Gale Warning 211, NWS Anchorage, AK

098 
FZAK62 PAFC 061206
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
306 AM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-070245-
306 AM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 979 mb low at 55N 173E lifts into arctic Russia Mon morning. A 
1000 mb low at 48N 157W moves to 53N 161W Mon morning before 
transitioning to an open wave trough over the central Bering Tue 
morning. A 982 mb low near 47N 170E on Mon moves to 53N 162E 
through Tue morning. 

$$

PKZ411-070245-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
306 AM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt becoming S 15 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.

$$

PKZ412-070245-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
306 AM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt diminishing to 10 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON...S wind up to 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 8 to
11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ413-070245-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
306 AM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 to 25 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 9
to 14 ft.
.MON...NE wind up to 15 kt increasing to 10 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ414-070245-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
306 AM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022

.TODAY...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

759 
FZAK62 PAFC 070010
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
310 PM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-071515-
310 PM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 994 mb low near 58N 175E lifts into the Kamchatka Peninsula Mon
morning. A 1000 mb North Pacific low at 51N 159W moves to 54N 
161W at 1010 mb Mon morning. The low weakens as it lifts northward
Mon afternoon. A 980 mb low near 47N 170E Mon morning moves to 
53N 162E at 985 mb Tue morning.

$$

PKZ411-071515-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
310 PM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt becoming S 15 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.

$$

PKZ412-071515-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
310 PM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt diminishing to 10 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming variable up to 15 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind up to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ413-071515-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
310 PM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 to 25 kt becoming variable up to 15 kt after 
midnight. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.MON...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ414-071515-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
310 PM AKST Sun Mar 6 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

375 
FZAK62 PAFC 071229
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
329 AM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-080145-
329 AM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 1013 mb North Pacific low moves to 54N 162W by Mon morning and
dissipates by Mon evening. A 979 mb low moves to 49N 171E on Tue
morning and persists through Wed morning. Its front moves across 
the western Bering through Wed afternoon. A 994 mb low develops at
51N 174W by Wed morning. A separate 996 mb North Pacific low 
moves to 52N 162W by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ411-080145-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
329 AM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ412-080145-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
329 AM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022

.TODAY...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind up to 15 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ413-080145-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
329 AM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ414-080145-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
329 AM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.

$$

825 
FZAK62 PAFC 072351
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
251 PM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-081445-
251 PM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 980 mb low moves to 49N 171E Tue morning and persists through 
Wed afternoon. Its front moves across the western Bering through 
Wed afternoon. A 998 mb North Pacific low moves to 52N 159W Wed 
morning.

$$

PKZ411-081445-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
251 PM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ412-081445-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
251 PM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind up to 15 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.

$$

PKZ413-081445-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
251 PM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.THU...N wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.

$$

PKZ414-081445-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
251 PM AKST Mon Mar 7 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.

$$

704
FZAK62 PAFC 081219
OFFALU

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
319 AM AKST Tue Mar 8 2022

Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ499-090200-
319 AM AKST Tue Mar 8 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 980 mb low moves to 49N 171E Tue morning and persists through 
Thu afternoon. Its front moves across the western Bering through 
Wed afternoon. A 990 mb North Pacific low moves to 52N 164W Wed 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ411-090200-
Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International
Dateline-
319 AM AKST Tue Mar 8 2022

.TODAY...E wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ412-090200-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N-
319 AM AKST Tue Mar 8 2022

.TODAY...E wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ413-090200-
Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N-
319 AM AKST Tue Mar 8 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ414-090200-
Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W-
319 AM AKST Tue Mar 8 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
449 AM AKST Sat Mar 5 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An occluded low is lifting over the Western Aleutians this
morning, aided by a southerly 100+ knot upper level jet. A broad
front extends from the low to Shemya to Adak and south of the
Western Aleutians. Southeasterly gales have been observed over the
Western and Central Aleutians. Storm force winds and especially
storm force gusts are possible through Saturday afternoon as the
low continues northward. Southeast gales will be common on the
Bering side of the Aleutians while west to southwesterly gales
will be more common on the Pacific side. These higher winds will
be accompanied by 20+ foot seas and guidance suggests 30+ foot
seas may develop on the southwest side of the Rat Islands.

Ahead of the low the jetstream dives southward over the Eastern
Aleutians and into the upstream portion of an upper trough located
over the Alaska Peninsula and Bristol Bay. Downstream of the
trough a southwesterly 95 knot jet streak is overspreading Kodiak
toward the Kenai Peninsula. Several shortwave disturbances are
lifting out of the North Pacific within this southwesterly flow
and will overspread Southcentral throughout the day, possibly
phasing with the Alaska Peninsula/Bristol Bay trough as it
continues eastward.

Across Southcentral current precipitation is limited to the
northern Gulf and parts of Prince William Sound. However, overall
precipitation should expand in coverage throughout the day as the
combination of the upper level jet, phasing trough and shortwaves,
overspread Southcentral with increasing diffluence aloft. Over
Southwest precipitation will be more isolated and light with snow
noted over the Kuskokwim Delta from Hooper Bay into Bethel.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in good agreement with the synoptic pattern this
morning across the Bering with the strength and track of an upper
low over the Western Aleutians. Across Southcentral models resolve
an area of low pressure moving into Prince William Sound
reasonably well. However, some differences remain with respect to
mesoscale details at the surface. Namely, timing of precipitation
between models remains different depending on the model of choice.
Hi-res guidance and even the NAM and Gem Regional are the fastest
with precipitation departing the Anchorage Bowl by around 9z on
Sunday. The EC is a hair slower with precipitation ending a within
a few hours of hi-res models. Finally, the GFS is the slowest
solution and keeps snow falling across the Anchorage Bowl through
around 15z on Sunday morning. The slower solution of the GFS would
likely result in higher snow amounts for the Anchorage Bowl while
the faster solutions would see lighter amounts through Saturday
night. Aside from timing of precipitation across Southcentral, the
only other discrepancy is noted with the track of a North Pacific
low south of the Alaska Peninsula on Monday morning. The NAM is
slower and further east while the GFS, EC, and Canadian are faster
and further west, bringing the low near Sand Point early Monday
morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Timing of Saturday's expected snow remains on track with
VFR conditions to precede the snow through roughly 15z. Confidence
is high that ceilings and visibility will steadily deteriorate
through midday as snow increases in coverage, with IFR conditions
anticipated into the evening hours. One uncertainty concerned the
potential for rain to mix in with snow should temperatures hover
just above freezing; however, PANC is already down to 32 degrees
and temperatures should fall further through the morning hours.
Otherwise, expect VFR conditions to return after dark and closer
to 06z as low pressure departs the region to the east.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3; Today
through Monday)...

Today is the day with the biggest weather impacts and uncertainty
for the next few days. This is due to a surface low tracking
along the north Gulf coast as the upper level trough moves into
the region from the west. Precipitation is showing up an radar
along the north Gulf coast early this morning with rain being
predominant along the coast from Whittier eastward. The colder
air is moving in from the west and the biggest forecast challenge
is determining whether the temperatures in the Cook Inlet area
will remain cold enough to support snow all day or whether it will
mix with or turn to rain. Many times in a situation when
Anchorage has seen southeasterly winds and temperatures in the 40s
the day before this sort of set up, it is hard to cool down
enough for snow. What is a little different today is that there is
neither a south wind or temperatures well above freezing to the
south. Homer and Kenai both dropped below freezing overnight and
this is indicative of the airmass being cold enough to start as
snow for all of the Cook Inlet region this morning. Temperatures
will warm into the mid to upper 30s, but the cooling airmass aloft
should mainly keep precipitation snow except for the southern
Kenai Peninsula where Homer will likely mix with or turn all to
rain. However even there, the Homer bluff will likely remain
mostly snow though the day. That is the thinking for this forecast
package.

The northern Copper River Basin also has a winter weather
advisory out into Sunday morning. The main concern here is for
snow today and then some blowing snow overnight as the snowfall
lessens, but northerly winds pick up through the Alaska Range.

After today, the weather pattern will shift and high pressure will
build over Southcentral. This will clear out skies Sunday into
Monday with the only caveat that there could be areas of fog that
develop after the precipitation ends. This is always a
possibility, but there may be enough dry northwesterly flow moving
over the region to minimize this. This could become a forecast
challenge for Sunday and Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Monday)...

A weak low pressure system will continue to move across the
eastern Bering and towards Bristol Bay this morning. This system
will produce light snowfall in the area, but little to no
accumulation is expected. As the aforementioned low moves inland
and an upper-level tough passes over Southwest Alaska, shortwaves
will produce light snowfall over the Kuskokwim Delta early today.
However, little to no snow accumulations are expected with this
setup as well. A ridge of high pressure will push over the
Southwest tonight giving way to colder temperatures and clearer
conditions. With the ridge setting up over the Southwest, winds
becoming light and variable, and clearer skies, conditions become
favorable for fog to develop across the Kuskokwim Delta Sunday
night into Monday morning. The next weather producer will move
towards the Alaska Peninsula Sunday night. This low will begin to
increase winds and precipitation chances over the Alaska
Peninsula and Bristol Bay areas Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Today through Monday)...

A storm force low and its associated front will move across the
western Aleutians and into the Bering this morning. The
aforementioned low and front will track north and weaken on
Sunday. With the front extending into the western and central
Bering, gales will be produced in these locations Saturday night
into Sunday as a result. Widespread precipitation will move
through the western Aleutians and into the central Aleutians as
the front tracks northeastward with the low. A quick transition of
snow to rain should be expected in these areas. A north Pacific
low will track towards the Alaska Peninsula Sunday night with
gales force winds near the Alaska Peninsula and eastern Aleutians.
Widespread rain showers will move through the Alaska Peninsula
Sunday night into Monday with the aforementioned low. However,
models are still having some uncertainty with this North Pacific
low, so precipitation location/timing and the strength of the
winds may change.

&&

.Marine (Days 3 through 5: Monday through Wednesday)...

Gulf of Alaska: A moderately strong North Pacific low moves over
Kodiak Island, as its front extends across the Gulf through
Wednesday. Forecast guidance is good. High end Northeast gales
stretch from the Northern Gulf around Kodiak and Barren Islands,
Shelikof Strait and the Alaska Peninsula Coast, diminishing. Seas
to 16 feet across the Southern Gulf, subsiding Tuesday. Areas of
gusty winds persist through Wednesday.

Bering Sea: A Northern Bering low continues into the Chukchi Sea
by Tuesday. A well developed low and front moves into the Bering
through Wednesday. Forecast guidance is good. Gusty Southerly
winds across the Northern Bering diminish. Seas in ice free waters
to 12 feet, subsiding. The wind wrapped Western Bering low and
front brings high end Southerly gales with areas of storm force
winds over the Aleutians and across the Bering, spreading into the
Central Bering for Wednesday, diminishing. Seas building to 30
feet in parts of the Western Aleutians and Bering by Tuesday,
subsiding Wednesday.

&&

.Long Term Discussion (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through
Friday)...

The long term begins Tuesday with a continuation of an amplified
upper-level pattern. A large upper-level ridge dominates the
eastern Pacific and extends north along the Al-Can border. A
large upper-level trough remains situated over the western
Aleutians. By wednesday, the ridge is pushed south as a shortwave
trough ejects from the larger trough and moves toward
Southcentral. A second shortwave also drops south from the
northern Bering, allowing a trough to linger across the state
while the ridge reasserts itself over the eastern Pacific and
extends across the AKPen and into the eastern Bering. The long-
wave trough upstream becomes negatively tilted as a large upper-
level ridge builds over eastern Russia. Although models diverage
greatly through next week, they are all indicating the potential
for the establishment of a rex block, with the ridge centered near
the Bering Strait and a trough with multiple embedded shortwaves
positioned along the Aleutian Chain by the end of next week. As
for sensible weather, expected near normal temperatures through
the period with a chance for snow over the interior and a mix of
rain/snow along the coast Tuesday into Wednesday as the
aforementioned shortwaves coverage on Southcentral. Conditions
will remain unsettled across the Aleutians as a series of lows
rotates around the larger upper-level trough.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory: 101 141.
MARINE...Gale: 119 129 130 150 155 173-175 178 185 412.
         Storm: 176 177 411 413
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...NS
MARINE/LONG TERM...KZ/TM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
252 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1252 PM     SNOW             4 W STERLING            60.51N 150.91W
03/05/2022  E5.0 INCH        KENAI PENINSULA    AK   PUBLIC

1015 AM     SNOW             10 E KNIK               61.42N 149.46W
03/05/2022  E1.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

1128 AM     SNOW             1 E ANCHORAGE           61.21N 149.86W
03/05/2022  M6.8 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

1136 AM     SNOW             9 SE ANCHORAGE          61.12N 149.72W
03/05/2022  M2.5 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

1225 PM     SNOW             5 SE ANCHORAGE          61.15N 149.82W
03/05/2022  M4.6 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

0116 PM     SNOW             10 E KNIK               61.42N 149.46W
03/05/2022  E3.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
311 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     SNOW             BIG LAKE                61.52N 149.95W
03/05/2022  M6.0 INCH        MATANUSKA-SUSITNA  AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            HEAVY SNOW STILL FALLING.

0249 PM     SNOW             13 SE KNIK              61.30N 149.53W
03/05/2022  M8.0 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   PUBLIC

0255 PM     SNOW             ANCHORAGE               61.22N 149.89W
03/05/2022  M8.5 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            REPORTED 8.5 INCHES OF SNOW IN LAKE OTIS
            PKWY AND 88TH STREET.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
331 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     SNOW             12 NNW HOPE             61.06N 149.76W
03/05/2022  M4.5 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24-HR SNOWFALL TOTAL.

&&

KC