Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2022

Gale Warning 265, NWS Anchorage, AK

March 17, 2022

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Mar 17, 2022, 4:10 PM AKDT. It was in force for 35 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2022, 4:10 PM AKDT (00:10 UTC)
Expired
Mar 19, 2022, 3:38 AM AKDT
In force
35 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

897 
FZAK51 PAFC 180010
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-181315-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 mb low 120 nm east of Sand Point and a 984 mb North Pacific 
low merge to form a 979 mb low 250 nm south of Middleton Island Fri
morning. This low moves to 130 nm south of Middleton Island at 982 
mb Sat afternoon. The associated front extends across the Gulf 
through Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-181315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-181315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-181315-
Resurrection Bay-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-181315-
Prince William Sound-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-181315-
Port Valdez-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-181315-
Valdez Narrows-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt early becoming 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-181315-
Valdez Arm-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-181315-
Passage Canal-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-181315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
Snow..
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-181315-
Barren Islands East-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-181315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft.
.FRI...N wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. N of
Dangerous Cape, NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-181315-
Chiniak Bay-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-181315-
Marmot Bay-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow,
mixing with rain in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-181315-
Shelikof Strait-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-181315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.  Snow and rain.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-181315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-181315-
Kachemak Bay-
410 PM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
331 
FZAK51 PAFC 181131
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-190030-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 976 mb low 230 nm southeast of Kodiak on Fri morning moves to
260 nm east of Kodiak by Sat morning and then to 200 nm east of
Kodiak at 984 mb by Sat evening. Its fronts extend across the 
Gulf through Sat night.


$$

PKZ119-190030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt early increasing to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft early
building to 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ120-190030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft
in the morning building to 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-190030-
Resurrection Bay-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow with rain in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-190030-
Prince William Sound-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 
ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-190030-
Port Valdez-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-190030-
Valdez Narrows-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt early increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and
rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-190030-
Valdez Arm-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt early increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain 
with snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-190030-
Passage Canal-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-190030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft
in the morning building to 9 ft. Freezing spray in the afternoon. 
Snow with rain the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-190030-
Barren Islands East-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft
in the morning building to 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain with snow.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-190030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt except NE 30 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas
14 ft. Rain showers and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-190030-
Chiniak Bay-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt early increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
Freezing spray in the morning. Snow with rain in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-190030-
Marmot Bay-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt early increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
Freezing spray in the morning. Snow with rain in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-190030-
Shelikof Strait-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-190030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-190030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-190030-
Kachemak Bay-
331 AM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
933 
FZAK51 PAFC 190004
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-191245-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 971 mb low 265 nm south of Middleton Island exits the southwestern
Gulf at 994 mb Sun afternoon. The associated front extends over the 
north gulf coast through Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-191245-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-191245-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-191245-
Resurrection Bay-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-191245-
Prince William Sound-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt decreasing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-191245-
Port Valdez-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-191245-
Valdez Narrows-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-191245-
Valdez Arm-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-191245-
Passage Canal-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-191245-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight. Freezing spray S of Augustine
Island. Snow.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-191245-
Barren Islands East-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-191245-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. N of
Dangerous Cape, NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-191245-
Chiniak Bay-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-191245-
Marmot Bay-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-191245-
Shelikof Strait-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-191245-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-191245-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt decreasing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7 
ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-191245-
Kachemak Bay-
404 PM AKDT Fri Mar 18 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
628 
FZAK51 PAFC 191138
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-200030-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 975 mb low 180 nm south of Middleton Island exits the 
Southwestern Gulf at 995 mb by Sun afternoon. Its front extends 
over the North Gulf Coast through Sun afternoon. A 985 mb low 340
nm south of Yakutat on Sun morning moves to 170 nm southwest of 
Yakutat at 996 mb by Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-200030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-200030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-200030-
Resurrection Bay-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-200030-
Prince William Sound-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-200030-
Port Valdez-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-200030-
Valdez Narrows-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming N 15 kt. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-200030-
Valdez Arm-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming NE. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-200030-
Passage Canal-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
25 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-200030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-200030-
Barren Islands East-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-200030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-200030-
Chiniak Bay-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-200030-
Marmot Bay-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-200030-
Shelikof Strait-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-200030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-200030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-200030-
Kachemak Bay-
338 AM AKDT Sat Mar 19 2022

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Mar 17, 5:06 AM AKDT, 11 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 5:06 AM AKDT, 11 hours 4 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
506 AM AKDT Thu Mar 17 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A polar low in Bristol Bay continues its southward trajectory,
spending the day crossing the AKPen and pushing into the North
Pacific. This system essentially re-amplifies as it merges with a
secondary North Pacific low, stalling briefly in the southern Gulf
and then pivoting north/northwest wards tracking towards Kodiak
Island. The cold Arctic air being pulled southwards across the
eastern Bering will inevitably wind up wrapping around the low
and pushing lingering colder air into the Gulf. East-west oriented
upper-level ridging moves over the Copper Basin and northern
Susitna Valley by tomorrow morning and gets shunted off to the
north as the aforementioned North Pacific low enters the Gulf.
Longwave upper level ridging has been, and will continue
bombarding the western Bering through the at least the short term.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Overall, models are in relatively good agreement through the short
term. There are some weak surface lows sporadically placed withing
a trough in the northern Gulf, but otherwise consensus is fine
through Friday night. A North Pacific low pushing towards the
southern Gulf is giving the models a difficult time specifically
with center location and system strength. General track is being
handled well across all solutions, with some light variations in
speed. The NAM/GFS are working in tandem for the most part, while
the Canadian and EC are lagging behind, the EC being placed
furthest east.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Mostly VFR conditions and light winds will persist.
Conditions may to drop to marginal during the morning hours and
then improve again for the afternoon and evening hours. Cloud
ceilings will likely be at or just below 5000' through much of the
afternoon before raising this evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Thursday through
Saturday night)...

An upper-level shortwave and associated surface trough will move
from the northern Gulf this morning into the interior of
Southcentral by Thursday evening. As it does, precipitation will
spread from the northern Gulf and Prince William Sound north and
west across Cook Inlet and into the Susitna Valley. As this wave
and the precipitation both progress north and west, a surge of
cold air wrapping into an upper low out west will move out of the
western Gulf northeast into the Cook Inlet region. This cold air
advection moving in aloft should allow for the precipitation to
fall as snow showers, with a lingering rain/snow mix possible
along the immediate coast. The surface trough and associated push
of cold air will stall along the coast and over northern Cook
Inlet. Thus, chances for any snow showers will quickly diminish
across the Mat-Su Valleys and Copper River Basin, with the
Talkeetnas and Alaska Range seeing the best chances.

By Thursday evening, the upper-level low over the AKPen slips
south. As it does, a North Pacific low will lift north into the
southern Gulf, preceded by two distinct upper-level waves
associated with the frontal system of a developing surface low in
the Southern Gulf. The first of these will move to the coast late
Thursday, keeping precipitation going along the coast, especially
along the eastern Kenai Peninsula coast and western Prince William
Sound given the persistent easterly flow aloft. The second wave
will move from the eastern Gulf across the northern Gulf and to
the western Gulf by Friday afternoon. This feature will move in
tandem with the surface front which will act to not only increase
northerly gap winds, but bring more precipitation in the form of
rain/snow along the coast and snow farther inland and at
elevation.

By Friday, the front advances to Kodiak Island, where a northerly
wind should hold temperatures in the lower to mid 30s. Thus,
precipitation is expected to fall as wet snow across the island,
with rain eventually moving in around Kodiak City Friday
afternoon or evening as warmer air pushes to the coast. Still, 3
to 6 inches of snow are possible with this system.

Elsewhere, intermittent clouds are expected across interior
Southcentral. The east-northeasterly flow aloft should keep the
bulk of the precipitation along the coast. The exception to this
may be upslope areas of the Glenn Highway around Eureka where
occasional light snow is possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Saturday night)...

Steady light snow showers continues over much of Southwest AK
early this morning, while a stacked vertical low crosses the
Alaska Peninsula for the western Gulf into noon today. Moisture
from the northern Gulf channeling west and across the Alaska Range
enhances clouds rotating through Bristol Bay including Iliamna,
Koliganek and Platinum. Strong wind gradient over the coastal
waters will force the aforementioned low into the deep North
Pacific by this evening. This same low will become absorbed into
the next North Pacific low approaching the Gulf by tonight,
leading to upper short waves rotating across parts of the lower
Kuskokwim Valley and over much of Bristol Bay Fri night through
Sat night. This pattern will continue to bring unsettled weather
and periods of light snow there. Cold polar air will continue to
push through the region especially to the west of the lower
Kuskokwim through the weekend, where low temperatures will fall
to zero to 10 above for the next few nights. Brisk northerly winds
will persist over much of the region through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Saturday night)...

Cold air from the Arctic will persist across the Bering with
areas of gales across the northern and eastern Bering with the
strongest winds south of the Eastern Aleutians and AKPen, while
potentially storm force gusts out of bays and passes continues through
at least Friday and possibly into Saturday. Another shortwave
with cold air will move out of Siberia and push southward across
the Bering late today through Friday producing a wide swath of
gales across much of the Bering through Saturday. Otherwise
expect snow showers south of the ice edge across the northern
Bering and extending south to the Aleutians and AKPen. Expect
severals inches of snow across the Eastern Aleutians and AKPen
over the short term as cold air continues to produce snow showers
through at least Saturday.

&&

.Marine (Days 3 through 5: Saturday through Monday)...

Gulf of Alaska: A well developed low exits the Southwestern Gulf
as a second well developed low enters the Southcentral Gulf on
Sunday. The second low moves to the Southwestern Gulf for Monday.
Forecast guidance is good. The wind wrapped first low brings high
end gales across the Gulf and through Cook Inlet, Barren Islands
and Shelikof Strait, diminishing Sunday. Gale force gap winds
continue along the Alaska Peninsula through Monday. The wind
wrapped second low spreads high end gales over the Gulf with
possible storm force winds South of Kodiak Island through Monday.
Seas to 12 feet over the Northern Gulf and to 18 feet across the
Southern Gulf through Monday. Freezing spray possible South and
West of Kodiak Island Saturday.

Bering Sea: The Western Bering high pressure continues its
Southward track, with its North side ridge moving across the
Bering through Monday. Several troughs move over the Eastern
Bering through Monday. Widespread high end gales move over the
Eastern Bering, Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula, diminishing over
the Bering Monday. Gap winds persist along the Pacific side of the
Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula through Monday. Seas to 20 feet
over the Bering side of the Central and Eastern Aleutians and
Alaska Peninsula through Sunday, subsiding. A front approaches the
Western Aleutians and Bering for Monday. Gusty winds increase to
widespread high end gales across the Western Aleutians and Bering.
Seas building to 20 feet for Monday. Freezing spray expected in
open waters over the Western and Central Bering through Saturday.

&&

.Long Term Discussion (Days 4 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...

The latest operational model runs and ensemble means are decently
clustered with the evolution and progression of the synoptic
scale features, but diverge in the specific details towards the
end of the period. Models seem to have a general consensus will be
a long wave pattern through early next week, with a broad trough
persisting over Mainland Alaska through Monday.

Meanwhile, an upper level low will be positioned somewhere in the
central Gulf that will pinwheel a series of shortwaves and
associated surface lows northward. Even though there is a good
amount of discrepancy and variability with these shortwaves, most
of the precipitation will be concentrated through the Panhandle
and up into the southern coasts. Much of the mainland should be
relatively dry during the period, with the exception for potential
snow showers by late Sunday in the eastern interior. Otherwise,
temperatures are expected to be below normal across the coastal
areas and interior valleys, but trending toward normal next week.

Out west, a ridge of high pressure will build across the Bering
Sea. A reinforcement of cold air advection will help drive
northerly winds funneling through the gaps and passes of the
Alaska Peninsula and Eastern Aleutian Islands. Wrap around
moisture on the backside of the aforementioned upper low will
bring occasional snow showers into these regions later this week.
A drying trend commences on Monday as the ridge axis shifts over
the western mainland, while a gale force front extending from a
Kamchatka low moves slowly east across the Western/Central
Aleutians. From Tuesday beyond, there is considerable spread how
far the front progresses with a variety of solutions over the
Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning 119 120 131 132 138 150 155 165 170 171
					  172 178 179 180 181 185 351 352 414
		 Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 165 179 180 185 412 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/MF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 4:10 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Mar 18, 3:31 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Mar 18, 3:57 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Mar 18, 7:06 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC9 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2022Every gale warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.