Alert archive / Arizona / Winter Weather Advisories in 2021

Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Tucson, AZ

January 24, 20216 counties in Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this winter weather advisory at Jan 24, 2021, 3:38 AM MST for 6 counties in Arizona. It took effect at Jan 25, 2021, 1:00 PM MST. It was in force for 28 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 24, 2021, 3:38 AM MST (10:38 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 25, 2021, 1:00 PM MST
Expired
Jan 26, 2021, 5:00 PM MST
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ

Counties Cochise County, AZ, Graham County, AZ, Greenlee County, AZ, Pima County, AZ, Pinal County, AZ, Santa Cruz County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 00:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2021-01-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2021-01-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-12 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2188 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

274 
WWUS45 KTWC 241038
WSWTWC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
338 AM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

AZZ510>514-242030-
/O.UPG.KTWC.WS.A.0001.210126T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210125T0300Z/
White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties-
Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Catalina and Rincon Mountains-
Including the cities of Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, 
Chiricahua NM, Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven
338 AM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total
  snow accumulations of 8 to 14 inches. Winds gusting as high as
  40 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow accumulations of 3
  to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties, 
  Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains, Chiricahua Mountains, Dragoon 
  and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains and Catalina 
  and Rincon Mountains.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 1 PM Monday to 5 PM 
  MST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 8 PM MST 
  this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening 
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are
expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This
will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the
mountains. 

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm. 

&&

$$

AZZ503-504-506>509-515-242030-
/O.UPG.KTWC.WS.A.0001.210126T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-Tucson Metro Area-
Southeast Pinal County-Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Baboquivari Mountains-
Including the cities of Nogales, Vail, Oracle, Sierra Vista, 
Benson, Willcox, and Clifton
338 AM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm. 

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
7 follow-up statements
531 
WWUS45 KTWC 242228
WSWTWC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
328 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

AZZ503-507-508-251230-
/O.UPG.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, and Benson
328 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MST
TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 8
  inches. Up to 12 inches for elevations around 5000 feet and
  above. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph with blowing and drifting
  snow possible. 

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are
expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This 
will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the 
mountains.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm. 

&&

$$

AZZ510>514-251230-
/O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210125T0300Z/
White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties-
Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Catalina and Rincon Mountains-
Including the cities of Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, 
Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, Canelo Hills, Mount Lemmon, 
and Summerhaven
328 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO
5 PM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total
  snow accumulations of 8 to 16 inches. Winds gusting as high as
  45 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, additional snow
  accumulations of 1 to 4 inches through this evening. Winds 
  gusting up to 35 mph.

* WHERE...White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties, 
  Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains, Chiricahua Mountains, Dragoon 
  and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains and Catalina 
  and Rincon Mountains.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 1 PM Monday to 5 PM 
  MST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 8 PM MST 
  this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are
expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This
will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the
mountains.

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

AZZ504-251230-
/O.EXT.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210126T0300Z-210127T0000Z/
Tucson Metro Area-
Including the cities of Green Valley and Vail
328 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM
MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS AROUND AND ABOVE 2700 FEET, WHICH 
INCLUDES THE LOWER FOOTHILLS OF THE CATALINA, RINCON AND TUCSON 
MOUNTAINS...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches. A
  dusting of snow is possible down to 2500 feet, which includes
  the city of Tucson. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...From 8 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

AZZ506-509-515-251230-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
Southeast Pinal County-Upper Gila River Valley-
Baboquivari Mountains-
Including the cities of Mammoth, Oracle, Clifton, and Safford
328 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO
5 PM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches
  between 2500-5000 feet, with 3-6 inches above 5000 feet. Less 
  than one inch for elevations below 2500 feet. Expect higher 
  amounts in the mountains. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
884 
WWUS45 KTWC 250300
WSWTWC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
800 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

AZZ510>514-251400-
/O.EXP.KTWC.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-210125T0300Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties-
Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Catalina and Rincon Mountains-
Including the cities of Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, 
Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, Canelo Hills, Mount Lemmon, 
and Summerhaven
800 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO
5 PM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 
  14 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties, 
  Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains, Chiricahua Mountains, Dragoon 
  and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains and Catalina 
  and Rincon Mountains.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 1 PM Monday to 5 PM 
  MST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 8 PM MST 
  this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are
expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This
will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the
mountains. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm. 

&&

$$

AZZ503-507-508-251400-
/O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, and Benson
800 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO
5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected with total snow accumulations of 3 to
  8 inches between 3500-5000 feet. Up to 12 inches is possible for
  elevations around 5000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph, 
  with blowing and drifting snow possible.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are
expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This
will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the
mountains.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

AZZ504-251400-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210126T0300Z-210127T0000Z/
Tucson Metro Area-
Including the cities of Green Valley and Vail
800 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO
5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2700 FEET, WHICH INCLUDES 
THE LOWER FOOTHILLS OF THE CATALINA, RINCON AND TUCSON 
MOUNTAINS...

* WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations 1 to 3 
  inches. A dusting of snow is possible down to 2500 feet, which 
  includes the city of Tucson. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...From 8 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

AZZ506-509-515-251400-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
Southeast Pinal County-Upper Gila River Valley-
Baboquivari Mountains-
Including the cities of Mammoth, Oracle, Clifton, and Safford
800 PM MST Sun Jan 24 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO
5 PM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations of 1 to 3  
  inches between 2500-5000 feet, with 3-6 inches above 5000 feet. 
  Less than one inch is possible for elevations below 2500 feet. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
782 
WWUS45 KTWC 250921
WSWTWC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
221 AM MST Mon Jan 25 2021

AZZ503-507-508-510>514-252000-
/O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-
White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties-
Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Catalina and Rincon Mountains-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, 
Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, 
Canelo Hills, Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven
221 AM MST Mon Jan 25 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected with total snow accumulations of 3 to
  8 inches between 3500-5000 feet. Up to 12 inches is possible for
  elevations above 5000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph, 
  with blowing and drifting snow possible.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are
expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This
will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the
mountains. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm. 

&&

$$

AZZ504-252000-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210126T0300Z-210127T0000Z/
Tucson Metro Area-
Including the cities of Green Valley and Vail
221 AM MST Mon Jan 25 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations 1 to 3 
  inches. A dusting of snow is possible down to 2500 feet, which 
  includes the city of Tucson. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...From 8 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm. 

&&

$$

AZZ506-509-515-252000-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210125T2000Z-210127T0000Z/
Southeast Pinal County-Upper Gila River Valley-
Baboquivari Mountains-
Including the cities of Mammoth, Oracle, Clifton, and Safford
221 AM MST Mon Jan 25 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 
  inches between 2500-5000 feet, with 3-6 inches above 5000 
  feet. Less than one inch is possible for elevations below 2500 
  feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm. 

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
651 
WWUS45 KTWC 252116
WSWTWC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
216 PM MST Mon Jan 25 2021

AZZ503-507-508-510>514-261300-
/O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-
White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties-
Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Catalina and Rincon Mountains-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, 
Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, 
Canelo Hills, Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven
216 PM MST Mon Jan 25 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected with total snow accumulations of 3 to
  7 inches between 3000-5000 feet and 7 to 12 inches for 
  elevations between 5000-7000 feet. Above 7000 feet, expect 12 to
  18 inches with locally higher amounts nearing two feet for 
  mountain peaks. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph, with blowing 
  and drifting snow likely. 

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with potential for
  snow-packed roadways. Travel could be impossible at times. Brief
  blizzard like conditions will be possible in gusty winds,
  especially for the mountains. The hazardous conditions could 
  impact the morning or evening commute. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are
expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are expected. This will 
make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the 
mountains.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

AZZ504-261300-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.210126T0300Z-210127T0000Z/
Tucson Metro Area-
Including the cities of Tucson, Green Valley, and Vail
216 PM MST Mon Jan 25 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS AROUND AND ABOVE 2500
FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations 1 to 3
  inches. A dusting to one inch of snow is possible down to 2500
  feet, which includes the city of Tucson. Best chance for snow
  will be the foothills around Tucson. Winds gusting as high as 
  35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...From 8 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

AZZ509-515-261300-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Gila River Valley-Baboquivari Mountains-
Including the cities of Clifton and Safford
216 PM MST Mon Jan 25 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST
TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS AROUND AND ABOVE 2500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 
  inches between 2500-5000 feet, with 3-6 inches above 5000 
  feet. Less than one inch is possible for elevations below 2500 
  feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

AZZ506-261300-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Mammoth and Oracle
216 PM MST Mon Jan 25 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST
TUESDAY FOR ELEVATIONS AROUND AND ABOVE 2500 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations of 1 to 3
  inches between 2500-4000 feet, with 3-6 inches above 5000 feet.
  A dusting to one inch is possible for elevations below 2500
  feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph with possible blowing and
  drifting of snow.

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 5 PM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
772 
WWUS45 KTWC 260925
WSWTWC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
225 AM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

AZZ503-507-508-510>514-262100-
/O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-
White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties-
Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Catalina and Rincon Mountains-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, 
Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, 
Canelo Hills, Mount Lemmon, and Summerhaven
225 AM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow, heavy at times, can be expected today. Storm total
  snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches, with up to 18 inches above
  7,000 feet will be possible. 

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM MST today.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with potential for 
  snow-packed roadways. Travel could be impossible at times. 
  Brief blizzard like conditions will be possible in gusty 
  winds, especially for the mountains. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are
expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This
will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the
mountains. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm. 

&&

$$

AZZ504-506-262100-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Tucson Metro Area-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Tucson, Green Valley, Vail, Mammoth, 
and Oracle
225 AM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow expected with total snow accumulations 1 to 3
  inches. A dusting to one inch of snow is possible down to 2500
  feet, which includes the city of Tucson. Best chance for snow
  will be the foothills around Tucson. 

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM MST today.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm. 

&&

$$

AZZ509-515-262100-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Gila River Valley-Baboquivari Mountains-
Including the cities of Clifton and Safford
225 AM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow showers expected with 1 to 3 inches in the lower
  valleys. Elevations above 5,000 feet could see 3 to 6 inches. 

* WHERE...Portions of Southeast Arizona.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM MST today.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm. 

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
492 
WWUS45 KTWC 262059
WSWTWC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
159 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

AZZ514-262200-
/O.CAN.KTWC.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Catalina and Rincon Mountains-
159 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Heavy snow has ended, although some light snow showers will
continue through the remainder of the afternoon hours.

$$

AZZ504-506-515-262200-
/O.CAN.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Tucson Metro Area-Southeast Pinal County-Baboquivari Mountains-
159 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

A few light rain or mixed rain and snow showers will continue 
through the remainder of this afternoon before ending. No
additional accumulation is expected.

$$

AZZ503-507-508-510>513-270000-
/O.CON.KTWC.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-
White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties-
Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, 
Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, 
and Canelo Hills
159 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow, heavy at times, can be expected for the remainder
  of this afternoon before tapering off. Storm total snow 
  accumulations of 3 to 7 inches, with up to 18 inches above 7,000
  feet will be possible.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley and Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM MST today.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with potential for 
  snow-packed roadways. Travel could be impossible at times. 
  Brief blizzard like conditions will be possible in gusty 
  winds, especially for the mountains. The hazardous conditions 
  could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means heavy snow accumulations are
expected. Gusty winds and blowing snow are also possible. This
will make travel very difficult or impossible...especially in the
mountains.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial 
television or radio stations...or your cable television service 
provider for updates on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

AZZ509-270000-
/O.CON.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the cities of Clifton and Safford
159 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow showers expected with 1 to 3 inches in the lower 
  valleys. Elevations above 5,000 feet could see 3 to 6 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of Graham and Greenlee counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM MST today.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio...commercial television or radio
stations...or your cable television service provider for updates
on this Winter Storm.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
282 
WWUS45 KTWC 270004
WSWTWC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
504 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

AZZ503-507-508-510>513-270115-
/O.EXP.KTWC.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-
White Mountains of Graham and Greenlee Counties-
Galiuro and Pinaleno Mountains-Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, 
Hannagan Meadow, Mount Graham, Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, 
and Canelo Hills
504 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

Most snow showers have moved east of the area. Little or no
additional snowfall expected.

$$

AZZ509-270115-
/O.EXP.KTWC.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210127T0000Z/
Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the cities of Clifton and Safford
504 PM MST Tue Jan 26 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Most snow showers have moved east of the area. Little or no
additional snowfall expected.

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Jan 23, 3:21 PM MST, 12 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 3:21 PM MST, 12 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
321 PM MST Sat Jan 23 2021

.SYNOPSIS...A pair of winter storms will impact the area Sunday
and then Monday afternoon into Tuesday with valley rain and
mountain snow. The strongest and coldest storm is expected to
start Monday afternoon with snow levels possibly reaching desert
floors including the Tucson Metro Monday night into Tuesday.
Significant snow accumulations are expected for elevations
generally above 4000 feet. Gusty winds with well below average
temperatures will also accompany the storm system.

&&

.DISCUSSION...It is going to be quite interesting over the next 72
hours across all of Arizona as a significant winter storm impacts
the state of Arizona.

The first storm system is currently sliding down the Cali
coastline. This is resulting in an increase of gusty southwest
winds. Expect winds to slacken after sunset, but a potent trof and
associated cold front will be moving across Arizona. Valley rain
showers and mountain snow showers will be on the increase from
late this evening across western Pima Co to the rest of the area
by Sunday morning. Precip will be showery in nature, with perhaps
a 1-3 hour block of continuous light to moderate rain along the
frontal bndry. Valley rain amounts will generally be 0.05 to
0.35" with 3-7" of snow between 6000-7000 feet and up to 12"
above 7000 feet. Snow levels could briefly dip to 4500 feet or so
Sunday afternoon and night south and east of Tucson. Accumulations
of up to 1" are possible with minimal impacts to roadways.

There will be a quick break between storm one and storm two. Storm
two will be a much stronger, wetter, and colder storm system.
Because of storm one lowering snow levels, storm two will have
an antecedently cold airmass to start with. Thus, snow levels
start around 5000 feet Monday afternoon and quickly fall to
around 4000 feet by early Monday evening. This is where things get
interesting. We have a plethora of ensemble based, probability,
and statistical guidance. There is an increasingly strong signal
in the guidance for snow levels falling easily to 3000 feet late
Monday evening/night, potentially dropping to around 2500 feet
early Tuesday morning. This would push at least a rain/snow mix
into Tucson with potentially higher portions of the metro seeing a
changeover to all snow with light (Dusting to 1-2") of snow. At
this time, there is a low (20-30%) chance of this occurring. There
is higher confidence of seeing snow, but lower confidence of
actual accumulations. There is still plenty of time to see how
this evolves, but a Winter Weather ADV down to roughly 3000 feet
is possible. Best spots to see snow would be far east Tucson,
Catalina Foothills, Vail, Corona De Tucson etc. This will be
monitored closely over the next day or so to see if snow levels
need to go lower and/or probabilities of accumulating snow higher.

Now for the rest of the area, this is lining up to be a
significant winter storm for elevations around 4000 feet and
above. This is especially true for areas from Nogales to Sonoita
to Sierra Vista, where guidance is suggesting a frontal bndry from
storm two stalling or slowing and becoming an east/west bndry
Tuesday morning and into early afternoon. This could push
snowfall totals into the 3-8" range with locally 12" for valleys
near 5000 feet. Something to watch for sure, as this band could
shift north or south changing snowfall amounts. There is at least
moderate confidence, thus the issuance of a Winter Storm Watch for
the area. Mountain locations above 7000 feet could see 10-16" of
snow. Some higher amounts are possible for peaks.

As the storm pushes out of the area late Tuesday, the coldest air
of the season is likely. A Hard Freeze is possible for Tucson
with lows possibly into the middle to upper 20s. For areas south
and east of Tucson overnight lows will be widespread teens/twenties.
Localized areas dipping into the single digits is possible as
well. One thing to watch will be how much snow accumulates and how
quick we clear/dry Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. If we
can maximize the radiational cooling with snowcover, some very
cold overnight lows will be possible.Something to keep in the back
of your mind as we progress into the work week.

After that, a slight warming trend for a few days with yet another
storm system possibly by later next week. With the ongoing
drought, keep'em coming.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 25/00Z.
SCT-BKN clouds at 7k-11k ft MSL and periods of high clouds AOA 15k
ft MSL thru 24/04Z, then lowering cloud decks thru the remainder of
the forecast period. BKN-OVC cloud decks at 2k-5k ft AGL by 24/12Z.
VCSH or SHRA is likely at all TAF locales aft 24/08Z. SFC wind
generally SWLY at 10-16 kts, gusts to 26 kts through 24/03Z then
becoming Sly to 10 kts.  Wind increasing again aft 24/16Z becoming
SW 10-16 kts with gusts up to 30 kt. Aviation discussion not updated
for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A series of cold storm systems will move across
the region into the middle of next week, for an increasing chance of
precipitation.  Expect valley showers and mountain snow showers down
to around 5000 ft through Sunday.  Another even colder storm system
will bring additional precipitation, likely heavier with snow levels
around 4500 ft Monday dropping to or below 3000 ft by Tuesday
morning. Gusty winds are expected during this unsettled weather
period, with Monday looking like the breeziest day. A drier weather
pattern is expected during the second half of next week with the
possibility of yet another storm system next weekend.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM to 8 PM MST Sunday for
AZZ510>514.

Winter Storm Watch from Monday afternoon through Tuesday
afternoon for AZZ503-504-506>515.

&&

Public...Michael
Aviation...Cerniglia
Fire Weather....Cerniglia

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 24, 3:38 AM MSTWinter Storm WarningTWCCochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz61 hr
Jan 24, 11:13 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCPinal32 min
Jan 24, 11:26 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC34 min
Jan 24, 1:02 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC43 min
Jan 24, 1:49 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCPinal56 min
Jan 24, 2:46 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCPinal44 min
Jan 24, 2:53 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWC37 min
Jan 24, 3:26 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTWCPinal49 min

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in Arizona, 2021Every winter weather advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.