Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2022
Gale Warning 95, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 26, 2022, 3:33 AM AKST. It was in force for 35 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 26, 2022, 3:33 AM AKST (12:33 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 27, 2022, 2:55 PM AKST
- In force
- 35 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
701 FZAK51 PAFC 261233 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-270115- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front associated with a North Pacific low moves into the southern Gulf early this morning and continues to the North Gulf Coast through Thu afternoon. $$ PKZ119-270115- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Near the coast, E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ120-270115- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ121-270115- Resurrection Bay- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow with rain. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ125-270115- Prince William Sound- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-270115- Port Valdez- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-270115- Valdez Narrows- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-270115- Valdez Arm- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-270115- Passage Canal- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-270115- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ131-270115- Barren Islands East- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow. .THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ132-270115- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain with snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ136-270115- Chiniak Bay- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain with snow. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-270115- Marmot Bay- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain with snow. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ138-270115- Shelikof Strait- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow. .THU...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ139-270115- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ140-270115- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Freezing spray. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Freezing spray. Snow. .THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. .SAT...N wind 20 kt. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. $$ PKZ141-270115- Kachemak Bay- 333 AM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
332 FZAK51 PAFC 270103 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-271400- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 986 mb North Pacific low moves to 50 nm South of Homer at 990 mb for Fri afternoon. Its front extends across the Northern Gulf and trails into the North Pacific through Fri afternoon. $$ PKZ119-271400- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain. .THU...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Near the coast, E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-271400- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...NE wind 35 kt decreasing to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ121-271400- Resurrection Bay- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow with rain. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ125-271400- Prince William Sound- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-271400- Port Valdez- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-271400- Valdez Narrows- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-271400- Valdez Arm- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-271400- Passage Canal- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-271400- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt early increasing to 40 kt. Seas 9 ft early building to 14 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ131-271400- Barren Islands East- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ132-271400- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ136-271400- Chiniak Bay- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-271400- Marmot Bay- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain with snow. .THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-271400- Shelikof Strait- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow. .THU...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ139-271400- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-271400- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. $$ PKZ141-271400- Kachemak Bay- 403 PM AKST Wed Jan 26 2022 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Inner bay, seas 3 ft. Outer bay, seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Inner bay, seas 3 ft. Outer bay, seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Inner bay, seas 2 ft. Outer bay, seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Snow. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
853 FZAK51 PAFC 271221 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-280100- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 984 mb North Pacific low 280 nm south of Kodiak moves to 50 nm Southeast of Homer at 988 mb by Fri afternoon. Its front extends across the Northern Gulf and trails into the North Pacific through Fri afternoon. $$ PKZ119-280100- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Near the coast, E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ120-280100- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ121-280100- Resurrection Bay- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ125-280100- Prince William Sound- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-280100- Port Valdez- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 .TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-280100- Valdez Narrows- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-280100- Valdez Arm- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-280100- Passage Canal- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 .TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-280100- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ131-280100- Barren Islands East- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. .FRI...N wind 30 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ132-280100- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ136-280100- Chiniak Bay- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ137-280100- Marmot Bay- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Snow. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ138-280100- Shelikof Strait- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY... .TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ139-280100- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the morning. Snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the morning. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-280100- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. $$ PKZ141-280100- Kachemak Bay- 321 AM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
537 FZAK51 PAFC 272355 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-281300- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 985 mb low 320 nm South of Seward moves to 55 nm South of Homer at 988 mb Fri afternoon, then shifts to 155 nm South of Cordova at 996 mb for Sat afternoon. Its front extends across the Northern Gulf and trails into the North Pacific through Sat afternoon. $$ PKZ119-281300- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ120-281300- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ121-281300- Resurrection Bay- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt early increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Snow. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-281300- Prince William Sound- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain with snow. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-281300- Port Valdez- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-281300- Valdez Narrows- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-281300- Valdez Arm- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-281300- Passage Canal- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-281300- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow. .FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ131-281300- Barren Islands East- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ132-281300- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ136-281300- Chiniak Bay- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ137-281300- Marmot Bay- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ138-281300- Shelikof Strait- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ139-281300- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray near ice edge. Snow. .FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-281300- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. $$ PKZ141-281300- Kachemak Bay- 255 PM AKST Thu Jan 27 2022 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 25, 4:33 PM AKST, 11 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 25, 4:33 PM AKST, 11 hours before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
433 PM AKST Tue Jan 25 2022
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A shortwave trough and associated weak surface low continue to
push east across Prince William Sound and the Copper River Basin
this afternoon. As the upper-level wave departs, light snow is
coming to an end across the Anchorage Bowl and Mat-Su Valleys.
The snow this morning brought a general 2 to 4 inches to the
Anchorage area with a few localized higher amounts across the
Upper Hillside. Elsewhere, snow continues for Valdez with rain
for Cordova, where a persistent southerly flow is keeping a deep
enough column of warm air near the surface to allow for liquid
precipitation. Temperatures across Southcentral are generally in
the lower 30s. However, temperatures across the northern Susitna
Valley and Copper River Basin are beginning to fall into the mid
20s, a sign that colder air is advecting south in the wake of the
aforementioned trough.
Farther west, a weak upper-level wave and surface trough are
producing a few snow showers across the Kuskokwim Delta while a
ridge builds across the eastern Bering. With a cold dome of high
pressure in place over the eastern Bering, temperatures across the
Aleutian Chain have been quite chilly, with locations from Cold
Bay to Adak and Saint Paul remaining in the teens this afternoon.
For the western Bering, temperatures are climbing into the mid
30s, as southeasterly winds increase ahead of a front associated
with a potent surface low south of Attu.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are coming into better agreement with what looks to be the
development of a highly amplified blocking pattern beginning
midweek. Even with guidance all showing the establishment of an
omega block from eastern Russia to the Gulf of Alaska, there is
still a fair bit of uncertainty as to how various upper-level
waves on the downstream side of the block interact. The biggest
challenge is how a developing upper-level polar low over interior
Southwest Alaska interacts with a second low lifting north into
the Gulf as the former drops south over the AKPen. Guidance is
keying in on an inverted surface trough over the northern Gulf
with plenty of mid-level moisture streaming into the Southcentral
coast as colder air advects over the region from interior Alaska.
Thus, guidance is in good agreement that there will be widespread
precipitation, mainly in the form of snow, across coastal
Southcentral and over Cook Inlet. The placement and track of
these features, however, will impact where the bands of heaviest
precipitation set up. Yesterday, the GFS was the farthest west
solution, placing the best dynamics over Cook Inlet, while other
guidance was farther east. Today, the 12z runs have trended more
to the west. Thus, the NAM/GEM/EC have increased snow potential
across Cook Inlet while the GFS now has the best dynamics for
heavier snow amounts west of the population centers. While
precipitation looks likely along the coast, any shift in the
placement of the upper-level feature will have a significant
impact on how much snow falls from Homer to Talkeetna Thursday
into Friday.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...Largely expect VFR conditions to persist. However, MVFR
ceilings could linger through this evening, with low clouds still
in the vicinity. As is often the case after a precipitation event
and with partial clearing, low clouds and fog could form in
northern Cook Inlet tonight as the atmosphere stabilizes. However,
ridging aloft looks fairly weak, so if low clouds/vis do develop
expect it will be localized. Still, will have to keep a watch out
for the potential for IFR/LIFR conditions in vicinity of the
terminal overnight into Wednesday morning. Northerly flow will
then increase during the day, so anything that forms would
quickly be eroded.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Friday)...
Skies are clearing from west to east this afternoon as a more
offshore synoptic flow pattern develops. Temperatures across
Southcentral continue to gradually decrease as cold upper level
air moves in from the west and southwest and mixes down to the
lower levels. A broad upper level ridge over the Gulf is located
in tandem with lingering low level moisture from the previous
system. Thus, areas of patchy fog are possible early Wednesday
morning for Anchorage and Cook Inlet stretching northeast through
Palmer, as well as the Copper River Basin. The calm before the
next storm won't last very long, because come Wednesday and
Wednesday night, a North Pacific surface low is going to lift
northward into the Gulf, spreading precipitation to Kodiak Island
and Southcentral. Low pressure across the Gulf and higher pressure
inland will set up a tighter pressure gradient and induce northerly
surface flow along the coast. At the same time, southerly upper
level flow over the Gulf will work against (and possibly overtake)
the northerly surface flow. If this happens, then inland
Southcentral could see greater snow accumulation beginning
Wednesday night or Thursday. The exact location, timing and amount
of snow will depend on how the system continues to progress.
Blowing snow is possible for Thompson Pass from Wednesday night
through Friday night with this system.
The eastern coast of Kodiak Island will start to see precipitation
early Wednesday morning. Precipitation is expected to start off
as snow, but a transition to rain or rain/snow may occur sometime
late Wednesday. The exact timing of this transition is still
uncertain. Regardless, accumulating snow is expected in Kodiak
City.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Friday)...
As high pressure begins to take hold over the area, clear skies
and colder conditions will occur. Offshore winds will increase on
Thursday due to the pressure gradient tightening between a North
Pacific low approaching the southern Gulf and an Arctic high
pressure centered near the Bering strait. These winds, combined
with cold temperatures, could coincide to produce bitterly cold
wind chills in the -20F to -30F range, especially across the
Kuskokwim Delta on Thursday morning. As cold air advection takes
place and thermal gradients tighten, gap winds near the Alaska
Peninsula and Bristol Bay will increase Friday evening.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Friday)...
A broad upper-level trough is draped over the western Bering. A
strong North Pacific low continues to deepen as it stays on track
toward the western Aleutians. It's frontal axis will drive winds
to storm force into areas west of Adak, with gusts near Hurricane
force possible Wednesday morning. A band of rain and snow will
move north with the front, with temperatures warming above freezing.
The parent low pressure will slowly weaken as it moves into the
western Bering on Thursday. However, gusty gale to storm force
winds and periods of rain will continue over much of the western
Bering/Aleutians near the low through Thursday afternoon. A polar
low dropping south over Southwest Alaska, will bring stronger
winds into the eastern Bering with heavy freezing spray returning
near the ice edge and strong gap winds through the Alaska Peninsula
Friday.
&&
.MARINE (Days 3 through 5 - Friday through Sunday)...
Gulf of Alaska:
A North Pacific low lifting northward in the Gulf will bring
northwesterly gale force winds from Cook Inlet through Shelikof
Strait from Friday to Saturday afternoon. As the low weakens and
exits out of the Gulf Saturday evening, expect winds less than
35 kts and seas less than 20 ft. Forecast confidence is moderate
to high.
Bering Sea/Aleutians:
A low near the Kamchatka Peninsula will bring localized gale
force winds and elevated seas above 20 ft in the northwestern
Bering Sea on Friday morning.
A strong North Pacific low with an associated front will approach
the southern Bering Sea early Friday afternoon. Widespread gales
with a potential of storm force gusts and elevated seas above 20
ft will extend from the Western Aleutians to the northern Bering
Sea through Saturday. Forecast confidence is moderate to high with
most of the active weather staying west of the Pribilof Islands
and Central Aleutians.
Late Saturday night into Sunday, another North Pacific low will
approach the southern Bering Sea. There is a potential for
another round of gales and elevated seas extending across the same
regions and possibly in the Central Aleutians for the rest of day
Sunday. However, there is model uncertainty with the overall track,
position, and strength associated with this system. Therefore,
forecast confidence is low.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Saturday through Tuesday)...
Looking ahead in the extended forecast, the latest operational
model solutions seem decently clustered with the synoptic scale
features in the short term, but begin to diverge toward the end of
the period. Synoptically, an omega blocking pattern on Saturday
will be positioned over the western Alaska region with the
amplified ridge axis over the eastern Bering Sea. Downstream of
the ridge, a surface low interacting with a cold polar trough in
the Gulf will keep unsettled conditions for Southcentral with
moderate to heavy precipitation.
As the low exits out of the area, precipitation will taper off
from north to south by late Saturday. Benign conditions with
temperatures near to or below normal will prevail for the southern
mainland as the aforementioned ridge shifts over the state. From
Sunday onward, model spread has increased significantly with the
breakdown of the omega ridge as well as struggling with small to
mid scale embedded systems and interactions. Depending on
consistency of future models runs, unsettled weather may return
for the entire southern state as early as Monday as a storm
system with a good moisture fetch lifts northward into the Gulf.
Out west, a series of deep Pacific lows will move north across
the Western Aleutians, bringing periods of gusty winds, rain/snow
mix, and elevated seas at times into the northern Bering Sea.
Although there is uncertainty in placement, strength, and timing
with these systems, a wet pattern will be the main theme as we
head into the weekend. Some of the precipitation and wind may
extend across the Pribilof Islands, the Central/Eastern Aleutians,
and AKPEN for early next week.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Storm Warning 177 178.
Gale Warning 130 132 138 150 155 175 176 185.
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 160 165 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...NS
MARINE/LONG TERM...MFThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 3:06 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 6 days | |
| Jan 25, 3:06 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Jan 25, 3:06 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 6 days | |
| Jan 25, 3:41 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Jan 26, 3:29 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 5 days | |
| Jan 26, 3:33 AM AKST | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Jan 26, 3:33 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 6 days | |
| Jan 26, 3:33 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 48 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.