 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -0.2/ 0.3   0.2/ 0.8     2       None

&&

$$
195 
WHUS41 KBOX 160735
CFWBOX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
335 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-024-162100-
/O.CAN.KBOX.CF.S.0007.000000T0000Z-220716T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.S.0008.220717T0400Z-220717T0800Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
335 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IN EFFECT LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation in the most
  vulnerable shoreline locations.

* WHERE...Eastern Massachusetts coast, including Cape Cod
  and the Islands.

* WHEN...Late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Some water on the most vulnerable low lying roads
  and property.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Gloucester Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 ft, Moderate 13.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.0 ft, Moderate 3.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/01 AM  11.2/11.7   1.7/ 2.2   0.1/ 0.6    2-3     Minor    
 16/02 PM  10.0/10.5   0.5/ 1.0   0.2/ 0.7    2-3      None    
 17/02 AM  11.0/11.5   1.5/ 2.0   0.1/ 0.6     2       None    
 17/03 PM  10.0/10.5   0.5/ 1.0   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None    
 18/03 AM  10.6/11.1   1.1/ 1.6   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None

Merrimack River near Newburyport MA
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.0 ft, Moderate 12.0 ft, Major 13.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 ft, Moderate 2.5 ft, Major 4.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/02 AM  10.0/10.5   0.5/ 1.0   0.0/ 0.5     2       None    
 16/02 PM   8.9/ 9.4  -0.7/-0.2   0.2/ 0.7     2       None    
 17/03 AM   9.9/10.4   0.4/ 0.9   0.1/ 0.6     2       None    
 17/03 PM   8.9/ 9.4  -0.7/-0.2   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None    
 18/04 AM   9.4/ 9.9  -0.2/ 0.3   0.1/ 0.6    1-2      None

Boston Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 4.4 ft, Major 5.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/02 AM  11.7/12.2   1.6/ 2.0   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 16/02 PM  10.4/10.9   0.2/ 0.8   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 17/02 AM  11.6/12.1   1.5/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 17/03 PM  10.4/10.9   0.2/ 0.8   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 18/03 AM  11.0/11.5   0.9/ 1.4   0.2/ 0.7     1       None

Revere
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.6 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 6.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/02 AM  11.6/12.1   1.7/ 2.2   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 16/02 PM  10.3/10.8   0.4/ 0.9   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 17/02 AM  11.3/11.8   1.4/ 1.9   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 17/03 PM  10.3/10.8   0.4/ 0.9   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 18/03 AM  10.9/11.4   1.0/ 1.5   0.2/ 0.7     1       None

Scituate MA
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 ft, Moderate 13.5 ft, Major 15.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 3.8 ft, Major 5.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/02 AM  11.4/11.9   1.7/ 2.2   0.1/ 0.6     2      Minor    
 16/02 PM  10.0/10.5   0.2/ 0.8   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None    
 17/02 AM  11.2/11.7   1.5/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.7    1-2     Minor    
 17/03 PM  10.0/10.5   0.2/ 0.8   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 18/03 AM  10.8/11.3   1.1/ 1.6   0.2/ 0.8     1       None

Buzzards Bay at Woods Hole
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 7.0 ft, Major 8.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.5 ft, Moderate 5.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/10 PM   3.1/ 3.6   1.1/ 1.6   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 16/11 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.7/ 1.1   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 16/11 PM   3.0/ 3.5   1.0/ 1.5   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 17/12 PM   2.7/ 3.2   0.7/ 1.1   0.0/ 0.5    1-2      None    
 18/12 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.1/ 0.6     2       None    
 18/01 PM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.1/ 0.6     2       None

Chatham MA - East Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 ft, Moderate 11.5 ft, Major 13.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 3.8 ft, Major 5.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/02 AM   6.1/ 6.6  -1.7/-1.2   0.2/ 0.7     2       None    
 16/03 PM   5.1/ 5.6  -2.7/-2.2   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/03 AM   6.0/ 6.5  -1.8/-1.3   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 17/04 PM   5.2/ 5.7  -2.6/-2.1   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 18/04 AM   5.7/ 6.2  -2.0/-1.5   0.2/ 0.8     2       None

Chatham - South side
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 ft, Moderate 10.5 ft, Major 11.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 4.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 7.0 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/02 AM   5.2/ 5.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 16/03 PM   4.2/ 4.7  -0.2/ 0.2   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/03 AM   5.1/ 5.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 17/04 PM   4.4/ 4.9  -0.2/ 0.3   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 18/04 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.2/ 0.8   0.2/ 0.7     2       None

Provincetown Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.9 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/02 AM  11.8/12.3   1.7/ 2.2   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 16/02 PM  10.5/11.0   0.4/ 0.9   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/03 AM  11.6/12.1   1.5/ 2.0   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 17/03 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None    
 18/03 AM  11.2/11.7   1.1/ 1.6   0.2/ 0.8     2       None

Dennis - Sesuit Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 ft, Moderate 14.5 ft, Major 16.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 4.0 ft, Major 5.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/02 AM  12.4/12.9   1.9/ 2.3   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 16/02 PM  11.1/11.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/02 AM  12.3/12.8   1.8/ 2.2   0.4/ 0.9     1       None    
 17/03 PM  11.1/11.6   0.6/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.8    1-2      None    
 18/03 AM  11.8/12.3   1.3/ 1.8   0.4/ 0.9     2       None

Sandwich Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.0 ft, Moderate 14.0 ft, Major 15.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.7 ft, Moderate 3.7 ft, Major 4.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/02 AM  10.5/11.0   0.2/ 0.7   0.0/ 0.5     1       None    
 16/02 PM   9.3/ 9.8  -1.1/-0.6   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 17/02 AM  10.4/10.9   0.1/ 0.6   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 17/03 PM   9.3/ 9.8  -1.1/-0.6   0.1/ 0.6    1-2      None    
 18/03 AM   9.9/10.4  -0.5/ 0.0   0.2/ 0.7    1-2      None

Wings Neck
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.5 ft, Moderate 9.0 ft, Major 11.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.1 ft, Moderate 4.6 ft, Major 7.1 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 15/10 PM   5.1/ 5.6   0.7/ 1.1  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 16/11 AM   4.4/ 4.9   0.0/ 0.5  -0.3/ 0.2     1       None    
 16/11 PM   4.7/ 5.2   0.4/ 0.9  -0.2/ 0.3     1       None    
 17/11 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.1/ 0.6   0.0/ 0.5    1-2      None    
 18/12 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.1/ 0.6  -0.2/ 0.3     2       None    
 18/12 PM   4.4/ 4.9   0.0/ 0.5   0.0/ 0.5     2       None

Nantucket Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 6.5 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 ft, Moderate 2.9 ft, Major 4.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/03 AM   4.2/ 4.7   0.6/ 1.1   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 16/03 PM   3.2/ 3.7  -0.3/ 0.2   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 17/03 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.5/ 1.0   0.2/ 0.8     1       None    
 17/04 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -0.2/ 0.3   0.2/ 0.8     2       None    
 18/04 AM   3.9/ 4.4   0.2/ 0.8   0.2/ 0.8     2       None

&&

$$

MAZ023-162100-
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.S.0008.220717T0400Z-220717T0800Z/
Dukes MA-
335 AM EDT Sat Jul 16 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IN EFFECT LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation in the most
  vulnerable shoreline locations.

* WHERE...Marthas Vineyard, from Vineyard Haven to Oak Bluffs
  and Edgartown.

* WHEN...Late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Some water on the most vulnerable low lying roads
  and property.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Vineyard Haven
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 6.5 ft, Major 8.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 16/01 AM   2.1/ 2.6   0.1/ 0.6   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 16/02 PM   2.0/ 2.5   0.0/ 0.5   0.2/ 0.7     1       None    
 17/03 AM   2.1/ 2.6   0.1/ 0.6   0.1/ 0.6     1       None    
 17/03 PM   1.9/ 2.3  -0.2/ 0.3   0.1/ 0.6    1-2      None    
 18/03 AM   2.0/ 2.5   0.0/ 0.5   0.2/ 0.7     2       None

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at Jul 15, 3:25 AM EDT, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 3:25 AM EDT, 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
325 AM EDT Fri Jul 15 2022

.SYNOPSIS...

Generally dry and warm weather is on tap for today and Saturday,
but with comfortable humidity levels for this time of year.
Then increasing heat and humidity beginning Sunday and
continuing into most of next week, possibly peaking around
Wednesday or Thursday. Best chance for thunderstorms will be
next week, around Monday and possible again Wed/Thu. Otherwise,
mainly dry weather prevails.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...

320 AM Update...

* Sunny & Warm today but with very comfortable humidity

Localized patchy ground fog mainly across southeast New England
will quickly burn off after sunrise. Otherwise, large high
pressure will build in from the west today bringing dry and warm
weather. Plenty of sunshine is on tap with high temps climbing
into the middle to upper 80s across most locations, but it will
be a few degrees cooler along portions of the immediate coast
with sea breezes developing. However, the airmass behind
yesterday/s cold front is quite dry for this time of year. So
despite it being quite warm today, humidity levels will be very
comfortable for outdoor activities.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...

Highlights...

* Dry and very pleasant tonight with comfortable temps
* Partly sunny/Warm Sat with a low risk a brief spot shower

Details...

Tonight...

Large high pressure slowly moves east of the region tonight.
However, it will remain in control of our weather keeping us dry
with calm-light southwest winds. Low temps should bottom out in
the middle 50s to the lower 60s by daybreak. Some patchy fog may
develop late in the typically prone locations, particularly
across RI/SE MA. This is where some marginal low level moisture
begins to return on the backside of the high pressure system.

Saturday...

An upper level shortwave will cross the region on Saturday, but
it will be lacking low level forcing & deep layer moisture.
Therefore, we expect mainly just mid level cloudiness mixed in
with peeks of sunshine at times. Low risk of a spot shower or
two, but for the most part it will be a dry day with a mixture
of sun and clouds. High temps will be in the middle to upper 80s
in most locations. Humidity levels will be a bit higher than
today, but nothing too bad for this time of year.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...

4 PM update...

Highlights

* Dry, low humidity and seasonably warm Saturday

* Increasing heat & humidity beginning Sunday & likely persisting
  into much of next week, possibly peaking Wed/Thu next week

* Not expecting any drought busting rains but highest probability of
  showers/thunderstorms appears to be around Monday and again Wed/Thu

Synoptic Overview...

Both 12z Euro & GFS ensembles agree the main large scale weather
feature this forecast period will be the subtropical ridge centered
around the four corners region of the country. This results in
downstream troughing from the Great Lakes region into New England.
While excessive/record breaking heat will be confined out west, a
piece of this airmass may advect into New England the middle of next
week, with highs in the 90s possible. As for rainfall, this upper
air pattern will not offer any drought busting rains, but each short
wave trough should provide scattered convection, especially around
the Monday time frame and maybe again mid to late next week.

Temperatures...

Seasonable warm Saturday with highs in the 80s, but comfortable
humidity with dew pts in the 50s, except low to mid 60s along the
south coast. 850 mb flow becomes SW per ensembles beginning Sunday
and advecting warmer than normal 850 mb temps along with a more
humid airmass into SNE. Highs Sunday 85-90 (not as hot south coast)
and it will feel warmer as dew pts climb into the 60s, and possibly
70 along the south coast. A piece of that excessive heat out west,
advects eastward and modifies, but 850 mb temp anomalies support 85-
90 Mon/Tue, then possibly into the 90s Wed and Thu.

Rainfall...

WNW flow aloft likely yields below average rainfall this period.
Highest probability of showers/thunderstorms waits until next week,
around Monday and then again Wed/Thu.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

6z TAF Update...

Today...High Confidence. Localized patchy ground fog mainly
across eastern New England burns off quickly after sunrise.
Otherwise, VFR with light NW winds except localized sea breezes
developing by afternoon along portions of the immediate coast.

Tonight...High Confidence. VFR except for the potential of some
patchy ground fog late in the typically prone locations,
particularly across RI & SE MA. Calm/light SW winds.

Saturday...High Confidence. VFR despite a scattered to broken
deck of mid level cloudiness. Winds becoming SSW around 10
knots.

KBOS...High confidence in TAF.

KBDL...High Confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Saturday Night through Tuesday/...

Saturday Night: VFR.

Sunday through Sunday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, isolated
TSRA.

Monday through Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR
possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Tuesday: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

&&

.MARINE...

Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Today and tonight...High Confidence. High pressure builds in
from the west keeping winds/seas well below small craft advisory
thresholds today and tonight.

Saturday...High Confidence. High pressure moving east of the
waters will result in S winds of 10 to 15 knots developing with
perhaps some gusts up to 20 knots by Sat afternoon. However,
still expect winds/seas to remain below small craft advisory
thresholds. So no marine headlines will be needed.

Outlook /Saturday Night through Tuesday/...

Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.

Sunday through Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight
chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft. Rain showers likely, chance of thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Slight chance
of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

For the second night in a row, we had a half foot storm surge
resulting in a total water level of 12.45 feet at Boston given
the very high astronomical tide. We have another very high
astro tide coming up again just after 1 am Saturday, but it is
a tad lower than the last two. Therefore, we opted to go with
just a Coastal Flood Statement along the eastern MA coast. Not
much impact other than pockets of splashover and brief very
minor coastal flooding in the most vulnerable locations.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Frank/BL
NEAR TERM...Frank
SHORT TERM...Frank
LONG TERM...BL
AVIATION...Frank/BL
MARINE...Frank/BL
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Frank
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 4:11 PM EDT, 11 hours 26 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
411 PM EDT Thu Jul 14 2022

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>014-017-018-020-021-023-026-RIZ001>008-
152015-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Northern Bristol MA-
Western Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-
Dukes MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-
Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
411 PM EDT Thu Jul 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, central
Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts, northeastern Massachusetts,
southeastern Massachusetts, western Massachusetts, and Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-024-152015-
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
411 PM EDT Thu Jul 14 2022

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Massachusetts,
northeastern Massachusetts and southeastern Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-152015-
Boston Harbor-Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound-
Buzzards Bay-Rhode Island Sound-Narragansett Bay-Block Island Sound-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
411 PM EDT Thu Jul 14 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts and Rhode
Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For more information on upcoming hazardous weather, please see the
Area Forecast Discussion on our webpage for the latest forecast
thinking. There is also our Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook at
www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/us.nationalweatherservice.boston.gov

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 14, 9:45 PM EDT, 5 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
945 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WILLIMANTIC             41.72N 72.22W
07/14/2022                   WINDHAM            CT   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN ON PLEASANT STREET. TOP
            OF UTILITY POLE SNAPPED OFF AT INTERSECTION
            OF PLEASANT AND LEBANON. RELAYED BY AMATEUR
            RADIO.

&&

TG
Local storm report, Jul 14, 10:00 PM EDT, 5 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
1000 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0606 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBIA                41.70N 72.30W
07/14/2022                   TOLLAND            CT   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMA MNGR REPORTS TREES AND A BILLBOARD DOWN
            IN THE VICINITY OF RT 66 EAST, FLANDERS
            RIVER RD, CARDS MILL RD, OLD WILLIMANTIC RD,
            AND CHERRY VALLEY RD.

0607 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBIA                41.70N 72.30W
07/14/2022                   TOLLAND            CT   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN ON NEWBERRY RD AND
            DEVONSHIRE LANE. RELAYED BY AMATEUR RADIO.

0608 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WILLIMANTIC             41.71N 72.22W
07/14/2022                   WINDHAM            CT   911 CALL CENTER

            REPORTS CHIMNEY FELL INTO ROOF ON WEST MAIN
            STREET.

0618 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WILLIMANTIC             41.72N 72.22W
07/14/2022                   WINDHAM            CT   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN ON PLEASANT STREET. TOP
            OF UTILITY POLE SNAPPED OFF AT INTERSECTION
            OF PLEASANT AND LEBANON. RELAYED BY AMATEUR
            RADIO.

0618 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WILLIMANTIC             41.72N 72.22W
07/14/2022                   WINDHAM            CT   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN AT FOLLOW LOCATIONS;
            WEST AVENUE, SOUTH STREET AT OXBOW DRIVE,
            AND SOUTHRIDGE DRIVE. RELAYED BY AMATEUR
            RADIO.

0628 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S WINDHAM             41.68N 72.17W
07/14/2022                   WINDHAM            CT   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN ON SOUTH WINDHAM ROAD.
            RELAYED BY AMATEUR RADIO.

0645 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW ORLEANS           41.80N 70.00W
07/14/2022                   BARNSTABLE         MA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FULLY LEAFED MAPLE TREE BRANCH DOWN ON ROCK
            HARBOR ROAD. RELAYED BY AMATEUR RADIO.

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ENE BERKLEY           41.85N 71.07W
07/14/2022                   BRISTOL            MA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            WIRES DOWN CAUSING A TREE FIRE. RELAYED BY
            AMATEUR RADIO.

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE TAUNTON            41.88N 71.06W
07/14/2022                   BRISTOL            MA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON BRIARWOOD DRIVE.
            RELAYED BY AMATEUR RADIO.

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE TAUNTON AP        41.90N 71.01W
07/14/2022                   BRISTOL            MA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PRIMARY POWER LINES DOWN AT 1500 BLOCK OF
            NEW STATE HIGHWAY (RT 44) IN RAYNHAM.
            RELAYED BY AMATEUR RADIO.

0520 PM     HAIL             BRIDGEWATER             41.99N 70.97W
07/14/2022  M1.00 INCH       PLYMOUTH           MA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RELAYED BY AMATEUR RADIO.

0528 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE MIDDLEBOROUGH     41.89N 70.91W
07/14/2022                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON PLEASANT STREET.

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 W KINGSTON            41.99N 70.77W
07/14/2022                   PLYMOUTH           MA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TOP HALF OF TREE DOWN ON WAPPING ROAD.
            RELAYED BY AMATEUR RADIO.

0530 PM     HAIL             HALIFAX                 41.98N 70.87W
07/14/2022  M1.00 INCH       PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

0530 PM     HAIL             PEMBROKE                42.07N 70.80W
07/14/2022  M1.00 INCH       PLYMOUTH           MA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTED IN THE BRYANTVILLE SECTION OF TOWN.
            RELAYED BY AMATEUR RADIO.

0550 PM     HAIL             MARSHFIELD              42.09N 70.71W
07/14/2022  M1.00 INCH       PLYMOUTH           MA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL COATED THE
            GROUND IN THE MARSHFIELD HILLS SECTION OF
            TOWN.

&&

Nearby

Coastal Flood Statements in Massachusetts, 2022Every coastal flood statement in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.