Gale Warning 707, NWS Anchorage, AK

447 
FZAK51 PAFC 090041
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091345-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 999 mb low 170 nm South of Kodiak City moves to 30 nm East of 
Kodiak City at 990 mb for Midday Wednesday, then shifts to 145 nm 
South of Icy Cape at 1005 mb by Thursday afternoon. Its front moves 
across the Gulf through Thursday afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-091345-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Near the
coast, E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-091345-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-091345-
Resurrection Bay-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain and snow.
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers and snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-091345-
Prince William Sound-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-091345-
Port Valdez-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-091345-
Valdez Narrows-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-091345-
Valdez Arm-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-091345-
Passage Canal-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Snow showers and rain 
showers.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-091345-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 45 kt becoming N 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. 
Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-091345-
Barren Islands East-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-091345-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED...W wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-091345-
Chiniak Bay-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-091345-
Marmot Bay-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ138-091345-
Shelikof Strait-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain with snow.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-091345-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-091345-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 9 ft after
midnight. Snow and rain.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-091345-
Kachemak Bay-
341 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

495 
FZAK51 PAFC 091255
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100200-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 991 mb low 55 nm south of Kodiak City moves to 30 nm east of 
Kodiak City Wed afternoon, then shifts towards 140 nm south of 
Yakutat and weakens to 1012 mb by Fri morning. Its front moves 
across the Gulf through Fri morning.

$$

PKZ119-100200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 45 kt
diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100200-
Resurrection Bay-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming S late. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100200-
Prince William Sound-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100200-
Port Valdez-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow 
showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100200-
Valdez Narrows-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100200-
Valdez Arm-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt late. Seas 3 
ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100200-
Passage Canal-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17
ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100200-
Barren Islands East-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

..GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. Higher winds and seas near
the Barren Islands. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, SW wind 15 kt
becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...S wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100200-
Chiniak Bay-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 20 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt late. Seas 4 
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100200-
Marmot Bay-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.THU...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft subsiding 
to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100200-
Shelikof Strait-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-100200-
Kachemak Bay-
355 AM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Higher winds and seas in the outer
bay. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Higher winds and seas in the outer bay. Rain and snow.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

692 
FZAK51 PAFC 100034
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101315-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 993 mb low 145 nm East of Sitkinak moves to 90 nm West of Sitka
at 1013 mb for Fri morning, then dissipates Fri afternoon. A new 
front approaches the Western Gulf Fri morning.

$$

PKZ119-101315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 45 kt
diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101315-
Resurrection Bay-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers with snow showers.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101315-
Prince William Sound-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101315-
Port Valdez-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101315-
Valdez Narrows-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101315-
Valdez Arm-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101315-
Passage Canal-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.THU...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers with snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101315-
Barren Islands East-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...S wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101315-
Chiniak Bay-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 20 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt late. Seas 3 
ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101315-
Marmot Bay-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101315-
Shelikof Strait-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101315-
Kachemak Bay-
334 PM AKST Wed Nov 9 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Higher winds and seas in the outer bay. Rain and snow.
.THU...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
423 PM AKST Mon Nov 7 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The high amplitude upper level ridge is now over the eastern
Copper River Basin and continues to edge eastward as the large
low in the Bering Sea takes control of the weather over the state.
The surface low is near St Lawrence Island as of early this
afternoon with the front associated with it over the Bristol Bay
region and Kuskokwim Valley. This front extends quite far south to
about 25N latitude, so the air advecting northward along this
front has a very warm temperature tap with it. Equally impressive
is the cold air pouring southward along the west coast of north
America as seen on satellite which is reaching to about 30N. Now
back to Alaska: The front that battered southwest mainland Alaska
is now weakening as it moves eastward. This Low and front is the
big pattern changer that we have been expecting to bring more mild
temperatures to southern ALaska through the rest of the week and
into next week.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The overall forecast challenge is in the Gulf of Alaska and
SOuthcentral region and tied to the development and movement of
that triple point low near Kodiak on Tuesday. Models are getting
into better agreement overall, but the farther south track of the
GFS would limit the amount of precipitation in Anchorage and keep
Anchorage and most of the Kenai Peninsula cooler. The immediate
issue is whether the Turnagain Arm winds move over the Anchorage
Bowl tonight and bring in the associated warmer air.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...The forecast is very much dependent of what happens with
the surface winds and whether they remain from the north or if
Southeasterly winds off of Turnagain Arm over the airfield. At
this time it does look more likely the Southeasterly winds will
make it to the terminal this evening through the overnight hours.
This will limit the snowfall and keep the ceiling heights from
getting to MVFR conditions. Should winds remain from the north at
the surface there would likely be lower ceilings and visibilities
in snowfall this evening, but the TAF reflects the expectation for
southeast winds. By Tuesday morning, the winds should switch to
northeast, but the chance for precipitation will be minimal by
that time.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

An active weather pattern is in store for Southcentral Alaska
over the next couple of days. A frontal system will move through
tonight and bring the first round of precipitation to the region.
A triple-point low is forecast to develop east of Kodiak Tuesday
evening and move northeastward and bring a second round of
precipitation Tuesday night into Wednesday. The biggest forecast
challenge continues to be precipitation-type. For the Anchorage
Bowl, Matanuska Valley and Susitna Valley, snow is the most likely
precipitation type as these locations are expected to remain
north and west of the low center combined with the warmest
forecast soundings show a shallow warm layer near the surface. Due
to this synoptic setup combined with the forecast soundings, the
warmest scenario appears to be snow with surface temperatures a
couple of degrees above freezing due to a deep cold layer aloft.
The biggest challenges for precipitation-type are throughout the
Kenai Peninsula and coastal locations. One area where there is
higher confidence is that this set up is unfavorable for freezing
rain due to the lack of cold air damming at the surface with a
shallow warm layer aloft.

The other part of the story will be the strong winds throughout
the mountains and in Turnagain Arm. The stronger NAM/NAM Nest
solution was favored in this forecast due to the current wind
observations across Southwest Alaska. Gale force winds with storm
force gusts are likely in both of these locations this evening
through Wednesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Thursday)...

A strong front stretching south-to-north across Southwest Alaska
pushes eastward across the Alaska Range tonight. Warm south-to-
southwesterly flow has led to temperatures warming into the upper
30s this afternoon, turning much of the precipitation across the
region to rain from snow. Strong, gusty southerly winds will
gradually diminish this evening as the front exits the region.
Precipitation along the front also comes to an end from west to
east tonight, with only light showers expected in its wake.

A deep upper-level trough over the Bering Sea draws a shortwave
north across the Alaska Peninsula tonight, bringing another round
of precipitation to the region Tuesday morning. This renewed
precipitation should begin as rain for most locations, though
temperatures aloft will cool down again Tuesday afternoon with the
trough axis shifting eastward and a weak low developing in Bristol
Bay. This will allow for a transition to snow overnight as cooler
northwesterly flow moves into the region. Areas north of Iliamna
and the Lower Kuskokwim Valley could see 3-6 inches out of the
system through Wednesday afternoon. Temperatures continue to
decline for Wednesday night and Thursday as this second system
exits the area. A ridge out ahead of a strong low entering the
Bering will move into Southwest Alaska on Thursday, leading to
drier conditions and clearer skies.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Thursday)...

A low pressure system tracking into the Bering Strait this evening
will push cooler air aloft across the Bering Sea from the west,
leading to showery conditions across the region through Tuesday
night. A few weak shortwaves passing through will enhance areas
of winds up to gale force, but overall conditions will remain on
the calmer side. A stronger low approaches the western/central
Aleutians on Wednesday, bringing gale force winds and moderate-
to-heavy rain. Its front reaches the eastern Aleutians and the
Pribilof Islands with gales and rain by Thursday morning as the
low center tracks just south of the Aleutian Chain.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Friday through Monday)...

The pattern will start out on Friday with a very large low
centered over the eastern Bering, with cyclonic upper flow
extending well away from the center across most of the Aleutians
and over Southwest. A broad small craft to gale strength wind
field should be affecting much of the same region at the surface,
along with precipitation mainly in the form of rain across the
Aleutians. More of a mix of rain and snow will be likely along the
low's front as it moves into Southwest during the day on Friday.
Another low is set to be moving into the western Bering/Aleutians
by this point in time as well, which will begin to merge with the
initial system and reinforce deep troughing over the Bering
through at least Saturday. Meanwhile, things should be starting
out fairly quiet over Southcentral, where a sharp upper ridge will
initially be in place. However, this ridge axis will begin to
shift east with time, allowing heavier precipitation and strong
south to southeast flow to spread into the eastern Kenai
Peninsula and Prince William Sound region by late Friday into
Saturday.

From the rest of the weekend into early next week, models continue
to signal the development of a blocking pattern over the Alaska
region. The aforementioned upper ridge is currently projected to
strengthen dramatically northwest Canada and mainland Alaska
through Monday, becoming a robust Omega block. This should cause
the upper trough/low upstream over the Bering to stall in place,
perhaps eventually pinching off into a cutoff low as another
strong ridge builds into the western Bering on Monday. The most
active weather during this stretch will be focused where deep,
persistent southerly flow pushes into the coast, or along the
Alaska Peninsula, across Kodiak Island and over portions of the
northern Gulf coast, where precipitation will be greatly enhanced
by onshore and upslope flow. Very warm temperatures compared to
average are likely across nearly the entire eastern half of the
outlook area for this timeframe as warm, moist air is forced north
around the blocking high. Daytime temperatures in the 30s to 40s
are likely across even some more interior valleys of Southcentral
and Southwest from Saturday to Monday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Storm Warning: 160, 165, 180.
 		 Gale Warning: 130-132, 136, 139, 150, 155, 177, 178, 181,
					   185, 352, 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ED
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CQ
LONG TERM...AS