Small Craft Advisory 1012, NWS Anchorage, AK

286 
FZAK51 PAFC 221251
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-230200-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front spreads across the Gulf into Fri. Its low tracks 
to 295 nm south of Middleton Island at 980 mb on Fri morning and 
then to 90 nm south of Middleton Island at 975 mb by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ119-230200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River Delta
after midnight. Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray along the coast.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 60 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray along the coast.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ120-230200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-230200-
Resurrection Bay-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-230200-
Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-230200-
Port Valdez-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-230200-
Valdez Narrows-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-230200-
Valdez Arm-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft in the evening building to 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-230200-
Passage Canal-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-230200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray N and W of
Augustine Island. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-230200-
Barren Islands East-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-230200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-230200-
Chiniak Bay-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-230200-
Marmot Bay-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-230200-
Shelikof Strait-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-230200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray N of
Anchor Point.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray N of Anchor
Point.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-230200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas in ice 
free waters 4 ft in the morning building to 8 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-230200-
Kachemak Bay-
351 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

648 
FZAK51 PAFC 221953 CCA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-230200-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front spreads across the Gulf into Fri. Its low tracks 
to 295 nm south of Middleton Island at 980 mb on Fri morning and 
then to 90 nm south of Middleton Island at 975 mb by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ119-230200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River Delta
after midnight. Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray along the coast.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 60 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray along the coast.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ120-230200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-230200-
Resurrection Bay-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-230200-
Prince William Sound-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-230200-
Port Valdez-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-230200-
Valdez Narrows-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-230200-
Valdez Arm-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft in the evening building to 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-230200-
Passage Canal-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-230200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray N and W of
Augustine Island. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-230200-
Barren Islands East-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-230200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-230200-
Chiniak Bay-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-230200-
Marmot Bay-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-230200-
Shelikof Strait-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-230200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray N of
Anchor Point.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray N of Anchor
Point.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-230200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas in ice 
free waters 4 ft in the morning building to 8 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-230200-
Kachemak Bay-
1053 AM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

529 
FZAK51 PAFC 222342
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-231300-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A strong front spreads across the Gulf through Fri. Its low 
tracks to 200 nm south of Middleton Island at 983 mb on Fri 
afternoon and then to 78 nm south of Seward at 980 mb by Sat 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-231300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 20 ft. Freezing spray near the Copper River Delta.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray along the coast.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Gusts to 60 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray along the coast. Snow.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-231300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt, except NE 30 kt near the coast. 
Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray 
along the coast.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-231300-
Resurrection Bay-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 3 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-231300-
Prince William Sound-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Freezing spray 
after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-231300-
Port Valdez-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft 
after midnight. Freezing spray after midnight.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-231300-
Valdez Narrows-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 45 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-231300-
Valdez Arm-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-231300-
Passage Canal-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-231300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-231300-
Barren Islands East-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-231300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 22 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-231300-
Chiniak Bay-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-231300-
Marmot Bay-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-231300-
Shelikof Strait-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-231300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-231300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy 
freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-231300-
Kachemak Bay-
242 PM AKST Thu Dec 22 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
533 AM AKST Wed Dec 21 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Cold and clear conditions continue to blanket much of the
southern Mainland as high pressure lingers overhead and cold
Arctic air filters into the valleys. For Southcentral, the
coldest temperatures persist across portions of the Copper River
Basin and Mat-Su Valleys (-20s to -40s). Patchy fog and low
stratus developed overnight across the Anchorage area south to the
northwestern Kenai Peninsula. Light snowfall has started for the
western Chugach and eastern Kenai Mountains this morning as a
result of a weakening low pressure system near Prince William
Sound.

For Southwest Alaska, not only are conditions clear and cold, but
they are very windy, too, especially along the coast. The already
frigid temperatures coupled with gusty northeasterly offshore
winds is creating very cold wind chills for the Kuskokwim Delta,
as low as 45 below zero. Thus, a Wind Chill Advisory remains in
effect until late this morning for the Kuskokwim Delta.

Out west, a stationary front drapes across much of the domain,
specifically from the eastern Aleutians northwest to the western
Bering. Strong and widespread easterly winds accompany the front,
where gusts to storm-force are expected. Rain is occurring for the
eastern Aleutians, while the Pribilof Islands are getting snow
with the cooler temperatures.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are coming into better agreement with the synoptic pattern
expected for the next few days. There is consensus for a front to
lift into the southern Gulf by this evening and then remain
nearly stationary over the entire Gulf until the end of the work
week. The associated low center is generally advertised to reach
the southern Gulf by Friday morning, however model agreement
begins to diverge beyond this time in regards to the exact track
and placement of the low. Out west, there is good agreement that
the large stationary front will begin to break down late Thursday
into Friday as a North Pacific surface low elongates and tracks
into the southern Bering.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Patchy fog and low stratus may continue to move in and out
of the Anchorage terminal area through the morning. VFR
conditions and light northerly winds will otherwise persist
outside of any periods of low stratus that manage to move back
over the terminal.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Today through Friday)...

A ridge to the north and another ridge across the Gulf with a
trough of low pressure that is shearing apart will bring mostly
clear skies and below normal temperatures through Friday. Patchy
areas of fog and stratus are expected through the morning around
Anchorage and along and near the Knik Arm as well as parts of the
eastern Kenai Peninsula to near Soldotna. Lingering mid level
clouds across the Copper River Basin have kept temperatures a bit
warmer than past couple of night, but these clouds are expected to
clear out later this morning. A shortwave will move southward
today a may slightly increase the northerly winds especially near
Valdez, Thompson Pass and the Copper River Delta where the best
energy will be albeit fairly weak.

Our attention then turns to a frontal system moving into the
southern Gulf and Kodiak Island later today. This will bring a
quick shot of snow before changing to rain in most populated
areas including Kodiak City where an inch or two of snowfall is
expected. Light snow will also push into the eastern Kenai
Peninsula where a couple inches of snow are possible in populated
areas. Winds will also increase significantly with gales quickly
ramping up to high end gales and pockets of storm force winds
across the southern Gulf, Shelikof Strait, and the Barren Islands.
Even pockets of hurricane force wind gusts are possible in these
areas but are expected to be short lived. This front will stall
across the southern Gulf and slowly weaken late Thursday into
Friday with the winds slowly decreasing.

Finally, another stronger shortwave will move towards
Southcentral Thursday night and Friday which will bring colder air
towards the Copper River Basin along with a tightening pressure
gradient between a surface high across northern Alaska and a low
pressure system across the southern Gulf. These forces will
combine and may produce strong winds across the Matanuska Valley
with winds gusts up to 60 mph beginning Thursday night and
continuing into Friday. Winds may also increase across Thompson
Pass and Valdez where gust of 55 to 65 mph are possible. There is
a chance that these winds could reach high wind criteria of 75
mph, however confidence is low right now. Stay tuned as we refine
the forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Saturday)...

An upper-level low located north of Bethel continues to track
northwestward across the region today. Simultaneously a ridge of
high pressure will be pushed back over Southwest as a North
Pacific low tracks towards the eastern Aleutians. This will
result in warmer temperatures across the region and a mix of rain
and snow showers over the Alaska Peninsula this afternoon into
Thursday morning. A chance of light snow showers is possible for
the Bristol Bay and Kuskokwim Delta coasts as the low moves
northward into the eastern Bering Sea Thursday afternoon and
evening. Cooler temperatures will work their way back into the
region for Friday, but will mostly stay in the single digit
positives for day-time highs and then drop to single digit
negatives for night-time lows as cloud cover will help moderate
temperatures. The exception will be the Kuskokwim Valley where
night-time lows could drop to the double digit negatives. Drier
weather and offshore flow will continue across the region through
Saturday, except along portions of the Alaska Peninsula as
easterly to southeasterly flow could cause additional rain showers
for upslope locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Saturday)...

An active weather pattern will persist through the forecast
period. A stationary front associated with a low in the western
Bering, is currently extending from the eastern Aleutians
northwest through the central Bering. This front is aiding in
tightening the pressure gradient between the low pressure in the
western Bering and the high pressure located over Mainland Alaska,
resulting in gusty conditions throughout the central Bering to
the northwest Bering. Widespread gales are located in the Bering
along with a southeast to northwest oriented belt of storm force
winds that exists over the central Bering. Storm force winds also
develop on the Bering and Pacific sides of the Alaska Peninsula
tonight into Thursday morning as a North Pacific low and its
associated front both lift northward and track into the region.
Rain should be the main precipitation type with this system with
the possibility of a rain/snow mix as well in some locations. One
thing to note is that the Pribilof Islands could have enough
dynamic cooling from higher precipitation intensity to produce a
period of snow for tonight into early Thursday and then switch
back over to a rain/snow mix. Winds will start to relax heading
into the weekend with the continued chance of precipitation across
the region as multiple systems traverse through the Bering.

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Saturday through
Tuesday)...

Overall synoptic pattern appears to be in agreement, but the
details of the forecast could have quite a different result. In
the upper levels, an upper trough elongates as it dips southwest
across the state. This low appears to cut off and continue
westward where a broad area of troughing exists this weekend
through Tuesday. This offshore motion would help with advecting
cooler air out of the interior, especially this weekend.
Temperatures below normal could linger into next week with this
flow regime. Meanwhile, the weather becomes more active in the
Gulf with southeasterly flow and multiple easterly waves passing
along the coast. The coldest temperatures over Southcentral will
be this weekend, followed by a rebound to more seasonable
temperatures for the week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND CHILL ADVISORY: 155.
		 FLOOD WARNING: 185.
MARINE...STORM WARNING: 130-132, 138, 150, 155, 160, 165, 179-181,
						185, 351, 352, 411, 412, 414
		 GALE WARNING: 119, 120, 136, 137, 139, 140, 170-172, 413.
		 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY: 130, 139, 140, 160, 180, 181, 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...NS
LONG TERM...VR