Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2022
Gale Warning 421, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jul 22, 2022, 3:48 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 22, 2022, 3:48 PM AKDT (23:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 24, 2022, 3:55 AM AKDT
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
276 FZAK51 PAFC 222348 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-231300- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front will enter the western Gulf Sat morning and extend to the Gulf coast Sat evening. Its parent low will elongate at 1000 mb over Chirikof Island Sat evening. The low will then weaken over Kodiak Island through Sun afternoon. $$ PKZ119-231300- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ120-231300- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ121-231300- Resurrection Bay- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-231300- Prince William Sound- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-231300- Port Valdez- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-231300- Valdez Narrows- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...N wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable less than 10 kt in the evening becoming N 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-231300- Valdez Arm- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-231300- Passage Canal- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-231300- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ131-231300- Barren Islands East- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ132-231300- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ136-231300- Chiniak Bay- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-231300- Marmot Bay- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-231300- Shelikof Strait- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .SAT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ139-231300- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ140-231300- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-231300- Kachemak Bay- 348 PM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
154 FZAK51 PAFC 231157 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-240045- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front enters the western Gulf and moves to the Gulf coast Sat night. Its parent low moves 100 nm east of Kodiak City Sun morning at 1005 mb and then moves 80 nm southwest of Cordova at 1009 mb Sun evening. The low then dissipates by Mon morning. $$ PKZ119-240045- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ120-240045- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming E wind 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ121-240045- Resurrection Bay- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-240045- Prince William Sound- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-240045- Port Valdez- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-240045- Valdez Narrows- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-240045- Valdez Arm- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-240045- Passage Canal- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Sea 2 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-240045- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ131-240045- Barren Islands East- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ132-240045- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...N of Dangerous Cape, NE wind 30 kt becoming Variable 15 kt after midnight. S of Dangerous Cape, E wind 20 kt shifting to SW during the evening. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ136-240045- Chiniak Bay- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-240045- Marmot Bay- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ138-240045- Shelikof Strait- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt early, becoming NE and increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ139-240045- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt late. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ140-240045- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ141-240045- Kachemak Bay- 357 AM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
184 FZAK51 PAFC 232334 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-241230- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front over Kodiak this afternoon will move over the Gulf coast overnight. Its surface low will reach 140 nm SE of Seward at 1009 mb Sun morning. The low will then dissipate Tue with a front remaining along the coast. $$ PKZ119-241230- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SUN...E wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Near the coast, E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ120-241230- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ121-241230- Resurrection Bay- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-241230- Prince William Sound- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-241230- Port Valdez- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-241230- Valdez Narrows- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt late. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SW 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-241230- Valdez Arm- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-241230- Passage Canal- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .SUN...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-241230- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ131-241230- Barren Islands East- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ132-241230- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. N of Dangerous Cape, E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ136-241230- Chiniak Bay- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-241230- Marmot Bay- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-241230- Shelikof Strait- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ139-241230- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ140-241230- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ141-241230- Kachemak Bay- 334 PM AKDT Sat Jul 23 2022 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
387 FZAK51 PAFC 241155 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-250100- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1003 mb low 150 nm east of Kodiak City moves 40 nm south of Middleton Island at 1009 mb Sun evening. The low and associated front dissipate by Mon morning. Another front enters the southwest Gulf Mon morning and crosses the Gulf through Tue morning. $$ PKZ119-250100- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 20 kt, except SE wind increasing to 30 kt near the coast. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ120-250100- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ121-250100- Resurrection Bay- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-250100- Prince William Sound- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas building to 4 ft. Rain. .MON...E wind 20 kt, except SE wind increasing to 30 kt E of Hinchinbrook Entrance. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-250100- Port Valdez- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt early, becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-250100- Valdez Narrows- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt early, becoming N 15 kt overnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-250100- Valdez Arm- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-250100- Passage Canal- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 .TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-250100- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt during the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ131-250100- Barren Islands East- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ132-250100- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...N of Dangerous Cape, NE wind 25 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. S of Dangerous Cape, NE wind 20 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ136-250100- Chiniak Bay- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...S wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-250100- Marmot Bay- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ138-250100- Shelikof Strait- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt during the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S towards morning. Seas 3 ft. S of Cape Kuliak, S wind increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ139-250100- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...NE wind 15 kt early, then shifting to S 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ140-250100- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ141-250100- Kachemak Bay- 355 AM AKDT Sun Jul 24 2022 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt late. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 35 kt along the S side of the bay in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jul 22, 5:43 AM AKDT, 10 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 5:43 AM AKDT, 10 hours 5 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 543 AM AKDT Fri Jul 22 2022 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... A large, stacked low filled with several embedded and smaller scale waves continues to spin in place over western Alaska, with the center still near the western end of the Seward Peninsula. This is keeping a cool and wet influence on most of the southern mainland, as several shortwaves and associate bands of shower activity rotate within cyclonic, southwest flow in place near the synoptic low out west. One of the more pronounced of these smaller shortwaves is now working northeast from the northern Alaska Peninsula up into the Cook Inlet region, supporting areas of rain showers now moving up into the northern Kenai Peninsula, Mat-Su Valleys and greater Anchorage area. A separate area of rain continues to push up into the Prince William Sound region with another shortwave trough moving up out of the Gulf, where GOES west satellite and Middleton Island radar data are also showing hints of a weak surface low developing near the north Gulf Coast. Out in the west, things are in a relatively calm state for the moment, with a large axis of zonal flow and a roughly 100 kt upper jet in place over the Bering. The Pribilofs have been treated to a break in the low marine stratus early this morning, but low clouds remain socked in farther south across the Aleutians and southern Alaska Peninsula. The outer reaches of a frontal system are beginning to impact the westernmost parts of the Aleutian Chain, where steady rain is beginning to spread in from the south. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... Models remain in fairly good agreement at the synoptic level, with the low near the Seward Peninsula expected to remain anchored in place for the next several days and keeping the active storm track across much of the outlook area. Looking at the short term and for this afternoon, one of the bigger questions is how unstable parts of Southcentral could become due to very cold air aloft (around -25C at 500 mb) moving in with the upper level trough axis moving overhead contrasting with warmer air in the low levels. Almost every model is hinting at some degree of instability developing today, in particular across parts of the Copper River Basin and Wrangell Mountains. However, it's possible cloud cover will remain too dense for this to materialize, and it does not look likely that convective shower activity developing with breaks of sun and surface heating will be strong enough to produce lightning even if modeled instability parameters are realistic. Looking out at the rest of the weekend into early next week, there are some discrepancies appearing for a shortwave and attendant low expected to move up into the Gulf late Saturday into Sunday. Most solutions are keeping the low and associated rainfall mostly out over the Gulf, but a few (namely the 6z NAM) are taking the center much farther north and sending precipitation well inland over Southcentral. Meanwhile, there continues to be surprisingly good agreement for an at least gale force low to move up into the eastern Bering between Sunday and Monday. && .AVIATION... PANC...Southerly winds will continue to slowly subside this morning, but may pick up again slightly once again late this evening, with 15 to 20 kt gusts possible at times through early AM Saturday. MVFR ceilings with rain showers now moving through will slowly improve through this evening, with ceilings rising to VFR by around 5 PM tonight. However, ceilings at or below the 5000 ft threshold could still linger for much longer into tonight. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Friday through Sunday night)... An upper-level and associated surface trough will move from the Kenai Peninsula north to the Copper River Basin today. As it does, showers that are extending from Cook Inlet north to the Mat-Su Valleys will eventually slide east and diminish in coverage through Saturday evening. Showers are also continuing this morning across Prince William Sound and will persist through early afternoon before moving inland along with the aforementioned trough. Scattered showers will linger across the higher elevations overnight Saturday through Sunday, mainly over the Chugach, Wrangell, and Alaska Ranges. Elsewhere across the interior, a few breaks in the clouds are expected as the trough moves farther north and a weak, transient ridge slides over the region. The next storm system to impact Southcentral is expected to move to the AKPen by Saturday afternoon with its associated front entering the western Gulf. A moist, southeasterly flow will develop ahead of the front, ushering in widespread clouds and rain to Kodiak Island by late Saturday afternoon. Easterly winds will also ramp up across the Gulf, with gales expected out ahead of the front. The front is expected to lift to the northern Gulf by early Sunday morning as the surface low moves to an area east of Kodiak Island. Models are struggling with the exact placement of the low and the northward progression of the front. However, the trend in recent model runs has been to shift this system more northward. As such, gusty gap winds, mainly Turnagain Arm winds, are expected to increase beginning Saturday afternoon with rain overspreading the Southcentral coast by Saturday evening. Right now, it looks like interior Southcentral will be spared the bulk of the precipitation. However, this may change if the northward trend in future model runs continue. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)... A quiet and relatively settled pattern is expected to become more active late this weekend into early next week. Broad southwesterly flow will allow for cool and cloudy conditions today and on Saturday. A storm system is expected to move in from the Bering Sea to over Southwest Alaska Sunday afternoon and evening. This storm is expected to produce rain and strong winds. Storm surge guidance is suggesting high water levels along coastal areas around Togiak Monday morning as strong southerly onshore flow is expected to coincide at the same time as high tide. Latest guidance shows water levels potentially reaching 4ft above highest astronomical tide (grass level). && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)... The weather pattern will remain quiet through Saturday afternoon and then become more active Saturday evening as low pressure moves in from the North Pacific. This low will rapidly strengthen as it moves northeastward and will produce a large area of gale force winds with areas of storm force winds embedded inside of the gales. This storm is expected to continue moving northeastward to over the Kuskokwim Delta by Monday night. && .MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Sunday through Tuesday)... Gulf of Alaska: A Western Gulf low moves along the front, and dissipates in the Northern Gulf for Monday. The front extends across the Northern Gulf through Tuesday. Forecast confidence is good. Easterly small craft winds with areas of gales extends over the Northern Gulf, and through the Barren Islands and Shelikof Strait, diminishing Monday. Seas to 12 feet, subsiding. Gusty Southwest winds moves across the Gulf, diminishing Tuesday. Seas to 10 feet. Aleutians/Bering: A strong Southern Bering low moves to Norton Sound for Tuesday. Its front sweeps the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula through Tuesday. Forecast confidence is good. Gusty winds wrapping the low increase to widespread gales over the Central and Eastern Aleutians and Bering, the Alaska Peninsula and Western Alaska Coast, diminishing Tuesday. Seas building to 15 feet over the Central and Eastern Aleutians and Bering for Monday, subsiding. High pressure moves into the Western Bering Tuesday. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through Thursday)... With troughing over the Bering Sea and high pressure over the northeastern Pacific, cooler temperatures and wetter conditions are expected to continue through the extended forecast period. Models are resolving an upper-level low remaining anchored over the Bering Strait and are agreeing to keep this feature remaining in this location through late next week. By Monday, models are showing a potent shortwave phasing with the aforementioned low and moving over the Southwest coast and then tracking through Southcentral. Model spread grows when looking at the timing and strength of the aforementioned feature. The Canadian model is showing a much stronger shortwave impacting Southcentral, whereas, the GFS and EC models have a weaker shortwave moving through the region. As the trough continues to remain over the Bering Strait, each feature/ shortwave that rounds the peripheral of the trough and makes its way to the Mainland will continue to influence sensible weather. The location and strength of where each feature sets up will make a big difference in impacts, especially where the highest rainfall amounts fall. The focus for hazards/impacts will be possible flooding concerns with more rainfall falling on already saturated ground from the current wet pattern. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...NONE. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ED MARINE/LONG TERM...AP/CL
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 3:55 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Jul 22, 4:07 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Jul 22, 3:48 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.