High Surf Advisory 13, NWS Fairbanks, AK

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
157 PM AKST Mon Nov 14 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong low moving over the Alaska Range towards the Yukon
Territories this morning will continue precipitation across much
of the Central and Eastern Interior through Monday evening. A
strong pressure gradient will develop between a low in Russia
and a strong high over the eastern Interior. South winds
30 to 45 mph with gusts to 70 mph from the Bering strait to
Point Hope Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday night. Strong
winds will also produce high surf for the same areas and possible
minor coastal flooding from Point Hope to Utqiavik Tuesday night
through Thursday. Another low will move into the Bering bringing
a rain/snow mix for some of the west coast on Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Aloft...Ridging is building along the West Coast that will sweep
out the weakening shortwaves eastward in the Interior by Tuesday
evening. This will merge with a larger high pressure system in the
southeast that will extend ridging across mainland Alaska. This
will hold in place through Wednesday afternoon while a low in
Eastern Russian sends troughs over top the northwest and western
portion of the ridge.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
Snow remains from Deadhorse east through this afternoon but
accumulations will only be 1 to 3 inches. South winds
30 to 45 mph with gusts to 70 mph from the Bering strait to
Point Hope Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday night. Cape
Lisburne could see gusts to 80 mph. Strong winds will also
produce high surf for the same areas and possible minor coastal
flooding from Point Hope to Utqiavik Tuesday night through
Thursday. High winds will cause elevated water levels and high
surf along the coast from Point Hope to Utqiagvik Tuesday night
through Thursday. Minor coastal flooding is also possible with
waves 2 to 4 feet above the normal high tide line. Beach erosion
is also possible. Winds will be lighter Utqiagvik east but could
see periods 40 mph wind gusts through Wednesday night.
Temperatures will see a brief cooling across the Brooks Range
tonight before warm air spreads across the North Slope and Brooks
Range through midweek.

Central and Eastern Interior...
Snow will taper off this afternoon from west to east through the
day. Strong ridging in place by Tuesday morning will suppress
active weather for much of the Interior through the early parts of
the week. High temperatures will be in the single digit to double
digits with a warm-up expected for the weekend. Conditions will
gusts to 25 mph in higher elevations in the Interior Tuesday
evening to early morning Wednesday.

Western Interior and West Coast...
A strong pressure gradient will develop between a low in Russia
and a strong high over the eastern Interior. South winds 30 to 45
mph with gusts to 70 mph from the Bering strait to Point Hope
Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday night. High wind warning has
been issued for the Bering strait and watches north of the Bering.
High surf advisories have also been issued for the same areas.
Another low will move into the Bering bringing a rain/snow mix
for some of the west coast on Thursday.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...Elevated water levels from
the Yukon Delta north to Utqiagvik Tuesday through Wednesday with
potential flooding from the Bering Strait north to Utqiagvik.

Extended Days 4 to 7...
Long-range models have good agreement of strong high pressure
remaining over the Central and Eastern Interior through the
remainder of the week. This begins to break down as models hint at
an approaching low from the Bering Sea sometime around Saturday,
but the placement, timing, and strength of this low is in large
disagreement between models.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ206
     High Wind Warning for AKZ213
     High Wind Watch for AK207-201.
PK...Gale Warning for PKZ210.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ215.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ220.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ220.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ225-230-235.
     Gale Warning for PKZ225-230.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ235.
&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1103 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  15 WNW TANACROSS        63.45N 143.83W
11/14/2022  E60 MPH          SOUTHEAST FAIRBANKSAK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            VERY GUSTY WINDS STARTING ABOUT 1-2AM EST.
            G60MPH LOTS OF TREES AND BRANCHES DOWN.

0800 PM     FREEZING RAIN    4 NNW FAIRBANKS         64.89N 147.68W
11/13/2022  E0.01 INCH       FAIRBANKS NORTH STAAK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            100% OF OBJECTS COVERED IN A GLAZE.

0530 AM     HEAVY SNOW       3 SSW FOX               64.91N 147.65W
11/14/2022  M1.5 INCH        FAIRBANKS NORTH STAAK   TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 AM     HEAVY SNOW       8 NW ESTER              64.95N 148.22W
11/14/2022  M3.3 INCH        FAIRBANKS NORTH STAAK   TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM     HEAVY SNOW       2 NNW MCKINLEY PARK     63.72N 148.97W
11/14/2022  M8.3 INCH        DENALI             AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1130 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1128 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  5 SW ATIGUN PASS        68.08N 149.58W
11/14/2022  E30 MPH          NORTH SLOPE        AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            GUSTY NORTH WIND 20-30 MPH OVC -SNBR. SNOW
            TOTALS 0.12/2.0.

&&

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>