Gale Warning 424, NWS Anchorage, AK

592 
FZAK52 PAFC 242357
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-251345-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 990 mb low 90 nm south of Dutch Harbor moves over Point Hope at
1002 mb while its front moves into Interior Alaska through Tue 
afternoon. A 1015 mb North Pacific low moves to 345 nm south of 
Castle Cape as its front extends into the Southern Gulf of Alaska 
for Tue afternoon. A 1002 mb South Kamchatka low approaches the 
Western Aleutians by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-251345-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-251345-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-251345-
Bristol Bay-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt early becoming SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft 
building to 8 ft after midnight.
.MON...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
50 kt in the morning. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-251345-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind increasing to 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt developing
after midnight. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. From Port Moller E, SW wind 40 kt becoming W
25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ170-251345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-251345-
Unalaska Bay-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-251345-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-251345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-251345-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-251345-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft..

$$

PKZ176-251345-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 5 
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-251345-
Adak to Kiska-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 4 
ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ178-251345-
Kiska to Attu-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ179-251345-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 11
ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-251345-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening becoming S wind 35 kt. Seas 6
ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-251345-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-251345-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
357 PM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

312 
FZAK52 PAFC 251202
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-260100-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 987 mb low near Toksook Bay and the associated front move 
inland over Southwest Alaska Mon morning. A 1002 mb North Pacific 
low extends a front into the western Aleutians Tue morning through
Wed morning. Another front moves south of the Alaska Peninsula 
Wed morning.

$$

PKZ150-260100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-260100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-260100-
Bristol Bay-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-260100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
50 kt in the morning. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ170-260100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-260100-
Unalaska Bay-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-260100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-260100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-260100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-260100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ176-260100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-260100-
Adak to Kiska-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ178-260100-
Kiska to Attu-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ179-260100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-260100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-260100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-260100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
402 AM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NW 20 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

994 
FZAK52 PAFC 252359
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-261300-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 989 mb low over the Seward Peninsula this afternoon will move
into the Chukchi Sea Tuesday afternoon. A 1001 mb low will move
310 nm southeast of Shemya Wednesday afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-261300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-261300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 6 ft by morning.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-261300-
Bristol Bay-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt during the evening. Seas 8 
ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-261300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-261300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-261300-
Unalaska Bay-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-261300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-261300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-261300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-261300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-261300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ177-261300-
Adak to Kiska-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ178-261300-
Kiska to Attu-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ179-261300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ180-261300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-261300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-261300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
359 PM AKDT Mon Jul 25 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
518 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A large upper level low over northwestern Alaska continues to
slowly weaken as upper level jet support weakens and the pacific
jet to the south strengthens. Before this low is expected to
completely erode later in the week, we're tracking two distinct
features rotating around it. The first is a weak wiggle in the
flow south of the AKPEN. At the surface is a small 997 mb low with
an attendant warm front extending to the east. Accompanying this
low and front are rain showers across the AKPEN and SW Alaska as
well as into Kodiak. Isolated showers exist across the Gulf of
Alaska and will continue into the evening hours. The second
feature being tracked is a much stronger shortwave that is south
of Shemya. This area will see a stronger low develop and bring
stronger winds and coastal concerns to Bristol Bay later this
weekend.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Synoptically speaking, the models are in great agreement through
Monday (~60 hours). Beyond that time bigger changes begin to show,
though the largest issues are not impactful to our area of
responsibility. Monday night and into Tuesday, the present upper
level low over northwestern Alaska will weak and begin its move
towards the Arctic. Among the big three models (Canadian, ECMWF
and GFS) the story is similar, there are just differences in
timing at this point. All models point to a similar story mid week
across the Aleutians: the next trough carving in spinning up
another weak low that will traverse the Aleutian Chain again.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions will persist. Southeast Turnagain winds will
continue into the early evening hours before shifting offshore
over the Inlet.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: This
afternoon through Tuesday)...

A wet and cloudy pattern will return for Southcentral as a
western Gulf low and its front track across the region this
weekend. As of this afternoon, the front reached Kodiak Island
and is extending east across the entire Gulf of Alaska. The
associated steady rain, cloud cover, and strong easterly winds
will continue to spread to the Southcentral coast and Prince
William Sound areas early Sunday morning as the front pushes
onshore. Interior Southcentral is expected to be cloudy but will
remain relatively dry as rain and winds stay confined primarily
to the Gulf and coastal areas. Rain will taper off Sunday during
the day as the low exits to the east. Gusty southeasterly
Turnagain Arm and Knik Valley winds will persist through the
evening and overnight hours tonight, diminishing Sunday morning
as surface ridging weakens.

A brief break in the rain on Sunday will be brought to an end by
Sunday evening as a large frontal system arrives to the region.
With this front, rain is expected to start for Kodiak Island
Sunday evening and then for the rest of Southcentral by Monday
morning. Gusty southeasterly Turnagain Arm and Knik Valley winds
will increase again Sunday afternoon/evening as surface ridging
strengthens. Precipitation will taper off from west to east late
Monday night through Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Cool, showery conditions continue today across Southwest today
and tonight. Southeast gap winds will pick up today across
interior Bristol Bay as a front moves into the Gulf of Alaska and
pushes air flow through Kamishak gap. The next system pushes
towards the Southwest coast Sunday night through Monday. There is
still quite a bit of model uncertainty with this system, with
solutions going back and forth on strength and speed of the low
as it tracks towards Southwest. As a whole, expect continuous
rain showers and increased winds across the region Sunday night
through Monday. Winds should begin to decrease again Monday
evening. Increased sustained winds raise concern for high surf
potentials for Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Delta. There is still
uncertainty for how strong the storm surge will be, but coastal
flooding is looking less likely at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

Overall, benign weather conditions along the Bering and Aleutians
through tonight. The next system moves into the southern Bering
on Sunday night and pushes towards the Southwest coast through
Monday. There has been a fair amount of inconsistency with this
system, but expected winds to push into gale force and seas to
build 8 to 12 feet. Additionally, expect areas of moderate to
heavy rain showers through Monday night.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Tuesday through Thursday)...

Gulf of Alaska: There is high confidence that high pressure
building over the eastern Bering Sea will allow westerly gales
to develop out of Kamishak Gap and through the Barren Islands
on Tuesday morning. These will persist through the day and
diminish Tuesday evening as a weak area of low pressure along
the north Gulf coast dissipates. There is also some potential
for a weak North Pacific low entering the Gulf to develop a
small area of gales northwest of the center for a brief period
on Wednesday before the low weakens on Thursday, but confidence
 is low in this scenario. Seas remain below 20 ft.

Aleutians/Bering: Tuesday night, a front approaches the
western/central Aleutians ahead of a North Pacific low. Easterly
gales will be possible along the front as it progresses slowly
northeastward across the Aleutian Chain and into the southern
Bering, reaching the eastern Aleutians early Thursday. Seas will
remain below 20 ft.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through Thursday)...

While broad cyclonic flow is expected to remain in place across
the forecast area through the end of next week, with the upper
level longwave trough axis remaining quasi-stationary over the
Bering Sea, the trough is expected to become less prominent and
weaken somewhat. As a result, the middle of next week looks to
feature drier conditions as a shortwave ridge tracks into the
area, replacing the strong upper-level low which has been
persistent over the Bering Strait for the past week. The key
feature will be a surface high pressure system building in over
southern mainland Alaska into Wednesday, which will promote
calmer, drier weather for most of the region. However, with flow
remaining southwesterly, any embedded shortwave troughs could
provide instability to support intermittent rounds of rainfall.
Models key in on one particular feature which tracks into the
southern Gulf of Alaska on Wednesday and reaches the north Gulf
coast by Thursday. However, its track has shifted eastward since
yesterday, leading to less anticipated wind and rain impacts along
much of the western Gulf coast and Kodiak Island, and suggesting
that interior portions of Southcentral will remain dry. The Copper
River Basin would be the most likely exception to this on
Thursday, where rain showers will be most likely with a further
eastward track.

By the end of the week, there is broad agreement on a North
Pacific low tracking across the Aleutian Islands into the Bering
Sea, with its front reaching the Southwest coast by Friday
afternoon. Though confidence in the exact track this low takes
decreases by Saturday, there is higher confidence that the front
will continue to push northward across the mainland, bringing rain
into Southwest Alaska and along the Gulf coast, with rain showers
returning to Southcentral for the weekend.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Surf Advisory: 155 161.
MARINE...Gale Warning 131 165 170 171 179-181 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AF
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AB
MARINE/LONG TERM...CJ/CQ