Storm Warning 115, NWS Anchorage, AK

170 
FZAK51 PAFC 090007
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091330-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 993 mb low 130 nm west of Kodiak City moves 50 nm southeast of
Seward at 988 mb by Sun morning. The low moves inland near Cordova 
by Sun evening. Another low extends a front into the Gulf through 
Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-091330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-091330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-091330-
Resurrection Bay-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft 
building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-091330-
Prince William Sound-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-091330-
Port Valdez-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-091330-
Valdez Narrows-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-091330-
Valdez Arm-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt becoming variable wind 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-091330-
Passage Canal-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier before midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-091330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-091330-
Barren Islands East-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
17 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-091330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. Seas 11
ft building to 17 ft after midnight.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-091330-
Chiniak Bay-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-091330-
Marmot Bay-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-091330-
Shelikof Strait-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt in the evening becoming W 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-091330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-091330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain
showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-091330-
Kachemak Bay-
407 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft Seas 13 ft near outer bay.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

463 
FZAK51 PAFC 090429 CCA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

Updated Zone 121

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up
to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091330-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 993 mb low 130 nm west of Kodiak City moves 50 nm southeast of
Seward at 988 mb by Sun morning. The low moves inland near Cordova 
by Sun evening. Another low extends a front into the Gulf through 
Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-091330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-091330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-091330-
Resurrection Bay-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft 
building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-091330-
Prince William Sound-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-091330-
Port Valdez-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-091330-
Valdez Narrows-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-091330-
Valdez Arm-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt becoming variable wind 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-091330-
Passage Canal-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Gusts to 45 kt near Whittier before midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-091330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-091330-
Barren Islands East-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 
17 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-091330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. Seas 11
ft building to 17 ft after midnight.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-091330-
Chiniak Bay-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-091330-
Marmot Bay-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-091330-
Shelikof Strait-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt in the evening becoming W 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-091330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-091330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain
showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-091330-
Kachemak Bay-
829 PM AKDT Sat Oct 8 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft Seas 13 ft near outer bay.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

701 
FZAK51 PAFC 091214
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100030-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 mb low 90 nm northeast of Kodiak City moves to 20 nm west of 
Cape Suckling at 994 mb Sun afternoon then moves inland Sun evening.
A 994 mb low in Bristol Bay Mon morning moves to 50 nm north of 
Middleton Island at 1006 mb Tue morning.

$$

PKZ119-100030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft
building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100030-
Resurrection Bay-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100030-
Prince William Sound-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt during the early morning.
Wind diminishing to 15 kt in the morning then increasing to NW 25 kt
in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100030-
Port Valdez-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100030-
Valdez Narrows-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100030-
Valdez Arm-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to variable 15 kt in the morning.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100030-
Passage Canal-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt during the early morning. 
Wind diminishing to 15 kt in the morning then increasing to W 30 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 55 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 15
ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100030-
Barren Islands East-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100030-
Chiniak Bay-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100030-
Marmot Bay-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100030-
Shelikof Strait-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-100030-
Kachemak Bay-
414 AM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

974 
FZAK51 PAFC 100009
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101330-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 994 mb low 20 nm west of Cape Suckling moves inland through 
this evening. A 992 mb low in Bristol Bay on Mon morning moves to 
50 nm north of Middleton Island at 1003 mb by Tue morning and then
inland through Tue afternoon. Its front reaches the Gulf coast by
Mon evening.

$$

PKZ119-101330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
18 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101330-
Resurrection Bay-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101330-
Prince William Sound-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101330-
Port Valdez-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101330-
Valdez Narrows-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101330-
Valdez Arm-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101330-
Passage Canal-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft
building to 10 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101330-
Barren Islands East-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming 35 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas
19 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101330-
Chiniak Bay-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101330-
Marmot Bay-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101330-
Shelikof Strait-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming variable 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101330-
Kachemak Bay-
409 PM AKDT Sun Oct 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming 10 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
504 PM AKDT Fri Oct 7 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An upper trough is currently digging moving a cross the western
Bering Sea. The jetstream currently extends northeastward from
Japan through southern Yukon Territory.

Closer to the surface, radar imagery shows rain and showers
moving northeastward across the Gulf of Alaska and across
Southcentral Alaska. The bulk of the rain is moving northeastward
across the Gulf into eastern Prince William Sound and points east.
Showers are moving northeastward across Cook Inlet into
Southcentral Alaska.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Guidance is starting to show more run to run consistency in the
track of the next Bering Sea low that is expected to move over
Southwest Alaska. The current track has shifted considerably to
the south compared to 24 hours ago. ETSS guidance is hinting at
the potential for coastal flooding across western Bristol Bay,
however there is still a large variance between ensemble members,
thus confidence is only moderate at best for now. Models also show
agreement with 850mb temperatures falling below zero on Sunday
morning during the last portion of precipitation for Southcentral.
This means there is a chance for snow on the Upper Hillside Sunday
morning and early afternoon. Confidence is low with respect to
amounts as there is a lower confidence to where the exact snow
level will set up.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Conditions will be VFR but may occasionally drop to MVFR overnight
and tomorrow morning. Southeasterly Turnagain Arm winds are
expected to ease tonight and will return tomorrow morning. There
is a low chance that 35 knot gusts will occur tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

The main weather story for today is the front approaching from
the west. This is turning southwesterly flow aloft with a short
wave propagating over Cook Inlet and into the Prince William
SOund areas. Over the Sound it is tapping into a very moist plume
associated with a low well south of the Gulf, but that combination
is bringing in a band of heavy precipitation to the COrdova area
early this morning. This area of rain will not move much today as
it will have its westward motion stopped by the incoming front
from the west. Rain over the Susitna Valley and Cook Inlet areas
is associated with that front, but there is not really a lot of
reinforcing moisture past that initial push until the upper level
trough really digs in later this weekend. therefore, the rain
over for Cook Inlet including the Anchorage area will be early
this morning and then just a chance of rain.

The weather gets a little more interesting as that upper low dig
southeastward and the big push of moisture and lift moves over
Southcentral. That should come in Saturday morning from west-to-
east and bring in widespread rain. The big question will be
whether there will be enough cold air moving in before the rain
stops to change that rain into snow Saturday night into Sunday. It
still looks unlikely for that to occur at sea level especially
with 850 mb temperatures remaining at or above 0C until Sunday
morning. This is due to the way the upper low will track over
Kodiak Island on Saturday night which will keep the warmer air in
place over Southcentral for longer as the warm sector remains over
the mainland areas. By late Saturday night into Sunday morning
the colder air will probably bring snow level down to 1500 ft to
2500 ft across the area. This will mean that places such as
Turnagain Pass, Chickaloon Pass, Broad Pass and the Anchorage
Hillside are likely to see some snow. Places lower in elevation
that than will likely remain rain. Seward is looking at a bit if
rain with somewhere around 3.5 inches of rain from late Friday
night through Sunday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Scattered showers continue through Southwest Alaska. A trough
digging south through the Bering will bring additional
precipitation to beginning late Saturday through and taper off
Sunday. Rainfall totals of around an inch look to be most likely
in the Bristol Bay area and the Middle Kuskokwim Valley with
higher totals near terrain. Cold air and gusty winds will usher
into Southwest behind the trough Saturday night. Overnight lows
this weekend could hit below freezing with the coolest morning
expected to be Monday. Outside of the mountains, initial
precipitation is expected to be rain, but as temperatures cool,
snowflakes could mix. The Middle Kuskokwim Valley may fully
transition to snow Sunday morning and higher elevations should see
some snowfall. Sleetmute could see two inches or less.

A break from the winds and precipitation is possible later on
Sunday, but a strong, storm force low is tracking across the
Bering Sea Monday. Confidence is increasing for the likelihood of
storm surge and potential coastal flood and erosion, possible for
the entire Southwest Coast and a Coastal Flood Watch has been
issued for late Sunday night through Tuesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

A trough will deepen over the Bering through Saturday resulting
in a strengthening surface low pressure system tracking west to
east across the Aleutians. Strong cold air advection on the
backside of the trough will lead to gusty winds late Saturday into
Sunday for the south side of the Alaska Peninsula. Winds
sustained to around storm force is possible with locally higher
gusts through wind prone areas. A trailing ridge will bring a
brief reprieve before a much stronger low enters the western
Bering and strengthens through Monday. Gales may begin for the
Western Aleutians after midnight Saturday into Sunday. Winds on
the southern edge of the storm in the southern Bering, touching
the Aleutian islands, will increase to storm force by Sunday
evening. High end storm force winds appear to track across the
southern Bering through to Bristol Bay through Monday. Winds may
peak near the Pribilofs late Monday morning into the afternoon.

&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through
Friday)...

Expect a parade of lows this forecast period. The latest run of
the GFS/ECMWF/Canadian are reasonably clustered on Tuesday and
consistent with the ensembles. Tuesday cold temperatures will
persist across Southcentral and the snow level is decreasing.
Recent runs of the global models suggest a more southerly track
for the first low to impact Western Alaska veering it towards
Bristol Bay. The models continue to have a highly amplified
pattern. By Wednesday, divergence in solutions has emerged over
the Bering but the Gulf Of Alaska is still in good agreement with
the low there and bringing a tropical fetch towards Southcentral.
By midweek next week there is a high probability of additional
pattern amplification as an upper low dropping southeast out of
NE Russia and moves across the Aleutians. Late this forecast
period another low will move from China into the Northwest Pacific
and towards Attu.

&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Coastal Flood Watch 155 161.
MARINE...Storm Warning 130 132 150.
         Gale Warning 119 120 1 31 137 138 155 160 165 170 171 172 173
         174 177 178 180 351 352
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ED
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...VR
LONG TERM...PS