Alert archive / South Dakota / Wind Advisories in 2021
Wind Advisory 11, NWS Rapid City, SD
NWS Rapid City, SD issued this wind advisory at Jun 10, 2021, 3:01 PM MDT for 5 counties in South Dakota. It took effect at Jun 11, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 10, 2021, 3:01 PM MDT (21:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 11, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT
- Expired
- Jun 11, 2021, 6:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Rapid City, SD
Counties Custer County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD
The radar
The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1068 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -354 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1773 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 26 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 33 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
153 WWUS73 KUNR 102101 NPWUNR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Rapid City SD 301 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 SDZ013-073-111200- /O.EXB.KUNR.HW.W.0007.210611T0600Z-210611T1200Z/ Northern Meade Co Plains-Southern Meade Co Plains- Including the cities of Faith, Ellsworth AFB, and Union Center 301 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...The Northern Meade County Plains and the Southern Meade County Plains. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 AM MDT Friday. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ001-012-111200- /O.EXB.KUNR.HW.W.0007.210611T0400Z-210611T1200Z/ Harding-Butte- Including the cities of Buffalo and Belle Fourche 301 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. * WHERE...Harding County and Butte County. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 6 AM MDT Friday. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ027-029-041-WYZ054>056-058-071-110900- /O.CON.KUNR.HW.W.0007.210611T0000Z-210611T0900Z/ Southern Foot Hills-Southern Black Hills-Fall River- Northern Campbell-Southern Campbell-Western Crook-Weston- Northeastern Crook- Including the cities of Edgemont, Hot Springs, Custer, Jewel Cave, Pringle, Custer State Park, Wind Cave, Ardmore, Oelrichs, Gillette, Wright, Moorcroft, Hulett, Newcastle, Upton, and Colony 301 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM MDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Wyoming and southwestern and the Black Hills of South Dakota. * WHEN...Evening hours over northeast Wyoming and late evening into the overnight over far southwest South Dakota. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ002-025-026-030-031-072-074-111200- /O.NEW.KUNR.WI.Y.0011.210611T0600Z-210611T1200Z/ Perkins-Northern Foot Hills-Rapid City-Custer Co Plains- Pennington Co Plains-Sturgis/Piedmont Foot Hills- Hermosa Foot Hills- Including the cities of Lemmon, Bison, Spearfish, Whitewood, Rapid City, Folsom, Box Elder, Caputa, Wall, Sturgis, Piedmont, Summerset, Hermosa, Buffalo Gap, and Fairburn 301 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northwestern and southwestern South Dakota. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 AM MDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Sudden wind gusts can cause drivers to lose control, especially in lightweight or high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ SDZ014-032-043-046-047-049-110100- /O.CON.KUNR.HT.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210611T0100Z/ Ziebach-Haakon-Jackson-Mellette-Todd-Tripp- Including the cities of Dupree, Philip, Kadoka, White River, Mission, and Winner 301 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 /401 PM CDT Thu Jun 10 2021/ ...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heat index values up to 102. * WHERE...Portions of northwestern, south central and southwestern South Dakota. This includes the Tribal Lands of the Pine Ridge Reservation, the Cheyenne River Reservation and the Rosebud Reservation. * WHEN...Until 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ this evening. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses to occur. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles under any circumstances. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://weather.gov/unr
4 follow-up statements
356 WWUS73 KUNR 110055 NPWUNR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Rapid City SD 655 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 SDZ014-032-043-046-047-049-110200- /O.EXP.KUNR.HT.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210611T0100Z/ Ziebach-Haakon-Jackson-Mellette-Todd-Tripp- Including the cities of Dupree, Philip, Kadoka, White River, Mission, and Winner 655 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 /755 PM CDT Thu Jun 10 2021/ ...HEAT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... $$ SDZ027-029-041-WYZ054>056-058-071-110900- /O.CON.KUNR.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210611T0900Z/ Southern Foot Hills-Southern Black Hills-Fall River- Northern Campbell-Southern Campbell-Western Crook-Weston- Northeastern Crook- Including the cities of Edgemont, Hot Springs, Custer, Jewel Cave, Pringle, Custer State Park, Wind Cave, Ardmore, Oelrichs, Gillette, Wright, Moorcroft, Hulett, Newcastle, Upton, and Colony 655 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Wyoming and southwestern and the Black Hills of South Dakota. * WHEN...Evening hours over northeast Wyoming and late evening into the overnight over far southwest South Dakota. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ013-073-111200- /O.CON.KUNR.HW.W.0007.210611T0600Z-210611T1200Z/ Northern Meade Co Plains-Southern Meade Co Plains- Including the cities of Faith, Ellsworth AFB, and Union Center 655 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...The Northern Meade County Plains and the Southern Meade County Plains. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 AM MDT Friday. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ001-012-111200- /O.CON.KUNR.HW.W.0007.210611T0400Z-210611T1200Z/ Harding-Butte- Including the cities of Buffalo and Belle Fourche 655 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. * WHERE...Harding County and Butte County. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 6 AM MDT Friday. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ002-025-026-030-031-072-074-111200- /O.CON.KUNR.WI.Y.0011.210611T0600Z-210611T1200Z/ Perkins-Northern Foot Hills-Rapid City-Custer Co Plains- Pennington Co Plains-Sturgis/Piedmont Foot Hills- Hermosa Foot Hills- Including the cities of Lemmon, Bison, Spearfish, Whitewood, Rapid City, Folsom, Box Elder, Caputa, Wall, Sturgis, Piedmont, Summerset, Hermosa, Buffalo Gap, and Fairburn 655 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM MDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northwestern and southwestern South Dakota. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 AM MDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Sudden wind gusts can cause drivers to lose control, especially in lightweight or high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://weather.gov/unr
764 WWUS73 KUNR 110722 NPWUNR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Rapid City SD 122 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 WYZ054>056-058-071-110830- /O.CAN.KUNR.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210611T0900Z/ Northern Campbell-Southern Campbell-Western Crook-Weston- Northeastern Crook- Including the cities of Gillette, Wright, Moorcroft, Hulett, Newcastle, Upton, and Colony 122 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... The cold front has moved through all of northeastern Wyoming, thus the winds will gradually decrease for the rest of the night. $$ SDZ027-029-041-110900- /O.CON.KUNR.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210611T0900Z/ Southern Foot Hills-Southern Black Hills-Fall River- Including the cities of Edgemont, Hot Springs, Custer, Jewel Cave, Pringle, Custer State Park, Wind Cave, Ardmore, and Oelrichs 122 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Southwestern and the Southern Black Hills of South Dakota. * WHEN...Through 3 AM MDT today. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ013-073-111200- /O.CON.KUNR.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210611T1200Z/ Northern Meade Co Plains-Southern Meade Co Plains- Including the cities of Faith, Ellsworth AFB, and Union Center 122 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...The Northern Meade County Plains and the Southern Meade County Plains. * WHEN...Through 6 AM MDT today. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ001-012-111200- /O.CON.KUNR.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210611T1200Z/ Harding-Butte- Including the cities of Buffalo and Belle Fourche 122 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. * WHERE...Harding County and Butte County. * WHEN...Through 6 AM MDT today. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ002-025-026-030-031-072-074-111200- /O.CON.KUNR.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210611T1200Z/ Perkins-Northern Foot Hills-Rapid City-Custer Co Plains- Pennington Co Plains-Sturgis/Piedmont Foot Hills- Hermosa Foot Hills- Including the cities of Lemmon, Bison, Spearfish, Whitewood, Rapid City, Folsom, Box Elder, Caputa, Wall, Sturgis, Piedmont, Summerset, Hermosa, Buffalo Gap, and Fairburn 122 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northwestern and southwestern South Dakota. * WHEN...Through 6 AM MDT today. * IMPACTS...Sudden wind gusts can cause drivers to lose control, especially in lightweight or high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://weather.gov/unr
119 WWUS73 KUNR 110847 NPWUNR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Rapid City SD 247 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 SDZ027-029-041-111000- /O.CAN.KUNR.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210611T0900Z/ Southern Foot Hills-Southern Black Hills-Fall River- Including the cities of Edgemont, Hot Springs, Custer, Jewel Cave, Pringle, Custer State Park, Wind Cave, Ardmore, and Oelrichs 247 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... Winds will continue to decrease through the early morning hours. $$ SDZ013-073-111200- /O.CON.KUNR.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210611T1200Z/ Northern Meade Co Plains-Southern Meade Co Plains- Including the cities of Faith, Ellsworth AFB, and Union Center 247 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...The Northern Meade County Plains and the Southern Meade County Plains. * WHEN...Through 6 AM MDT today. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ001-012-111200- /O.CON.KUNR.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210611T1200Z/ Harding-Butte- Including the cities of Buffalo and Belle Fourche 247 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. * WHERE...Harding County and Butte County. * WHEN...Through 6 AM MDT today. * IMPACTS...The high winds may blow down large trees and damage roofs, small outbuildings, and signs. Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons outdoors should watch for flying or falling objects that may injure you. If you are driving, be prepared for sudden wind gusts that can cause you to lose control of your vehicle, especially on open stretches, or as you approach the crest of hills. Also be alert for debris or dust blowing across the road. && $$ SDZ002-025-026-030-031-072-074-111200- /O.CON.KUNR.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210611T1200Z/ Perkins-Northern Foot Hills-Rapid City-Custer Co Plains- Pennington Co Plains-Sturgis/Piedmont Foot Hills- Hermosa Foot Hills- Including the cities of Lemmon, Bison, Spearfish, Whitewood, Rapid City, Folsom, Box Elder, Caputa, Wall, Sturgis, Piedmont, Summerset, Hermosa, Buffalo Gap, and Fairburn 247 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northwestern and southwestern South Dakota. * WHEN...Through 6 AM MDT today. * IMPACTS...Sudden wind gusts can cause drivers to lose control, especially in lightweight or high profile vehicles. Strong winds can cause blowing dust, reduced visibility, and flying debris. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://weather.gov/unr
139 WWUS73 KUNR 111207 NPWUNR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Rapid City SD 607 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 SDZ001-012-013-073-111315- /O.EXP.KUNR.HW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-210611T1200Z/ Harding-Butte-Northern Meade Co Plains-Southern Meade Co Plains- Including the cities of Buffalo, Belle Fourche, Faith, Ellsworth AFB, and Union Center 607 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED... Northwest winds will gradually decrease through the day. $$ SDZ002-025-026-030-031-072-074-111315- /O.EXP.KUNR.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-210611T1200Z/ Perkins-Northern Foot Hills-Rapid City-Custer Co Plains- Pennington Co Plains-Sturgis/Piedmont Foot Hills- Hermosa Foot Hills- Including the cities of Lemmon, Bison, Spearfish, Whitewood, Rapid City, Folsom, Box Elder, Caputa, Wall, Sturgis, Piedmont, Summerset, Hermosa, Buffalo Gap, and Fairburn 607 AM MDT Fri Jun 11 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... Northwest winds will gradually decrease through the day. $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://weather.gov/unr
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Rapid City, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jun 10, 11:45 AM MDT, 3 hours 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 11:45 AM MDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1145 AM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021
.DISCUSSION...(Today Through Wednesday)
Issued at 326 AM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021
Latest water vapor analysis has an upper trough digging down the
California coast with a well defined ridge axis centered over the
Western High Plains. At the surface, low pressure is centered over
north central Wyoming and southern Montana, with a warm front
extending eastward across South Dakota into northern Minnesota. A
dryline also extends to the south of the low through central
Wyoming.
Today will be hot ahead of the approaching west coast trough. The
surface low will deepen over southeastern Montana later today,
creating breezy conditions which will advect hot, moist air into
the eastern half of the area. Dew points in the mid to upper 60s
over the eastern portion of the CWA will combine with the hot
temperatures, creating apparent temperatures over 100 degrees.
Thus a heat advisory will be issued east of a line from Dupree to
Phillip to Parmelee. Over northeastern WY, south to southwesterly
winds will become breezy in the morning and potentially quite
strong and gusty late in the afternoon. With humidity values
expected to drop to near or below 10 percent in the afternoon,
current red flag warning for the northeast WY plains looks like a
good call. Additionally, isolated mostly dry thunderstorms could
possibly develop late in the afternoon and early evening over this
area.
A strong shortwave will cross the Northern Rockies and Northern
Plains later today and tonight, but it doesn't reach the area
until early evening. MUCAPE is progged to reach 2000-3500 J/kg by
mid- afternoon, with the highest values toward central SD. Still
some uncertainty with the timing, but should generally be between
4 and 7 PM along and just ahead of the dryline/front in northeast
Wyoming, southeast MT, and far western SD. The 0-6 km shear will
increase toward early evening, especially across northern and
western areas. Supercells will be possible initially ahead of the
dryline/front late in the afternoon/early evening, but eventually
the storms will form into a line and propagate east ahead of the
shortwave during the overnight hours. Large hail and strong wind
gusts will be the main threats initially, with wind probably
becoming the more dominant threat as time goes on in the evening.
An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out either, mainly
across northwest SD nearer to the track of the surface low. Gusty
northwesterly winds will develop overnight behind the front as
cooler air pushes into the area, with models indicating pressure
rises of 8 to 10 mb over three hours. NAM/GFS model soundings are
not as impressive as the previous runs, but the potential still
exists for sustained winds over 40 mph and 60+ gusts. Thus will
upgrade to a high wind warning over northeastern Wyoming and far
southwestern SD and will have a later start time for the warning
due to the strongest winds occurring behind the front. At this
time have decided to hold off on wind highlights for the rest of
SD Plains, including northwestern SD through the areas just east
of Rapid City; due to the uncertainty of the mixing behind the
expected convection. Will let the day shift evaluate this area
further later today.
Heavy rain will also be possible with these storms, with
precipitable water 150-200% of normal. WPC has most of SD in a
marginal risk for excessive rainfall, with a portion of
northwestern SD in a slight risk. Localized flooding is possible
due to the recent rainfall, as the HREF does show 2+ inches of
additional rainfall possible over this area. However, the ongoing
drought conditions and the lack of any response from the past
heavy rainfall over the last week, will probably minimize any
threat.
Noticeably cooler temperatures, but around average, are expected
Friday behind the cold front, with highs in the 70s to lower 80s.
Breezy northwesterly winds will linger across the western SD
plains, but will gradually decrease in the afternoon. The cooler
conditions will be short-lived as the ridge builds over the
Northern Rockies this weekend and persists through at least the
first half of next week. Highs will be back in the 80s and 90s for
Saturday through Wednesday. Chances for storms look to be slim to
none over the weekend, but could start to see at least slight
chances for some areas early next week.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS Through 18Z Friday)
Issued At 1141 AM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021
(For the 12Z TAFS Through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued At 415 AM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021
A strong cold front moves through the region late this afternoon
through midnight, bringing with it strong to severe
thunderstorms. Damaging wind and large hail will be possible with
these storms. Areas may see localized IFR conditions while storms
are ongoing, otherwise expect VFR conditions through the TAF
period.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 326 AM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021
South to southwesterly winds will become breezy in the morning and
quite strong in the evening as a cold front approaches. Relative
humidity values will drop to near or below 10 percent in the
afternoon. Thus the current Red Flag Warning looks to be on track.
Additionally, isolated mostly dry thunderstorms may possibly
develop late in the afternoon and early evening over northeastern
WY.
Very dry conditions will persist across northeastern WY through the
weekend, but winds will be lighter and likely remain below red flag
criteria.
&&
.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...High Wind Warning from 6 PM this evening to 3 AM MDT Friday for
SDZ027-029-041.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ this evening for SDZ014-
032-043-046-047-049.
WY...High Wind Warning from 6 PM this evening to 3 AM MDT Friday for
WYZ054>056-058-071.
Red Flag Warning until 10 PM MDT this evening for WYZ314>317.
&&
DISCUSSION...MLS
AVIATION...Dye
FIRE WEATHER...MLSHazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 4:33 AM MDT, 10 hours 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Rapid City SD 433 AM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 WYZ054>056-058-071-111300- Northern Campbell-Southern Campbell-Western Crook-Weston- Northeastern Crook- 433 AM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast Wyoming. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Red Flag Warnings are in effect today. See the Red Flag Warning product (RFWUNR) for details. High wind warnings are in effect tonight. See the non-precipitation product (NPWUNR) for details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Near critical fire weather conditions are expected Friday afternoon due to breezy west winds and relative humidities dropping to the upper teens. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed today. && Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity SDZ001-002-012-013-024>026-028-030-031-042-044-072>074-WYZ057- 111300- Harding-Perkins-Butte-Northern Meade Co Plains- Northern Black Hills-Northern Foot Hills-Rapid City- Central Black Hills-Custer Co Plains-Pennington Co Plains- Oglala Lakota-Bennett-Sturgis/Piedmont Foot Hills- Southern Meade Co Plains-Hermosa Foot Hills-Wyoming Black Hills- 433 AM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western South Dakota and northeastern Wyoming. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight There is an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms late this afternoon and this evening, mainly from 400 PM to Midnight. Giant hail, thunderstorm winds gusts in excess of 80 MPH and isolated tornadoes are possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and early this evening, especially over northwest South Dakota. && Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity SDZ027-029-041-111300- Southern Foot Hills-Southern Black Hills-Fall River- 433 AM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwestern South Dakota...and the Black Hills of South Dakota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight There is an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms late this afternoon and this evening, mainly from 400 PM to Midnight. Giant hail, thunderstorm winds gusts in excess of 80 MPH and isolated tornadoes are possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and early this evening. && Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity SDZ014-032-043-046-047-049-111300- Ziebach-Haakon-Jackson-Mellette-Todd-Tripp- 433 AM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021 /533 AM CDT Thu Jun 10 2021/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western South Dakota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight There is an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms late this afternoon and this evening, mainly from 600 PM to Midnight. Giant hail, thunderstorm winds gusts in excess of 80 MPH and isolated tornadoes are possible. Heat indices will rise as high as 102 degrees this afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed this evening. && Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity
The office that day
Everything else NWS Rapid City, SD issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 3:35 AM MDT | Heat Advisory | UNR | Haakon, Jackson, Mellette, Todd, Tripp, Ziebach | 15 hr |
| Jun 10, 3:35 AM MDT | High Wind Warning | UNR | Butte, Custer, Fall River, Harding, Meade | 26 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in South Dakota, 2021Every wind advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.