Gale Warning 62, NWS Anchorage, AK

403 
FZAK52 PAFC 121304
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-130200-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 980 mb low 80 nm southeast of Atka departs to the south this 
morning. A front moves northward over the eastern Aleutians 
through Thu. Its associated low moves 150 nm southeast of Chignik 
by Thu evening.

$$

PKZ150-130200-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-130200-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ160-130200-
Bristol Bay-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight.
.THU...N wind 25 kt.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ165-130200-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-130200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ171-130200-
Unalaska Bay-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-130200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ173-130200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-130200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ175-130200-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-130200-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ177-130200-
Adak to Kiska-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ178-130200-
Kiska to Attu-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ179-130200-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-130200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt.
.THU...N wind 20 kt.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ181-130200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.THU...N wind 20 kt.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ185-130200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
404 AM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.

$$

553 
FZAK52 PAFC 130036
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-131345-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 985 mb low 120 nm southeast of Atka moves to the south and 
dissipates tonight. Its front moves slowly northward across the 
southern and eastern Bering through Thu and also dissipates. A 960 
mb North Pacific low moves 160 nm east of Chignik at 970 mb Thu 
afternoon and toward Kodiak Island Thu evening.

$$

PKZ150-131345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-131345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ160-131345-
Bristol Bay-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ165-131345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-131345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ171-131345-
Unalaska Bay-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-131345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ173-131345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-131345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ175-131345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-131345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ177-131345-
Adak to Kiska-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-131345-
Kiska to Attu-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ179-131345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ180-131345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt.
.THU...N wind 25 kt.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ181-131345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.THU...N wind 20 kt.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ185-131345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
336 PM AKST Wed Jan 12 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... N 30 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy 
freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.

$$

696 
FZAK52 PAFC 131310
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-140145-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 963 mb North Pacific low moves to 60 nm southwest of Kodiak City Thu
evening and then inland to Bristol Bay Thu night while weakening.
A front associated with a 968 mb North Pacific low Fri afternoon 
moves through the Western and Central Aleutian Chain and into the 
Bering Sea Fri night. 

$$

PKZ150-140145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-140145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-140145-
Bristol Bay-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ165-140145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-140145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-140145-
Unalaska Bay-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-140145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-140145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-140145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ175-140145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-140145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-140145-
Adak to Kiska-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-140145-
Kiska to Attu-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ179-140145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-140145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ181-140145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ185-140145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
410 AM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy freezing
spray. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 15 ft.

$$

674 
FZAK52 PAFC 140013
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-141300-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 970 mb North Pacific low 180 nm east of Chignik moves inland to
Bristol Bay Thu night while weakening. A front associated with a 
970 mb North Pacific low Fri afternoon moves through the Western 
and Central Aleutian Chain and into the Bering Sea Fri night 
through Sat. 

$$

PKZ150-141300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-141300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-141300-
Bristol Bay-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ165-141300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-141300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-141300-
Unalaska Bay-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Snow showers.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-141300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-141300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-141300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 
ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-141300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-141300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-141300-
Adak to Kiska-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft building to 17 ft after midnight on the Pacific side. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-141300-
Kiska to Attu-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 
10 ft building to 17 ft after midnight on the Pacific side.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ179-141300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-141300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt becoming variable wind 10 kt late.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ181-141300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ185-141300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
313 PM AKST Thu Jan 13 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy
freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
545 AM AKST Tue Jan 11 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An elongated upper low remains nearly stationary over the central
Aleutians. Widespread showers extend across the much of the Chain,
with precipitation falling as mostly all rain, except across the
far western Aleutians where winds are more northerly. This will
continue for the near-future as the low remains stalled. While
radar shows precipitation over the Kuskokwim Delta, much of it is
likely not reaching the ground, though overcast skies persist in
the southerly flow aloft east of the aforementioned upper low.

Snow continues to develop from south to north across Southcentral.
Sleet/light freezing rain has been observed in Anchorage and over
Kenai Peninsula, including Seward. The latest 12z Anchorage
sounding shows a surface temperature near 23F and a very shallow
above- freezing layer centered near 925 mb. However, generally all
snow looks likely for most of Southcentral through today.
Temperatures in Cordova remain in the upper 30s, so they remain
the exception with rain continuing there. Much of the Copper River
Basin remains dry, though precipitation will likely occur near
higher elevations.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Embedded shortwaves with the overall southerly 500 mb flow pattern
remain the biggest source of model disagreement. All show a
shortwave axis moving over Kodiak Island early Wednesday morning.
Solutions begin to diverge more significantly thereafter with the
latest GFS bringing the following wave in much slower than the
NAM/ECMWF. It likewise indicates precipitation starting later
across the western gulf ahead of an approaching broad surface low
on Thursday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...

Light snow will persist across the terminal though this morning
leading to MVFR ceilings and possible brief periods of IFR
visibility. VFR ceilings/visibility will likely return by
afternoon, though may fall to MVFR at times. Light winds will
persist through Wednesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Tuesday
and Wednesday)...

A weak upper level wave will move from south to north over the
area today bringing widespread precipitation to most areas. The
front that transmitted the area on Monday helped to usher in some
warmer air, especially at mountain top levels. This is causing the
snow to melt as it falls through the layer and fall as mixed
precipitation across a fair portion of Southcentral. While Seward
and the Anchorage Bowl observed freezing rain overnight, it was
rain for Whittier and the Portage Valley. Special Weather
Statements have been issued for potential hazardous travel
conditions through these areas. Meanwhile, colder air is holding
on further inland, so precipitation is falling as all snow across
the Mat-Su Valleys.

Colder air should filter back in with this system later this
morning for most areas ending the threat of mixed precipitation.
We still generally expect about 1-2 inches of snow accumulation
around the Anchorage area. For the Mat Valley, amounts could be
several inches higher with colder air and favorable SW flow.
Generally expect about 2-4 inches around Palmer and Wasilla with
upwards of 6" possible for Hatcher Pass by late this evening.

Southerly flow will keep the pattern active across the area.
Another wave of energy will follow nearly an identical track north
over the Kenai Peninsula on Wednesday. This will bring another
healthy dose of QPF to the western portions of Prince William
Sound. While this will mean more rain for locations at sea level,
the system will bring snow to elevations above roughly 500 ft.
While cross-barrier flow will keep locations from Kenai to
Anchorage dry on the leading edge of this feature, another brief
shot of snow could move through late Wed into early Thu. A much
stronger system starts to take shape in the Gulf by Thu. This will
bring a return to some breezy offshore winds early in the day
before the front crashes into Prince William Sound later on.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Day 1 through 3: Today
through Thu night)...

Unsettled conditions continue through Thursday night. An upper
level low and its associated surface low are located in the
Central Aleutians. Temperatures will steadily increase through
Wednesday as a warm front tracks northward. The influx of moisture
with this front, as well as shortwaves transiting around the
upper level low, will lead to areas of light snow. Along the AKPEN
and southern portions of Bristol Bay, temperatures may warm
enough to lead to rain/snow mix or rain. The primary challenge
with this forecast remains with the timing of upper level
shortwaves, which in turn affect precipitation timing. Regardless,
only minor precipitation accumulations are expected with this
feature.

On Thursday, a North Pacific low approaches the AKPEN. Some model
discrepancies remain with how quickly this low tracks towards
Alaska. This forecast package leans towards a faster-moving
system, so precipitation is forecast to begin along the AKPEN by
early Thursday morning. As with the previous system, warm air
advection will produce some areas of rain and mix. For now, most
of the precipitation is expected to remain along the Aleutian
Range and the Kuskokwim Mountains. Precipitation chances in areas
such as King Salmon and Iliamna will be reduced due to
downsloping.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Day 1 through 3:
Today through Thu night)...

An upper level low and its associated surface low in the Central
Aleutians will dictate weather in the Bering and across the
Aleutian Chain through Thursday. In the Western Aleutians and
across much of the Bering Sea, northerly flow will continue to
bring colder temperatures and the potential for snow showers. In
the Central and Eastern Aleutians, rain will slowly taper off
into Tuesday. As cold air aloft wraps back around the low Tuesday
through Wednesday, there is a potential for snow or rain/snow
showers in the Eastern Aleutians. However, some uncertainty
remains with precipitation type. While temperatures aloft are cold
enough to support snow, there may be a thick enough layer of
warmer near-surface temperatures (aided by above-freezing SSTs)
to keep precipitation as all rain. By Thursday, cold conditions
take hold over the entire Bering and Aleutians as an approaching
North Pacific low ushers in a northerly flow regime.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Thursday through Saturday)...

Gulf of Alaska: A low near the AKPen with warm air advection will
bring a front northward through the Gulf Thursday. Gale force
winds are possible as the front creates a barrier jet along the
coast and through Kamishak Bay through Thursday evening. Gales
could extend into Prince William Sound. Winds should diminish
Friday morning through Saturday. Another low will develop and lift
into the Eastern Gulf, elongating a trough that will move into
the Northern Gulf coast Saturday morning. Seas around 20 feet on
Thursday evening subsiding slightly Friday and Saturday to around
15 to 20 feet.

Bering Sea: A widespread area of gales and large
seas of more than 20 ft will sweep across the Bering/Aleutian
Chain starting Fri night through Sat night as a result of a strong
North Pacific low. The associated front from the low will usher
strong gap winds for the Aleutians and potentially strong gales
across Pribilof Islands by Sat night. Warm temperatures associated
with this system should minimize freezing spray risks over the
central Aleutians for the next few days.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Friday through Monday)...

A low near the AKPen area will move inland with an associated
trough northward towards the end of the week. Scattered snow
showers are possible for southwestern Alaska and periods of heavy
rain and snow spreading along the Gulf Coast from west to east
throughout the weekend. Out west along the Central and Western
Aleutians, a series of developing lows will usher in periods of
heavy precipitation throughout the weekend. Precipitation could
start as snow but expect any snow to transition to rain. Brief,
relatively quieter weather is possible Monday for South Central
and east.

&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning: 173-176 178 185 411-413.
         Heavy Freezing Spray Warning: 185 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MSO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KC
MARINE/LONG TERM...CB/VR