Gale Warning 74, NWS Anchorage, AK

948 
FZAK52 PAFC 171253
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-180200-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 968 mb low 320 nm south of Attu moves to 470 nm southwest of 
Attu at 977 mb Tue morning and then dissipates Tue afternoon. Its
front extends over the southern Bering through Tue afternoon. A second
989 mb North Pacific low moves to 340 nm southeast of Attu at 971 mb
Mon night and then continues to 500 nm southwest of Attu at 976 mb by
Tue night. Its front reinforces the previous front through Tue night.

$$

PKZ150-180200-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ155-180200-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ160-180200-
Bristol Bay-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ165-180200-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-180200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ171-180200-
Unalaska Bay-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-180200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-180200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ174-180200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ175-180200-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-180200-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 
ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ177-180200-
Adak to Kiska-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft building to 18 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-180200-
Kiska to Attu-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft Bering side...15 ft Pac side. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-180200-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-180200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ181-180200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ185-180200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
353 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 45 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 18 ft. Heavy
freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 45 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 19 ft. Heavy 
freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 17 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 15 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.

$$

226 
FZAK52 PAFC 180100
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-181415-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 973 mb low 285 nm South of Attu and a 974 mb low 335 nm South 
of Kiska merge to form a 983 mb low 645 nm Southwest of Attu for 
Wed afternoon. Its front stalls across the Central Bering through 
Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-181415-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ155-181415-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-181415-
Bristol Bay-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ165-181415-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-181415-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10
kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ171-181415-
Unalaska Bay-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ172-181415-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-181415-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ174-181415-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ175-181415-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-181415-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ177-181415-
Adak to Kiska-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ178-181415-
Kiska to Attu-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Bering side, seas 25 ft. Pacific side, 
seas 21 ft subsiding to 15 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-181415-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray N of Saint Paul. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-181415-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.WED...N wind 20 kt.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.THU...N wind 30 kt.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ181-181415-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.THU...N wind 30 kt.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ185-181415-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
400 PM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 22 ft. Heavy 
freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 21 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 35 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 17 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.

$$

269 
FZAK52 PAFC 181255
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-190200-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 975 mb low 390 nm southwest of Attu moves further southwest into
the North Pacific at 975 mb Tue afternoon. Another 971 mb low 200 nm
south of Amchitka moves to 325 nm southwest of Attu at 972 mb and merges
with the previous 975 mb low to form a 971 mb low Tue evening. The low
continues moving southwest into the North Pacific through Wed night.
Its front stalls across the Southern Bering through Wed night.

$$

PKZ150-190200-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ155-190200-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ160-190200-
Bristol Bay-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.THU...E wind 30 kt.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ165-190200-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-190200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-190200-
Unalaska Bay-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain
and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-190200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-190200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-190200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ175-190200-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-190200-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-190200-
Adak to Kiska-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Pac side, E wind 20 kt becoming variable 10
kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft Bering side...9 ft Pac side. Rain.
.WED...E wind 25 kt Bering side...variable 10 kt Pac side. Seas
16 ft Bering side...8 ft Pac side.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ178-190200-
Kiska to Attu-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Bering side, seas 22 ft building to 28 ft
in the afternoon. Pac side, seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Bering Side, E wind 40 kt. Pac side, E wind 40 kt 
diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 26 ft Bering side...19 ft 
Pac side. Rain.
.WED...Bering side, NE wind 40 kt. Pac side, NE wind 20 kt. Seas 26 
ft Bering side... 13 ft Pac side. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-190200-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-190200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.WED...N wind 20 kt.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.THU...N wind 30 kt.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ181-190200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.WED...N wind 25 kt.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.THU...N wind 25 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ185-190200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
355 AM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 21 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt S of Saint Matthew Island... NE 25 kt N of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 17 ft. Heavy freezing 
spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 16 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.

$$

273 
FZAK52 PAFC 190054
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-191415-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A front across the Bering dissipates by Thu morning. A 971 mb low
130 nm south of Attu moves to 570 nm southwest of Attu at 990 mb for
Thu afternoon. Its front extends over the Aleutians through Thu 
afternoon. A 985 mb North Pacific low moves to 270 nm south of 
Nikolski at 968 mb by Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-191415-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ155-191415-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ160-191415-
Bristol Bay-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.WED...N wind 15 kt becoming NW in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ165-191415-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-191415-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-191415-
Unalaska Bay-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-191415-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-191415-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ174-191415-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-191415-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-191415-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.WED...Variable less than wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ177-191415-
Adak to Kiska-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ178-191415-
Kiska to Attu-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Bering side, seas 25 ft. Pacific side, seas
20 ft subsiding to 14 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 40 kt Bering side...E 20 kt Pacific side. Seas 25 ft
Bering side...14 ft Pacific side. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft Bering side...14 ft Pacific
side. Rain and snow.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-191415-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray N of Saint
Paul.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-191415-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.WED...N wind 20 kt.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.THU...N wind 20 kt.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ181-191415-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt.
.WED...N wind 25 kt.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.THU...N wind 15 kt.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ185-191415-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
354 PM AKST Tue Jan 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 35 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 17 ft. Heavy 
freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
506 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An upper level low is currently moving across Southcentral with
the center moving across the northern Kenai Peninsula this morning.
This upper level low was responsible for bringing much of
Southcentral the fresh snowfall yesterday. NWS Anchorage recorded
a snowfall of 2.5" from this past event bringing the snow depth up
to 16". Overall, from the storm reports we received it looks like
there was anywhere from 1 to 2 inches on the northern Kenai
Peninsula near Kenai/Soldotna to Sterling, 2 to 4 inches across
the Anchorage Bowl with 3 to 6 inches on the Anchorage Hillside
and Eagle River. Similar amounts to the Anchorage Hillside and
Eagle River were generally reported for the Matanuska Valley from
this event. All of the snow has virtually come to an end across
the Kenai Peninsula and Anchorage Bowl with some partial clearing
for these areas. Talkeetna and Skwentna in the Susitna Valley as
well as Palmer to Wasilla were still reporting some light snow
overnight as the upper level low continues moving eastward. Snow
was also falling across eastern Prince William Sound including
Valdez for much of the night. Cordova was mostly rain for much of
the event but observations after midnight show a rain/snow mix
falling. Temperatures area-wide are once again mostly in the 20s
with a few pockets of low 30s. Copper River Basin remains the cold
spot with temperatures ranging from single numbers to as high as
the upper teens near Paxson, though, Gulkana has a stratus deck
nearby but temperatures were still staying below zero. Kodiak was
observing mostly clear skies and temperatures around freezing.

Southwest Alaska remains fairly quiet with some snow showers
continuing mainly across the Lower Kuskokwim Valley as the
upper level low continues transiting eastward. Bethel was
reporting some fog though this has had not impact on the
visibility as of this writing. Temperatures across Southwest
mostly range from teens to 20s with the 20s more so over Bristol
Bay and south along the Alaska Peninsula.

A storm force low continues spinning south of the Aleutian Chain
this morning with its front slowly moving northward through the
Bering. Shemya observed 55 knot winds yesterday with the front as
it pushed through. The front is now bringing Dutch Harbor gusty
southeasterlies this morning with easterly winds increasing for
the Pribilofs as the front approaches. Cold Bay was also observing
increasing southeasterly winds this morning of 15 to 25 kts so
far. Heavy freezing spray continues along the ice edge southwest
of Saint Matthew Island as winds remain northeasterly.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in overall great synoptic agreement out through Sun
night. Models begin to diverge on an upper level shortwave that
will be moving northward from the North Pacific towards the
Central Aleutians late Sunday night and into Monday morning. The
NAM seems to be the outlier on this upper level shortwave showing
a more concentric and closed off upper level low while the
GFS/Canadian-NH/EC keep it an open wave/open upper level trough as
it moves northward into the Bering. They also disagree on the
placement and timing of the evolution of this shortwave as it
moves eastward through Tuesday. Therefore, this will have sensible
weather impacts as it moves along the Eastern Aleutians to the
Alaska Peninsula. Also, believe it or not, models are in better
agreement on a secondary upper level shortwave that will round the
base of the trough Monday through Monday night. At the surface,
models are also in decent agreement on a surface low developing
and moving northwestward to somewhere south of Shemya Tue morning.
Models all agree that this upper level shortwave will
absorb/phase with the energy of the current storm system spinning
there but disagree on the timing with how fast this process will
occur. For Southcentral, while model guidance mostly agrees on the
upper level pattern, determining how clear areas will get or if
there will be fog/low stratus were the forecast challenges this
forecast package. In turn, this will impact the temperature
forecast as well.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions are expected to persist through around
17/02z. After 17/02z, expecting ceilings to lower as the afternoon
progresses coming down to IFR ceilings. Expecting IFR ceilings for
for most of the overnight time frame, though, LIFR ceilings are
possible over the terminal. Expecting any LIFR/IFR ceilings to
slowly rise Monday morning back to VFR conditions, though, this
may be a slow progression. Light southerly winds will become
northerly this afternoon and remain northerly through the
remainder of the TAF package.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Today
through Tuesday night)...

A large upper level low sitting over Southcentral this morning
will exit slowly eastward through the day. Some snow showers
will linger through the morning hours, but expect little or no
additional accumulation. Offshore flow, subsidence, and tight
pressure gradients on the back side of the low will lead to some
localized gap winds along the coast, namely for Seward/Resurrection
Bay, Whittier/Passage Canal, and the Valdez coastal waters. These
winds will be short-lived, dying down tonight as a ridge of high
pressure builds over Southcentral and the Gulf.

Cooler temperatures will settle in across the region today through
tonight. However, areas of low clouds will persist and limit how
much temperatures drop. The most likely areas for low clouds to
settle in include northern Cook Inlet, northwestern Kenai
Peninsula, Anchorage, and the southern Mat-Su. Weak northwest
flow behind the exiting low will push remaining low level
moisture/clouds up against the west side of the mountains.
Secondarily, expect low clouds in the Copper River Basin, where
partial clearing has already led to some areas of stratus early
this morning. As the upper ridge builds overhead tonight,
subsidence aloft will increase leading to increasing stability
in the low levels. Thus, would expect areas of fog to form,
especially where there are light winds and breaks in the clouds.
Once again, the northern Cook Inlet region and Anchorage area
seems the most likely to see fog. There won't be any big changes
to the atmosphere until Tuesday, so fog and low clouds will
linger.

The upper level ridge will gradually shift eastward Monday night
through Tuesday night, allowing systems to approach from the
south and west. Initially, these features look pretty weak. While
confidence is not high, it looks like a series of short-waves will
track across the western Gulf/Kodiak Island Monday night-Tuesday
and continue into Southcentral Tuesday afternoon-Tuesday night.
Light snow is likely as these move through. A warm front moving
up from the Pacific will lead to a changeover to rain on Kodiak
Island sometime Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2: Today through
Monday night)...

A lobe of enhanced vorticity extending off an elongated upper-
level low moving across Southcentral continues to support light
snow showers over the Lower Kuskokwim Valley this morning. Snow
will taper off through the morning hours as the upper low exits
eastward and is replaced by a shortwave ridge. Southwest Alaska
begins to dry out, at least in terms of precipitation, as this
ridging overspreads the region today. Low stratus will continue to
linger, with a few pockets of clearer skies, before a front
moving north from the Bering begins to impinge on the Southwest
coast on Sunday night. Only a light dusting of snow is now
expected from this system, with the heaviest accumulations, around
half an inch, expected along the Kuskokwim Delta coast. Snow
amounts decrease quickly to zero inland.

Monday night into Tuesday, another front begins to push
northward across the eastern Bering into Southwest Alaska. A
compact upper-level low drives northward in tandem with the
front, lending potential for this next round of snow to be more
impactful.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2: Today
through Monday night)...

A strong frontal system connected to a North Pacific low will
continue to be the main weather driver for the Bering and
Aleutians through the short term. Gales arc along the front north
of the Aleutians this morning, with a swath of storm force winds
north of Attu. The Pribilofs also see snow today as the front
pushes north, turning to rain tonight as precipitation begins to
taper off. Various weak lows race northward across the Aleutians
as they circle the larger, deeper low center off the western
Aleutians, inducing intermittent periods of gustier winds and rain
showers. Rain and gusty southerly winds push into the eastern
Aleutians later this morning and reach the AKPEN by tomorrow
morning. Throughout the forecast period, a persistent swath of
northeasterly gales is present over the north and western Bering
as it produces heavy freezing spray conditions.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5 - Tuesday through Thursday)...

Gulf of Alaska...High pressure moves onshore over Southeast
Alaska for Wednesday. A well developed low enters the Western Gulf
Wednesday and moves to the North Gulf Coast by Thursday. Its
front extends across the Gulf through Thursday. Forecast
confidence is good. Gusty winds spread over the Gulf, increasing
to Easterly gales Wednesday, diminishing Thursday. Seas build to
15 feet Wednesday, subsiding Thursday.

Aleutians / Bering...A well developed low South of Amchitka
retrogresses South of Kamchatka for Thursday. Forecast confidence
is mixed with the low's movement. Broad low pressure remains in
place South of the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula through
Thursday. Arctic high pressure holds over the Russian Far East.
Widespread gales extend across the Central and Western Aleutians
and Bering. Seas to 22 feet, subsiding from East to West by
Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Wednesday through
Saturday)...

Latest model guidance is in reasonable agreement with the
evolution and progression of synoptic scale features into early
next week. However, models begin to diverge significantly with the
specific details towards the end of the period. For most of the
southern mainland, high pressure will give way to a brief period
of dry weather and seasonal temperatures before a wet pattern
returns Wednesday and onward. There is decent consistency for a
North Pacific low tracking south of the Alaska Peninsula into or
near the Gulf, with another low following closely behind later
next week. Models are keying in on a frontal boundary extending
from the center of the first North Pacific low, which will bring
some warmer air, precipitation, and wind from Kodiak Island
northward to the southern mainland. If this scenario materializes,
there is a potential that a barrier jet may develop along the
northern Gulf coast from Prince William Sound to the Copper River
Delta area. Uncertainty emerges in the track, position, and timing
of these systems. The GFS continues to be the wettest compared to
the other drier solutions. Out west, a broad trough will settle
just south of the Aleutians while weak, embedded shortwaves pivot
around the eastern periphery of the aforementioned trough. This
will bring a wintry mix of rain/snow and gusty winds along the
southern portion of the Aleutians and into the Bering Sea.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Storm Warning 411 Gale Warning 412 413 170 172 173 178
185 Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 411 412 414 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MV
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CQ
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/MF