Alert archive / Alaska / High Wind Warnings in 2022

High Wind Warning 16, NWS Juneau, AK

November 27, 2022Juneau City and Borough, Skagway Municipality, Alaska

NWS Juneau, AK issued this high wind warning at Nov 27, 2022, 3:07 PM AKST for Juneau City and Borough, Skagway Municipality, Alaska. It took effect at Nov 29, 2022, 3:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 13 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 27, 2022, 3:07 PM AKST (00:07 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 29, 2022, 3:00 AM AKST
Expired
Nov 29, 2022, 3:56 PM AKST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

Counties Juneau City and Borough, AK, Skagway Municipality, AK

The radar

The Sitka radar (PACG), 236 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Yakutat, (PYAK), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 279 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Yakutat, at 00:00Z on 2022-11-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Yakutat, at 00:00Z on 2022-11-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -68 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2075 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
83 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

325 
WWAK77 PAJK 280007
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
307 PM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

AKZ319-280115-
/O.CAN.PAJK.HW.A.0007.221129T0600Z-221130T2100Z/
Haines Borough and Klukwan-
Including the city of Haines
307 PM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED...

Strong winds are still expected for Haines Borough and Klukwan as
Arctic high pressure strengthens over the Yukon and British 
Columbia, and a low pressure system moves south over the eastern 
Gulf of Alaska. However wind gusts are not expected to be higher
than 50 mph for a majority of the Haines area. Highest winds will
be near Lynn canal and along the Chilkat Peninsula.

This will be the final statement on this event.



$$

AKZ318-325-280900-
/O.UPG.PAJK.HW.A.0007.221129T0600Z-221130T2100Z/
/O.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0016.221129T1200Z-221130T0600Z/
Municipality of Skagway-City and Borough of Juneau-
Including the cities of Skagway, White Pass, and Juneau
307 PM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM AKST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts 60 to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Municipality of Skagway and City and Borough of Juneau.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 PM AKST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Very strong winds will develop early 
  Tuesday morning as Arctic high pressure strengthens over the 
  Yukon and British Columbia, and a low pressure system moves 
  south over the eastern Gulf of Alaska. Areas where the highest 
  winds will occur include Skagway and Downtown Juneau. Winds 
  diminish Tuesday night as the low in the south of the AK Gulf 
  weakens. Wind chills to 40 below near Skagway and White Pass.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Use caution if you must travel. Protect exposed
skin and limit exposure to very cold temperatures. 

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ajk
5 follow-up statements
732 
WWAK77 PAJK 280836
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1136 PM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

AKZ318-325-281600-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0016.221129T1200Z-221130T0600Z/
Municipality of Skagway-City and Borough of Juneau-
Including the cities of Skagway, White Pass, and Juneau
1136 PM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM AKST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts 60 to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Municipality of Skagway and City and Borough of Juneau.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 PM AKST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power 
  lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Very strong winds will develop early 
  Tuesday morning as Arctic high pressure strengthens over the 
  Yukon and British Columbia, and a low pressure system moves 
  south over the eastern Gulf of Alaska. Areas where the highest 
  winds will occur include Skagway and Downtown Juneau. Winds 
  diminish Tuesday night as the low in the south of the AK Gulf 
  weakens. Wind chills to 40 below near Skagway and White Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Use caution if you must travel. Protect exposed
skin and limit exposure to very cold temperatures.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ajk
929 
WWAK77 PAJK 281533
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
633 AM AKST Mon Nov 28 2022

AKZ318-325-290100-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0016.221129T1200Z-221130T0600Z/
Municipality of Skagway-City and Borough of Juneau-
Including the cities of Skagway, White Pass, and Juneau
633 AM AKST Mon Nov 28 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM AKST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts 60 to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Skagway, Klondike Highway, and Downtown Juneau and 
  Douglas.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 PM AKST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power 
  lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Very strong winds will develop early 
  Tuesday morning as Arctic high pressure strengthens over the 
  Yukon and British Columbia, and a low pressure system moves 
  south over the eastern Gulf of Alaska. Areas where the highest 
  winds will occur include Skagway and Downtown Juneau. Winds 
  diminish Tuesday night as the low in the south of the AK Gulf 
  weakens. Wind chills to 40 below near Skagway and White Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Use caution if you must travel. Protect exposed
skin and limit exposure to very cold temperatures.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ajk
319 
WWAK77 PAJK 290043
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
343 PM AKST Mon Nov 28 2022

AKZ318-325-291500-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0016.221129T1200Z-221130T0600Z/
Municipality of Skagway-City and Borough of Juneau-
Including the cities of Skagway, White Pass, and Juneau
343 PM AKST Mon Nov 28 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM AKST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts 60 to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Skagway, Klondike Highway, and Downtown Juneau and 
  Douglas.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 PM AKST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power 
  lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Very strong winds will develop early 
  Tuesday morning as Arctic high pressure strengthens over the 
  Yukon and British Columbia, and a low pressure system moves 
  south over the eastern Gulf of Alaska. Areas where the highest 
  winds will occur include Skagway and Downtown Juneau. Winds 
  diminish Tuesday night as the low in the south of the AK Gulf 
  weakens. Wind chills to 40 below near Skagway and White Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Use caution if you must travel. Protect exposed
skin and limit exposure to very cold temperatures on the Klondike
Highway.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ajk
530 
WWAK77 PAJK 291404
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
504 AM AKST Tue Nov 29 2022

AKZ318-325-300100-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-221130T0600Z/
Municipality of Skagway-City and Borough of Juneau-
Including the cities of Skagway, White Pass, and Juneau
504 AM AKST Tue Nov 29 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts 60 to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Skagway, Klondike Highway, and Downtown Juneau and 
  Douglas.

* WHEN...Through 9 PM AKST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
  Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Very strong winds are expected to develop
  Tuesday morning as Arctic high pressure strengthens over the
  Yukon and British Columbia, and a low pressure system moves
  south over the eastern Gulf of Alaska. Areas where the highest
  winds will occur include Skagway and Downtown Juneau. Winds
  diminish Tuesday night as the low in the south of the AK Gulf
  weakens. Wind chills to 40 below are also expected near Skagway
  and White Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A high wind warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Use caution if you must travel. Protect exposed
skin and limit exposure to very cold temperatures on the Klondike
Highway.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ajk
829 
WWAK77 PAJK 300056
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
356 PM AKST Tue Nov 29 2022

AKZ318-325-300200-
/O.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-221130T0600Z/
Municipality of Skagway-City and Borough of Juneau-
Including the cities of Skagway, White Pass, and Juneau
356 PM AKST Tue Nov 29 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Very high winds were observed at elevation, as high as 90 mph at
Sheep Mountain near Juneau, but those high winds never made it
down to sea level. Peak conditions at the AML dock near Juneau
were only 43 mph. 

Peak conditions at Skagway and along the Klondike Highway were
even lower. 

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ajk

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Nov 27, 5:28 AM AKST, 9 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 27, 5:28 AM AKST, 9 hours 39 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
528 AM AKST Sun Nov 27 2022

.SHORT TERM.../Through Sun night/ Building cold high pressure in
the Yukon is starting to have an effect on the area. Northerly
winds of 20 to 25 kt have started blowing down Lynn Canal and
parts of Stephens Passage overnight. However, There is not much
wind in other areas so far. Skies have also cleared out for many
areas of the panhandle. The exceptions are Yakutat, Skagway,
Haines, and parts of the southern panhandle where mid to high
level clouds linger. Temperatures have also fallen below freezing
for many areas overnight, but nothing colder then around 20 for
low elevation areas.

For the next 24 hours, the building high pressure in the Yukon is
the main driver of the forecast. Outflow winds will be gradually
increasing across the northern panhandle. Highest winds will be in
Lynn Canal where northerlies will be reaching near gale force by
late Sun night. Main forecast changes were a lowering of wind
speeds for today in some areas as the really cold air that is
associated with the Yukon high has not reached the area yet. This
mainly effects the wind speeds for Skagway, and downtown Juneau
and Douglas. The former for the cold air outflow (currently calm
winds at Skagway), and the latter for mountain wave formation
(wind shear is there and a weak inversion, but there is a lack of
cross barrier flow at the moment).

Looking at other forecast elements, dry and colder with some
areas of clouds are the main rule. Temperatures will be the main
concern as the main push of cold air starts to arrive tonight.
After seeing highs in the 30s today, temperatures will likely drop
into the 20s in the south, teens in the north, and single digits
in isolated areas tonight.

.LONG TERM.../ MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY / Much colder and drier
pattern continues through at least Wednesday before we take note
of a developing low pressure system over the eastern Gulf by
Thursday. First off, coldest air this season poised to spill
southward out of the Yukon Monday through Wednesday. Previous
forecast had the temperature and wind forecasts well in tow and we
didn't make a lot of changes there. Big story is single digits
for overnight lows expected Monday night and again Tuesday night
across most of the northern and central Panhandle
communities...with daytime highs not getting out of the teens for
places like Haines, Skagway and the back valley areas around
Juneau.

The next thing to watch closely will be the strength of the
outflow winds Monday through Wednesday. This will have more
significant impacts to the marine community next week with higher
winds and increasing potential or freezing spray. For the land
areas, main concern is strong to very high wind potential Monday
night through Wednesday morning for Skagway, sections of Haines,
and downtown Juneau where the potential of 60-75 mph wind gusts
will be possible by Tuesday. For this reason, and the fact that
just about all of our guidance continues to converge for greater
confidence on higher winds for that timeframe, we have hoisted
the High Wind Watches for Skagway, Haines, and Juneau Boroughs.

The next thing of note in the extended range will be watching for
any potential of snow late Wednesday through Friday across the
area. ECMWF, GFS and Canadian models are fairly close in their
solutions of developing a strengthening surface low over the
northeastern Gulf as a shortwave dives south out of eastern Alaska
over the top of the central Alaska ridge, and progresses the low
to the south over the eastern Gulf through Friday. Given the
deeply cold and dry air attendant in place ahead of this system
dropping south out of the interior, we trended the forecast a bit
closer to the ensembles for the Thursday into Friday timeframe
but we didn't want to go as high as some of the deterministic
global models raising snow chances significantly that far out.

&&

.AVIATION...Northerly outflow has started across the SE panhandle,
clearing out most of the cloud cover, just a narrow band of mid to
high level clouds are moving east from the Yakutat area into the
northern coastal and northern panhandle. VFR flight conditions is
the forecast.

Surface winds expected to slowly increase Sunday and into
Sunday night favoring the typical outflow channels. Expect some
minor turbulence today near the terrain along outflow channeled
area and potentially some LLWS beginning to develop.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch from Monday evening through Wednesday morning
     for AKZ318-319-325.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-022-031>033-041>043-051>053.

&&

SHORT TERM...EAL
LONG TERM....JG
AVIATION...Bezenek

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 27, 3:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK37 hr
Nov 27, 3:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK4 days
Nov 27, 5:12 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK34 hr
Nov 28, 3:10 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK4 days
Nov 28, 3:10 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAJK36 hr
Nov 28, 3:11 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK60 hr
Nov 28, 3:11 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Nov 28, 3:11 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAJK4 days

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Alaska, 2022Every high wind warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.