Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2022

Small Craft Advisory 1021, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 24, 2022

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Dec 24, 2022, 3:13 PM AKST. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 24, 2022, 3:13 PM AKST (00:13 UTC)
Expired
Dec 25, 2022, 3:45 AM AKST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

954 
FZAK51 PAFC 250013
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-251300-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 984mb low 50 nm ESE of Middleton Island dissipates over the 
northern Gulf Sat night. A 960 mb N Pacific low strengthens to 950
mb near 130 nm SSE of Kodiak Sun evening, before weakening to 962
mb 50 nm ENE of Kodiak Mon evening.

$$

PKZ119-251300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft
building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-251300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain with snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-251300-
Resurrection Bay-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain with snow.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-251300-
Prince William Sound-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-251300-
Port Valdez-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-251300-
Valdez Narrows-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-251300-
Valdez Arm-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-251300-
Passage Canal-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Snow.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-251300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-251300-
Barren Islands East-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft building to 22 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-251300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft building to 22 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-251300-
Chiniak Bay-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain with snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ137-251300-
Marmot Bay-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 12 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ138-251300-
Shelikof Strait-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-251300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-251300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-251300-
Kachemak Bay-
313 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$
1 follow-up statement
598 
FZAK51 PAFC 251245
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-260145-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 952 mb N Pacific low strengthens to 949 mb approximately 300 NM
South of Kodiak Sun evening. This low will weaken to 956 mb Mon 
morning and be 50 nm south of Kodiak City morning. This low will 
weaken to 975mb Tuesday morning and be near 100 nm south of 
Seward. 

$$

PKZ119-260145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft building to 21 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 28 
ft subsiding to 22 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-260145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft building to 21 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
25 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25 ft 
subsiding to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-260145-
Resurrection Bay-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-260145-
Prince William Sound-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-260145-
Port Valdez-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-260145-
Valdez Narrows-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-260145-
Valdez Arm-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-260145-
Passage Canal-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt early becoming E wind 10 kt. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow with rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-260145-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-260145-
Barren Islands East-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming NE 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13
ft building to 22 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas
24 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-260145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
22 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, N wind 20 kt becoming W
in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-260145-
Chiniak Bay-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...N wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ137-260145-
Marmot Bay-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 1 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ138-260145-
Shelikof Strait-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-260145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-260145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft building to
6 ft in the afternoon. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-260145-
Kachemak Bay-
345 AM AKST Sun Dec 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 24, 4:45 AM AKST, 10 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 4:45 AM AKST, 10 hours 28 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
445 AM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

At upper levels, a large blocking ridge centered over the Chukchi
Sea extends south over the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands. An
Arctic trough is elongated over most of southern Alaska and
continues to spread a very cold airmass across the Mainland and
eastern Bering and Aleutians.

At the surface, a front extends across the southern Bering and is
decaying as it tracks towards the North Pacific. Rainfall
accompanies the front across the eastern Aleutians. An inverted
trough is spreading mixed precipitation across the Alaska
Peninsula and snow across the southern Bristol Bay area. The rest
of Southwest and Southcentral remain dry and cold this morning.
Gusty northeasterly surface winds persist across portions of
Southcentral but will gradually diminish through today as the
Arctic trough tracks towards the eastern Bering. Blowing snow may
continue to reduce visibility through Thompson Pass and across
portions of the Matanuska Valley this morning. Strong offshore
winds continue along the Kuskokwim Delta and Bristol Bay coasts.
Wind Chill Advisories remain in effect through this morning for
Thompson Pass, the Copper River Basin, and the Middle Kuskokwim
Valley.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are still struggling with the evolution of a surface
trough near Kodiak Island and the Alaska Peninsula. There is
low confidence in the precipitation forecast for Kodiak Island
and across southwest Alaska in the short term. Models are also
struggling with the evolution of a surface low that is currently
centered over the eastern Gulf and is extending its front along
the east Gulf coast. There is general consensus that the low will
bring light snow to the Cordova/Valdez area this afternoon and
evening and then to the eastern Kenai Mountains during the day on
Sunday. There is still some disagreement on whether or not the
rest of Prince William Sound will see much, if any, precipitation
with this system.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will persist through this TAF period. Gusty
northerly winds are expected to gradually decrease through this
afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through
3/Saturday through Monday night)...

Gusty winds will linger across the Matanuska Valley today due to
the tight pressure gradient between the arctic high to east and a
surface low spinning up near Kodiak Island. These winds, however,
are on the decline from yesterday's peak as the upper-level
trough moves to the southwest, away from the region, and the cold
air advection wanes. Winds will also continue across bays and
passes across Prince William Sound, as well as around Valdez and
Thompson Pass, as a second surface low lifts northwest from the
eastern Gulf. This feature will also begin to spread light snow
across the eastern half of Prince William Sound and the Copper
River Basin later today. There is still some uncertainty as to the
western extent of the snow; however, the latest guidance all have
this swath of snow moving over the eastern Kenai Peninsula by
Sunday morning as the low weakens and an easterly flow aloft sets
up ahead of the next frontal system.

The first low near Kodiak Island, will bring snow and occasional
wind gusts across the island today. Snow will likely move in from
the east later this morning, lingering through late Saturday
evening. Expect mesoscale bands of snow with this feature, which
will make it difficult to nail down snowfall accumulation for any
given location. However, there could be several inches of snow
accumulation for locations under the heaviest and most persist
bands.

Moving into Christmas and beyond, attention shifts to a large
deep low tracking into the Gulf from the Northeast Pacific. A
strong occluded front out ahead of the low will reach the Gulf
coast/Kodiak by late Sunday, bringing widespread gale to storm
force winds across the Gulf coastal waters along with moderate to
heavy precipitation along much of the coastal zone. Prevailing low
level easterly flow will lead to upslope flow and enhanced
precipitation amounts across the eastern Kenai Peninsula
Mountains. Much warmer air will also accompany the front leading
to a fairly quick transition from snow to rain for areas along the
coast near sea level. Snow levels for coastal mountains will
quickly rise Sunday afternoon/evening, reaching 1000 feet or
higher. Precipitation will linger along the coast all the way
through Monday. While some moisture will attempt to cross over the
coastal mountains, dry and cold air inland will make it difficult
to saturate the low levels of the atmosphere. As a result, inland
areas of Southcentral look to remain dry. Temperatures will also
moderate by Monday with winds increasing once again through the
Matanuska Valley and down Cook Inlet in response to the low moving
into the western Gulf just east of Kodiak City.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Tuesday)...

Colder temperatures and northerly offshore flow continues across
the region as a strong shortwave originating from an upper-level
trough located across Yukon, Canada continues to advance westward
towards Bristol Bay. As a result, wind chills across the region
will be in the negative double digits for the next several days.
A Wind Chill Advisory is still in effect for the lower Kuskokwim
Valley until this afternoon. A surface low will track across the
Alaska Peninsula today, but models are having a hard time handling
the exact track of the low, and will therefore, impact where the
highest winds, precipitation, and blowing snow concerns will
be. This forecast package reflects snow continuing for the Alaska
Peninsula today before slowly making its way northward towards the
Bristol Bay region for tonight, and then reaching the Kuskokwim
Delta coast for late tonight into Sunday. As the aforementioned
low tracks northeastward along the Chain, northerly winds will
increase region wide. With this, the potential for blowing snow
coincided with reduced visibilities becomes possible along the
Bristol Bay coast and portions of the Alaska Peninsula. As a
result, a Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the Bristol
Bay coast. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches along the
southern Bristol Bay coast and 4 to 6 inches along the northern
Bristol Bay coast are expected. Expect visibilities reduced to as
low as 1/2 mile from Dillingham north and west and from Port
Heiden to King Salmon possible as well.

A strong North Pacific low and its associated front will approach
and impact the region Sunday through Tuesday. This will bring a
rain/snow mix to the Alaska Peninsula, while mostly snow is
expected for the western interior portions of Bristol Bay. Higher
accumulations are forecasted to stay confined to the mountain
areas at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Tuesday)...

Active weather will continue for the Bering and Aleutians for the
next several days. A surface low tracking across the Alaska
Peninsula will today will eventually make its way into the eastern
Bering. Models are having a hard time handling the exact track of
the aforementioned low, but colder air and strong winds are
likely to occur with snow being the main precipitation type for
this system. Depending on where the low tracks and how strong the
winds get, the potential for blowing snow coinciding with reducing
visibilities is possible for some locations. Snow will make its
way to the Pribilofs late tonight into Sunday morning. Strong
winds should move out of the area before the snow hits, but some
blowing snow may still occur.The system then continues westward
through the Bering through Sunday afternoon into the evening
before making a southern turn to the North Pacific while crossing
the central Chain through Monday. Snow amounts appear to be light
for the Aleutians overall, with the highest accumulations confined
to the mountain areas. Be sure to check back in with the forecast
for updates as the evolution of this system becomes more clear.

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through Friday)...

The latest operational model runs and ensemble means seem to be
in a decent agreement with an upper level low over the western
Bering Sea near Adak, and high pressure remaining over Siberia.
While the upper low sits nearly stationary between Tuesday and
Wednesday, a series of North Pacific systems rotates around the
low, moving north-northeastward past the Aleutians and into the
Gulf of Alaska. This will bring an unsettled pattern for all of
the coastal areas of Southcentral heading into late next week.
While specific details still need to ironed out, persistent
onshore flow will favor moderate to heavy precipitation for the
coast, with much of the mainland remaining relatively dry during
the period. A general troughing pattern out west will result in a
wet pattern for much of the Bering Sea and Aleutians. Cold,
northerly flow over the relatively warm waters will also help
generate widespread showers over the Pribilof Islands and along
the Aleutian Chain.

&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Warning: 111.
		 Wind Chill Advisory: 131, 141, 152.
	     Winter Weather Advisory: 161.
MARINE...Storm Warning: 130, 131, 138, 351.
		 Gale Warning: 119, 120, 127, 128, 132, 136, 137, 139, 150,
		 160, 179-181, 185, 352, 411-414.
		 Heavy Freezing Spray: 127, 160, 139, 179-181, 185, 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...NS
LONG TERM...MF

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 24, 9:34 AM AKST, 5 hours 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
934 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 10 ESE KNIK             61.39N 149.48W
12/23/2022                   ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ON LINE. AMONSON ROAD NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION WITH ROBIN DRIVE.

&&

BL
Local storm report, Dec 24, 9:51 AM AKST, 5 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
951 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0737 AM     BLIZZARD         HELEN DRIVE NEAR FELTON 61.59N 149.14W
12/23/2022                   MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROAD CLOSURE. SEVERAL VEHICLES STUCK IN THE
            SNOW DRIFTS AND PUBLIC WORKS IS UNABLE TO
            PLOW.

0845 AM     BLIZZARD         FELTON STREET NEAR FELI 61.60N 149.14W
12/23/2022                   MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FELTON STREET NEAR FELICIA AVENUE IS
            IMPASSABLE (5FT DRIFT 100 FT LONG).
            COTTONWOOD AVENUE NEXT TO THE COURTHOUSE IS
            DRIFTED OVER.

0900 AM     BLIZZARD         49TH STATE STREET       61.60N 149.21W
12/23/2022                   MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   PUBLIC

            ROAD CLOSURE. IMPASSABLE DUE TO SNOW DRIFT.

1000 AM     BLIZZARD         PALMER - SCOTT ROAD     61.61N 149.14W
12/23/2022                   MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   PUBLIC

            SCOTT ROAD IS IMPASSABLE WITH NUMEROUS CARS
            STUCK IN DRIFTS.

1030 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUTTE                   61.54N 149.03W
12/23/2022                   MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   UTILITY COMPANY

            LOST A SECOND SECTION OF TRANSMISSION LINE
            SERVING THE AREAS OF BUTTE AND SUTTON EAST
            TO GLACIER VIEW AND HAVE JUST UNDER 20,000
            MEMBERS WITHOUT POWER.

1058 AM     BLIZZARD         PALMER - BEAVER AVENUE  61.61N 149.10W
12/23/2022                   MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            VEHICLE STUCK AND BLOCKING E BEAVER AVENUE
            AT GULKANA STREET.

1215 PM     BLIZZARD         SEWARD MERIDIAN ROAD    61.57N 149.36W
12/23/2022                   MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   PUBLIC

            HUGE DRIFT BLOCKING INTERSECTION OF SEWARD
            MERIDIAN ROAD AND PARKS HIGHWAY.

1217 PM     BLIZZARD         PALMER - CHUGACH STREET 61.59N 149.11W
12/23/2022                   MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   PUBLIC

            CHUGACH STREET NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
            EAGLE IS DRIFTED AND IMPASSABLE.

1240 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WASILLA - SANDERLING RO 61.61N 149.10W
12/23/2022                   MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ACROSS SANDERLING ROAD AT MILE
            MARKER 10.5.

0130 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG PALMER                  61.60N 149.12W
12/23/2022                   MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   UTILITY COMPANY

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES
            THROUGHOUT PALMER (MATANUSKA ELECTRIC
            ASSOCIATION).

0930 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 10 ESE KNIK             61.39N 149.48W
12/23/2022                   ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ON LINE. AMONSON ROAD NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION WITH ROBIN DRIVE.

&&
Special weather statement, Dec 24, 1:15 PM AKST, 1 hour 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
115 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

AKZ111-251500-
Matanuska Valley-
Including the cities of Palmer, Wasilla, Sutton, and Chickaloon
115 PM AKST Sat Dec 24 2022

...STRONG WINDS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE MATANUSKA VALLEY...

Strong winds will continue through parts of the Matanuska Valley
from Palmer towards Wasilla. Occasional wind gusts of 50 to 60
mph will continue through this evening and decrease overnight with
gusts up 30 mph possible. By mid-day to early afternoon Sunday
the winds are expected to intensify with gusts of 50 to 60 mph
possible. Please continue to take precautions to protect property.
Expect challenging driving conditions where the winds are gusty.
Localized areas may continue to see blowing snow, but this should
not cause any significant visibility issues.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 24, 3:13 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC37 hr
Dec 24, 3:13 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC37 hr
Dec 24, 3:45 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC23 hr
Dec 25, 3:36 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Dec 25, 3:36 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC11 hr
Dec 25, 3:36 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC11 hr
Dec 25, 3:45 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 25, 4:35 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC53 hr
Dec 25, 2:41 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 25, 2:41 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2022Every small craft advisory in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.