Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2022
Gale Warning 306, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Apr 19, 2022, 3:34 PM AKDT. It was in force for 60 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 19, 2022, 3:34 PM AKDT (23:34 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 22, 2022, 3:45 AM AKDT
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
422 FZAK62 PAFC 192334 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 334 PM AKDT Tue Apr 19 2022 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-201400- 334 PM AKDT Tue Apr 19 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... Lows along the decaying front merge in the North Pacific through Wed morning. A ridge moves across the Aleutians by midday Wed. Two North Pacific lows merge to form a 978 mb at 49N 176E for Wed morning. This low deepens to 964 mb at 50N 179W Thu night, then weakens to 967 mb at 50N 165W by Thu afternoon. Its front sweeps across the Southern Bering Sea and AKPEN through Thu afternoon. $$ PKZ411-201400- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 334 PM AKDT Tue Apr 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .WED...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 14 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 14 ft. .THU...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .FRI...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. $$ PKZ412-201400- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 334 PM AKDT Tue Apr 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT .TONIGHT...NW wind up to 20 kt diminishing to up to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .WED...NE wind up to 15 kt becoming E 10 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .FRI...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .SAT...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...SE wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. $$ PKZ413-201400- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 334 PM AKDT Tue Apr 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt becoming NE up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .WED...E wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft. .SAT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. .SUN...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. $$ PKZ414-201400- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 334 PM AKDT Tue Apr 19 2022 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind up to 20 kt becoming 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .WED...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 to 30 kt increasing to 25 to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 10 ft. Rain. .THU...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 14 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. $$
5 follow-up statements
351 FZAK62 PAFC 201128 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 328 AM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-210100- 328 AM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A ridge moves across the Aleutians through midday Wed. A 970 mb low at 50N 176E moves to 49N 172W at 965 mb by Thu morning and then to 52N 160W at 970 mb by Fri morning. $$ PKZ411-210100- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 328 AM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .FRI...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. $$ PKZ412-210100- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 328 AM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind up to 20 kt increasing to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...NE wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .FRI...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. .SAT...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 8 ft. $$ PKZ413-210100- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 328 AM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain and snow. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .SAT...SW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ414-210100- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 328 AM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...E wind up to 15 kt increasing to 10 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 8 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Snow and rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. .SUN...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$
044 FZAK62 PAFC 202319 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 319 PM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-211345- 319 PM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 963 mb low at 51N 178E weakens to 977 mb as it moves to 53N 156W by Fri afternoon. Its front pushes over the Aleutians into the Gulf of Alaska for Fri afternoon. $$ PKZ411-211345- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 319 PM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft. Rain. .THU...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .FRI...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT THROUGH MON...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. $$ PKZ412-211345- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 319 PM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain. .THU...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. .SAT...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 8 ft. $$ PKZ413-211345- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 319 PM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Snow. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. .FRI...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. .SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. .SUN...S wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. .MON...SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ414-211345- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 319 PM AKDT Wed Apr 20 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft. Snow and rain. .THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Snow showers. .FRI...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. .SUN...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...SE wind up to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. $$
854 FZAK62 PAFC 211117 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 317 AM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-220130- 317 AM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 966 mb low at 50N 168E this afternoon weakens to 975 mb and moves to 53N 156W by Fri afternoon. Its front pushes over the Aleutians into the Gulf of Alaska through Fri afternoon. High pressure moves into the western Bering Fri afternoon. $$ PKZ411-220130- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 317 AM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 .TODAY...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt becoming NW up to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .MON...S wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft. $$ PKZ412-220130- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 317 AM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. .SAT...SW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ413-220130- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 317 AM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 15 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. .FRI...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. .SAT...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. .SUN...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. $$ PKZ414-220130- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 317 AM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. .SAT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. $$
693 FZAK62 PAFC 212331 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 331 PM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-221315- 331 PM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 967 mb low at 50N 165W slides to 53N 148W as it weakens to 994 mb Sat afternoon. Its front sweeps across the AKPEN and into the Gulf for Sat afternoon. $$ PKZ411-221315- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 331 PM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .TUE...E wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ412-221315- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 331 PM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 .TONIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. .SAT...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ413-221315- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 331 PM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 13 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .SAT...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ414-221315- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 331 PM AKDT Thu Apr 21 2022 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. Freezing spray N of 57N. .SAT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. $$
761 FZAK62 PAFC 221145 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 345 AM AKDT Fri Apr 22 2022 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-230145- 345 AM AKDT Fri Apr 22 2022 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 975 mb low at 53N 157W moves south of the Gulf through Sun morning. A 982 mb low moves to 54N 169E Sun morning. Its front enters the western Bering Sat afternoon. $$ PKZ411-230145- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 345 AM AKDT Fri Apr 22 2022 .TODAY...NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ412-230145- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 345 AM AKDT Fri Apr 22 2022 .TODAY...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...W wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .TUE...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ413-230145- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 345 AM AKDT Fri Apr 22 2022 .TODAY...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .SAT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. .SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ414-230145- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 345 AM AKDT Fri Apr 22 2022 .TODAY...N wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. Freezing spray N of 57N after midnight. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. Freezing spray N of 57N early. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 8 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Apr 19, 4:54 AM AKDT, 10 hours 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 19, 4:54 AM AKDT, 10 hours 40 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 454 AM AKDT Tue Apr 19 2022 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... High pressure continues over the North Slope, producing an easterly wave pattern across Southern Alaska. A storm force low over Dutch Harbor continues driving southwards today, followed quickly by a transient ridge and another strong low. The second system approaches the Western Aleutians by late Wednesday morning, continuing to strengthen as it travels. Model guidance is suggesting this becomes another storm force system, and with colder air wrapping around the back this seems plausible. The low changes trajectory, shifting eastward and tracking south of the Chain on its journey to the Southern Gulf, its front entering the Gulf by Thursday afternoon. By Thursday morning, guidance shows the low becoming complex, with multiple low centers spawning within the system. Models are struggling to come to terms with the finer details of where and when these surface low centers will pop-up. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... Models are in good overall synoptic agreement through the short term and have come into better agreement for an incoming system on Wednesday afternoon. There were quite a few discrepancies yesterday regarding a low pushing towards the Western Aleutians Wednesday, and while there is better overall agreement today, there are still some disagreements to touch on. Namely, with this system becoming more complex, developing multiple low centers that each solution is struggling to hone in on. The NAM is showing a weaker solution in comparison to the other models as well. && .AVIATION... PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Today through Thursday night)... A look at the big picture for the next 3 days shows continued mostly sunny with seasonable temperatures for the next couple days, followed by a shift in pattern which will bring a return to precipitation for portions of Southcentral late this week. First off, an upper level low over the northeast Gulf of Alaska will track slowly westward across Southcentral today through Wednesday. A series of weak short-waves will traverse Southcentral as they move around the low center. While daytime heating will lead to instability off the surface (near sea level), the air mass over the region is quite dry. In these scenarios it is much more likely to initiate convection on the mountains. However, with abundant snow still in place, solar energy is spent on melting snow and not on warming the surface and destabilizing the atmosphere. As a result, expect continued dry conditions the next couple days with perhaps a few clouds. There will be a better chance for showers on Kodiak Island and along the north Gulf coast/Prince William Sound. The upper level low will continue westward into Southwest Alaska Thursday, while a deep Aleutian low tracks eastward underneath it. The leading occluded front will reach Kodiak Island and the western Gulf Thursday night, bringing steady rain and stronger winds to the region. The low will remain over the southern Gulf as it continues eastward, but the occluded front will head northward toward the north Gulf coast, leading to wet and windy conditions for the end of the week. Snow levels will start out fairly low Thursday night - within a few hundred feet of sea level. However, warmer air will accompany the front and leading to quickly rising snow levels by Friday. This pattern is not favorable for bringing much, if any, precipitation to inland portions of Southcentral, but would expect considerable cloudiness and perhaps some light spillover precipitation across the coastal mountain ranges. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)... An upper level high over the North Slope and a quasi-stationary upper low over Southcentral have combined to produce easterly flow aloft and offshore flow at the surface. This pattern has lead to clear skies and cool morning temperatures across most of the region this morning as dry air moved in from the interior. Things should warm up quickly with widespread sunny skies today. A few afternoon showers may be possible over the northern Bristol Bay coast and eastern side of the Kuskokwim Mountains as things heat up and a few midlevel shortwaves move overhead, but these should be brief and fairly light should they materialize. As the upper low shifts to the west on Wednesday, onshore flow will redevelop to allow for chances of rain over Bristol Bay in the evening as a few weak shortwaves round the southern periphery of the low. This will also push clouds back into the region, though interior areas will likely still see some sunshine. Cloud cover will become more widespread on Thursday as a front moves over the eastern Bering and Alaska Peninsula. With moderate southeast flow aloft most of the region will remain downsloped to any precipitation, but an increase in cloud cover is likely for Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Delta. Southeasterly gap winds will accompany the front. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)... The strong low that impacted the central Bering over the past two days is quickly shearing apart and moving south into the North Pacific. Gusty northwesterly winds will slowly subside near Nikolski this morning on the backside of the low. Otherwise, weather over the Bring will be fairly quiet today as the region gets a brief break in between storms. Overnight Tuesday an upper low moving east out of the Kamchatka Peninsula will merge with another shortwave in the northwestern Pacific to form another storm force low. Storms will reach the Western Aleutians Wednesday afternoon once the low has the chance to tap into the cold air moving across the western Bering. In the warm sector, a gale force front and rain will move east across the Chain through Thursday. Expect southeasterly gusts through gaps and passes throughout the day on Thursday. There is some uncertainty in regards to the evolution of the low as it moves east, with most of the models developing mesolows along the storms front. However, the impacts to the forecast around these features should be minimal. && .Marine (Days 3 through 5: Thursday through Saturday)... Gulf of Alaska: A deepening low pressure system will move a weather front from the western Gulf Thursday to the northern Gulf Friday. Easterly winds of 20 to 30 kt will develop Thursday with low end gales up to 40 kt possible from the Barren Islands to Kayak Island for Friday into early Saturday morning as a barrier jet forms ahead of the front. Expect waves along the northern Gulf to build to around 10 to 15 ft along the northern Gulf for Friday in association with the gales. Forecast confidence for this outlook is high. Bering Sea: A north Pacific low south of the Aleutian Chain will move east into the western Gulf through Friday. An accompanying weather front will cross the eastern Aleutians and AKPen Thursday before exiting the region Friday. Widespread high end small craft, to low end Gales will extend as far north as the Pribilof Islands and extend into Bristol Bay by Friday. Northwesterly gales are expected along the backside of this low, with the core of these winds channeled through the central and eastern Aleutians. Seas of 15 to 20 ft are expected across the southern Bering with seas of 20 to 25 ft possible on the Pacific side of the central and eastern Aleutians through Friday morning. Seas will subside to 10 ft or less late Friday through Saturday. Forecast confidence for this outlook is high. && Long Term Discussion (Days 4 through 7: Friday through Monday)... An upper-level ridge over the northern half of the state will weaken and shift to the southwest as an upper-level low moves east from the Aleutians and extends a shortwave north toward the Southern Mainland. At the surface, this translates to a weakening of the ridge over the state as a surface low moves from south of the eastern Aleutians Friday to the southern Gulf of Alaska late Saturday through Sunday. An occluded front attached to the low will sweep across the western and northern Gulf, bringing an increase in rain and winds first along the AKPen and Kodiak Island Friday then along the Southcentral coast through Saturday. Weak ridging out ahead and north of this system, along with a cross- barrier flow, should limit precipitation for inland locations, although an increase in cloud cover through the weekend is likely. This system then weakens and drifts southward late Sunday into Monday with a general clearing trend from north to south across the region. Farther west, a ridge will build across the Bering and Aleutians through the weekend in the wake of the low, resulting in a cool, northerly flow across the Aleutian Chain. The ridge extends over the western half of the state by Sunday and over the Southern Mainland for Monday. A weak upper-level wave and associated frontal system tries to move over the top of the ridge by Monday with scattered precipitation for the Kuskokwim Delta possible. A second weak surface low may impact the western Aleutians and Bering for Monday as the ridge moves over the Mainland. Temperatures across the region are expected to remain around average, but will warm through the latter half of the weekend as the ridge moves over the state and any lingering cloud cover from the Gulf low diminishes. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...Storm Warning 172 177 Gale Warning 170 173-176 178 FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KM SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CJ MARINE/LONG TERM...TM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 3:16 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Apr 19, 3:22 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Apr 19, 3:22 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Apr 19, 3:22 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Apr 19, 3:48 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.