Severe Thunderstorm Warning 52, NWS La Crosse, WI

794 
WWUS53 KARX 200113
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
813 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

MNC169-200145-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-220520T0145Z/
Winona MN-
813 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN WINONA COUNTY...

At 813 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Dakota, or near
La Crescent, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern Winona County, including the following locations...
Nodine, New Hartford and Dresbach.

This includes Interstate 90 in Minnesota between mile markers 264 and
276.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southeastern
Minnesota.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4394 9148 4394 9136 4392 9136 4389 9132
      4385 9129 4385 9156
TIME...MOT...LOC 0113Z 270DEG 41KT 4387 9142 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Baumgardt

588 
WWUS53 KARX 200126
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
826 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

MNC169-200136-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-220520T0145Z/
Winona MN-
826 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WINONA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southeastern
Minnesota.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
west central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4394 9148 4394 9136 4392 9136 4389 9132
      4385 9129 4385 9156
TIME...MOT...LOC 0125Z 270DEG 41KT 4387 9120 

$$

Baumgardt

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
648 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

Key Messages:

 - Severe weather expected this afternoon and evening

 - Frost/Freeze Headlines Maybe Needed Sunday Night

Late This Afternoon and Evening...

Continuing to monitor the northward progression of a warm front
which extends from Albert Lea, MN to Platteville, WI. Temperatures
south of this warm front range from the mid-80s to lower 90s. Dew
points have dropped into the 50s in the wake of this mornings
convection. Further to the southwest, the dew points range from
the mid-60s to lower 70s. There is still some questions how much
moisture recovery there will be in the warm sector. The latest
HRRR has a good handle on the current dew points and it shows that
the dew points will recover into the lower 60s. Until that
moisture gets back into the area, there may be a lull in
convection in this area. Soundings show an inverted V in this
area, so there will be a threat of damaging winds and large hail
once the convection returns to this area between 5 PM and 7 PM.

Meanwhile, along the warm front, VWP is showing backing winds at
KLSE and this lengthening the 0-3 km hodograph. The RAP and HRRR
indicate helicities increasing into the 300 to 400. The 0-1 km
computed CAPES will likely climb into the 800 to 1200 J/kg range.
The highest values look to be from the Iowa/Minnesota boarder
north into southeast Minnesota and maybe the counties bordering
the Mississippi in Wisconsin. This tornado threat looks to be from
4 PM to 7 PM.

As the cold front approaches and the moves into the narrow ribbon
of return moisture, there will a line of storms developing along
the cold front. These storms will be capable of producing large
hail and damaging winds. There is still some uncertainty on how
far south the storms will develop into the warm sector.

Sunday through Thursday...

Precipitation chances continue into Sunday morning as an upper level
trough moves over the area. As the trough lifts out of the area,
precipitation could linger over our northern counties into early
Sunday afternoon. High temperatures will remain in the upper 50s/low
60s during the day, and with clouds moving out overnight, low
temperatures could drop down to the low/mid 30s for some.
Frost/freeze headlines may be needed Monday morning.

Although the end of the weekend into Monday appears to be dry,
increasing chances for precipitation returns through the week. While
ensemble solutions show increasing agreement on upper level
troughing moving across the area midweek, there are differences in
the progression of the trough. With this disagreement, differences
in the timing and coverage of precipitation across the area remains.
Temperatures will return to the low/mid 60s for the start of the
week. However, EPS solutions suggest an upward trend in
temperatures into the weekend, with ensemble means above model
climatology.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 647 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

A line of showers and storms over KRST will slowly sag into KLSE
between 20.01Z and 20.02z. Ceilings will range between 5 and 10K
feet. A few of the thunderstorms may become severe. Damaging winds
and hail are the main concerns. Visibilities at times may become
IFR/MVFR this evening in some places, but confidence was not high
enough to include them in the TAFs at this time.

The thunderstorms will gradually come to an end between
20.05z and 20.07z. While the thunderstorms will be ending
scattered showers will continue for much of the remainder of the
night.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Boyne/EMS
AVIATION...Boyne

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
423 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

IAZ008>010-018-019-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041-
201200-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Floyd-Chickasaw-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-
Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-
Jackson-La Crosse-
423 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and western into north central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Strong to severe storms are expected going into the evening. Large
hail is the main threat but some storms could produce damaging
wind and possibly a tornado.

Additional storms are possible later this evening too that would
pose a strong wind threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Thunderstorms could develop over northeast Iowa and southwest
Wisconsin on Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed yet today. Hail reports are
always appreciated.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

IAZ011-029-030-WIZ042>044-053>055-061-201200-
Allamakee-Fayette-Clayton-Monroe-Juneau-Adams-Vernon-Crawford-
Richland-Grant-
423 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Iowa...central Wisconsin...southwest Wisconsin and west central
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible this evening. While a bulk of
the severe weather is expected west and north of the area, a few
stronger storms could produce hail or gusty winds if they develop.

Overnight additional storms are possible which could bring gusty
winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Thunderstorms could develop over northeast Iowa and southwest
Wisconsin on Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated but if a stronger storm
develops in your area, please pass along any reports.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

Shea

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
547 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

MNZ079-086>088-094-095-WIZ017-029-032>034-200100-
Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-
Trempealeau-Jackson-
Including the cities of Wabasha, Dodge Center, Rochester, Winona,
Austin, Preston, Medford, Neillsville, Alma, Arcadia, Whitehall,
and Black River Falls
547 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

...Scattered Storms...Some Strong, Potentially Severe...

Storms will march east northeast across the area early this
evening. The stronger storms will produce 1/2 inch hail with the
potential for gusty winds. A few could become severe with hail up
to 1 inch.

When storms near your location, take shelter indoors. Be alert for
possible warnings through the evening.

Rieck

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
604 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0533 PM     HAIL             3 NE BYRON              44.07N 92.61W
05/19/2022  M0.70 INCH       OLMSTED            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
623 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0622 PM     HAIL             MANTORVILLE             44.07N 92.75W
05/19/2022  M0.50 INCH       DODGE              MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
728 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

MNZ094-095-200130-
Fillmore MN-Mower MN-
728 PM CDT Thu May 19 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of east central Mower
and northwestern Fillmore Counties through 830 PM CDT...

At 726 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms with
public reports of landspouts along a line extending from near
Fountain to near Grand Meadow. Movement was east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Landspouts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Spring Valley, Grand Meadow, Wykoff, Fillmore, Washington, Carimona,
Highways 63 And 16 and Hamilton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in La Crosse.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southeastern
Minnesota.

&&

LAT...LON 4380 9215 4366 9214 4364 9256 4375 9257
TIME...MOT...LOC 0026Z 259DEG 47KT 4378 9215 4372 9248

LANDSPOUT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

Rieck

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
749 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             FOUNTAIN                43.74N 92.13W
05/19/2022  M0.70 INCH       FILLMORE           MN   PUBLIC

&&

JAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
751 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     HAIL             4 S ROCHESTER           43.95N 92.47W
05/19/2022  E0.88 INCH       OLMSTED            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PRELIMINARY SPOTTER REPORT VIA
            SPOTTERNETWORK.ORG.

&&

JAR