Alert archive / Arizona / Winter Weather Advisories in 2021
Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Tucson, AZ
NWS Tucson, AZ issued this winter weather advisory at Jan 24, 2021, 3:38 AM MST for 6 counties in Arizona. It took effect at Jan 25, 2021, 1:00 PM MST. It was in force for 28 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 24, 2021, 3:38 AM MST (10:38 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 25, 2021, 1:00 PM MST
- Expired
- Jan 26, 2021, 5:00 PM MST
- In force
- 28 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tucson, AZ
Counties Cochise County, AZ, Graham County, AZ, Greenlee County, AZ, Pima County, AZ, Pinal County, AZ, Santa Cruz County, AZ
The radar
The Tucson radar (KEMX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 00:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -12 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2188 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 73 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 44 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 132 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
274 WWUS45 KTWC 241038 WSWTWC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 338 AM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 AZZ510>514-242030- /O.UPG.KTWC.WS.A.0001.210126T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210125T0300Z/ White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties- Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains- Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains- Catalina and Rincon Mountains- Including the cities of Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven 338 AM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow accumulations of 3 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties, Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains, Chiricahua Mountains, Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains and Catalina and Rincon Mountains. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 8 PM MST this evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the mountains. Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ503-504-506>509-515-242030- /O.UPG.KTWC.WS.A.0001.210126T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-Tucson Metro Area- Southeast Pinal County-Upper San Pedro River Valley- Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley- Baboquivari Mountains- Including the cities of Nogales, Vail, Oracle, Sierra Vista, Benson, Willcox, and Clifton 338 AM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
7 follow-up statements
531 WWUS45 KTWC 242228 WSWTWC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 328 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 AZZ503-507-508-251230- /O.UPG.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley- Upper San Pedro River Valley- Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet- Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, and Benson 328 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 8 inches. Up to 12 inches for elevations around 5000 feet and above. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph with blowing and drifting snow possible. * WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the mountains. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ510>514-251230- /O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210125T0300Z/ White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties- Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains- Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains- Catalina and Rincon Mountains- Including the cities of Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, Canelo Hills, Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven 328 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 16 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, additional snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches through this evening. Winds gusting up to 35 mph. * WHERE...White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties, Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains, Chiricahua Mountains, Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains and Catalina and Rincon Mountains. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 8 PM MST this evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the mountains. Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ504-251230- /O.EXT.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210126T0300Z-210127T0000Z/ Tucson Metro Area- Including the cities of Green Valley and Vail 328 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS AROUND AND ABOVE 2700 FEET, WHICH INCLUDES THE LOWER FOOTHILLS OF THE CATALINA, RINCON AND TUCSON MOUNTAINS... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches. A dusting of snow is possible down to 2500 feet, which includes the city of Tucson. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...From 8 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ506-509-515-251230- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ Southeast Pinal County-Upper Gila River Valley- Baboquivari Mountains- Including the cities of Mammoth, Oracle, Clifton, and Safford 328 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches between 2500-5000 feet, with 3-6 inches above 5000 feet. Less than one inch for elevations below 2500 feet. Expect higher amounts in the mountains. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
884 WWUS45 KTWC 250300 WSWTWC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 800 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 AZZ510>514-251400- /O.EXP.KTWC.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210125T0300Z/ /O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties- Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains- Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains- Catalina and Rincon Mountains- Including the cities of Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, Canelo Hills, Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven 800 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 14 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties, Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains, Chiricahua Mountains, Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains and Catalina and Rincon Mountains. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 8 PM MST this evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the mountains. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ503-507-508-251400- /O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley- Upper San Pedro River Valley- Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet- Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, and Benson 800 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected with total snow accumulations of 3 to 8 inches between 3500-5000 feet. Up to 12 inches is possible for elevations around 5000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph, with blowing and drifting snow possible. * WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the mountains. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ504-251400- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210126T0300Z-210127T0000Z/ Tucson Metro Area- Including the cities of Green Valley and Vail 800 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2700 FEET, WHICH INCLUDES THE LOWER FOOTHILLS OF THE CATALINA, RINCON AND TUCSON MOUNTAINS... * WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches. A dusting of snow is possible down to 2500 feet, which includes the city of Tucson. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...From 8 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ506-509-515-251400- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ Southeast Pinal County-Upper Gila River Valley- Baboquivari Mountains- Including the cities of Mammoth, Oracle, Clifton, and Safford 800 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches between 2500-5000 feet, with 3-6 inches above 5000 feet. Less than one inch is possible for elevations below 2500 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
782 WWUS45 KTWC 250921 WSWTWC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 221 AM MST Mon Jan 25 2021 AZZ503-507-508-510>514-252000- /O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley- Upper San Pedro River Valley- Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet- White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties- Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains- Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains- Catalina and Rincon Mountains- Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, Canelo Hills, Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven 221 AM MST Mon Jan 25 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected with total snow accumulations of 3 to 8 inches between 3500-5000 feet. Up to 12 inches is possible for elevations above 5000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph, with blowing and drifting snow possible. * WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the mountains. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ504-252000- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210126T0300Z-210127T0000Z/ Tucson Metro Area- Including the cities of Green Valley and Vail 221 AM MST Mon Jan 25 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches. A dusting of snow is possible down to 2500 feet, which includes the city of Tucson. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...From 8 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ506-509-515-252000- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/ Southeast Pinal County-Upper Gila River Valley- Baboquivari Mountains- Including the cities of Mammoth, Oracle, Clifton, and Safford 221 AM MST Mon Jan 25 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches between 2500-5000 feet, with 3-6 inches above 5000 feet. Less than one inch is possible for elevations below 2500 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
651 WWUS45 KTWC 252116 WSWTWC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 216 PM MST Mon Jan 25 2021 AZZ503-507-508-510>514-261300- /O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley- Upper San Pedro River Valley- Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet- White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties- Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains- Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains- Catalina and Rincon Mountains- Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, Canelo Hills, Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven 216 PM MST Mon Jan 25 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected with total snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches between 3000-5000 feet and 7 to 12 inches for elevations between 5000-7000 feet. Above 7000 feet, expect 12 to 18 inches with locally higher amounts nearing two feet for mountain peaks. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph, with blowing and drifting snow likely. * WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with potential for snow-packed roadways. Travel could be impossible at times. Brief blizzard like conditions will be possible in gusty winds, especially for the mountains. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are expected. This will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the mountains. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ504-261300- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210126T0300Z-210127T0000Z/ Tucson Metro Area- Including the cities of Tucson, Green Valley, and Vail 216 PM MST Mon Jan 25 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS AROUND AND ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches. A dusting to one inch of snow is possible down to 2500 feet, which includes the city of Tucson. Best chance for snow will be the foothills around Tucson. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...From 8 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ509-515-261300- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Gila River Valley-Baboquivari Mountains- Including the cities of Clifton and Safford 216 PM MST Mon Jan 25 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS AROUND AND ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches between 2500-5000 feet, with 3-6 inches above 5000 feet. Less than one inch is possible for elevations below 2500 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ506-261300- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Southeast Pinal County- Including the cities of Mammoth and Oracle 216 PM MST Mon Jan 25 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS AROUND AND ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches between 2500-4000 feet, with 3-6 inches above 5000 feet. A dusting to one inch is possible for elevations below 2500 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph with possible blowing and drifting of snow. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
772 WWUS45 KTWC 260925 WSWTWC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 225 AM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 AZZ503-507-508-510>514-262100- /O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley- Upper San Pedro River Valley- Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet- White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties- Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains- Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains- Catalina and Rincon Mountains- Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, Canelo Hills, Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven 225 AM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow, heavy at times, can be expected today. Storm total snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches, with up to 18 inches above 7,000 feet will be possible. * WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet. * WHEN...Until 5 PM MST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with potential for snow-packed roadways. Travel could be impossible at times. Brief blizzard like conditions will be possible in gusty winds, especially for the mountains. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the mountains. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ504-506-262100- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Tucson Metro Area-Southeast Pinal County- Including the cities of Tucson, Green Valley, Vail, Mammoth, and Oracle 225 AM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches. A dusting to one inch of snow is possible down to 2500 feet, which includes the city of Tucson. Best chance for snow will be the foothills around Tucson. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...Until 5 PM MST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ509-515-262100- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Gila River Valley-Baboquivari Mountains- Including the cities of Clifton and Safford 225 AM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow showers expected with 1 to 3 inches in the lower valleys. Elevations above 5,000 feet could see 3 to 6 inches. * WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona. * WHEN...Until 5 PM MST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
492 WWUS45 KTWC 262059 WSWTWC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 159 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 AZZ514-262200- /O.CAN.KTWC.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Catalina and Rincon Mountains- 159 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... Heavy snow has ended, although some light snow showers will continue through the remainder of the afternoon hours. $$ AZZ504-506-515-262200- /O.CAN.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Tucson Metro Area-Southeast Pinal County-Baboquivari Mountains- 159 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... A few light rain or mixed rain and snow showers will continue through the remainder of this afternoon before ending. No additional accumulation is expected. $$ AZZ503-507-508-510>513-270000- /O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley- Upper San Pedro River Valley- Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet- White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties- Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains- Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains- Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills 159 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow, heavy at times, can be expected for the remainder of this afternoon before tapering off. Storm total snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches, with up to 18 inches above 7,000 feet will be possible. * WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet. * WHEN...Until 5 PM MST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with potential for snow-packed roadways. Travel could be impossible at times. Brief blizzard like conditions will be possible in gusty winds, especially for the mountains. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the mountains. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ AZZ509-270000- /O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Gila River Valley- Including the cities of Clifton and Safford 159 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow showers expected with 1 to 3 inches in the lower valleys. Elevations above 5,000 feet could see 3 to 6 inches. * WHERE...Portions of Graham and Greenlee counties. * WHEN...Until 5 PM MST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio stations...or your cable television service provider for updates on this Winter Storm. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
282 WWUS45 KTWC 270004 WSWTWC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Tucson AZ 504 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 AZZ503-507-508-510>513-270115- /O.EXP.KTWC.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley- Upper San Pedro River Valley- Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet- White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties- Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains- Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains- Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills 504 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED... Most snow showers have moved east of the area. Little or no additional snowfall expected. $$ AZZ509-270115- /O.EXP.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/ Upper Gila River Valley- Including the cities of Clifton and Safford 504 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... Most snow showers have moved east of the area. Little or no additional snowfall expected. $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Jan 23, 3:21 PM MST, 12 hours 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 3:21 PM MST, 12 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 321 PM MST Sat Jan 23 2021 .SYNOPSIS...A pair of winter storms will impact the area Sunday and then Monday afternoon into Tuesday with valley rain and mountain snow. The strongest and coldest storm is expected to start Monday afternoon with snow levels possibly reaching desert floors including the Tucson Metro Monday night into Tuesday. Significant snow accumulations are expected for elevations generally above 4000 feet. Gusty winds with well below average temperatures will also accompany the storm system. && .DISCUSSION...It is going to be quite interesting over the next 72 hours across all of Arizona as a significant winter storm impacts the state of Arizona. The first storm system is currently sliding down the Cali coastline. This is resulting in an increase of gusty southwest winds. Expect winds to slacken after sunset, but a potent trof and associated cold front will be moving across Arizona. Valley rain showers and mountain snow showers will be on the increase from late this evening across western Pima Co to the rest of the area by Sunday morning. Precip will be showery in nature, with perhaps a 1-3 hour block of continuous light to moderate rain along the frontal bndry. Valley rain amounts will generally be 0.05 to 0.35" with 3-7" of snow between 6000-7000 feet and up to 12" above 7000 feet. Snow levels could briefly dip to 4500 feet or so Sunday afternoon and night south and east of Tucson. Accumulations of up to 1" are possible with minimal impacts to roadways. There will be a quick break between storm one and storm two. Storm two will be a much stronger, wetter, and colder storm system. Because of storm one lowering snow levels, storm two will have an antecedently cold airmass to start with. Thus, snow levels start around 5000 feet Monday afternoon and quickly fall to around 4000 feet by early Monday evening. This is where things get interesting. We have a plethora of ensemble based, probability, and statistical guidance. There is an increasingly strong signal in the guidance for snow levels falling easily to 3000 feet late Monday evening/night, potentially dropping to around 2500 feet early Tuesday morning. This would push at least a rain/snow mix into Tucson with potentially higher portions of the metro seeing a changeover to all snow with light (Dusting to 1-2") of snow. At this time, there is a low (20-30%) chance of this occurring. There is higher confidence of seeing snow, but lower confidence of actual accumulations. There is still plenty of time to see how this evolves, but a Winter Weather ADV down to roughly 3000 feet is possible. Best spots to see snow would be far east Tucson, Catalina Foothills, Vail, Corona De Tucson etc. This will be monitored closely over the next day or so to see if snow levels need to go lower and/or probabilities of accumulating snow higher. Now for the rest of the area, this is lining up to be a significant winter storm for elevations around 4000 feet and above. This is especially true for areas from Nogales to Sonoita to Sierra Vista, where guidance is suggesting a frontal bndry from storm two stalling or slowing and becoming an east/west bndry Tuesday morning and into early afternoon. This could push snowfall totals into the 3-8" range with locally 12" for valleys near 5000 feet. Something to watch for sure, as this band could shift north or south changing snowfall amounts. There is at least moderate confidence, thus the issuance of a Winter Storm Watch for the area. Mountain locations above 7000 feet could see 10-16" of snow. Some higher amounts are possible for peaks. As the storm pushes out of the area late Tuesday, the coldest air of the season is likely. A Hard Freeze is possible for Tucson with lows possibly into the middle to upper 20s. For areas south and east of Tucson overnight lows will be widespread teens/twenties. Localized areas dipping into the single digits is possible as well. One thing to watch will be how much snow accumulates and how quick we clear/dry Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. If we can maximize the radiational cooling with snowcover, some very cold overnight lows will be possible.Something to keep in the back of your mind as we progress into the work week. After that, a slight warming trend for a few days with yet another storm system possibly by later next week. With the ongoing drought, keep'em coming. && .AVIATION...Valid through 25/00Z. SCT-BKN clouds at 7k-11k ft MSL and periods of high clouds AOA 15k ft MSL thru 24/04Z, then lowering cloud decks thru the remainder of the forecast period. BKN-OVC cloud decks at 2k-5k ft AGL by 24/12Z. VCSH or SHRA is likely at all TAF locales aft 24/08Z. SFC wind generally SWLY at 10-16 kts, gusts to 26 kts through 24/03Z then becoming Sly to 10 kts. Wind increasing again aft 24/16Z becoming SW 10-16 kts with gusts up to 30 kt. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FIRE WEATHER...A series of cold storm systems will move across the region into the middle of next week, for an increasing chance of precipitation. Expect valley showers and mountain snow showers down to around 5000 ft through Sunday. Another even colder storm system will bring additional precipitation, likely heavier with snow levels around 4500 ft Monday dropping to or below 3000 ft by Tuesday morning. Gusty winds are expected during this unsettled weather period, with Monday looking like the breeziest day. A drier weather pattern is expected during the second half of next week with the possibility of yet another storm system next weekend. && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM to 8 PM MST Sunday for AZZ510>514. Winter Storm Watch from Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon for AZZ503-504-506>515. && Public...Michael Aviation...Cerniglia Fire Weather....Cerniglia Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 3:38 AM MST | Winter Storm Warning | TWC | Cochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz | 61 hr |
| Jan 24, 11:13 AM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Pinal | 32 min |
| Jan 24, 11:26 AM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 34 min | |
| Jan 24, 1:02 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 43 min | |
| Jan 24, 1:49 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Pinal | 56 min |
| Jan 24, 2:46 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Pinal | 44 min |
| Jan 24, 2:53 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 37 min | |
| Jan 24, 3:26 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Pinal | 49 min |
Nearby
Winter Weather Advisories in Arizona, 2021Every winter weather advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.